Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Friday, October 28, 2011
Why Stocks Rally Despite Crisis, Darwin’s Deceptive and Dangerous Devices / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Doug_Wakefield
“The film depicts a future in which reality as perceived by most humans is actually a simulated reality created by sentient machines to pacify and subdue the human population, while their bodies' heat and electrical activity are used as an energy source. Upon learning this, computer programmer ‘Neo’ is drawn into a rebellion against the machines, involving other people who have been freed from the ‘dream world’ and into reality.”
Friday, October 28, 2011
Stock Market Volatility Cycle Uncovered / Stock-Markets / Volatility
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
In the third quarter of 2011, it has become obvious that many investors, mutual fund and hedge fund managers have ignored the role volatility plays in evaluating market risk. It is possible that they view it, if at all, as a dispersion model, not a harbinger of market direction. That is because rising volatility accompanied rising markets during the entire decade of the 90s, with the exception of the two 4-year market lows in 1994 and 1998. Since then, the relationship between volatility and market direction has changed dramatically. A look at potential cycles in volatility may prove valuable.
Thursday, October 27, 2011
Stocks Stealth Bull Market Pounds the Crash is Coming Bears with Euro-zone Hammer / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The Dow rocketed higher today to close at 12,208, up more than 17% from its summer low of 10,404, and just 5% away from its bull market peak, the mainstream financial press jumped onto the E.U. bailout deal bandwagon as for the reason why stocks soared, despite the fact that the actual agreement is pretty weak i.e. the minimum that the markets were expecting which could just as easily have been used to explain away a sharp drop in the stock market.
Thursday, October 27, 2011
Hugh Hendry Interview at the LSE’s Alternative Investment Conference / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Aftab_Singh
Hugh Hendry spoke at the London School of Economic’s Alternative Investment Conference. This was a really fantastic interview and we highly recommend watching the following videos in full. See below for the videos.
Thursday, October 27, 2011
Today Europe Promised Stock Market Investors a Profitable Christmas / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: George_Maniere
On Wednesday night EST, Euro zone leaders struck a deal with private banks and insurers for them to accept a 50 percent loss on their Greek government bonds under a plan to lower Greece's debt burden and try to contain the two-year-old euro zone crisis.
The agreement was reached after more than eight hours of hard-nosed negotiations involving bankers, heads of state, central bankers and the International Monetary Fund and aims to draw a line under spiraling debt problems that have threatened to unravel the European single currency project.
Thursday, October 27, 2011
Do You Trust The Eurocrats To Deliver? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Bob_Kirtley
The financial markets are hanging by a thread as they await the outcome of the 22nd emergency summit of the European Union. A single positive statement by a lone Eurocrat can lift the DOW by 250 points, conversely a denial can send it tumbling down again. The suggestions to remedy the economic woes of the euro zone vary from modifications around the periphery to grandiose schemes borrowed from fairy land.
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Thursday, October 27, 2011
Stock Market Consolidating For Now Below 1260.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jack_Steiman
There's nothing wrong with consolidation after a nice run up off the lows. Markets often rest when they get close to massive long-term resistance. The key to it all is how they consolidate, or not. If they just plunge lower, it's not the best action. If they hang around within a few percent of that massive breakout level, while things cool off on the oscillators, that's very good action overall. It appears, although no guarantee, that this is what's starting to set up for this market. The wrong news can come out and kill things, and the entire pattern in a heartbeat, but you have to look at what's taking place in the moment. For now, it says the market is handling out after a long run up. The handle could last quite some time, so you don't want to get too aggressive in it. But if this continues for a while longer without a major plunge lower, the bulls should be very satisfied with that type of set-up.
Wednesday, October 26, 2011
Do Bullish Investors Have an Ace in the Hole? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Frank_Holmes
Right now, there are planes full of travelers heading to Vegas with dreams of striking it rich. These starry-eyed gamblers would greatly improve their odds by learning how to count cards. Yet, as we learned in the movie 21, where six MIT students team with Micky Rosa to become expert card counters and "bring down the house," this highly illegal technique carries dire consequences.
You may not be able to count cards at the blackjack table, but counting historical trends of the stock market and discovering inflection points are not only legal strategies, they are essential to successful investing.
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Tuesday, October 25, 2011
The Stock Market's Next 1,000-Point Move / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Money_Morning
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes:
Stuart Varney, host of the aptly named and very highly rated "Varney & Co." program on Fox Business, put the following question to me in his usual direct style: "Will we have an agreement on Wednesday out of Europe and what will that mean for the markets?"
Yes, I began, we probably will - but for all the wrong reasons, and it will never last.
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Tuesday, October 25, 2011
Stock Market Technical Tipping Point Near at Hand / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Joseph_Russo
In September, following five months of impulsive decline from its May high, the Dow has reversed abruptly, rallying incessantly after a fleeting 20% roller coaster drop from its secondary QE-2 bailout crest. The Dow is currently on path toward violently reclaiming more than 60% of these recent losses within the extremely short span of 14-sessions.
Tuesday, October 25, 2011
Stock Market Keeps Fooling The Masses.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jack_Steiman
And that's normal behavior. It rarely moves in the direction of the masses, especially for any extended time period. We have seen the masses get too bearish for quite some time now. It's approaching two months' worth of pessimism at extremes. The last five weeks have been off the charts. The market has exploded in those five weeks. Again, that's normal behavior.
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Tuesday, October 25, 2011
October has Killed Another Stocks Bear / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Clif_Droke
October has a tendency to be a "bear killer." That is, in years when the stock market has been in decline heading into October, the month of October more often than not reverses the decline, at least temporarily. In the years that I've been writing a financial newsletter this was true in the following Octobers: 1998, 1999, 2001, 2002 and 2005.
Tuesday, October 25, 2011
The E.U. is Over Banked, Chaos in the Land of Oz (Part 2) / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2011
By: PhilStockWorld
Elliott: In Part 1 of our interview, we agreed that by not allowing the too-big-to-fail (TBTF) banks to fail, the federal government is continuing its environment of corruption and moral hazard. Case in point - the scheme to force taxpayers to insure Bank of America’s worthless debt via the FDIC.
So, Russ, it will get worse, until TBTF banks get decapitalized?
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Monday, October 24, 2011
Stock Climb Wall of Worry. It is all about the Dollar Now / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Bob_Clark
The stock markets tend to make a seasonal low at this time, most years. Then rally into the New Year. The big question is, can we climb the wall of worry one more time. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 24, 2011
Financial Markets Extend Rally Despite Weekend Deadlock / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Regent_Markets
The big weekend European summit has passed largely without a major agreement on the two potential models to expand the financial firepower of the European Financial Stability Facility. Focus has now shifted to Wednesday's joint EU and Eurozone summit which is supposedly the deadline for tangible plans being produced. What price on this deadline slipping with more hazy plans put out in the interim?
Monday, October 24, 2011
The S&P Goes - So Goes SPXU and UPRO / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: George_Maniere
Above my desk I have a big sign that says “the market will always do what the market has always done, misdirect, confuse and confound.” The way the S&P has been behaving since August is proof perfect that this slogan is as true as ever.
For those of you not conversant with the Ultra Pro Shares ETFs Pro Shares Ultra Pro S&P 500 (UPRO) is a triple leveraged fund that seeks a 300% return on the performance of the S&P for a single day. Conversely, The Pro Shares Ultra Pro Short S&P 500 (SPXU) seeks a triple leverage or 300% return on the inverse performance of the S&P 500.
Monday, October 24, 2011
Stock Market Broadening Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
-- The VIX has signaled a potential change in the daily trend last week. Having made its Master Cycle low, it spent the week making a reversal pattern that implies an explosive rally is in the offing. A break in the upper trendline of the Broadening Bottom formation near 55.00 calls for an average gain of 25% above the trendline. A cross of intermediate-term Resistance at 35.87 gives us a buy signal in the VIX.
Monday, October 24, 2011
Stocks Bear Market Rally, Intermediate Trend Still Strong / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Andre_Gratian
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline (which appears to have already started) into 2014.
SPX: Intermediate trend - A very strong uptrend typical of bear market rallies has begun with no top in sight just yet.
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Monday, October 24, 2011
Stocks Bull and Bear Market Relationships / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Tim_Wood
Based on my long-term studies of both Dow theory and cycles, the evidence continues to suggest that the 2007 top marked the top of a 33 year secular bull market and that we have since been operating within the context of a secular bear market. The March 2009 low has been viewed by most as having marked the bear market bottom and the beginning of a new bull market. But, based on my long-term studies this is not the case. Rather, these longer-term studies suggest that the rally out of the March 2009 low has been a bear market rally. The decline into the August/October lows has certainly shaken the bulls and excited the bears. As an example, Investors Intelligence bearish sentiment readings have exceeded the levels seen during the correction into the June/July 2010 market low and are in fact now at 2008 levels. However, my work suggests that this is all part of a much larger trap that will impact both the bull and the bear.
Sunday, October 23, 2011
Savers Protect Your Deposits From Bankrupting Banks and Quantitative Inflation / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2011
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The Euro-zone continues to teeter over the edge of the financial abyss as bankrupting countries that cannot print Euro's threaten the collapse of its banking system that would would soon collapse the whole global banking system in a matter of hours as electronic bank runs sweep across the worlds financial system resulting in trillions of dollars worth of deposits being withdrawn in a matter of hours and thereby collapsing first the Euro-zone and then within 24 hours the UK, USA and Asia along with it. My recent article (Euro-Zone Prepares to Print Trillions in Advance of Greece Debt Default) covered the potential consequences for the world in the event of financial armageddon, this article continues on from the last article that covered the inflationary depression consequences of money printing that the likes of Britain and the United States are engaged in and that the Euro-zone WILL eventually replicate (Bank of England's Quantitative Inflation Bankster's Paradise Inflationary Depression Economy ).