Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Thursday, May 05, 2011

Nasdaq Rebounds At Support.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Jack_Steiman

This does not mean that things look good here and that we should start loading up. Not at all. It means we should have a small rally, but that's about it. We should ultimately test lower again, and if that move down brings about strong positive divergences from low oscillator levels, then we can feel better about taking on a new play or two. With the market moving lower early on and then extending down as the morning went along, it looked like things might get out of hand. But these pullbacks often look worse than they really are in terms of how it set up technically. Selling off 70 RSI's on both the daily and weekly charts can seem scary, but you know it has to happen, and thus far, it's not even close to being out of the ordinary.

Thursday, May 05, 2011

Defensive Stocks Sector Strength Points to S&P 500 Weakness / Stock-Markets / Sector Analysis

By: Donald_W_Dony

The recent sector strength of the Consumer staples ETF (XLP) over the Consumer discretionary ETF (XLY) indicates that money is now flowing out of a growth industry group and into a defensive sector. This action normally occurs during a period of weakness in the S&P 500.
Over the past few years, this shift in buying pressure between these two consumer sectors has provided guidance to the short term movements of the broad-based S&P 500. As models are indicating that a low in the index is expected in June, the returning performance of the defensive staples sector over discretionaries adds some additional evidence to the anticipated pullback.

Wednesday, May 04, 2011

Stock Market and Euro Elliott Wave Counts / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory

By: WavePatternTraders

The markets are now coming into a target zone that will likely define the trend going forward over the coming weeks/months. As bears continue to try and top tick this rally from the lows made in Aug 2010. They are being forced to cover as the strength is overwhelming; anyone that tries to short this market is getting run over.

The trend is clearly still up and the easiest way to make a successful trade is to follow the trend, top tickers generally get wiped out, as being right once out of 20-30 times, does not constituent to a healthy account balance.

Tuesday, May 03, 2011

Stock Market Rallies on News of Bin Laden's Death? It's Not So Simple / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: EWI

On the morning of May 2, the financial headlines were abuzz with the news of Osama Bin Laden's death and its positive impact on the stock market:  "Stock Market Celebrates Killing of Bin Laden" (The Wall Street Journal)

But despite a positive open, stocks closed lower on May 2. Undoubtedly, in the days ahead we'll hear analysts explaining how Bin Laden's death is not that "bullish" of an event, after all.

Tuesday, May 03, 2011

What Bin Laden's Death Means for the Stock Market and Your Financial Security / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Money_Morning

Martin Hutchinson writes: The finding and killing of Osama bin Laden after 10 years of searching is clearly being heralded as an enormous U.S. victory.

But once you look past the news itself, the death of bin Laden brings to light some highly worrisome revelations about Pakistan. And those revelations have some potentially serious long-term implications for the Dow Jones Industrial Average - and for your money and future financial security.

Tuesday, May 03, 2011

The Forgotten Stock Market “Flash Crash” One Year Later / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Gary_Dorsch

One year ago, few traders were expecting a pullback of any significant degree, with the Dow Jones Industrials perched above the 11,000-level. Traders had become complacent after a year long advance, in which the Dow Industrials had risen +70% above its bear market low, while retreating only twice for minor pullbacks. Traders stopped thinking about potential dangers, and started believing the risk of another bear market had vanished. Yet simmering beneath the surface was the specter of a sovereign debt default, rivaling the size of Lehman Brothers’, and threatening the world economy with a “double-dip” recession.

Tuesday, May 03, 2011

Major Market Turning Points, The Gallery of Crowd Behavior Returns / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Doug_Wakefield

" [From an intensive two-year study], I found that market price movements are like people - they have statistically significant life expectancy profiles that can be used to measure risk exposure...Consider life insurance, which deals with the life expectancy of people instead of price moves. If you're writing life insurance policies, it's going to make a great deal of difference whether the applicant is twenty years old or eighty years old.... Similarly, in a market that is in a stage of old age; it is particularly important to be attuned to symptoms of a potential end to the current trend. To use the life insurance analogy, most people who become involved in the stock market don't know the difference between a twenty-year old and an eighty-year-old."

Tuesday, May 03, 2011

Obama Kills Osama After the Bernank Spoke, US Dollar Bubble Bursts Trending Towards USD69 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Nadeem_Walayat

What a week! A series ever more historic events accompanied by the dollar's continuing in the background meltdown.

Firstly, the Bernank spoke, spouting more central bank propaganda which as expected has been liberally lapped up by the mainstream financial press and further regurgitated at length by the BlogosFear, after all talk is cheap when compared with the increasing costs of actually doing something.

Tuesday, May 03, 2011

Nouriel Roubini on U.S. Economy, Bond Vigilantes, and Yuen Becoming a Reserve Currency / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Bloomberg

Today on Bloomberg Television, NYU professor and economist Nouriel Roubini talked about the euro and China's currency during a panel with Bloomberg TV's Tom Keene at the Milken Institute Global Conference in Los Angeles.

Tuesday, May 03, 2011

Stock Market Sidelights to 1994 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Fred_Sheehan

LURING THE UNSOPHISTICATED into the stock market was considered a risk by Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan in 1994. So much so, that protecting the individual investor was a mandate of the Fed. (The Fed advertises and then omits new mandates faster than spring fashions. My favorite is the brainstorm of former Fed governor Frederic Mishkin in 2007: "The modern science of monetary policy proceeds under the assumption that the central bank's purpose is to maximize the well-being of households in the economy; the objective function specifies exactly what should be maximized.") On May 27, 1994, Greenspan told the Senate Banking Committee it was for this very reason that he - his FOMC - had started raising rates in February, 1994: "Lured by consistently high returns in capital markets, people exhibited increasingly a willingness to take on market risk by extending the maturity of their investments." The People had shifted assets out of bank deposits and the like. The avuncular Fed chairman, by raising rates, was shepherding his sheep: "[S]ome of those buying the funds perhaps did not fully appreciate the exposure of their new investments to the usual fluctuations in bond and stock prices."

Tuesday, May 03, 2011

Another Sign QE2 is Undermining the Economic Recovery / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing

By: Clif_Droke

A rather eye-opening headline appearing in the financial press is worth discussing here because it’s symptomatic of a bigger problem plaguing the economy. This problem will only increase in the coming months and there’s ample reason for believing it will eventually undermine the cyclical bull market in stocks. The headline reads, “Kimberly-Clark to hike prices after profit falls.”

Monday, May 02, 2011

Prepare for a Stock-Market Reversal, Even at New Bull-Market Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Money_Morning

Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: In a stunning display of determination (or simple greed), U.S. stock prices are once again at new highs - despite problems in the Middle East, out-of-control government deficits throughout the world, an increasingly inflated China and the looming end to the U.S. Federal Reserve's free-money boondoggle, otherwise known as "QE2."

Monday, May 02, 2011

Dow Jones Transportation Stock Index Rolls to Record High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Money_Morning

Jon D. Markman writes: The biggest news of the week for me was the fantastic earnings report from railroad Norfolk Southern Corp. (NYSE: NSC), which pushed the Dow Jones Transportation Average to a new record high.

Think about that. New. All-Time. High. For the transports. The transports! When crude oil prices are pressing $112 a barrel. When the economy is limping along at an annualized growth rate of less than 2%. When the bears said we should be diving for cover.

Monday, May 02, 2011

Stock Market Outlook for May 2011 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: John_Hampson

There is positive pressure for stocks into and around the new moon of May 3rd, then negative pressure after that into and around the full moon of May 17th:

Monday, May 02, 2011

Stock Market May be Ready for a Correction / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Andre_Gratian

Very Long-term trend –he continuing strength in the indices is causing me to question whether we are in a secular bear market or two consecutive bull/bear cycles.  In any case, the very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into 2014-16.

Long-term trend - In March 2009, the SPX began an upward move in the form of a bull market.  Cycles and P&F projections point to a continuation of this trend for several more months.

Sunday, May 01, 2011

Stock Markets Review, Asia Weak But Western Markets Strong / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Tony_Caldaro

The US market started the week making new uptrend highs and this progressed into new bull markets highs into week’s end. Positive economic reports outpaced negative reports about two to one. On the positive side: New/Pending home sales, Consumer confidence, Public sentiment and Durable goods orders rose; Personal income/spending and PCE prices remained positive, and the Monetary base hit a new record high.

Sunday, May 01, 2011

Stock Market Bull Marches On.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Jack_Steiman

It was an interesting week for the stock market. It had the big news from fed Bernanke on how he would deal with rising inflation that seems to be getting a bit out of control. The Government tries hard to down play how bad things are by saying inflation isn't so bad if you REMOVE food and energy. Makes you laugh with how stupid that is. Shows you how little respect they have for anyone. Food and energy are the two most important aspects of one's life, but we won't count it. We do as citizens, however, and it's really getting insane out there. Fed Bernanke told the world that, although inflation is moving higher, he is far more fearful of the dreaded D word, deflation.

Saturday, April 30, 2011

Bursting Bubbles, Waning Currency Systems and Insolvent Financial Institutions / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Bob_Chapman

We keep searching Congress for leadership and all we see and hear is compromises and moneyed footsteps leading back to their controllers on Wall Street and in banking. We find few willing to stand up to the military industrial complex or the moneyed powers that control our country. Spending restraint is very difficult to find.

Saturday, April 30, 2011

Investors Be Thematic In Your Approach / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Richard_Mills

When looking for a dominant investment theme the approach I take involves looking at global or big picture conditions. I study trends, read the news, basically watch and listen to what's going on in the world. What I'm looking for is something so powerful, so dominant, it's going to be my guide to where I invest - I focus on the factors that I think will drive headlines going forward.

Friday, April 29, 2011

U.S. Dollar Investors Reality Check - How Much is that Priced in Euros? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: PhilStockWorld

It’s as if 2008 never happened.
Once again the worlds investors are pumping up bubbles that will probably explode in their faces. After the popping of a real estate bubble led to the first global recession since the 1930s, world markets are frothing like shaken Champagne. Pundits claim to have spotted price increases that are unsupported by economic fundamentals in assets ranging from U.S. farmland to Israeli biotech to Australian housing to Chinese cemetery sites. Commodities have soared. Global junk-bond issuance hit a record in the first three months of the year … this is the granddaddy of them all, an almost-encompassing bubble right at the heart of monetary systems. - Peter Coy & Roben Farzad