Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Wednesday, October 23, 2013
Trying to Stop Stocks Bull Market Has Risks / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
By: Frank_Holmes
U.S. stocks have been on a tear. The S&P 500 Index has climbed a surprising 20 percent so far this year, as a global synchronized recovery takes shape and funds flow back to equities. As I often say, investors take risks when they try to stop a bull run, and plenty of data suggest you might regret taking that action this year.
Consider the optimistic views from Joshua Brown, i.e. The Reformed Broker, as we have "all the rocket fuel we need for an explosion." There's no election, no war in Syria, and no taper talk. Banks are highly capitalized, stocks around the world are cheap and hedge funds' short positions are the highest since January, says Brown.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, October 23, 2013
EURUSD Remains Bullish While The S&P 500 Trades Higher / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Gregor_Horvat
Markets are in sharp reversal after yesterdays risk-on rally. We can see some USD recovery this morning but for now that's only on the intra-day basis, larger picture is still down for the buck, so technically nothing changes. The only difference is maybe a shift between strong commodity currencies to a temporary bearish picture. But important part here is »temporary«. Before we go to some wave counts, lets firstly take a look on correlations.
Wednesday, October 23, 2013
Getting Ahead of the Fed to Protect Your Investments in 2014 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: InvestmentContrarian
Sasha Cekerevac writes After months of getting the markets riled up with talks of reducing quantitative easing, the Federal Reserve will, once again, continue the “taper-shuffle” dance.
According to a survey by Bloomberg, most economists now expect the Federal Reserve to begin reducing its quantitative easing program in March of 2014. (Source: “Fed QE Taper Seen Delayed to March as Shutdown Bites,” Bloomberg, October 18, 2013.)
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, October 23, 2013
An Empty Forest Full of Trees / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
By: John_Mauldin
By Grant Williams
ca·tas·tro·phe
n.
1. A great, often sudden calamity.
2. A complete failure; a fiasco.
3. The concluding action of a drama, especially a classical tragedy, following the climax and containing a resolution of the plot.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, October 23, 2013
New Stock Market High - S&P and Dow Following Separate Paths / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Ed_Carlson
The methods of George Lindsay were meant to be applied to the Dow Industrials index and he warned against using these methods on broader indices (S&P 500, Wilshire 5,000, etc.) because of the constant rotation of stocks in and out of the indices and the inclusion of, what he called, "unseasoned issues". But with all major equity indices (DJIA, SPX, and NASDAQ) setting highs on or near 9/18/13 it looked as if the Lindsay forecast for a high in the Dow at that point in time was complete; game-set-match. So what are we to make of new highs in the S&P and NASDAQ since that time?
Tuesday, October 22, 2013
S&P 500 Breaks Higher After The Non Farm Payrolls / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Gregor_Horvat
European stocks and US stocks futures are higher across the board after the bad NFP report on speculations that tapering will not start any time soon. From a technical point of view we see S&P futures rallying in wave v) of (iii), so corrective retracement may show up soon, but there is room for 1750 before wave (iv) pull-back occurs. This coming wave (iv) could then be a new opportunity for traders who want to join the trend.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 22, 2013
Has The Stock Market Reached Peak Optimism? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Profit_Confidential
Michael Lombardi writes: Optimism towards key stock indices is increasing each day. The U.S. stock market “seems” to be a safe place, and it’s common to hear stock advisors suggesting we are going higher on key stock indices.
Key stock indices like the S&P 500 are making fresh highs. Google Inc. (NASDAQ/GOOG) has surged above the $1,000-per-share mark. Just take a look at the chart below.
Tuesday, October 22, 2013
Stock Market Cycles Chirality and Chiral Inversions / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: David_Petch
This article is a further extension of the concept I introduced over 2 years ago, titled “Markets Trapped in a Contracting Fibonacci Spiral” and the April 2013 issue of Stocks and Commodities Magazine titled “The Contracting Fibonacci Spiral”. Many might view this part of the article as a good place to exit, but I would encourage all to read this in its entirety, because it does provide a scientific insight into why cycles sometimes appear to skip a beat. If anyone is unfamiliar with either article, I would encourage to read them to have an understanding for what is presented in this article. I will give a very brief review about the Contracting Fibonacci Spiral (CFS), but it will be nowhere near as comprehensive as the other articles.
Tuesday, October 22, 2013
Keeping an Eye on the Dow, Stock Market Crash Fractal in Place / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX made a final probe to its upper trendline at 1751.78 this morning. From there it drifted down very slightly on low volume. Not a very impressive day for either side of the aisle, especially when considering today was one of the larger POMO days in October.
Monday, October 21, 2013
Is Japan's Stock Market the Most Attractive in the World? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Investment_U
Alexander Green writes: A few months ago, I opined that Japanese stocks are among the most compelling investments worldwide.
Sure enough, since its June low the market there is up 18%. Yet I feel even stronger about Japanese equities now than I did then. Here’s why…
Monday, October 21, 2013
The Risks of a Stock Market Deflationary Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: EWI
Dear Investor,
So many financial markets; so little time to follow them. The one forecaster I know who will put it all in perspective is EWI's Robert Prechter. Read his reports and you will get a clear idea of what really drives the markets and the U.S. economy – and why the Fed is beating its head against the wall.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 21, 2013
Stock Market Rally Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short:Seven of the eight indexes in my international focus group finished in the green for the week, with the S&P 500 topping the list with its 2.42% gain. The lone loser was the Shanghai Composite, which fell 1.54.
The Shanghai Composite remains the only index on the watch list in bear territory — the traditional designation for a 20% decline from an interim high. See the table inset (lower right) in the chart below. The index is down 36.80% from its interim high of August 2009. At the other end, the S&P 500 and DAXK closed the week with all-time highs and CAC 40 hit a new interim high since its 2009 trough.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 21, 2013
Stocks Bull Market Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Tony_Caldaro
After gapping down three of the five trading days, which were mostly bought before 10AM, and two gap up openings, the SPX closed at all time new highs. The DOW ended the week about 300 points from its all time high, and the NDX/NAZ are still a long way from their 2000 all time high. Nevertheless it has been a bull market since March 2009. For the week the SPX/DOW were +1.75%, the NDX/NAZ were +3.45%, and the DJ World index was +2.50%. Economics reports were again sparse, as the government remained partially closed until the last hour “let’s do it again in February” agreement was made midweek. For the week negative reports outpaced positive ones 4 to 3. On the uptick: the monetary base and the M1 multiplier, plus weekly jobless claims were lower. On the downtick: the NY/Philly FED, the NAHB housing index, and the WLEI. Next week, with reporting hopefully back to normal we should get the Payrolls report, Consumer sentiment and some Housing reports. Best to your week!
Monday, October 21, 2013
Warning - Stocks Bull Market Major Top Forming / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the severe correction of 2007-2009 may have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - SPX is back in a short-term uptrend.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, October 20, 2013
S&P 500 Stock Market New All Time High as Debt Ceiling Propaganda Ends / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Nadeem_Walayat
From amidst an extreme bearish environment as a consequence of U.S. Government shutdown and debt ceiling default armageddon propaganda that played out at maximum volume in the mainstream press, stocks markets like a phoenix instead of collapsing in to the depths of a deflationary black hole, have risen from the ashes and stealthily resolved to new all time highs, which as mainstream propaganda is now suggesting after the fact is on resolution of the debt ceiling play acting by politicians, as is being regurgitated at length now by the BlogosFear.
Sunday, October 20, 2013
Why The Fed Will Fail and The Cycles Prevail / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
By: Clif_Droke
Despite its intent to boost asset prices and restore the economy, the Federal Reserve has run into a major obstacle in achieving that goal. This obstacle is serving as a reminder that ultimately the long-term natural cycles of inflation and deflation govern the market and that intervention will usually fail.
Sunday, October 20, 2013
Gold and Silver Big Moves In and Out of Comex Bullion Warehouses / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Jesse
Yesterday saw two big withdrawals of gold bullion from the Comex warehouses.
62,050 ounces came out of HSBC and 16,556 ounces left Scotia Mocatta, both out of eligible storage.
But never fear, JPM came to the rescue with a whopping deposit of 192,900 ounce of gold bullion into eligible storage. I wonder where that came from. Wink wink, nod nod.
Saturday, October 19, 2013
Manipulated Markets Prospects: Gold, U.S. Dollar, Bonds, Equities & Interest Rates / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
By: DeepCaster_LLC
“Bank deposits are not safe which used to be safe. Money in Treasury bills is not 100 percent safe and there is inflation in the system and you would hardly get any interest.
“Bonds are not very safe anymore because eventually interest rates will go up Equities in the U.S. are relatively expensive by any valuation matrix you may use.
(The federal government is) “essentially wasting money left, right and center: Republicans on the military and the Democrats on buying votes with transfer payments and entitlements. The best you can hope for is that you have diversified your portfolio of different assets and they don’t all collapse at the same time.”
“Marc Faber: Pray All Asset Classes Don’t Collapse at the Same Time,”
John Morgan, moneynews.com, 10/15/2013
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, October 19, 2013
New Concerns Will Continue Stock Market Volatility / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Sy_Harding
The volatility has been brutal since May when the Federal Reserve first hinted it might begin to taper back its QE stimulus, then relented, only to soon hint again that it might do so by its September meeting.
When the Fed then made its ‘no-taper’ decision in September, Congress took over as the driving force of the volatility with its ‘on again- off again’ hopes for a resolution to the debt-crisis and government shutdown.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 18, 2013
Stock and Bond Market Possible Major Cycle Inflections / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
TNX is nearing the end of its Intermediate Wave (4) decline. In fact, if the hourly Cycle Bottom at 25.75 is final support, it may have reached its target this morning. In fact, the rally in yields may resume through the month of January. This suggests that the bond market is becoming more and more uneasy about the next debt ceiling debate.