Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, October 28, 2013
Stock Market Important Top Within Next Two Weeks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the severe correction of 2007-2009 may have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - SPX is back in a short-term uptrend but within days of a top.
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Monday, October 28, 2013
Nobel Prize Winner Says Bubbles Don’t Exist / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
By: Casey_Research
By Doug French: No wonder investors don't take economists seriously. Or if they do, they shouldn't. Since Richard Nixon interrupted Hoss and Little Joe on a Sunday night in August 1971, it's been one boom and bust after another. But don't tell that to the latest Nobel Prize co-winner, Eugene Fama, the founder of the efficient-market hypothesis.
The efficient-market hypothesis asserts that financial markets are "informationally efficient," claiming one cannot consistently achieve returns in excess of average market returns on a risk-adjusted basis.
Sunday, October 27, 2013
Is Stock Market Perma-Bearishness a Form of Mental Illness? / Stock-Markets / Trader Psychology
By: Investment_U
Alexander Green writes: There was a revealing story in this week’s Wall Street Journal…
David Rosenberg, the chief economist and market strategist at Gluskin Sheff & Associates, spent a decade warning about the health of the U.S. economy and the future of the stock market. That meant he missed the bull market a decade ago but helped the firm’s clients avoid the 2007 to 2008 financial crisis. Unfortunately, he missed the rebound that followed. (Such is the fate of market timers and other psychics and clairvoyants.)
Sunday, October 27, 2013
Repo, Baby, Repo: How Unregulated Banking Triggered Financial Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Mike_Whitney
“Repo has a flaw: It is vulnerable to panic, that is, ‘depositors’ may ‘withdraw’ their money at any time, forcing the system into massive deleveraging. We saw this over and over again with demand deposits in all of U.S. history prior to deposit insurance. This problem has not been addressed by the Dodd-Frank legislation. So, it could happen again.”–Gary B. Gorton, Professor of Management and Finance, Yale School of Management (lifted from Repowatch)
Sunday, October 27, 2013
Stock Market Trick or Treat / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Jesse
Stocks were drifting higher for much of the day as Amazon's beat on revenues cheered the markets.
The economic news not so much.
Next week is another FOMC decision on October 30. Do we think the Fed will have a trick or a treat for the market?
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Saturday, October 26, 2013
Stocks Bull Market Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Tony_Caldaro
SPX makes an all time high on Tuesday, consolidates, then ends the week at 1760 another all time high. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 1.0%, the NDX/NAZ gained 0.8%, and the DJ World index was 0.4% higher. Economic reporting for the week was almost back to normal, and positive reports edged out negative ones. On the uptick: export/import prices, durable goods orders, wholesale inventories, the FHFA, plus both weekly jobless claims and the unemployment rate improved. On the downtick: existing home sales, monthly payrolls, consumer sentiment, the M1-multiplier and the WLEI. Next week we get a plethora of economic reports along with the FOMC meeting. Best to your week!
Saturday, October 26, 2013
Stocks Bull Market Continues, But Watch Out For the Short Term / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Sy_Harding
The market’s bias remains to the upside. It could even be that the debt-ceiling fiasco in Washington helped to buy the bull market more time.
Economic reports are beginning to show the government shutdown was a negative for the economy, but had less effect than was feared. Yet it had enough effect to make it unlikely the Fed will begin tapering back its stimulus until at least next March.
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Saturday, October 26, 2013
Stock Market Dow Theory Big Picture / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Tim_Wood
With the last all time closing high on the Dow Jones Industrial Average having occurred on September 18th, it is an indisputable fact that as of this writing, structurally, the advance out of the 2009 low remains intact. From a Dow theory perspective, the bullish primary trend change also remains intact. The money makers continue their infusion, the commentators in the mainstream news continue telling us why all is well and what to believe. All the while the public continues taking the bait and seemingly believing that the illusion is real.
Friday, October 25, 2013
U.S. Dollar's Breakdown, Stocks' Breakout and Implications for Gold / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
By: P_Radomski_CFA
After 12 years of gains, gold has fallen nearly 20% this year. The price of gold has been pressured for much of this year by the view that the Fed would end its stimulus program soon because of strength in the U.S. economy. However, some recent (weaker than expected) economic data, along with the 16-day U.S. government shutdown, have suggested that the central bank may keep its bond purchase in place for longer and increased gold's safe-haven appeal.
What impact did these circumstances have on the yellow metal?
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Friday, October 25, 2013
US Stock Market The Great American Wall Of Worry / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Traders and investors all around the world is having trouble climbing over the wall of worry/fear with the US stock market, and rightly so. There is a lot of things taking place and unfolding that carry a high level of uncertainty. Let’s face it, who wants to invest money into the market when it’s hard to come by (high unemployment, banks are still extremely tight with their money, companies are nowhere near wanting to hiring new staff).
Friday, October 25, 2013
Five-Year Stocks Bull Run Showing Signs of Fading? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: InvestmentContrarian
George Leong writes: A soft jobs reading came out last Tuesday, and the stock market…soared? That’s right. Initially, I was a bit taken aback by the surge, but then again, the buying was driven by the optimism surrounding soft economic growth—because that means the Federal Reserve can justify its continuance of cheap money and the stock market stays at its highs. (You’d be a fool to think the buying was driven by sound economic and corporate growth—even if that is the first lesson in Economics 101.)
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Friday, October 25, 2013
Friday’s Fantastic Stock Market Finish / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: PhilStockWorld
1,752. You can't argue with that.
We're just a bit off Tuesday's spike high of 1,759 and we closed that day at 1,754 – up 1,088 points (163%) from our March, 2009 low of 666 (the mark of the Dimon!). As you can see from Doug Short's chart, we've had 4 rounds of QE to get us this far and that was after a couple of bailouts but that's all water (or money) under the bridge and here we are…
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Friday, October 25, 2013
Gold, Stock Market Investors Time to Sit on the Sidelines / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
By: Toby_Connor
My best guess continues to be that stocks will extend this consolidation on Friday and then deliver one more push higher into the FOMC meeting next week. I expect the Fed will confirm no tapering which will likely trigger a big rally and probably reversal as smart money traders sell into the emotional move. Barring an immediate Fed intervention, that should give us the drop down into the half cycle low.
Thursday, October 24, 2013
Money Printing: Not What It Was / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
By: Adrian_Ash
There are lots of reasons why QE hasn't yet created inflation in the rich West...
SO HEADLINE writers everywhere got to say money really does grow on trees today.
Gold, in fact, has been found in minute quantities in eucalyptus trees in Australia. Analyzing tree leaves and bark could now unearth gold deposits up to 30 metres below ground elsewhere in the world, geochemists say.
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Wednesday, October 23, 2013
Trying to Stop Stocks Bull Market Has Risks / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
By: Frank_Holmes
U.S. stocks have been on a tear. The S&P 500 Index has climbed a surprising 20 percent so far this year, as a global synchronized recovery takes shape and funds flow back to equities. As I often say, investors take risks when they try to stop a bull run, and plenty of data suggest you might regret taking that action this year.
Consider the optimistic views from Joshua Brown, i.e. The Reformed Broker, as we have "all the rocket fuel we need for an explosion." There's no election, no war in Syria, and no taper talk. Banks are highly capitalized, stocks around the world are cheap and hedge funds' short positions are the highest since January, says Brown.
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Wednesday, October 23, 2013
EURUSD Remains Bullish While The S&P 500 Trades Higher / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Gregor_Horvat
Markets are in sharp reversal after yesterdays risk-on rally. We can see some USD recovery this morning but for now that's only on the intra-day basis, larger picture is still down for the buck, so technically nothing changes. The only difference is maybe a shift between strong commodity currencies to a temporary bearish picture. But important part here is »temporary«. Before we go to some wave counts, lets firstly take a look on correlations.
Wednesday, October 23, 2013
Getting Ahead of the Fed to Protect Your Investments in 2014 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: InvestmentContrarian
Sasha Cekerevac writes After months of getting the markets riled up with talks of reducing quantitative easing, the Federal Reserve will, once again, continue the “taper-shuffle” dance.
According to a survey by Bloomberg, most economists now expect the Federal Reserve to begin reducing its quantitative easing program in March of 2014. (Source: “Fed QE Taper Seen Delayed to March as Shutdown Bites,” Bloomberg, October 18, 2013.)
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Wednesday, October 23, 2013
An Empty Forest Full of Trees / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
By: John_Mauldin
By Grant Williams
ca·tas·tro·phe
n.
1. A great, often sudden calamity.
2. A complete failure; a fiasco.
3. The concluding action of a drama, especially a classical tragedy, following the climax and containing a resolution of the plot.
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Wednesday, October 23, 2013
New Stock Market High - S&P and Dow Following Separate Paths / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Ed_Carlson
The methods of George Lindsay were meant to be applied to the Dow Industrials index and he warned against using these methods on broader indices (S&P 500, Wilshire 5,000, etc.) because of the constant rotation of stocks in and out of the indices and the inclusion of, what he called, "unseasoned issues". But with all major equity indices (DJIA, SPX, and NASDAQ) setting highs on or near 9/18/13 it looked as if the Lindsay forecast for a high in the Dow at that point in time was complete; game-set-match. So what are we to make of new highs in the S&P and NASDAQ since that time?
Tuesday, October 22, 2013
S&P 500 Breaks Higher After The Non Farm Payrolls / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Gregor_Horvat
European stocks and US stocks futures are higher across the board after the bad NFP report on speculations that tapering will not start any time soon. From a technical point of view we see S&P futures rallying in wave v) of (iii), so corrective retracement may show up soon, but there is room for 1750 before wave (iv) pull-back occurs. This coming wave (iv) could then be a new opportunity for traders who want to join the trend.Read full article... Read full article...