Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Sunday, May 22, 2011
Cash Remains King / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
As loyal readers know, I have been on a bit of hiatus working on my new book (with Greg Autry) called Death by China. (As you may imagine from the title, it’s a barrel of laughs.)
On that note, if you live in the Southern California area, we will have the book debut on June 7 at UC-Irvine. If you live on the East Coast, the debut will be on June 16 at the Washington Press Club. (Anybody who would like to attend one of those events, drop me an email and I’ll get you the details.)
Sunday, May 22, 2011
Stock Market Low May be In, Breakout May be Imminent / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Very Long-term trend - The continuing strength in the indices is causing me to question whether we are in a secular bear market or two consecutive cyclical bull/bear cycles. In any case, the very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into 2014-16.
Long-term trend - In March 2009, the SPX began a move which evolved in a bull market. Cycles point to a continuation of this trend for several more months.
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Sunday, May 22, 2011
Key Markets And Indicators Divergence: Stocks, Copper, Treasuries, Bonds, Investor Sentiment and Commodities / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
I posted a few charts this week showing some extreme levels and or divergences and wanted to combine them into one follow up post. The equity markets are at a very important juncture right now and confusion is rampant in every trader's mind.
The markets have fooled almost everyone over the past two years and with QE2 ending in six weeks the headlights draw near as the deer stand in the middle of the road unsure which way to run.
Sunday, May 22, 2011
Stock Market S&P 500 Index Structurally Positive, But Weak / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
I can sum up S&P’s current internals using four words:
Structurally positive, but weak!
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Saturday, May 21, 2011
Stocks Bear Market Rally and Market Manipulation / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
As I have stated all along, my research suggests to me that the rally out of the March 2009 low has been a bear market rally. Nothing has occurred to change that point of view. In light of that view, I have received a number of e-mails asking about manipulation and if “they” could prevent such an event from happening.
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Saturday, May 21, 2011
Stock Market Wave Counts / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
This week I want to spend some time on some long term views, as I have received some questions about my views to the long term trend. Whilst I am not really a fan of long wave term counts, we are following a couple of ideas.
I am sure there are readers asking themselves is this a bull or bear market?
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Saturday, May 21, 2011
Stock Market Shifting.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
That's the best word I can use to describe this market. It's shifting from acting as a bull to more of a bear, or better yet, a correction in the making. Upside is becoming more strained. The bulls are struggling to gain some steam as those weekly negative divergences across the board on all the major index charts are holding the market down. In addition, on the last small move higher, the daily MACD didn't turn up at all, which isn't what you want to see if you're a bull expecting the next leg up in this ongoing bull market. When oscillators act more strained you know it's going to be a tough time to get going to the up side. So you need to respond accordingly, and that means, simply, to take the foot off the gas and slow down dramatically.
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Friday, May 20, 2011
Robert Prechter's Forecasts for Every Major World Market / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Until May 31st, Elliott Wave International is offering the current issue of Robert Prechter's Global Market Perspective, free! This global publication covers every major world market, including global stock and interest rate markets, gold, silver, crude oil, and currencies. It’s FREE until May 31. Download Global Market Perspective NOW.
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Friday, May 20, 2011
Stock Market S&P500 Cycle Analysis Update / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
What leads, technicals or fundamentals? Does a price chart discount all fundamentals? These debates rage on, but I can say with the utmost accuracy that cycles are great for predicting in the next explosion of activity. A rally or a sell off, no matter cycles have an uncanny knack of being on the money when either is in the infant stages.
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Friday, May 20, 2011
Investors Profiting Despite Pandora’s Econo-Financial Box / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
“Believe me, the next step is a currency crisis because there will be a rejection of the dollar. The rejection of the dollar is a big, big event, and then your personal liberties are going to be severely threatened.” Rep. & Presidential Candidate Ron Paul, R-TX
Rep. Paul rightly identifies Important and Impending Negative Consequences of The Fed’s Devaluation of the U.S. Dollar.
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Friday, May 20, 2011
Stock Market Wealth Builder Report / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
The volatility which was predicted in the last quarterly brief continues apace with the markets continuing to climb a “wall of worry” as is typical.
On the basis of Dow Theory, the bull run is still in place with the Dow Transports indicating that new highs are anticipated.
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Thursday, May 19, 2011
Forecasts for World Stock Markets, Interest Rates, Currencies and Metals and Energy / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Until May 31st, Elliott Wave International is offering the current issue of Global Market Perspective, free! This global publication covers every major world market, including global stock and interest rate markets, gold, silver, crude oil, and currencies. It’s FREE until May 31. Download Global Market Perspective NOW.
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Thursday, May 19, 2011
Stock Market Back And Forth.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Still no breakdown. Not close today. Close yesterday, but not close today. The first attempt at losing 1315 S&P 500 was met with strong buying off a 1318 low yesterday into today. The bears got close. They smelled success, but were thwarted away with relative ease. This is completely normal action as the bears will never break a market down at the most critical level of support on the first try. It can take more attempts than one thinks possible. So today we blasted up off the first test ,and now we're not even close to breaking down.
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Wednesday, May 18, 2011
The Invisible Stock Bubble; Crash and Bear Market Ahead to S&P 400 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
As measured by current earnings, the stock market does not seem hugely overpriced. The question is will those earnings hold up?
SmartMoney associate editor Jack Hough addresses the question in The Invisible Stock Bubble
Tuesday, May 17, 2011
Forecasts for Every Major World Market - FREE 120 Page Ebook / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Until May 31, Elliott Wave International is offering the current issue of Global Market Perspective, free! This global publication covers every major world market, including global stock and interest rate markets, gold, silver, crude oil, and currencies. It’s FREE until May 31. Download Global Market Perspective NOW.
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Tuesday, May 17, 2011
US Corporate Earnings Peaking - Shift into Defensive Growth Stocks / Stock-Markets / Corporate Earnings
The recovery in global stock markets, which started in mid March 2009, is just over two years old. Many commentators feel that the recovery is illusory, based on cheap money from central banks and reckless fiscal spending by governments desperate to stave off recession and rising unemployment. Others see an improving global economy with the emerging markets as the new locomotive of world growth underpinned by rising populations, the urbanisation of China and India in particular and the consequent growth in emerging economy middle class incomes, which has brought some two billion consumers into the global economy.
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Tuesday, May 17, 2011
Is a Stock And Commodity Meltdown About to Take Place - Video / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Here is quick pre-week analysis video explaining what I think could happen in the gold, silver, oil and the stock market.
The dollar continues to control the short term movements in both stocks and commodities
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Tuesday, May 17, 2011
Stock Market Defining Lines Are Clear....Bears Making A Move.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
It's all about 1315 and 1370. 1370 being the old highs and 1315 being the trend line from the old lows. Anything that takes place in between is simply noise. But my job is to try to figure out which way things will break, which is just not clear right now. The bears are fighting down here. Trying to rid 1335 with force and get through the 50-day exponential moving average at 1327. Because the two levels are so close the bears really need to push this towards 1315 quickly, so the bulls will then struggle with support-turned-resistance at 1327/1335.
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Monday, May 16, 2011
Don't Be Fooled by Last Week's Stock Market Dip, U.S. Stocks Are Headed Higher / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Jon D. Markman writes: U.S. stocks struggled during a Friday the 13th week that was rigged like a haunted house with a trap door. The main problem for equities was strength in the dollar, which has the effect of undermining the value of commodities and, lately, stocks.
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Monday, May 16, 2011
Stock Market Near and Medium Term Outlook / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
I took partial profits on my stock indices longs on Friday as the market action reflected Friday morning's post:Read full article... Read full article...