Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, October 10, 2013
Stock Market Wave C Plunge Comes Next! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Good Morning!
Yesterday I had been working under the assumption that the declining pattern was not yet over. I was wrong. The EW pattern from the top was a rare 3-3-3 (A-B-C) pattern that confounded all the analysts. I had proposed the pattern, but had anticipated a 3-3-5 decline, which never materialized.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 10, 2013
VIX - Trading Above the U.S. Debt Row / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
It's time to learn something all serious investors should know: how to trade the volatility index, the VIX.
While most investors are scrambling to figure out whether the market is headed up or down, savvy pros use the VIX both as means of protection and a source of profit.
The VIX not only gives you an idea of how uneasy people are about the markets... it tells you whether or not the markets have reached an extreme level of sentiment - either bullish or bearish.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 10, 2013
Stock Markets Point of No Return / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: If you're like most folks, there's a nagging fear at the edge of your brain that's trying desperately to make sense of what's happening each day the market drops further.
It's tough to control under normal circumstances, but even tougher to dismiss against the backdrop of Washington's infantile behavior.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 10, 2013
Options Market Forecasting Future Stock Market Price Action Direction / Stock-Markets / Options & Warrants
By now the major media outlets have made sure to inform the public that the U.S. government is shut down, or partially shut down depending on your political perspective. Most financial pundits are looking to the recent past for clues about what to expect in the future.
While the situation appears to be similar to what we witnessed in 2011 with the debt ceiling debacle, the outcomes may be significantly different. I am a contrarian trader by nature, and as such I am constantly expecting for markets to react in the opposite way from what the majority of investors expect.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 10, 2013
The Yellen Stock Market Doji / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Courtesy of Doug Short: With no change in the congressional deadlock, the S&P 500 traded in a narrow range during the first 30 minutes and then sold off to its -0.54% intraday low in the late morning. The index then reversed gears and rose to its 0.42% intraday high, hitting it twice shortly before the 2 PM release of the September FOMC minutes, in which the word “fiscal” appears 16 times, most conspicuously in reference to the considerable risks surrounding fiscal policy. As expected, about an hour later President Obama nominated Janet Yellen to replace Bernanke. Curiously, market sold the Yellen news, and the index slid back into the red, briefly, before recovering to its 0.06% gain for the day.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, October 09, 2013
Mounting Risks of a Deflationary Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Deflation
Dear Investor,
So many financial markets; so little time to follow them. The one forecaster I know who will put it all in perspective is EWI's Robert Prechter. Read his reports and you will get a clear idea of what really drives the markets and the U.S. economy – and why the Fed is beating its head against the wall.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, October 09, 2013
The Cheapest Stocks In the World / Stock-Markets / European Stock Markets
Today's chart displays a stock rally happening in a place you'd never expect. It shows the rally in Greece.
Most folks know the current "Greece story." It's an economic basket case. It has spent and borrowed its way into a depression. Unemployment is over 20%. Things seem hopeless to lots of people there.
Wednesday, October 09, 2013
QE Exit and Emerging Markets Future / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
Emerging market economy could be in the early phases of another crisis. Once again, the US Federal Reserve is in the eye of the storm. As a major central bank in the world, the US Federal Reserve (Fed) has a compelling impact on the emerging markets. Withdrawal in the US Federal Reserve's quantitative maneuvering is seen as one of the most terrific dangers to the emerging markets not long from now. According to the Federal Reserve Chairman's evidence of the passageway of quantitative moving, economists take an ideal standpoint of what's to come in 2013-14.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, October 09, 2013
Rehypothecation of Collateral / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
Before you get a headache or a pain in your side, rehypothecation is not as difficult to understand as spelling the word. Definition of 'Rehypothecation':
“The practice by banks and brokers of using, for their own purposes, assets that have been posted as collateral by their clients. Clients who permit rehypothecation of their collateral may be compensated either through a lower cost of borrowing or a rebate on fees.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, October 09, 2013
Stock Market Selloff Accelerates / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Today the S&P 500 logged its 11th decline in the 14 sessions since the index hit its all-time high on September 18th, and today’s was the biggest decline — a loss of 1.23%. The index opened fractionally lower and bounced to its 0.04% intraday high in the first 30 minutes of trading. Selling then dropped the 500 to the vicinity of -1.0% as the President began his live address shortly after 2 PM (full text here). Despite his rigid stance and stern warnings about a potential default, the index traded sideways until the final hour, when a head fake to the upside was followed by a slide to its -1.23% close.Stock Market Selloff Accelerates
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 08, 2013
When the Offense Changes, the Defense Needs to Adapt / Stock-Markets / Investing 2013
When it comes to just about any sport, you don’t blindly use a strategy without considering your opponent’s next move, his strengths, and his weaknesses. To win, you have to adapt.
While the investment world can seem like the same old game with the same old rules, it’s always changing around the edges. If you don’t adapt, you won’t win this game either. With the ten-year US Treasury recently closing as high as 2.98%, we face new threats, and the definition of a good defensive stock has changed accordingly. Now they must be defensive and immune to higher rates.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 08, 2013
Stealth Bail-ins and a Weak Market Confirmed by Dow Theory / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
You might think now following Angela Merkel’s electoral success last month all was now stable in Euroland but nothing could be further from the truth. I have it from reliable sources that Euros continue to flood out of Europe, so much so the Mario Draghi the president of the European Central Bank stated publically immediately after the German Elections that “unlimited” amounts of “money” will be available to support the Euro.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 08, 2013
To See How Stock Market Turns Out, Here’s What Happened in Japan / Stock-Markets / Japanese Stock Market
Michael Lombardi writes:
If you want to see how this all turns out in the end, I’m talking about the Federal Reserve’s program of printing over $1.0 trillion a year in new paper money (something that’s never happened in history), we need not look any further than the Japanese economy.
Why? Because the Japanese economy collapsed about 15 years before our credit crisis collapse of 2008. What we are doing now (artificially low interest rates, deep government debt, and money printing), the Japanese did years ago.
Tuesday, October 08, 2013
U.S. Government Shutdown Day Seven, Stock Market Selling Remains Controlled / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Courtesy of Doug Short: The political deadlock on Capitol Hill showed no progress today, and a CNN/ORC poll shows that both parties are taking a hit in public opinion, with Republicans faring slightly worse. The S&P 500 opened at its -0.20% intraday high and plunged to its 0.93% intraday low two minutes later. The index quickly recovered about half its loss and then traded in a narrow range until the final hour, when it sold off to its -0.85% close.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 08, 2013
Why Stock Market Could Go 50% Higher From Here / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: Most people don't get the idea I'm about to share with you... or they're not willing to accept it.
However, it's 100% true...
The idea is that value is RELATIVE when it comes to investments. And this concept is hugely important today.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 08, 2013
Stock Market's Edgy But On Light Volumes / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Stocks trended lower today but on light volumes. So I would call it an 'edgy' trade but no panic.
The consensus of traders seems to be that the House Republicans will draw out the Continuing Resolution issue as far as they can, and then the deadlock will be averted ahead of the October 17th estimate of a problem with the debt ceiling that would stop payments.
Tuesday, October 08, 2013
U.S. Stock Market Indices Since Their 2000 Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Courtesy of Doug Short: Here is a update in response to a standing request from David England, a retired professor now actively educating investors through his Trader’s Eye website. In his presentations, he likes to disprove the standard message of Wall Street, “Don’t worry! The market will always come back.” I furnished David with some charts, and I now share them with regular visitors to my Advisor Perspectives pages.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 07, 2013
Forecast Psychology, Us Treasury Bond Bubble, Extreme Gold Price Rise / Stock-Markets / Forecasts & Technical Analysis
The analytic discussion and defense of viewpoints concerning the grandest asset bubble in history is covered, as well as exposure of corrupted markets. In addition, take the opportunity to discuss intriguing human psychology regarding forecasts. It might be enlightening to many folks. It might be entertaining to some. It is not complimentary of the human species actually. One is reminded of Cassandra in Greek Mythology. The USTreasury Bond market has been a frequent topic of analysis. This perspective is on the bubble dynamics mixed with forecast psychology. The recent essay featuring the Flash Trading and other USTreasury Bond factors deserves further discussion, since so important. To be sure, High Frequency Trading, also known as Flash Trading, is not skin in the game, and not typical capital at risk. It is a blatant price control practice that produces false levitation in asset prices and distorted volume reported. A good deal more light on the phony USTreasury Bond market is shed, which is not well understood for its status as being the greatest asset bubble in human history, not just modern history. It exceeds the housing & mortgage bubble that formed a decade ago, if not from volume, then from scope, since it is laced throughout the entire global banking system.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 07, 2013
Is the Next Stocks Bear Market About to Begin? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The stock market is finally starting to show signs that the bull market may be coming to an end. Before I go into the stock market though, I want to discuss the dollar because I think currencies are going to be integrally tied to the topping process.
For the better part of the past five years a lower dollar has generally been positive for the stock market. However, we are now five years into QE and I think we are at the point where it's important that the dollar hold its value. At this point I think the stock market is deathly afraid that the dollar is going to crack under five years of continual debasement. As many of you have probably noticed over the last several weeks stocks have been dropping along with the dollar.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 07, 2013
Stock Market Correction Still Underway, Next Uptrend Bull Market Top? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the severe correction of 2007-2009 may have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - SPX made an intermediate high at 1730 and is now in a corrective mode.
Read full article... Read full article...