Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Wednesday, April 27, 2011
Stock Market Buyers bid in anticipation of FOMC statement... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Buying programs were launched in anticipation of a benign FOMC statement on Wednesday...
Recommendation: Take no action.
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Wednesday, April 27, 2011
How to Use Capital Flows to Turn the Economy's Job Losses Into Portfolio Gains / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Shah Gilani, writes: Even though the U.S. unemployment rate fell to 8.8% in March from 10.1% at the height of the Great Recession, sidelined investors are still waiting for better news.
But what they don't realize is that it's a mistake to wait. Instead, what they should be doing is using so-called "capital flows," or the global trends that dictate the flow of investment dollars, to find new profit opportunities.
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Wednesday, April 27, 2011
Stocks, U.S. Dollar, and VIX Not Anticipating Negative Reaction to Fed QE Meeting / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Experience tells us the best approach to this week’s Fed trifecta (meeting, statement, and press conference) is (a) to be patient, (b) wait for the news to come out, (c) monitor the market’s reaction, and (d) make any adjustments to our allocation if needed. From a contingency planning perspective, it is helpful to study the markets for clues that may foreshadow the reaction to Wednesday’s Fed statement and press briefing.
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Monday, April 25, 2011
Stock Market, Is It 1994 Again? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
There are several similarities between current trends and those in 1994, a year when many institutions were left destitute. Historical analogies can help us imagine what might happen, but identification of differences should be noted too.
The greatest dissimilarity is probably the structure of markets. There was some official (government-sponsored) interference in 1994, the most obvious being the Federal Reserve's authorized pegging of interest rates. There was, however, no comparison to the government's merrymaking in 2011.
Monday, April 25, 2011
Stocks Stealth Bull Market Still Dragging Stocks Higher / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Jon D. Markman writes: The bull market in stocks may be getting long in the tooth, but it's still intact. That was evidenced by strong earnings and rising valuations last week.
Stocks finished an uplifting week on Wall Street on Thursday by gapping higher after earnings reports from industrial heavyweights as diverse as Apple Inc. (Nasdaq: AAPL) and Honeywell (HON) showed that companies have used the slowdown in the economy to become more efficient -- earning incrementally more income on incrementally less revenue.
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Monday, April 25, 2011
Phill Davis on QE, POMO and Hyperinflation / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
John Nyaradi: Philip R. Davis is an options trading expert and founder of Phil’s Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and advanced trading strategies for expert traders. His articles and references have appeared in the Wall Street Journal, Google Finance, Business Week, CNN Money.com, Trader Planet, and iStockAnalyst.
Phil is also a marketing partner of Wall Street Sector Selector, and at the end of this interview, I’ll tell you about how you can advantage of a special offer from Phil’s Stock World.
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Monday, April 25, 2011
Stock Market Ready for a Minor Pullback Before Going Higher / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Very Long-term trend – The continuing strength in the indices is causing me to question whether we are in a secular bear market or two consecutive bull/bear cycles. In any case, the very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into 2014-15.
Long-term trend - In March 2009, the SPX began a move which evolved in a bull market. Cycles point to a continuation of this trend for several more months.
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Monday, April 25, 2011
Welcome to Financial Slaughterhouse / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2011
"There are no characters in this story and almost no dramatic confrontations, because most of the people in it are so sick and so much the listless playthings of enormous forces."– Kurt Vonnegut, Slaughterhouse-Five
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Sunday, April 24, 2011
Japan versus USA: Same Economic Depression with a Lag / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Charts speak more eloquently than I can and they speak a brutal truth. Perhaps it is my scientific background or perhaps I appreciate the art that can be found in price charts. In either case, I prefer the message of charts to CNBC blowhards and other so-called experts.
Anyone who currently has excess savings they want to invest is in the minority of the world's population. They are also likely "rich" and "evil" according to populist sentiment. In any case, these aren't the best of times for advanced/Western economies.
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Saturday, April 23, 2011
What the Baltic Dry Index May be Telling Us / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Just as with the stock market, I've maintained that the advance seen since the early 2009 lows, in other asset classes, are also counter-trend moves. This view has not changed and based on my research I believe that once these counter-trend bounces have run their course, the longer-term secular bear will again reassert himself. In doing so, I look for all asset classes to decline in conjunction with the phase II decline of the ongoing secular bear market, which I believe is similar to the 1966 to 1974 secular bear market.
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Saturday, April 23, 2011
The Global Stocks Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
Wild week for most equity markets worldwide. Entering monday’s US opening foreign markets were lower, and then made a bigger drop when S&P downgraded US debt to negative watch. No comment. The US market gapped down at the opening to new pullback lows. By 11:00, however, the selling was over and the market rallied into the end of the week. For the week the SPX/DOW were +1.3%, and the NDX/NAZ were +2.3%. Asian markets gained 0.6%, European markets added 0.7%, the Commodity equity group rose 0.8%, and the DJ World index rallied 1.7%. Bonds were +0.1%, Crude gained 2.1%, Gold made new all time highs +1.2%, and the USD lost 1.1%.
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Friday, April 22, 2011
Fed QE Money Printing and the Stock Market SPX Index / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
In just a couple months, the US Federal Reserve’s second quantitative-easing campaign will wind down. This program has been highly controversial since its birth, so the Fed is under tremendous pressure not to launch a third round of QE. And if QE2 indeed ends on schedule this quarter, it has major implications for the US stock markets.
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Friday, April 22, 2011
Investor Opportunities and Peril in the Gold-Food-Oil-QE Connection / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
“Things are certainly speeding up, and it is my conclusion that we are not more than a year away from the next major financial and economic disruption…
In order for the financial system to operate, it needs continual debt expansion and servicing. Both are important. If either is missing, then catastrophe can strike at any time…
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Friday, April 22, 2011
Emerging Stock Markets Forecast, Which Ones to Hold, Buy or Sell / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
Martin Hutchinson writes: Late last year, as part of Money Morning's "Outlook 2011" economic-forecast series, I suggested investing in emerging markets that were relatively cheaply priced, and whose economies seem poised to do well in 2011.
My favorite recommendation, Chile, gave a mediocre performance, down 3.2% on the year.
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Friday, April 22, 2011
Will S&P500 Stocks Index, Silver, Gold, and Crude Oil Breakout Higher? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
The price action in the financial markets this week has added to the continued confusion about where equity prices are headed. Precious metals and oil prices have been working higher for quite some time, but equity prices have been rather range bound now for over a month. Currently, the SPX looks poised to test the recent highs after selling off harshly this past Monday.
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Friday, April 22, 2011
Stock Market Too Many Similarities to a Year Ago! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Exactly a year ago today the stock market was celebrating first-quarter earnings reports, reaching for new highs, after recovering from a stumble in February on concerns about situations outside the U.S., notably rising inflation in Asia and the debt crisis in Europe.
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Friday, April 22, 2011
Stock Market New High is Possible / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
As the stock market starts to buck, investors wonder what is going to happen next. My analysis suggests that there may be one more new high left before we see a bigger correction.
Tuesday evening we got the latest earnings numbers from Intel and IBM and they were well received. Now the question is. Will good earnings be enough to get prices moving back up?
Thursday, April 21, 2011
Gold and Stocks Rally, Overbought, Time For a Pullback / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
It has been a very interesting week thus far. Monday kick started traders with a heart pounding equities sell off which sent money into the US Dollar, precious metals and bonds as the safe havens of choice.
A lot has happened this week on a technical analysis basis which I can’t really show in a written report like this. But can do so in detail within my video newsletter. There are just to many charts required and layers of analysis to cover... But I can cover some of the points and my thoughts using the charts below:
Thursday, April 21, 2011
Beyond The Stock Market VIX Volatility Index / Stock-Markets / Volatility
I have traded options for a number of years and fully understand the "greeks" as should any active options trader. When you understand options you realize how valuable of a tool they are for investing, managing risk and understanding market sentiment. They are not as risky as many think. Before I share a rather important chart, I think it is important to go over a few option basics to fully appreciate what the data is telling you.
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Thursday, April 21, 2011
Intel Ignites Stock Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Going into the earnings reports last night the focus was clearly on International Business Machines Corp. (IBM), the beast of the big boys. This stock had been on fire and was rocking on all cylinders. No one thought the focus of the evening should be on perennial loser Intel. Always disappointing the street. Always saying things are alright but never wonderful. The stock couldn't get out of its own way lately. So we had a blasting IBM and a disappointing Intel. What happens? IBM is great, but not really great, which means it was time for a small breather in the stock price. On the other hand, Intel pulled some magic out of their hat with a powerful report that included increasing margins, and looked better for the future. The result? Intel exploded, and many of the technology stocks are on a rocket ride after hours. The market is once again doing something no one, including yours truly, would have expected as even remotely possible.
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