Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Tuesday, December 18, 2012

Stock Market Santa Rally at Last? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: PhilStockWorld

Courtesy of Doug Short. The markets got off to a great start from the opening bell, despite a surprisingly poor number in the pre-market Empire State Manufacturing Survey. By the mid-afternoon, however, the S&P 500 looked like it was following the familiar pattern of setting a mid-day high and retreating in the afternoon. But slowly the index gathered some steam, and the buying accelerated in the final 30 minutes of trading. The index closed the day with a gain of 1.19%, the best performance in sixteen sessions.

Tuesday, December 18, 2012

Stock Market Fiscal Cliff Happy Ending???....... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Jack_Steiman

That's what Wall Street is hoping for today or sometime very soon. A happy ending to what we all don't want to see happen regarding the fiscal cliff as the ramifications will be far reaching. Unemployment will increase as will outsourcing along with higher taxes. Fewer and fewer will feel any job security, thus, putting the economy into recession. If there's no resolution to the fiscal cliff, it's basically etched in stone we'll see at least a few quarters of recession, if not longer, potentially much longer. Washington knows what's at stake here. They may be incredibly stubborn, but they're not stupid, at least I don't think they are. We'll find out if they are as playing chicken as it won't be a very wise action on either sides part.

Monday, December 17, 2012

67 Trillion Reasons to be Cheerful, the Shadow Banking System / Stock-Markets / Global Financial System

By: Submissions

David Rose writes: The much-maligned ‘shadow banking’ sector has so far been accused of causing the global financial crisis, restricting access to capital and, probably, global warming too.  But maybe the time has come to bring ‘shadow banking’ out of the shadows and into the light, so that the discussion can become a little more constructive. 

Monday, December 17, 2012

Stock Market Santa Claus Rally In China This Year / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: PhilStockWorld

Courtesy of Chris Kimble. Is Santa Claus bringing good cheer to the Emerging markets complex this year?

The chart below reflects that BRIC ETF’s/Emerging markets are reflecting relative strength compared to the S&P 500 over the past 60 days.

Monday, December 17, 2012

Stock Market C Wave Decline Probably Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Andre_Gratian

Current position of the market

SPX: Very Long-term trend – The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over) there will be another steep and prolonged decline into late 2014.  It is probable, however, that the steep correction of 2007-2009 will have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 120-yr cycle.

SPX: Intermediate trend –  SPX has made a top at 1474.  A mid-correction rally is underway in the form of A-B-C.  It is likely that wave B completed at 1439. 

Monday, December 17, 2012

Stock Market Inflection Point Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Tony_Caldaro

After the FED increased QE 3 from $40 bln/month to $85 bln/month on wednesday the SPX made a new uptrend high at 1439. After that the market pulled back for the rest of the week. For the week the SPX/DOW were -0.25%, and the NDX/NAZ were -0.35%. Foreign markets performed better, with Asian markets gaining 1.8%, European markets gaining 1.1%, and the DJ World index rising 0.6%. Economic reports for the week again displayed positive reports outpacing negative reports. On the uptick: business/wholesale inventories, retail sales, industrial production, capacity utilization, the monetary base, the WLEI, and weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: the budget/trade deficits worsened, export/import prices declined, and the CPI/PPI declined as well. Next week we get reports on Housing, PCE prices, and Q3 GDP, all during Options expiration week. Best to your holidays!

Sunday, December 16, 2012

Bernanke's Great Strategy, Need More Money? Print it! / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing

By: InvestmentContrarian

George Leong writes: Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke has spoken, and to no one’s surprise, the printing of money in America will continue and intensify under the soon-to-be newly launched “Quantitative 4” program, or “QE4.” So now we have had several Federal Reserve programs to keep the flow of money going, and now it looks like there will be more money printing.

Sunday, December 16, 2012

What Federal Reserve Monetary Policy Plan Means for Your Investments 2013 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: InvestmentContrarian

Sasha Cekerevac writes: The Federal Reserve concluded its latest meeting on Wednesday by enacting additional monetary policy measures and a historic change in the way the central bank communicates its intentions.

With “Operation Twist” ending this December, the Federal Reserve decided to continue its monetary policy program of purchasing $45.0 billion of long-term treasuries each month. This is in addition to the ongoing monetary policy program of purchasing $40.0 billion of mortgage-backed bonds per month. (Source: Press release, Federal Reserve web site, last accessed December 12, 2012.)

Saturday, December 15, 2012

The Unlimited Debt Solution, Central Banker Santa Claus / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: Doug_Wakefield

“Yes Virginia, there is a Central Banker Santa Claus”

Draghi Gets ECB Backing For Unlimited Bond Buying, Reuters, Sept 6, 2012

Fed Announces Unlimited QE3: The Central Bank Could Pump Money Into the Economy Until the Job Market Improves, US News & World Report, Sept 13 ‘12

Japanese Election: The Promise of ‘Unlimited Easing’, Sparks More Yen Weakness, Money Morning, Nov 21, 2012

Saturday, December 15, 2012

Stock Market Waiting....... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Jack_Steiman

Aren't we all! It's so disappointing to look at the market and wonder who will say what in order to move the market one way or the other. We all find it hard enough playing the market when things are normal. We don't need to be victims of news based on one specific topic, the fiscal cliff. One word positive or negative causes huge moves, and with no way to know who will say what and when. Anything you do carries a ridiculous amount of risk. One minute they say they're going to talk, the next minute they say they've made no progress. Up and down, down and up. Makes you sick. No way to get aggressive either way. Short too much and you get smoked. Go long too much and you get smoked.

Saturday, December 15, 2012

Understanding Fractal Waves and Time Warp, MAP Analysis Part 6 / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis

By: Marc_Horn

The use of pitchforks as cycle, or wave forks, predicatively on a small scale was proving difficult.

Having watched wave development now for a couple of years it appeared that depending on where a wave fell on the next bigger scale it behaved differently and so I wanted to filter out the noise and went back to the biggest scale in the hope of finding better fork combinations and better understanding wave characteristics.

Friday, December 14, 2012

This is Not a Picture of a Stocks Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: EWI

What a comeback for the Dow Industrials!

From a March 9, 2009, close of 6,547, the senior index climbed to 13,610 on Oct. 5, 2012.

Moreover, the Dow achieved this feat in the face of a weak-kneed economy, and it has grinded forward now for three and a half years.

Friday, December 14, 2012

Stock Market Over the Cliff / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!
(ZeroHedge) If yesterday's better than expected initial claims numbers were bad for the market (as they implied the approach of the Fed's QEnd), today's CPI should dissolve some fears of an imminent, and very unrealistic, end to easing. Because as the Fed explained, employment is only one component of the QEnd calculus, inflation is another. And with November CPI dropping 0.3% sequentially (up 1.8% Y/Y), on expectations of a -0.2% M/M, and +1.9 Y/Y, also the biggest sequential decline since 2008, there is not much to worry about on the inflation front... as long as one doesn't count other inflation "expressions" such as modern art, insurance costs, student tuition, or even the S&P and other credit funded items into account. Core CPI also missed the expected rise of 0.2%, growing at 0.1%.

Friday, December 14, 2012

Fiscal Follies – Stock Markets Live and Die by the Rumor / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: PhilStockWorld

What craziness!

As you can see from Dave Fry's intra-day SPY chart, it takes only minutes to reverse half a day's drop on just the word that Boehner is heading to the White House to meet with Obama – as if that's likely to accomplish anything…

Friday, December 14, 2012

Stock Market First a Stair-step, Next a Stumble? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The SPX is stair-stepping through its trendline support and closed at its 50-day support. The bounce fell short of a 38.2% retracement and appears to be over. In fact, the after-hours futures continued to fall beneath the 50-day moving average. There is a high risk of an overnight fall beneath the remaining supports to the Cycle Bottom at 1383.39 and 200-day moving average at 1387.00. Should that event take place, we could wake up Monday to a waterfall decline.

Thursday, December 13, 2012

Important Factor In Determining Stock Trends and Election Outcomes / Stock-Markets / Trader Psychology

By: EWI

In the wake of the Presidential election, the Social Science Research Network (SSRN) reports that the study, "Social Mood, Market Performance and U.S. Presidential Elections" has earned the #3 spot among the most-downloaded papers in the past 12 months.

Thursday, December 13, 2012

Stock Market SPX, U.S. Dollar, Natural Trading Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Yesterday’s price action was very bearish yet again and we are patiently waiting for a counter trend pullback to happen. While three are some good looking plays out there I really do not want to get long until the market clears the air with a bout or three of strong selling. Remember 3:4 stocks follow the market and the odds of picking a commodity or ETF that bucks the trend is unlikely. If you are interested in powerful stocks & ETFs the buck the trend check out my FREE Trading Ideas live Go Here: https://stockcharts.com/public/1992897

Thursday, December 13, 2012

Stock Market Santa Tries to “Sleigh” the Fiscal Cliff / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: PhilStockWorld

Courtesy of Sabrient Systems and Gradient Analytics writes: Santa Claus is trying his hardest to keep spirits bright among stock investors. But the President and the House are not playing nice and just might find a lump of coal in their stockings. Neither appears willing to give an inch, so some observers predict that we will indeed go over the fiscal cliff, at least until mid-January. Then, with across-the-board tax increases and spending cuts in place, the politicians can be seen as having restored tax cuts for most of us rather than seen as making the marginal rates on some of us go up.

Thursday, December 13, 2012

Sell Short, Stock Market Breaking Down! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The SPX is breaking down,, to the point of violating its month-old bullish trendline.  This is the spot where we should be 100% short.  Tomorrow may not provide an entry, so take care to have at least a partial short position here.

Wednesday, December 12, 2012

US Fiscal Cliff Talks Going Nowhere to be Followed by Market Collapse / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: Graham_Summers

Ever since the EU Crisis began in earnest in January 2010, EU leaders have maintained the following strategy:

1)   Engage in endless meetings/ discussions, none of which resolve anything.

2)   Announce that the situation is resolved.

3)   Wait for the world to realize nothing has been fixed.

4)   Repeat.