Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, January 22, 2013
Stock Markets Continue to Defy Gravity / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over) there will be another steep and prolonged decline into late 2014. It is probable, however, that the severe correction of 2007-2009 will have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 120-yr cycle.
SPX. The structure has been altered by the fiscal cliff resolution rally.
Intermediate trend: - SPX made a top at 1474 and is engaged in an A-B-C intermediate correction.
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Monday, January 21, 2013
The Most Important Investment Report You'll Read This Year / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
By: EWI
Dear investor,
Consider yourself warned.
The global market outlook is far less rosy than the emperors-minus-their-clothes would have you believe.
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Sunday, January 20, 2013
Time to Put on the Stock Market Bear Suits? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: WavePatternTraders
In previous reports I have spoke at length about expectations for the US markets to push higher above their respective September 2012 highs.I have been looking for the DOW and SPX to push higher as we had seen many other European and US markets take out those September 2012 highs, so I felt it was only a matter of time before we saw others play catch up.
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Saturday, January 19, 2013
Stock Market Making A Run For The Trend Line..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Jack_Steiman
The market made the move over 1470 on the S&P 500 this week and now it appears it will use that level as support on any back test to unwind overbought conditions. It tried quite a few times over a two-week handling period to get through, but finally made it yesterday. Actually, it was a shorter amount of time than usual in a handle. We saw the market work off overbought conditions on the short-term sixty-minute charts today early on, but as the day moved along, once things cooled off a bit, the buyers came in again. It was a decent day even when you had stocks like Intel Corporation (INTC) and Capital One Financial Corp. (COF) warn on their earnings reports. There's just not much out there to hurt the markets right now other than unwinding phases from overbought.
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Saturday, January 19, 2013
Waiting for the Stock Market to Show its Hand / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Tony_Pallotta
For the week ending January 18, 2013, the SPX was up 0.9%, the Russell small caps were up 1.4% and the COMP was up 0.3%.
Tech is starting to underperform large caps. There were also a few instances during the week where small caps also underperformed large caps though on the week RUT did outperform.
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Friday, January 18, 2013
Don't Make the Investing Mistake of Lifetime / Stock-Markets / Investing 2013
By: Money_Morning
Shah Gilani writes: I wrote an article for Money Morning on Tuesday entitled: "The Great Rotation Makes Stocks a Generational Buy."
The story drew several comments from readers - some in agreement, others... not so much.
For instance, reader Mike W. wrote in quoting the article:
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Friday, January 18, 2013
Stock Market Forecast for 2013, The January Effect / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Investment_U
Matthew Carr writes: Can we know where the market is headed before the year even gets underway?
That’s always the question, isn’t it?
At the start of the year, there’re all kinds of predictions about where the market is going to head. All the big, bold predictions come out. And we’ll see articles that discuss indicators like “Where January goes, the market follows…”
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Thursday, January 17, 2013
The Real Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: EWI
It seems pertinent that only the indexes that one can leverage in quantity with futures - the S&P and Nasdaq - have risen over the past half year. Maybe this selectivity is for technical reasons, but there might be another explanation. Institutions, not the public, have driven the rally, and they can borrow billions of dollars from banks to leverage their bets.
Thursday, January 17, 2013
Stock Market Possible And Probable Outcomes / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Robert_M_Williams
Socialism is a philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance, and the gospel of envy; its inherent virtue is the equal sharing of misery…– Winston Churchill
Today I want to focus a bit on the not so subtle changes we’re seeing in the United States. Almost forty-seven million Americans are now on food stamps and it’s a common site to see people using them to pay for groceries in supermarkets. As a teenager growing up in the US it was something that you just didn’t see, ever. Now students, senior citizens and the underemployed use them as if it were just part of the every day struggle. Recently I read that for every American that holds a job there are 1.1 persons receiving some sort of government aid. It doesn’t take a genius to figure out that the math just doesn’t add up.
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Thursday, January 17, 2013
Stock Market New Interim High – Signs of Exhaustion? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short. Like yesterday, the S&P 500 fell at the open and hit its intraday low, off 0.32%, in the first 15 minutes of trading. The index zigzagged to a modest mid-afternoon intraday high, up 0.11%, before falling back into the red. The final hour of trading was a game of tag with the opening price. The index closed essentially flat, but in fact it set a new interim high, 0.02% above the previous interim high set yesterday.
Thursday, January 17, 2013
Stock Market S&P 1470...1470....1470.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Jack_Steiman
A number drilled in to our skulls, which gets tested every day, it seems, but never breaks through strongly. That's not bad, however. Think about the headaches facing the market this morning. The World Bank saying growth will slow globally in 2013. Exactly what a market normally doesn't need, if it intends to break out over key resistance. That news along with a few other smaller items hit the futures to the tune of 7 on the S&P 500. We did open lower, but, once again, the bulls came in and wouldn't allow for the S&P 500 to fall too far away from the magical level of 1470. We seem to get above it by a point or two but have yet to forcefully burst out.
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Thursday, January 17, 2013
Stock Market Cyclical Trend Forecast 2013 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Jim_Curry
As we forge ahead into the year 2013, I wanted to post an article going over the complete yearly forecast path, as suggested by the various time cycles that I track - and also with other indicators such as seasonal patterns, the Bradley indicator, and also the post-election 'presidential cycle' pattern in stocks.
With the above said and noted, the projected path for 2013 looks somewhat similar to that seen in 2012, though with a larger percentage correction being expected in the second-half of the year - primarily due to the position of the larger 180-day, 360-day (18-month) and four-year cycles. In- between, there should the normal up-and-down gyrations along the way, ideally with a peak in here in January ideally giving way to a low in February, prior to returning to strength again into late-Spring or early-Summer, setting up for that important top with the 360-day wave.
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Thursday, January 17, 2013
What Investor Confidence Is Telling Us About the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: InvestmentContrarian
Sasha Cekerevac writes: There are various measures to determine investor sentiment regarding the general market. The most obvious is to take a look at a broad index, such as the S&P 500, and see where it’s currently trading. Because price is truth, the market does not lie. If people are bullish or bearish, their actions in buying and selling shares within the S&P 500 will be translated into corresponding price moves.
However, it is interesting to look at corollary indications to determine how strong the underlying trend really is. Investor sentiment is extremely difficult to predict, as is anything in life. While the future is unknown, by understanding the strength of current investor sentiment, we can help form a picture about what the future holds for the S&P 500.
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Tuesday, January 15, 2013
The Great Rotation Makes Stocks a Generational Buy / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Money_Morning
Shah Gilani writes: The greatest investing mistake you'll ever make is the one you may be about to make.
If you're not gearing up to get fully invested in 2013 and reap what will be generational rewards, you have no one to blame but yourself.
This is what you've been waiting for. This is your time. Here's how to do it and why.
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Tuesday, January 15, 2013
Technical Traders Charts for Dollar, Stocks, Gold, Oil and Bonds / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Yesterday’s trading session played out exactly as posted in the morning chart update. Today will be a different story from the looks of it as the dollar index looks to be putting in a bottom and that has the SP500 down 0.40% this morning. It may trigger our first entry point to let long stocks today.
Tuesday, January 15, 2013
The State of the Global Financial and Commodity Markets 2013 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
By: EWI
Dear investor,
Consider yourself warned.
The global market outlook is far less rosy than the emperors-minus-their-clothes would have you believe.
- Global stocks are near multi-decade, technical price junctures.
- Regional economies recently said to be "recovering" are now slipping back into recession.
- Despite a multi-year rally in stocks, the AP reported on Dec. 27 that mainstream investors are selling shares at breakneck pace. "It's the first time ordinary folks have sold during a sustained bull market since relevant records were first kept during World War II."
Tuesday, January 15, 2013
We Created The Conditions For Catastrophic Failure, The Big Collapse is Still Ahead! / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis 2013
By: GoldSilverWorlds
In a recent interview with Gold Silver Worlds, John Rubino (co-author of “The Collapse of the dollar” and owner of DollarCollapse.com) explained how bad the economic fundamentals really are. The economic situation looks under control currently, but John Rubino is convinced we are now in the eye of the storm. He concludes that the longer this unbalanced situation goes on the faster the eventual collapse will play out.
John Rubino published his book in 2004 together with James Turk from GoldMoney. The main theme of the book was that governments in the US lost control over their spending and borrowing, which would ultimately result in some sort of catastrophic crisis. Debt accumulation would continue until some kind of crisis, internally or globally, would force to stop this trend. Most of the predictions have come true, but John Rubino stresses that the 2008 crisis was not the final collapse.He is convinced that the big collapse is still ahead of us.
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Monday, January 14, 2013
Rebuild Me a Financial Crisis, One Dollar at a Time / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
By: Brady_Willett
For the first time since 2007 the book value of the largest U.S. home builders is set to post an annual increase. This suggests that after a lost decade*, the worst is finally over.
Monday, January 14, 2013
Two of the Biggest Problems In the Financial System Will Hit in 2013 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
By: Graham_Summers
This week is options expiration week: the week in which various call and put positions will expire. Wall Street is notorious for using these weeks to gun the markets this way and that in order to insure that the greatest number of puts and calls expire worthless. So expect the market to be even more volatile than usual this week.
Outside of this, the investment world is slowly emerging from its Central Bank policy induced stupor to realize two of our long-standing themes:
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Monday, January 14, 2013
Gold, Stocks, Oil and Gas Trend Analysis and Trading Signals / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Gold and gold miner stocks have underperformed in 2012 disappointing most traders. That being said it has traded in a large sideways range since September 2011 and remains stuck in this range as of this week. Investments trading sideways are not my preferred investment of choice because some commodities and stocks for that matter can trade sideways for years before making another bull market rally.
That being said in the last six months gold has started to show life that a new bull market may be starting. 2013 is starting to look as though gold, silver and precious metals miners could lead the market higher if they can break out of their basing patterns. Until we get more bullish price action I am not planning to get long.
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