Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, April 02, 2013
Stockman Warns Fed is Off the Deep End / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
David Stockman, former director of the Office of Management and Budget, told Tom Keene on "Bloomberg Surveillance" yesterday that the Federal Reserve is "off the deep end with this money printing, which is dramatically distorting and deforming the financial markets."
On Glenn Hubbard, Stockman said, "He is a brilliant guy who told Bush to cut taxes in 2001, cut taxes in 2003, oh, why you are at it, go have two unfinanced wars and don't worry about the deficit because it doesn't matter. This is the kind of advice Republicans are getting from the likes of Professor Hubbard, and it is no wonder that we are heading towards national bankruptcy. It has got to stop."
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Tuesday, April 02, 2013
Is David Stockman's Stock Market Crash Forecast on Target? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
David Stockman, who had been budget director under President Ronald Reagan, created quite a stir when he predicted a stock market crash in an op-ed piece in The New York Times Sunday.
"Over the last 13 years, the stock market has twice crashed and touched off a recession: American households lost $5 trillion in the 2000 dot-com bust and more than $7 trillion in the 2007 housing crash," Stockman, now an investment banker, wrote. "Sooner or later - within a few years, I predict - this latest Wall Street bubble, inflated by an egregious flood of phony money from the Federal Reserve rather than real economic gains, will explode, too."
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Tuesday, April 02, 2013
Stock Market and the Ongoing Death of the Euro / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
1929 in slow motion
It is hard I am sure for Americans to fully comprehend the disaster that played out in the recent Cypriot Euro debacle.
To get a feel for the panic that was swirling about in Europe the week before last I include a quote from the Irish Independent of 22nd March 2013:
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Tuesday, April 02, 2013
Australia Stocks Bear Market Forecast 2013 / Stock-Markets / Austrailia
Australia has been called the lucky country, its big and beautiful and unfortunately exposed to massive downside risk.
Applying the Elliot wave to price charts is an art with a little science. However in the case of the Australian All Ordinaries Index (AORD) the Elliot Wave 5 count is very easy. A technical Elliot Wave point is that a 5 wave count marks the end of the rally, yet you can have multiple 5 wave counts in a wave that end together. When you get multiple 5th waves peaking together it is an 'OMG' moment ('oh my god') as it resembles increased downside risk to follow.
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Monday, April 01, 2013
Stock Market Poor ISM...Poor Advance Decline Line..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
The market, as usual, refused to fall overnight no matter what else was going around the world. Our futures are refusing to follow others down. Ours is the market that just won't fall. The market opened flat and started moving higher as always until it ran into a real road block. The ISM Manufacturing Report came out and the number was just terrible. 51.2. 50.0 is the line between growth and recession for our economy. Think about this folks. Mr. Bernanke has implemented incredible liquidity. There have been basically 3 QE programs. Interest rates are near zero and staying there. The liquidity machine will remain on as well. All because nothing is working to get this economy flying higher. Not even a Disneyland bull market can get this economy rocking.
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Monday, April 01, 2013
Stock Market Flying High on Borrowed Wings / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
After selling off an astounding 56% between October of 2007 and March 2009, the S&P 500 has staged a rally for the ages, surging 120% and recovering all of its lost ground too. This stunning turnaround certainly qualifies as one of the more memorable, and unusual, stock market rallies in history. The problem is that the rally has been underwritten by the Federal Reserve's unconventional monetary policies But for some reason, this belief has not weakened the celebration.
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Monday, April 01, 2013
Stock Market Indicator Says Stocks Should Double / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Martin Hutchinson writes: With the markets breaking all-time highs last week, it begs the question of just how high they can go.
At 1,569 points the bears would say at this point the S&P 500 is completely overdone. With a sluggish economy and a growing federal deficit, you might be prone to believe them.
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Sunday, March 31, 2013
Jokers Squeeze New All Time High for SP500 at Quarter End / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
These jokers really worked hard to squeeze out that new high, even on very light volume.
This is a monetary inflation rally.
I would not get ahead of it, but when this market does turn for a correction the momentum players are going to be piling on in a big way.
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Sunday, March 31, 2013
Cyprus Bank Deposit's Theft Crisis Sparks Run to Stock Market Safe Haven / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2013
Banking crisis shockwave's continue to emanate out of Cyprus as an original 20% hair-cut of depositor funds in the countries two largest banks continues to double, and now triple to at least 60% to be stolen, all of which has had the effect of sparking an extension to the stocks bull market rally for general stock market indices such as the Dow that continues to put in a series of new closing and trading all time highs whilst both bulls and bears wait for the rally to terminate for differing subsequent expectations.
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Saturday, March 30, 2013
Stock Market Action Driven by Headlines; Investors Should Be Nervous / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
The current market action continues to be headline-driven, according to my stock analysis. Stocks moved lower on the initial banking concerns in Cyprus, but rallied after the Federal Reserve reaffirmed its program of low interest rates and monthly bond buying. Stocks then bounced on the Cyprus resolution.
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Friday, March 29, 2013
Cyprus An 80% Wealth Confiscation Scheme? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2013
The news coming out of Cyprus only gets worse.
It was bad enough that the political class even promoted the idea of STEALING depositors’ savings. But now we’re finding out that they lied time and again about how much they’d take.
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Friday, March 29, 2013
After the Cyprus Bailout, Here's Where You Should Keep Your Savings Now / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2013
Martin Hutchinson writes: Now that the dust has begun to settle in Cyprus, the battered principle of deposit insurance seems to be safe-for now at least.
In the big stare-down with the European Union the final Cyprus settlement did not zap the small depositors.
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Friday, March 29, 2013
Currency Wars, Capital Controls and Earthquake Kits / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2013
The latest financial progression of currency devaluation, asset confiscation, capital controls and ultimately political upheaval seems to have become a slippery slope that could easily decimate whatever investment funds you may currently have placed in paper assets.
Furthermore, the recent threat to levy bank deposits as an alternative to providing bailout money that was proposed as a solution to the Cyprus banking crisis has left many depositors increasingly wary of placing the bulk of their wealth on deposit with increasingly shaky financial institutions.
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Friday, March 29, 2013
This Is The Most Critical Time For The Stock Market Since 2007! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
The economic recovery has stumbled in the spring and summer of each the last three years.
It’s not the market’s biggest problem, but it looks like it might happen again this year. Reports this week showed new home sales unexpectedly fell 4.6% in February, the biggest monthly decline in two years. Pending home sales declined 0.4%. Basic durable goods orders (ex-volatile aircraft orders) declined 2.7% in February. The Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index fell sharply in March, dropping from 68.0 in February to 59.7 in March. The Chicago PMI Index, which is often a bellwether for the national ISM Mfg Index, unexpectedly fell from 56.8 in February to 52.4 in March. New weekly unemployment claims jumped by 16,000 last week.
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Friday, March 29, 2013
End of the Road for the Stock Market Uptrend? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
This may be the end of the road for the rally in SPX. The irregular diagonal is the “best fit” for the last week of trading. Wave c of 5 may be finished, or nearly so. Crossing the lower trendline of the trading channel at 1566.31 appears to be the first warning that the uptrend is finished. Additional supports that indicate the end of the uptrend are 1553.07-1556.24 on the hourly chart.
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Friday, March 29, 2013
Will Europe Sink Stocks and Boost Gold? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
Wall Street expressed relieved that Europe's central bank agreed to release 10 billion euros ($13 billion) of emergency rescue funds for Cyprus. In exchange, Cyprus agreed to shrink its banking industry, cut its budget, implement economic reforms and privatize some state assets. Although the measures are expected to result in heavy losses for Cyprus' bondholders and large depositors, Wall Street was just glad to dodge another bullet.
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Thursday, March 28, 2013
Bob Prechter - How Market Losers Think and How to Stop Doing It / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
Dear Investor,
Some of the greatest problem solvers in history -- Albert Einstein, for example -- know that the secret to solving complex problems requires simplicity.
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Thursday, March 28, 2013
Gold vs. S&P 500 – Where is the Value? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
This past week we received the final 4th Quarter GDP number which came in at 0.39%. The total 4th Quarter growth was terrible, plain and simple. Based on the performance in the equity markets that we have seen thus far in the 1st Quarter of 2013 investors would expect strong GDP growth. However, the only thing spurring stock market growth is the constant humming of Ben Bernanke’s printing press.
The real economy and the stock market are no longer strongly correlated. Essentially, they are meaningless. How do you evaluate risk when Treasury linked interest rates are artificially being held down by the Federal Reserve? How do you evaluate earnings growth estimates when most government based statistics are manipulated or “smoothed” to perfection?
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Thursday, March 28, 2013
Bank Failures, Sovereign Bond Collapses, Savers Head for their Mattresses / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2013
Throughout the colorful history of organized crime in the United States, periodic eruptions of inter-gang Mafia violence have dotted the criminal landscape. When turf wars broke out between competing crime families in major cities such as New York and Chicago, the combatants would conduct their warfare from unsavory redoubts such as abandoned warehouses or low-rent hotels and apartments. In such locations, the soldiers would spend their off hours sleeping on rented mattresses until the internecine conflicts had run their course; hence the expression “going to the mattresses.”
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Thursday, March 28, 2013
Stock Market Gap Down...Bulls Fight Back...... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Once again it looked like the evil pullback was under way. The futures were bad and worsening by the minute as European stock markets were diving. Flat futures became nearly one hundred down on the Dow and roughly twenty-five on the Nasdaq, Ten was the handle on the S&P 500. The market gapped down hard but refused to get worse than the opening print. It spun around in a very tight range the first hour or so and then slowly but surely started to improve. The Nasdaq was leading the way and this despite the fact that three major leading stocks in the land of technology were taking hard hits. Apple Inc. (AAPL), Google Inc. (GOOG), and Priceline Inc. (PCLN) were all down with the first two down particularly hard. They worsened yet the market was improving. That has been the powerful theme of this stock market.
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