Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Monday, January 07, 2013

Stock Market Looks Set to Correct into February / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Andre_Gratian

SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over) there will be another steep and prolonged decline into late 2014. It is probable, however, that the severe correction of 2007-2009 will have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 120-yr cycle.

SPX: Intermediate trend - SPX made a top at 1474 and is engaged in an A-B-C intermediate correction. The structure has been altered by the fiscal cliff resolution rally.

Sunday, January 06, 2013

Stock Market Rally Peak Almost, But Not There Yet / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: WavePatternTraders

Following on from last week's report, we are within striking distance of the Sept 2012 highs on the SPX and ES.

There were many other markets that made impressive moves, the Russell 2000 making new all time highs as did the little followed value line index.

To bullish traders and Elliotticians it should have come as no surprise, if you studied price long enough and remain non-biased and accept what you see, then the upside move was virtually guaranteed, but the bears once again found out the hard way of fighting price and ignoring what price suggested.

Sunday, January 06, 2013

Stocks, Bonds, and Gold Inflection Point Market Trend Forecasts 2013 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: Darah_Bazargan

Most are sunk in contemplation, and hopelessly clinging on to the ever- changing era of big government spending.

Central bankers and big financial institutions are borrowing money from the FED at rates near zero, and then reinvest it into the ten year or thirty year notes, which are paying 2% to 4%. From the standpoint of any financial institution, it is logical and also more profitable than say, lending to a risky borrower.

Sunday, January 06, 2013

Stock Market Bearish Wedge Pattern is Now a Triple Zigzag / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

This week’s action has “busted” a couple of chart patterns, so the SPX needed a bit of cleaning up. The major one is that the Bearish Wedge pattern is now a triple zigzag Ending Diagonal tracing the boundaries of Primary Cycle Wave [C]. This suggests that Wave [C] may go higher on Monday. The minimum target appears to be 1475.00. Cycle Top resistance is at 1481.05 and that also corresponds with the upper trendline of the Orthodox Broadening Top shown in the chart.

Sunday, January 06, 2013

Markets Vanish - 'In a Flash' / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Fred_Sheehan

The same title cheered in the new years of 2011 and 2012 ("Markets Vanish - "In a Flash"," January 4, 2011 and January 8, 2012). These warnings described how quickly, and with no foresight by participants, markets evaporated in 1914. In 2013, markets have never been more susceptible to such a bolt of recognition. This is a consequence of such imperturbable faith in the prices set by besotted bureaucrats. What follows is a quick look at the nasty, brutish, and short results from government manipulations after such policy failures.

Saturday, January 05, 2013

Did the Fed Lie About QE 3 and 4? / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing

By: Graham_Summers

It’s common belief that Bernanke and the Fed are printing $85 billion per month ($40 billion to buy Mortgage Backed Securities and $45 billion to buy Treasuries). After all, these are the policies that the Fed announced in September and December 2012, respectively.

The only issue with this is that the Fed lied.

Saturday, January 05, 2013

Waiting for the Stock Market To Show its Hand on Next Trend Direction / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Tony_Pallotta

For the week ending January 4, 2013, the SPX was up 4.6%, the Russell small caps were up 5.6% and the COMP was up 4.9%.

The current equity price action is viewed as a normal retracement prior to resumption of the downtrend, a final battle for direction. Though we may see another slight push higher, probability favors a test of support which is roughly 1440 on SPX, 13250 on the Dow, 850 on the Russell and 3040 on COMP. If support holds, then a sustainable uptrend may be forming. If it cannot hold then resumption of the downtrend is most probable.

Saturday, January 05, 2013

Stock Market Overall Solid Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Jack_Steiman

A week of wild events led first and foremost by the fiscal-cliff drama that literally came down to the final moments. If no deal had been worked out on New Year's Day this market would have taken it on the chin very hard. The Republicans were adamant that they would not accept a deal that wasn't inclusive of major spending cuts. That's exactly what the Democrats didn't offer. Didn't look good, but at the last moment the Republicans gave in stating they were concerned about the state of the markets considering how on the edge our economy is right now. They gave in and the deal was signed into law by President Obama. The market celebrated in a very large way to the tune of 300+ points on the Dow and nearly one hundred points on the Nasdaq. It was quite the day, which also set things up more bullish on the daily charts, but more on that later on in this report.

Friday, January 04, 2013

Fiscal Y2Cliff Sham Held Investors Hostage 2012 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: InvestmentContrarian

John Paul Whitefoot writes: On January 1, 2000, the world breathed a collective sigh of relief that the over-hyped Y2K fiasco dissipated without even a whimper after years of ballyhoo.

Some things never change.

As expected, at the last moment, Democrats and Republicans came together in joyous union and resolved the so-called fiscal cliff. Nervous investors around the world joined together with rapturous optimism and jumped back into the markets.

Friday, January 04, 2013

How the Federal Reserve is Showing Financial Fear / Stock-Markets / Central Banks

By: EWI

Have you heard about the Fed's 180 degree turn?

Think about one of those movie scenes when the leading man does all he can to defeat the big, bad enemy -- punches, kicks, slams, stabs, shoots -- but the bad guy just won't go down. In fact he doesn't even look fazed.

That's when the protagonist really starts to worry.

Friday, January 04, 2013

S&P 1470-1474 Area Crucial for Stock Bulls / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: David_Banister

The SP 500 has been in a potential 5 wave rally going all the way back to October 2011 lows of 1074. This type of 5 wave rally is common in a Bull Market, but must be watched closely as it could also signal another large correction just around the corner from current 1464 levels on the SP 500 Index. Once you complete a 5 wave bullish pattern, there is commonly a 3 wave corrective decline, therefore determining where those key pivot points are is crucial for market watchers.

Friday, January 04, 2013

Federal Reserve Members Question QE Beyond 2013 / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing

By: Eric_McWhinnie

The Federal Reserve launched its highly anticipated fourth round of quantitative easing in December. The latest money-printing program came only three months after the central bank’s unlimited QE3 was announced. Now, recent Federal Open Market Committee minutes show that policymakers are dividend about expanding the Fed’s balance sheet to unprecedented levels.

According to the just released FOMC minutes, several members want to ease off the monetary easing gas pedal by the end of this year, sooner than expected.

Friday, January 04, 2013

Monetary Malpractice: Dysfunctional Financial Markets, Mis-pricing and Malinvestments / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: Gordon_T_Long

One of the first axioms of analysis is: "Garbage In, Garbage Out"! If your data is flawed, everything you do with it and the decisions stemming from it are flawed and dangerous to your financial health. Experienced analysts will often be found relentlessly checking, rechecking and validating their inputs and assumptions.

If only our economists and the sell side analyst community were this diligent. But then it isn't their money. Only a year-end bonus for the 'extras' in their life is at risk.

Friday, January 04, 2013

Stock Market VIX Compression Continues... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

VIX compression continues into its 17th hour of this declining fractal. Whether this compression is artificial or not, there is a natural limit to how long it may last. This may be it, since the pattern also appears complete. We know that the New York Fed is buying ES and SPY and selling VIX. However, as you will soon see, it may be running out of bullets and is making one last desparate stand against asset deflation.

Thursday, January 03, 2013

Stock Market Flash Crash Alert / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good morning!

I submit a potential flash crash fractal in the one minute SPX Chart.  If you are not short, you probably missed the opportunity already.

Thursday, January 03, 2013

Stock Market Indices Marching Towards New Bull Market Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: PhilStockWorld

Courtesy of Doug Short writes: Here is a update in response to a standing request from David England, a professor who has developed a popular college level stock market classes at John A. Logan College in Carterville, IL. In his presentations, he likes to disprove the standard message of Wall Street, “Don’t worry! The market will always come back.” I furnished David with some charts, and I now share them with regular visitors to my Advisor Perspectives pages.

Thursday, January 03, 2013

Fiscal Cliff - Republicans Cave....Bill Passed..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Jack_Steiman

The Republicans held a stance that if there are no substantial spending cuts in the plan regarding the fiscal cliff, they would not accept it. It sure looked as if that would hold true as once they received the format from the Democrats, they said there wouldn't be enough of them to vote in favor of it. It looked bad for the market and the bulls as the night drew on. Suddenly, and out of the blue, the Republicans had a change of heart and said that the back drop of the stock market was a main reason for their turn around. Isn't it always! We talk about this all the time. Fed Bernanke always letting our leaders know what's at stake. Enough Republicans suddenly would vote for the passage of the bill as is.

Wednesday, January 02, 2013

Most Popular Financial Markets Analysis of 2012, Exponential Inflation Mega-trend Continues into 2013 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Whilst 2012 closed with a whimper, 2013 starts with a BANG! as the fiscal cliff collapse crash mantra goes the same way as the Mayan doom prophecies barely of a fortnight earlier. Though don't worry there will be plenty more cliff-hangers for the always imminent crash merchants to hang onto during 2013 that I will seek to debunk during 2013, unless that is the actual probability of such events is high.

But before looking ahead towards the prospects for the likes of the stocks stealth bull market for 2013 and other markets such as housing and commodities, this is a look back at a selection of the 10 most popular articles of 2012.

Wednesday, January 02, 2013

Stock Market Fiscal Pop-N-Drop Warning / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Today’s gap higher in stocks has many investors feeling really good about but will this rally last?

My to the point answer is “Yes” but there will be some bumps and navigating positions along the way.

Looking at the charts below you will notice how stocks are trading up over 4% in two trading sessions and several indicators and technical resistance levels are now being tested. Naturally when several resistance levels across multiple time frames, cycles and indicators we must be open to the idea that stocks could pause or pullback for a few days before continuing higher.

Wednesday, January 02, 2013

Don't fall for the Stock Market Rally, New Crash Formation is Made / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Insanity has reached new heights.  SPX has risen this morning to challenge its massive Rising Wedge formation at its very apex.  At the same time, it has formed a new Orthodox Broadening Top nested within the original formation.  There is no doubt in my mind that the markets are headed for disaster.