Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, April 08, 2013
Stock Market Top Formation in Place / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the severe correction of 2007-2009 may have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - The uptrend from 1343 appears to have topped
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, April 07, 2013
Stock Market S&P Bear Calls Have ALL Missed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Salivating Bears have been calling for a market top for over 4 years, now, and none have been right. The sentiment is understood but misplaced. This goes to show how markets are not predictable, but people are. So many want to exercise the FILO inventory premise: First In Last Out. It is so difficult to check egos at the door for there is a huge difference in being right and being profitable.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, April 07, 2013
Sign That a Stock Market Boom Is Headed Our Way / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Dr. David Eifrig writes: Last week, I showed you a handful of charts that dispel a common misconception... one that is keeping thousands of retirees up at night.
I dispelled the idea that the U.S. economy is running off the rails... that we are in a recession, or worse, a depression.
Sunday, April 07, 2013
These Insiders Are Fleeing the Stock Market… Should You Too? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Alexander Green writes: The financial media is full of scary new reports indicating investors should cut back on stocks or flee the market altogether. The reason? SEC data show a high ratio of insider selling.
I’ve been following insider activity in the stock market for decades, and while officers and directors are the epitome of “smart money,” the mainstream media – as usual – is painting an incomplete picture.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, April 06, 2013
Stock Market Downtrend Likely Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
An interesting week to say the least. Despite making new uptrend highs at SPX 1574 on Tuesday, then plunging to 1540 by Friday, many pundits are still guessing the direction of this market medium term. For the week the SPX/DOW were -0.55%, and the NDX/NAZ were -1.50%. Asian markets lost 1.1%, European markets lost 2.1%, and the DJ World index lost 1.3%. On the economic front, despite the disappointing Jobs report, the week ended with positive reports slightly ahead. On the uptick: construction spending, factory orders, auto sales, consumer credit, the monetary base, and both the unemployment rate and trade deficit improved. On the downtick: ISM manufacturing/services, the ADP index, monthly payrolls, the WLEI and weekly jobless claims rose. Next week we get to read the FOMC minutes, and receive reports on retail sales and consumer sentiment.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, April 06, 2013
Stock Market Big Gap Down But NO Follow Through....Hollows Abound..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
The bears finally got the news they so sorely needed. The market wasn't ready for another disappointment regarding economic slowing, but the number on the Jobs Report was quite poor. 88,000 jobs created instead of the 200,000 that was expected. The futures weren't very happy in front of the report and certainly wasn't happy after it. The futures fell hard allowing for a large gap down open. The real question once the large gap down occurred was whether the market would have a day that saw the gap and run lower, or would it be gap and reverse some, allowing for hollow red candles.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, April 06, 2013
Riding the Big Profits Kahuna for How Much Longer? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
Indeed, the Equities and Bond Markets have been riding The Big Kahuna of Fed, ECB, Bank of England (and now the Bank of Japan’s) Q.E. et al. for several Years Now.
But for how much longer can Investors expect to ride these Market Boosting Central Bank Injections and other Interventions before Disaster strikes and the use of QE reveals itself to be clearly Counter Productive.
Saturday, April 06, 2013
The Time is Now for Your Income Plan / Stock-Markets / Investing 2013
I have a friend who says, “Why make a decision today if it can be put off until tomorrow?”
While that might sound cute, waiting until the transmission on your car is totally broken and having the vehicle towed to a dealer for a trade-in certainly isn’t the optimal way to negotiate the price of a new vehicle. You can’t drive around and shop at other dealers to get a decent price.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, April 06, 2013
The Real Stock Market SPX Record Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
The US stock markets enjoyed an incredible first quarter, with the flagship S&P 500 stock index (SPX) surging 10.0%. New cyclical-bull highs were achieved on an amazing 3/7ths of all Q1’s trading days! But the most interesting one was certainly the last. On Q1’s final trading day, the SPX edged up to a new all-time record high. Though celebrated with great fanfare, adjusted for inflation it was far from a record.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, April 05, 2013
Savings at Risk in the New Age / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2013
The illusion of deposit safety continues to prevail among the population living in the United States, but does the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation or FDIC offer a true guarantee for bank deposits?
The FDIC is a U.S. government corporation that operates as an independent agency, and banks pay premiums to the FDIC to insure the deposits they accept from the public. The FDIC’s reserves are actually quite small compared to the amount of deposits it insures, with mandated coverage of only 1.35 percent required in its Deposit Insurance Fund or DIF.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, April 05, 2013
Greece vs Iceland Unemployment - The Specter of Things to Come / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
The road to ruin is on plain display and the playbook is easily seen at this juncture. Let's take a look at how that playbook will unfold. Contrary to popular outrage of the SOLUTION being IMPOSED it is the correct one once the insured depositors where PROTECTED. In this edition the elites suffered FIRST followed by the private sector depositors who foolishly believed false BALANCE sheets which were POLITICALLY CORRECT but PRACTICALLY incorrect fictions approved by fiduciarily (regulations and regulators allowed ONGOING insolvent operations rather than protect the public by ending and prohibiting them) challenged governments (work for the banks and crony capitalists not for the public at large).
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 04, 2013
April 2013 A Tipping Point In The Financial System / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2013
March and April 2013 may go down in history as the tipping point for the western financial system.
We have already seen:
- Lehman Brothers and many other financial firms collapse.
- $700 Billion in TARP funds arranged by banking insiders for banking insiders at the expense of US taxpayers.
- Over $16 Trillion in bailouts, guarantees, swaps, and loans created by the Fed and given to various banks, nations, and other insiders.
- MFGlobal took “segregated” customer funds, the exchange provided no compensation to customers, and yet no criminal indictments have been issued.
- Global derivatives total $700 Trillion to well over $1,000 Trillion, depending on who is counting. Some are “toxic waste.”
- Many European bailouts and “fixes.”
- Spain, Italy, Slovenia, and perhaps France in trouble.
- US official debt approaching $17 Trillion with unfunded liabilities many times larger.
- The Federal Reserve creating $85 Billion per month (over $115,000,000 per hour) to support banks and the US government.
Thursday, April 04, 2013
What Does the Future Hold for the Average Investor? / Stock-Markets / Investing 2013
Four investors investing for retirement
Four investors with jobs outside the investment field are looking at what they should invest in so they can achieve a comfortable retirement. What should they consider when looking ahead?
These four investors have different ages, one with 10 years to retirement, one 20, one 30 and one forty years to go before they can sit on a beach, grey haired, a little portly, next to a surf board, feeling they can now age graciously, comfortable and without fear for their financial future. That's what so many believe the future holds for them. But is that realistic, can investments produce that for him?
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 04, 2013
Stock Market Down For A Day.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
The market has needed a correction to begin for quite some time now. The market may have finally begun to sell some as today's action was fairly bearish overall. The market started out mostly flat, but started to sell as the day went along led by the commodity, bank and semiconductor stocks, the semiconductor and bank stocks losing their 50-day exponential moving averages today.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, April 03, 2013
Ignore Cyprus at Your Own Risk / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
By Louis James: Archimedes once said that if he had a lever long enough and a place to stand, he could move the world. Today, the half-Greek island of Cyprus appears to be the fulcrum, and the long arm of the EU may be the lever that heaves the entire world over the edge of the abyss.
As Dennis Miller so eloquently pointed out in a recent Casey Daily Dispatch, most Americans would not be directly affected if North Dakota decided to seize citizens' money in order to pay its bills, but all Americans would be deeply disturbed by such an action. The principle of the matter couldn't be clearer; outright theft is wrong. But it'd probably be fear, not principle, that would have people heading for their banks in droves to withdraw cash as fast as possible.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, April 02, 2013
Stock Market Long Cycles / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
Chances are you have seen a long-term chart of the Dow annotated as the chart below has been. The red hash marks designate secular bull and bear markets. But if you look closely, you may notice one significant difference from similar charts; the first secular market begins in 1921 and not in 1932 as is often shown.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, April 02, 2013
Stockman Warns Fed is Off the Deep End / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
David Stockman, former director of the Office of Management and Budget, told Tom Keene on "Bloomberg Surveillance" yesterday that the Federal Reserve is "off the deep end with this money printing, which is dramatically distorting and deforming the financial markets."
On Glenn Hubbard, Stockman said, "He is a brilliant guy who told Bush to cut taxes in 2001, cut taxes in 2003, oh, why you are at it, go have two unfinanced wars and don't worry about the deficit because it doesn't matter. This is the kind of advice Republicans are getting from the likes of Professor Hubbard, and it is no wonder that we are heading towards national bankruptcy. It has got to stop."
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, April 02, 2013
Is David Stockman's Stock Market Crash Forecast on Target? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
David Stockman, who had been budget director under President Ronald Reagan, created quite a stir when he predicted a stock market crash in an op-ed piece in The New York Times Sunday.
"Over the last 13 years, the stock market has twice crashed and touched off a recession: American households lost $5 trillion in the 2000 dot-com bust and more than $7 trillion in the 2007 housing crash," Stockman, now an investment banker, wrote. "Sooner or later - within a few years, I predict - this latest Wall Street bubble, inflated by an egregious flood of phony money from the Federal Reserve rather than real economic gains, will explode, too."
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, April 02, 2013
Stock Market and the Ongoing Death of the Euro / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
1929 in slow motion
It is hard I am sure for Americans to fully comprehend the disaster that played out in the recent Cypriot Euro debacle.
To get a feel for the panic that was swirling about in Europe the week before last I include a quote from the Irish Independent of 22nd March 2013:
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, April 02, 2013
Australia Stocks Bear Market Forecast 2013 / Stock-Markets / Austrailia
Australia has been called the lucky country, its big and beautiful and unfortunately exposed to massive downside risk.
Applying the Elliot wave to price charts is an art with a little science. However in the case of the Australian All Ordinaries Index (AORD) the Elliot Wave 5 count is very easy. A technical Elliot Wave point is that a 5 wave count marks the end of the rally, yet you can have multiple 5 wave counts in a wave that end together. When you get multiple 5th waves peaking together it is an 'OMG' moment ('oh my god') as it resembles increased downside risk to follow.
Read full article... Read full article...