Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Monday, January 09, 2012

World Stock Markets 2012 New Year Start Review / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: PhilStockWorld

Courtesy of Doug Short. Our eight benchmark world indexes got off to a mixed start for 2012, again on thin volume and variously abbreviated by a mix of market holidays. The DAXK and BSE SENSEX were the stellar performers, a full percent above the S&P 500, which also had strong opening week, as did the FTSE 100. The Shanghai finished last and is now a stunning 37.68% off its interim high. In fact, the adjacent chart shows that six of our eight indexes are more than 20% off their interim highs.

Monday, January 09, 2012

Could Crude Oil Prices Intensify a Pending S&P500 Selloff? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: J_W_Jones

Last week we received reports that the unemployment rate in the United States was improving markedly. In addition, sentiment numbers were released that confirmed my previous speculation that market participants were becoming more and more bullish as prices in the S&P 500 edged higher. The exact numbers that came in demonstrated that bullish sentiment had not reached current lofty levels since February 11, 2011. The table below illustrates the most recent sentiment survey:

Monday, January 09, 2012

Stock Market Another Pause? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into 2014.

SPX: Intermediate trend - Intermediate uptrend still intact, but short-term top likely soon.

Monday, January 09, 2012

Markets Vanish - "In a Flash" / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: Fred_Sheehan

What follows is the same warning broadcast in January 2011. In his January 6, 2012, Credit Bubble Bulletin, Doug Noland discussed the same topic: "The '08 crisis is considered a low-probability "tail event" - a so-called rare "black swan" or "hundred-year flood." Yet I would argue that such a financial crisis was in reality a high probability outcome. Bubbles burst - plain and simple. It is the act of predicting the timing of their demise that tends to be an exercise in low probability outcomes. This is especially the case when government policymaking is a major factor fueling Credit and asset Bubble excess...."

Sunday, January 08, 2012

U.S. Stock Market the New Safe Haven? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Tony_Caldaro

2012 starts off with one interesting day, then returns to the inflection point. Overall, US indices did well for the week with the SPX/DOW +1.40%, and the NDX/NAZ +3.05%. Global equity markets were less robust as Asian markets gained 0.9%, European markets lost -0.4%, and the DJ World index gained 0.8%. US economic reports for the week were quite impressive: nine positive versus two negative. On the uptick: ISM, construction spending, factory orders, the ADP, the Payrolls report, the M1-multiplier, plus both weekly jobless claims and the unemployment rate declined. On the downtick: the monetary base and the WLEI declined. Next week we have the FED’s beige book, retail sales and consumer sentiment.

Sunday, January 08, 2012

Financial Markets Dull Start To The New Year / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: WavePatternTraders

Another year passed, although the start to the New Year has so far has been anything but an explosive start, US markets are pretty stuck in a range and chopped traders to pieces, not exactly great conditions for making successful trades. Times like that I strongly suggest sitting it out and waiting for this market to makes its move.

Sunday, January 08, 2012

The Stock Market Dueling Forces of 2012 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Clif_Droke

The cyclical bull market recovery which began in March 2009 was powerful in its first year, moderately strong in 2010 and visibly weakened by the end of 2011. Thus we have the pattern of a recovery which is losing internal force with each passing year. The start of a New Year heralds some interesting possibilities for the coming 12 months, which we'll discuss in this commentary.

Sunday, January 08, 2012

Mega Trends 2012 and their Impacts / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: Colin_Twiggs

To arrive at an outlook for the year ahead we first need to analyze the big trends that endure for decades and in some cases even longer.

Population growth and food resources

The number one dynamic over the last century has been the exponential rise in global population. It took 123 years for the world population to grow from 1 to 2 billion (by 1927) and only 12 years to grow from 5 to 6 billion (by 1999). Growth, however, is now slowing and we are predicted to rise from the current 7 billion to a peak of 9 billion in the 2050s.

Sunday, January 08, 2012

Stock Market Push-Pull Continues... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Jack_Steiman

The story is definitely an old one. A boring one at that. Push and pull, and then some more push and pull with both sides seemingly exhausting, themselves. While they catch their breath, they realize that they've done nothing to get excited about. They bend down with their hands on their knees and say why bother.

Saturday, January 07, 2012

Emini S&P Stock Index Pattern Still Bullish / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Mike_Paulenoff

After two hours of trading, let's notice that although the e-mini S&P 500 declined 14 points off its reaction spike-high after the Jobs Report, the weakness did NOT violate last evening's pullback low at 1266.75, which preserves a constructive intraday pattern bias.

At this juncture, only a decline that breaks both 1268.25 and 1266.75 will disrupt the overall bullish pattern off of yesterday's low -- and should trigger a press to test more critical support at 1259.75.

Friday, January 06, 2012

Stock Market Rally Party May Be Over! / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Toby_Connor

About it every 35 to 40 days we get a major profit-taking event occur in the stock market. In bull markets that's all it is, a profit-taking event. In a bear market it is a resumption of the cyclical downtrend triggered by deteriorating fundamentals. It still remains to be seen whether or not stocks have rolled over into another cyclical bear market.

Friday, January 06, 2012

Stock Market Gains May Not last / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Chris_Ciovacco

Numerous markets and time frames still point to lower lows in stocks later in 2012. We believe the S&P 500 could push above 1,285 toward the 1,300 - 1,343 range. However, that move may be retraced fairly quickly, based on DeMark counts, increasing bullish sentiment, and still-elevated Italian bond yields. The negative implications of a 10-year Italian bond yielding 7% were outlined at the 00:29 and 13:00 marks of a December 18 video.

Friday, January 06, 2012

Why China's "Blindside" Could Be A Great Stock Market Buying Opportunity / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market

By: Money_Morning

Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: There's not a day goes by that I don't see some variation of the theme that China is going to crash, or that somehow that nation will blindside us, and that its markets may fall 60%.

This is like saying the U.S. markets were in for a hard landing in March of 2009 after they had fallen more than 50%. Folks who bit into this argument and bailed not only sold out at the worst possible moment, but then added agony to injury by sitting on the sidelines as the markets tore 95.68% higher over the next two years.

Friday, January 06, 2012

Stock Market Mixed, Narrow Close ... Well Off Lows! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices started out on a very negative note today, moving down sharply at the opening, the S&P 500 dropping from 1277 down to 1265, and the Nasdaq 100 dropped quickly, but it recovered quickly. The S&P 500 also recovered, but not as quickly. However, later when the NDX broke out the SPX started to thrust. We had a strong rally from early morning to just after lunch hour, taking the NDX from 2317 to 2352. The S&P 500 jumped from 1255 to 1283. At that point they were overbought, and we indicated that we thought the market would pull back, which it did, but in an orderly fashion, holding support, which caused a late snapback into the close. The indices ended up positive on the SPX and the NDX, but not quite on the Dow, although the Dow clawed its way back about 130 points.

Thursday, January 05, 2012

MF Global Sold Assets to Goldman While It Was Looting Customer Accounts / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Jesse

It turns out that MF Global sold hundred of millions in assets to Goldman in the last two business days before its bankruptcy. It is not clear that MF Global actually received the payment for the sale, or if the funds were held by their clearing agent and banker, JP Morgan, who knew that they were going to be bankrupt.

That revolving line of credit at JPM of $1.2 Billion is about the size of the missing customer funds.

Thursday, January 05, 2012

DOW hits historical Primary II B wave rally retracement range / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Tony_Caldaro

On October 22nd we posted this analysis of Major B waves, during Primary II, once the 61.8% retracement level was exceeded: http://caldaro.wordpress.com/2011/10/22/weekend-update-315/. It is at the beginning of the report.

Thursday, January 05, 2012

Stock Market Forecast 2012. Is The Fed Bailing Out Europe? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Chris_Ciovacco

With the S&P 500 heading toward the October lows on the Friday after Thanksgiving, the ever market manipulating central banks just had to do something. The decision was made on Monday, November 28 to provide a stealth bailout for European banks, and indirectly poorly managed sovereigns. Gerald Driscoll, the former Vice President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, penned an opinion piece which appeared in the Wall Street Journal on December 28. He stated in no uncertain terms:

Thursday, January 05, 2012

Silver Value Investing With A Financial System Off the Rails / Stock-Markets / Gold and Silver 2012

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

John Bogle is well known in the investment community.  At Vanguard, he completely changed the way investors think about Wall Street.  He has legions of fans, fans who label themselves as “Bogleheads,” reflecting their staunch acceptance of his main investment thesis: turnover kills.

Thursday, January 05, 2012

Stock Market Is Set Up.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Jack_Steiman

The market is set up to move higher. It doesn't mean it has to happen as planned, because, let's face it, folks, both the bulls and the bears have failed miserably in getting things done when they had their chances. There have been many chances for both sides, with the bears being the most recent group to mess up a good thing. They had the market buried with the move below 1225, but once that took place, it was churn time on diminishing volume, and that's all the bears could muster. The bears failed as the bulls took over, and have now worked the market back up to the breakout level, and beyond, for the moment, in a way that suggests somewhat higher prices ahead. Here's the set-up.

Wednesday, January 04, 2012

How Banks Are Using Your Money to Create the Next Financial Markets Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Money_Morning

Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: In 2008, reckless credit default swaps nearly obliterated the global economy. Now comes the next crisis - rehypothecated assets.

It's a complicated, fancy term in the global banking complex. Yet it's one you need to know.

And if you understand it, you will get the scope of the risks we currently face - and it's way bigger than just Greece.