Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, April 15, 2011
The Financial Sector Will Have a Major Impact on the SP 500 / Stock-Markets / Banking Stocks
Regardless of whether a compromise is reached over the approaching lockdown of the United States ceiling and the raising of the debt, this impasse has momentous significance for holders of gold (SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)) and silver (iShares Silver Trust (SLV)). The serious weaknesses of our economic structure is exposing it as a paper tiger. Instead of seeking fiscal sanity, the inability of our leaders to agree on even the smallest of issues is reminiscent of the Roman Empire dealing out bread and circus to the masses when Rome could no longer afford the good times and the games.
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Friday, April 15, 2011
How Foreign Central Banks Could End the U.S. Stocks Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Shah Gilani writes: William McChesney Martin Jr., the revered former head of the U.S. Federal Reserve, is remembered for many things - including an unprecedented term as chairman that lasted from March 1951 to January 1970.
But Martin is perhaps best remembered for the central-banking aphorism that says that the Fed's most important job is "to take away the punch bowl just as the party gets going." (See accompanying graphic below.)
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Thursday, April 14, 2011
Investors Unaware of Significance of Currency Market Events, No Faith and Credit / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
"I know that most men, including those at ease with problems of the greatest complexity, can seldom accept even the simplest and most obvious truth if it be such as would oblige them to admit the falsity of conclusions which they have delighted in explaining to colleagues, which they have proudly taught to others, and which they have woven, thread by thread, into the fabric of their lives." ~ Tolstoy
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Thursday, April 14, 2011
Can U.S. Dollar Weakness Mean Stock Market Weakness? / Stock-Markets / US Dollar
Are there any dollar bulls left? Inflationists across the web are crying ‘victory’ as the dollar sinks and certain asset prices (especially oil prices, food prices, and the gold price) mushroom higher. To the level headed, you should exercise extreme caution against assumed fixed correlations like “weak dollar” means “asset price increases.” Correlations can quickly change.
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Thursday, April 14, 2011
Investing in India: First Comes the Pain, Then Come the Gains / Stock-Markets / India
Martin Hutchinson writes: As investments go, India has really great long-term prospects. No doubt about it.
Indeed, India has enjoyed very decent growth rates for the last decade, pulling many of its people out of poverty in the process.
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Thursday, April 14, 2011
Stock Market Both Sides Holding Where They Have To... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
The bulls were rocking. Nasdaq 2808 looked to be a slam dunk in terms of breaking through. Time after time the bulls tried and time after time the bears said not now. The gap is too tough for you. The bulls finally did go away. The bears were on deck and made their move. Down we went. It was pretty hard and pretty fast. One moment we're trying to get through 2808, and the next moment you're watching the bulls trying to defend the 50-day exponential moving average at 2738 Nasdaq. A fast seventy-point reversal for sure. Suddenly it looked as if this critical support level was going to get taken out with force. Not to be the case. Not yet anyway.
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Wednesday, April 13, 2011
Investors Keeping Capital in an Economic Depression / Stock-Markets / Investing 2011
Doug Casey, The Casey Report writes: Nothing is cheap in today’s investment world. Because of the trillions of currency units that governments all over the world have created – and are continuing to create – financial assets are grossly overpriced. Stocks, bonds, property, commodities and cash are no bargains. Meanwhile, real wages are slipping rapidly among those who are working, and a large portion of the population is unemployed or underemployed.
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Wednesday, April 13, 2011
Stock Market Buying Opportunity? Find Out What Extreme Investor Sentiment Means / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Free Report: Buying Opportunity? Find Out What Extreme Market Sentiment Levels Mean for Your Investments. Our friends at Elliott Wave International have just released a new report on the historical importance of extreme market sentiment levels. You can learn more about it below, or follow this link to download the free report now.
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Tuesday, April 12, 2011
The Stocks Stealth Bull Market Update 2011 Ebook / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
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Tuesday, April 12, 2011
Stocks Cheap? Shiller's Cyclically Adjusted PE Ratio Approaching Peak Valuations / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
Most of the commentary in regards to the value of stocks looks at the 1 year trailing or forward PE ratio, and applies some sort of premium or discount to that due to interest rates. Indeed with estimated earnings in the mid $90s on the S&P 500 and record low interest rates the market looks relatively 'cheap' at around 13x end of year 2011 estimates. As always please understand the market is substantially more expensive than the raw numbers show as many companies take numerous exemptions for 'one time' expenses such as options expensing - which are of course not one time.... but Wall Street still is happy to exclude these very real costs in the game of "wink wink".
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Tuesday, April 12, 2011
Canada: Investing in the World's Safest Economy Can Put Profits in Your Pocket / Stock-Markets / Canadian Stock Market
Martin Hutchinson writes: When a March 25 "no-confidence" vote toppled the government of Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper, it also set the stage for a new general election.
This May 2 election will be Canada's third in five years and fourth in seven years. In light of the civil unrest in the Middle East/North Africa (MENA) region - not to mention the financial problems that continue to plague Europe - it would be understandable if global investors added Canada to the "do not invest" list.
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Tuesday, April 12, 2011
Stock Market Testing The Lower End... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
We test the high end of the range and we test the low end of the range. Back and forth with now another effort by the bears to bring things down to the lower end of the range. The bulls have tried several times to get the job done, but they have been unable to do so. Now the bears will get their chance. It would actually be good if the bears would succeed a little bit here, because it would ramp up some fear short-term and get that bull-bear spread down below 40% for starters. I don't like seeing there spread above 40%. Handles such as we're in now often serve to remove some of the froth in the market as more and more folks hear about the end of the bull market because we've stopped going up for a while. The longer we handle, or break down some, the more you'll get people thinking another bear market is upon us, which is not a bad thing for the bulls. Let's get this number down to 30%, or lower, in the coming weeks, and then I'll feel much better about things.
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Monday, April 11, 2011
Stock Market Valuations Forming Second Biggest Bubble in US History / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
Despite the terrible economic performance of the past ten years (both in terms of the markets and the general economy), equity valuations are now approaching the second largest bubble in United States history, surpassed only by the technology bubble. Both the cause and the potential ramifications of this development are astounding.
Monday, April 11, 2011
Option Flexibility Allows Traders To Adjust Positions As Stock Market Changes / Stock-Markets / Options & Warrants
“I’ve been hanging onto nothing when nothing could be worse” Heaven When We’re Home The Wailin’ Jennys
As an options trader, I continue to be impressed by the wide variety of choices available to modify a trade that is not quite going the way I initially predicted. This approach may be a bit unfamiliar to the trader whose experience has been primarily with trading stocks. The choices for a stock trader are really only two: open or close a position.
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Monday, April 11, 2011
Corporate Earnings Projections, Stock Market Support, and Resistance / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Earnings season kicks off in full force today with Alcoa Inc. (AA), the biggest U.S. aluminum producer, scheduled to announce first-quarter earnings after the market close today. Alcoa is the first member of the Dow Jones Industrial Average to report.
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Monday, April 11, 2011
Currency Analysis and Forecasts for Canadian Dollar, Euro, USD Plus Bonds and S&P / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
The daily chart of the Canadian dollar index is shown below, with upper Bollinger bands all in close proximity to each other and the index, suggestive that further upside potential exists. The lower 21 and 5 MA Bollinger bands curling over also support further upside. Full stochastics 1, 2 and 3 are shown below in order of descent, with the %K above the %D in 1 and beneath the %D in 2 and 3. Notice how the %K in stochastic 2 curled up. The daily chart suggests at least 7-10 days of further upside before any sort of top is put in place. A high Canadian dollar is going to have a devastating impact on companies in Canada.
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Monday, April 11, 2011
A Pivot Point on the VIX? / Stock-Markets / Volatility
There is something important happening on the VIX that I want to point out today ...
Note, that we have a yellow, down slopping resistance line on the VIX chart that goes from June 2010 to April 2011. That resistance line was penetrated to the upside on February 22nd ... the very day that the market started pulling back.
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Monday, April 11, 2011
Rising Interest Rates Could Jolt Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Jon D. Markman writes: Stocks traded with all the precision of a baseball skipping into the Boston Red Sox outfield over the past week, which is to say it was pretty sloppy. The major equity averages settled near the flat line, but it was a mess getting there after the European Central Bank raised rates for the first time since mid-2008, there was a 7.1 magnitude aftershock in Japan, and Texas Instruments Incorporated (NYSE: TXN) bought a rival chip maker at incredible premium.
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Monday, April 11, 2011
Was The Preview To The 2011 Blockbuster / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
The world is evolving a lot faster than I suspect most realize. The Fed has created the aura of a V shaped global recovery in the form of continually rising equity markets. Bernanke has created the mirage of prosperity. The unemployment rate has fallen below 9% as more disgruntled workers leave the work force. Paper stock wealth is up nearly 100% in two years. Indeed the Russell 2000 is up 43% since QE2 as the chairman has so eloquently declared.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, April 11, 2011
Stock Market Should Get Another Attempt at Going Higher / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Current Position of the Market
Very Long-term trend - The continuing strength in the indices is causing me to question whether we are in a secular bear market or two consecutive cyclical bull/bear cycles. In any case, the very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into 2014-15.
Long-term trend - In March 2009, the SPX began an upward move in the form of a bull market. Cycles and P&F projections point to a continuation of this trend for several more months.
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