Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, January 27, 2012
Better Than Brazil: How to Invest in a Colombian Safe Haven / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
Martin Hutchinson writes: What's an investor to do?...
The Eurozone is about to collapse. The United States is struggling out of the deepest recession since World War II. And the IMF forecasts global growth will drop from 5% in 2011 to 2.6% in 2012.
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Friday, January 27, 2012
Don’t Be A Wall Street Patsy, Understand How to Play the Game / Stock-Markets / Investing 2012
Shah Gilani writes: You want to know the truth? The truth is that Wall Street has stacked the deck against you.
That's why you need to understand how the game is played. Otherwise you'll end up a Wall Street patsy.
So, here's the truth along with some lessons that will help you play the game like a pro.
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Wednesday, January 25, 2012
Stock Market Bulls Gain Steam, but Euro-Zone Concerns Bear Close Watch / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Confusion is a word we have invented for an order which is not understood.” – Henry Miller
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) rose by almost a full percentage point on Friday, but like so many aspects of the current market, that number is somewhat misleading.
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Wednesday, January 25, 2012
Stock Market Bad News Just Around the Corner? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Is there bad news just around the corner ???
Technical analyst agree that a falling wedge pattern is a bullish pattern. As a pattern, its bullishness just stays dormant until the breakout occurs.
It is a great pattern for technicians because its failure rate is only 10% which means it has an accuracy level of 90%.
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Wednesday, January 25, 2012
Super Mario Draghi and the ECB Debt Crisis Impact on Gold and Stocks / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis
We are extremely comfortable that our prognosticating for 2012 may or may not work out. Which puts us in the same camp as most others. That said, a contrarian turn ahead of possible normalizing of the debt issues still with us that we suggested in December does seem to be gaining ground in the market. With that should come a greater focus on basic technical indicators like metal stockpile changes. We note small copper stocks on page 4, but will point out here these are focused by direction over weeks. Don’t get hung up on day to day changes. Both bull and bear issues in this market are really year to year, which means looking for value and for sustainability.
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Tuesday, January 24, 2012
Stock Market Topping Out or Just Pinning the Fed? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
The Dollar bounced off 79.75 this morning, nothing to crow about for Dollar bulls as the Euro remains just over the critical $1.30 mark and the Pound is solidly over $1.55 for the moment.
You could say it's a bearish sign that the Dow and the NYSE stopped dead at our breakout levels but that's to be expected on a first attempt at breaking out – even if they have already attempted the same move back in late October, when the Dow was 5% lower in it's test and the NYSE was testing the same line (7,866).
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Tuesday, January 24, 2012
Stock Market Glass Ceiling Bullish or Bearish? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
We have all heard of the proverbial “glass ceiling” in the business world where one attains a certain level of achievement and is unable to advance any further.
Well, the same thing happens to share values from time-to-time. They reach a certain price level, and no matter how hard they try, they are simply unable to shatter the glass ceiling overhead.
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Tuesday, January 24, 2012
Why You Should be Leery of Improving Stock Market Sentiment / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Michael Lombardi writes: The bear market is doing an excellent job with investors’ attitude towards the stock market. We can see it in the market’s performance…
So far this year, the S&P 500 has gained 4.6%—its best January start in 15 years! Market sentiment—how investors feel about the stock market—has shown a marked improvement.
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Tuesday, January 24, 2012
The Time is Right for Malaysia Investing / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
I have been bullish on Malaysia long before the Southeast Asian nation became a fashionable investment destination. MY recommendation to buy into the country’s market via iShares MSCI Malaysia Index Fund (NYSE:EWM) has generated a 36.5 percent return since I added the exchange-traded fund (ETF) to Global Investment Strategist’s Long-Term Holdings Portfolio at the end of 2009.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 23, 2012
Stock Market Rotation to Growth Begins / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
In early January, the bear market correction ended. In response, money began to flow out of defensive assets such as bonds and the US dollar and move back into growth (Chart 1). By mid-January, equities were now outperforming fixed income for a first time since July.
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Monday, January 23, 2012
Stock Market Reversal is Due / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into 2014.
SPX: Intermediate trend - Intermediate uptrend still intact, but short-term top... or more, is now very close.
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Monday, January 23, 2012
Stocks Bull Market Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
The US rally extends to three up weeks in a row. While volatility has virtually disappeared this new year the market continues to work its way higher. For the week the SPX/DOW were +2.20%, and the NDX/NAZ were +2.75%. Foreign markets also joined in, with Asia and Europe both +3.10%, as was the DJ World index. Economic reports for the week were biased to the upside: 8 to 5. On the downtick: the PPI, housing starts, building permits, the Philly FED and the M1-multiplier. On the uptick: the NY FED, industrial production, capacity utilization, existing homes sales, the NAHB, the monetary base, the WLEI and weekly jobless claims improved. Next week, the FED meets tuesday and wednesday, then Leading indicators and Q4 GDP. Best to your week!
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Monday, January 23, 2012
Stock Market Trend and Geomagnetism / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
A correlation between stock market performance and geomagnetism is captured in a paper here by Krivelyova and Robotti. That aside, it is a rarely used discipline in trading, and if you search Marketwatch, Bloomberg and CNBC for its reference, you will come away empty handed. My latest findings are about to demonstrate its importance.
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Saturday, January 21, 2012
Stocks Are Not Dead / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Proclamations like The Death of Equities usually arrive near the point of maximum pessimism, and when everyone is most bearish it is usually time to take a contrarian stance and buy. However, today - less than 4-years into a historic deleveraging phase* - calls that equities are dead are likely to prove premature. Equities are not dead in the sense that they are poised to rally strongly from a contrarian perspective. Rather, equities are simply dying
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Saturday, January 21, 2012
Stock Market Squeaks Into the Green / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Courtesy of Doug Short. The S&P 500 spent the day wallowing in shallow red ink, but a rally at the close nudged the index into the positive territory for a fractional gain of 0.07%. The week tells a better story, with a gain of 2.04%. Thus far, of the thirteen S&P 500 market days in 2012, eleven have been advances, athough three of them were in the 0.02% to 0.07% range. The index has a year-to-date gain of 4.59%. It is 3.54% below its interim high at the end of April 2011.
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Saturday, January 21, 2012
Stock Market Edging Higher...Resistance Right Here ...VIX Low / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
The market is losing its volatility as the VIX drops, and that's not a bad thing. Nice and smooth is how the market is now trading. No major swings. No intense whipsaw. That's a welcome reality for all traders. The worst of times come when the market just flip flops all over the place, haphazardly, without much rhyme or reason. When the VIX starts soaring, it's lights out for this market in terms of performance. It becomes almost impossible to play. Many hundreds of points up and down in a single day on the Dow. With the VIX near 20, we don't have to fear the market. We know things will be tight, and thus, trading becomes more enjoyable. A strong market helps bring the VIX down, and that's why it's so low, although the market has not made the big breakout to this point. It has moved up decently, but yet to make the big one a reality. More on that later.
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Saturday, January 21, 2012
Stock Market Coming Off A High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
“There were two conflicting cultures. One rewarded professionalism, honesty, and entrepreneurship. This culture recognized that without individual investors, the markets could not work. The other culture was driven by conflicts of interest, self-dealing, and hype. It put Wall Street’s short-term interest over investor interests. This culture, regrettably, often overshadowed the other.” Take on the Street: What Wall Street and Corporate America Don’t Want You to Know (2002) Former Chairman of the SEC, Arthur Levitt, pg 7
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Thursday, January 19, 2012
JP Morgan Chase Accused of 'Brazen Bankruptcy Fraud' / Stock-Markets / Scams
Maybe this was their warm up for the shenanigans in the MF Global bankruptcy case. Or their long term manipulation of the silver market.
If these allegations are true, why doesn't the California Attorney General or the Justice Department investigate this criminal conspiracy to abuse the legal system? (rhetorical question).
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Thursday, January 19, 2012
Why The Stock Market Hangs In There... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
The stock market has fooled many non-believers over the past year or so. Not that the market has done so well, because it hasn't. Dead flat on the S&P 500 last year as it opened and closed at 1257. Given the circumstances that surrounded the global markets in 2011, it is nothing short of a miracle that we ended up 100% flat for the year. I called it the year of the bull for obvious reasons. Let's be honest, if the market had been down 15-20% last year, would you have been shocked by it all? I doubt it. You may have said something like, thankfully, it wasn't worse than that. Many bears, hard and steady bears at that, just couldn't understand what it was that kept this market together. When looking back, and looking at the moment, the reasons aren't that difficult to understand. Most people are not satisfied with not making money during the course of a calendar year. They want to be mostly fully invested. They have to think about retirement, so it's hard not be in the game. Understanding that helps you grasp things a bit better.
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Wednesday, January 18, 2012
Will The U.S. Stock Market Decouple From Europe? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
The term decouple is often used on Wall Street to explain something that is difficult to wrap your arms around. In late 2007/early 2008 we were told the emerging markets would decouple from the mortgage mess based in the United States. In the video below, we explore:
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