Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, February 07, 2012
Stock Market Counter-Trend Moves Continue to Spark False Hopes / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The bearish Dow theory primary trend change that occurred in August remains intact. As price moved into that low, and the October low that followed, bearish sentiment was at levels not seen since 2008. However, I said then, in articles written here, that not all Dow theory trend changes were created equally. I explained that rather than a meltdown, my work was suggestive of a low and that higher prices would follow. This has all proven correct. I also said then that this was all part of a much larger trap for both the bull and bear alike. In light of the volatility seen following the August/October lows, this has been proven correct as well. But, I also continue to believe that there is still a trap being set on an even larger scale, which has yet to be proven correct. What I mean is, the higher the rally out of the August/October low has gone, the more comfortable the masses have become with the rally. We are now seeing a sense of optimism and people have by and large forgotten about the pain and fear they experienced into October. All the while, they do not realize that its all really part of a bigger setup.
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Tuesday, February 07, 2012
Stock Market Staying Overbought....Larger Pullback Coming Soon... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
But that doesn't mean we won't wiggle our way up a few more percent in this market before the bigger selling kicks in. It will kick in, folks. It's not if, but when. The selling will be extremely healthy, and it's very necessary, but since we're still in the buy-all-pullbacks phase of this rally, the market still works its way up higher in the days, and weeks, ahead before it gets a bit nasty to the downside. It's also important that the stocks go up some more, before the larger pullback kicks in, because the selling should be decent. The bulls want to be able to protect the breakout at 1320, or the long-term down trend line, they worked so hard to take out. If the market were to sell hard from here, it's quite likely we'd lose 1320.
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Monday, February 06, 2012
Wary Stock Market Investors Give U.S. Stocks Another Go / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Recently, the stock market has been roaring, with the S&P 500 up a stunning 22% from October 3, 2011, which was the low of last year. In fact, the first month of 2012 has been one of the best Januaries on record for US stocks. On top of that, last Friday's better-than-expected jobs report seems to provide further evidence that we're turning a corner.
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Monday, February 06, 2012
Did Friday's Gold Price Action Signal a Stock Market Top? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
“You can’t feel the heat until you hold your hand over the flame.
You have to cross the line just to remember where it lays.” ~ Rise Against. “Satellite” Lyrics ~
Friday morning traders and market participants awaited the key January employment report from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. The reaction to the supposedly wonderful report was a surge in the S&P 500 E-Mini futures contracts as well as several other key equity index futures.
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Monday, February 06, 2012
Monday Financial Markets Madness – What’s This Greece Thing? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
NOW Greece is going to matter?
Just when we were planning to get bullish, the Futures are off half a point as concerns about Greece, of all things, come back to the forefront as pretty much the entire country is poised to strike this evening on the expected news that even stricter austerity measures will be jammed down the throats of a Nation that is already suffering from 20% unemployment.
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Monday, February 06, 2012
Stock Market Investors Dangerous Times Ahead, Will Impact Gold / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
Friday's big rally on the better than expected employment report has now generated the kind of euphoria that often creates intermediate degree tops. This coming week will be the 18th week of the current intermediate cycle. As you can see in the chart below the intermediate cycle runs on average 18-25 weeks from trough to trough.
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Monday, February 06, 2012
Stock Market Next Short-term Top in Sight / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into 2014.
SPX: Intermediate trend - Intermediate uptrend still intact.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Sunday, February 05, 2012
Stock Market Weekend Update / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
The US market opened the week on a down note, dropping to SPX 1300, but ended at new uptrend highs, SPX 1345. For the week the SPX/DOW were +1.90%, and the NDX/NAZ were +2.95%. Asian market were mostly higher, gaining 0.6%. European markets were all higher, gaining 2.8%, and the DJ World index was up 2.4%. Positive economic reports for the week outpaced negative reports 11 to 6. On the downtick: personal spending, Case-Shiller, the Chicago PMI, consumer confidence, the ADP index and factory orders. On the uptick: auto sales, personal income, PCE prices, ISM manufacturing/services, construction spending, monthly payrolls, the WLEI, investor sentiment, plus both weekly jobless claims and the unemployment rate improved. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by consumer credit, the twin deficits and consumer sentiment. Best to your weekend/week!
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Saturday, February 04, 2012
Are US Treasury Bond Markets a Sell? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
Impressive gains on stocks, it seems nothing can derail this trend atm.
Finally however we meet some awaited targets, although I will be the 1st to admit I am really pushing the boat here and allowing for the bears to come up with some magic before I potentially revert and relinquish and ideas of seeing a reversal.
Sometimes you got to know when to fold, we are at that point where if the bears don't come up with something, then the likely hood is that the markets are in something special and a test of the Oct 2007 highs are most probable.
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Saturday, February 04, 2012
Is the U.S. 'Decoupling' From the European Debt Crisis? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
Selling pressure earlier in the week gave way to strong demand for equities as concerns over the European debt crisis have been moved to the backburner. Investors have instead been focusing on the improved U.S. economic and employment picture.
In an article by Reuters reporter Edward Krudy earlier this week there was a significant quote worth mentioning. The quote is from Ryan Larson, head of equity trading at RBC Global Asset Management. Larson said, "The U.S. appears to be slowly, slowly in the early stages of a decoupling from the euro zone."
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Saturday, February 04, 2012
The Fed's BFF / Stock-Markets / Central Banks
Cheap money was trending long before "the" Facebook lost its article and 845 million people lost the rights to their lives...
The U.S. FED'S status update last month about how it still loves cheap money always and forever was sure to work magic. Even if the pixie-dust did blow straight past output, incomes and capital formation.
Saturday, February 04, 2012
U.S. Non Farm Payrolls Interesting Market Divergences / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
NFP printed 243K, higher than forecast. As expected markets took out all resistance's and moved to the almighty important level of 1345/50.
Key highlights from NFP report
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Friday, February 03, 2012
Essential Investor Preparations for The Big Crisis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
“The U.S. economic and systemic-solvency crises of the last five years continue to deteriorate. Yet they remain just the precursors to the coming Great Collapse: a hyperinflationary great depression. The unfolding circumstance will encompass a complete loss in the purchasing power of the U.S. dollar; a collapse in the normal stream of U.S. commercial and economic activity; a collapse in the U.S. financial system, as we know it; and a likely realignment of the U.S. political environment. Outside timing on the hyperinflation remains 2014, but events of the last year have accelerated the movement towards this ultimate dollar catastrophe. Following Mr. Bernanke’s extraordinary efforts to debase the U.S. currency in late-2010, the dollar had lost its traditional safe-haven status by early-2011. Whatever global confidence had remained behind the U.S dollar was lost in July and August. That was in response to the lack of political will—shown by those who control the White House and Congress—to address the long-range insolvency of the U.S. government, and as a result of the later credit-rating downgrade to U.S. Treasury debt.
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Friday, February 03, 2012
Five Ways Investors Can Get Better Results 2012 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: I hear it everywhere I go. I'll start investing again...
...when the debt problem is fixed.
...when the markets pull back a little.
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Friday, February 03, 2012
Banking Crisis 2012 "Robo-Signing" of Foreclosure Affidavits Just Tip of Iceberg / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2012
Shah Gilani writes: What may be good news for delinquent credit card holders may also be really bad news for banks.
It turns out the "robo-signing" of foreclosure affidavits is just the tip of the iceberg.
In what one judge called "robo-testimony," falsely attested-to statements by bank document custodians have been submitted in courts around the country by banks trying to win judgments against delinquent credit card debtors.
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Friday, February 03, 2012
Stock and Financial Markets Crash is Coming, Key Signs of Reversal / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
2012 has begun with a bang for risk assets and there is no doubting the rally. Never trade your bias. You may want the markets to crash for the cause of the crisis that the world faces, but markets were never created to reflect the reality. It is a facade and there are rules of the game. If you obey the rules unwavering, you will make money. FNN24 in association with Deutsche Boerse provides real time news and FNN24 traders provide quant based trading analysis.
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Friday, February 03, 2012
Stock Market Waiting for U.S. Unemployment Report / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Courtesy of Doug Short.Before the market opened, the weekly unemployment claims came in a bit better than expectations, but the S&P 500 oscillated around the flatline and closed with a fractional gain of 0.11%. The general view is that investors are awaiting Friday’s monthly unemployment report for a directional catalyst. The index is up 5.40% year-to-date but 2.79% below its interim high at the end of April 2011.
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Thursday, February 02, 2012
Where to Invest 2012 and What to Avoid / Stock-Markets / Investing 2012
Bloomberg TV Exclusive: Fortress fund manager Michael Novogratz talked about his fund's investment strategy with Bloomberg TVs Erik Schatzker and Stephanie Ruhle.
Novogratz talked about improving investing conditions for 2012, and said that "I bet January returns were great for most hedge funds because we're seeing a breakdown of correlation."
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Thursday, February 02, 2012
Stock Market Bulls and Bears do Battle at S&P 1325 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
The bulls are trying, but so are the bears. The bulls are doing their very best to move the market through S&P 500 1325. The bears are drawing the line in the sand with one intense fight. They are telling the bulls that, although things are moving upward, getting through 1325 will require a lot of work. There have been two attempts now to get through 1325, but both times we've had churn, not a run through, and beyond. That's the bears doing everything humanly possible to hold things down.
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Wednesday, February 01, 2012
High-Frequency Trading Could Cause Another Flash Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
David Zeiler writes: The threat of another flash crash caused by high-frequency trading is as great as ever.
And the next flash crash could be much worse than the one that shocked investors in May 2010.
Although the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has taken some steps to prevent another flash crash caused by high-frequency trading (HFT), some experts question whether the additional disclosure and "circuit-breakers" designed to prevent big, sudden price moves will make a difference.
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