Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, October 15, 2013
Stock Market Perfect Bull Trap / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX is in a perfect bull-trap formation. The rally may be over, but the hope for a settlement is high. This has many traders and investors still comfortable being long.
But the splinter is getting wider and the fragmentation of views combined with the refusal to negotiate may be a toxic mix.
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Tuesday, October 15, 2013
Stock Market Appears Ready for New High - What Impact on Gold? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: P_Radomski_CFA
On Monday, after weekend talks failed to reach a solution that would reopen the federal government and raise the federal borrowing limit by October 17, the S&P 500 Index dropped to its intraday low below 1,700. However, the index reversed course early in the afternoon on a report that President Barack Obama planned to meet with Congressional leaders from both parties at the White House later in the afternoon.
According to Reuters, yesterday Senate leaders made progress on a U.S. debt deal. Additionally, today they may reach an agreement to bring a halt to the fiscal standoff. The emerging deal would avoid a potential default, end the 15-day-old government shutdown and change the immediate deadlines in favor of three new ones over the next four months.
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Tuesday, October 15, 2013
Stock Market - There Goes That Hope Thing Again........ / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Jack_Steiman
The last two trading days, last Thursday and Friday, saw not only hope in Washington but many thought a resolution was going to be at hand by today. Both sides were getting together and talking nicely with each other. A nice change of pace and the very fact of them playing nice played over in to the emotions of the stock market. Folks were feeling good about things and up went the market. Two strong days. Over the weekend, however, bad timings came in once again. Both sides now saying things aren't going along swimmingly any more. As a result, we saw our futures nose diving last night with the Dow down almost 140 points at its lows. Any and all news from Washington was literally running the market up and down, making things very difficult for market players. Price was moving with every word. Tough way to try and play this very difficult game.
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Monday, October 14, 2013
Marc Faber Warns There Is No Safe Haven Left! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
By: Bloomberg
Marc Faber, publisher of the Gloom, Boom & Doom Report, told Tom Keene and Sara Eisen on "Bloomberg Surveillance" today that "there is no safe haven...The best you can hope for is that you have a diversified portfolio of different assets and that they don't all collapse at the same time."
On the debt ceiling debate in Washington, Faber said, " t's basically a dysfunctional government that we have that is far too large that is essentially wasting money left, right and center. The Republicans are wasting money on the military complex and the Democrats are basically buying votes with transfer payments, with entitlement programs, it goes on. It is a huge waste. The problem is that I don't see a solution."
Monday, October 14, 2013
Monday Stock Market Meltdown – Again / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: PhilStockWorld
Does this seem familiar to you?
This is how we began last Monday's post as the House failed to pass a debt deal and the markets begain to panic after having popped 100 points on Friday in anticipation of a revolution. Those who forget the past yadda, yadda, yadda - I suppose.
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Monday, October 14, 2013
QE Tapering - What Was This Fed's Activity That Was Not Tapered? / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
By: Matt_Machaj
We all heard about various "bailouts" or the financial wizardry that the American government used after the 2008 crisis. In a two pronged play the government spent public money while at the same time it introduced the "quantitative easing" program, which resulted in huge money printing and increases to the "narrowly defined money supply." As mentioned in the last reports, even though it was inflationary it was not very, very inflationary-- at least not yet.
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Monday, October 14, 2013
Has the Stock Market Gone Mad? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Profit_Confidential
Michael Lombardi writes:
The stock market…a place where rationality has been thrown out the door in favor of trading for immediate profits…profits based on what the government and Federal Reserve are planning to do next. It’s no longer a place for average investors to make money, as the fundamentals that drive key stock indices higher don’t really matter anymore. The notion has become “If it’s good news, buy! And if it’s bad news, then buy even more!”
Monday, October 14, 2013
Stock Market Trifurcation Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Toby_Connor
Another wild week as the trifurcation of the major indices continues. The market gapped down from SPX 1691 on Monday, continued lower until Wednesday hitting 1646, then reversed like a rocket into Friday’s 1703 close. In the meantime, the government shut down moved into its second week and the debt limit looms large this Thursday.
For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.95%, the NDX/NAZ were -0.35%, and the DJ World gained 0.8%. On the economic front reports were sparse, only four, and negatives outnumbered positives 3 to 1. Consumer credit increased, but consumer sentiment and the WLEI declined, while weekly jobless claims rose. Next week we may/or may not get reports on Housing, the NY/Philly FED, Industrial production and the FED’s Beige book.
Sunday, October 13, 2013
Repo Market Implosion Financial Collapse Nightmare Scenario / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2013
By: Mike_Whitney
October 11, 2013 "Information Clearing House - President Barack Obama is determined to prevail in his battle with GOP congressional leaders on the debt ceiling issue, but not for the reasons stated in the media. Obama is less concerned with the prospect of higher interest rates and frustrated bondholders than he is with the big Wall Street banks who would be thrust back into crisis if there is no resolution before October 17. Absent a debt ceiling deal, the repurchase market–known as repo–would undergo another deep-freeze as it did in 2008 when Lehman Brothers defaulted triggering a run on the Reserve Primary Fund which had been exposed to Lehman’s short-term debt. The frenzied selloff sparked a widespread panic across global financial markets pushing the system to the brink of collapse and forcing the Federal Reserve to backstop regulated and unregulated financial institutions with more than $11 trillion in loans and other obligations. The same tragedy will play out again, if congress fails lift the ceiling and reinforce the present value of US debt.
Sunday, October 13, 2013
Stock Markets Back in Rally Mode / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: Despite the political fisticuffs in the US over the government shutdown and debt ceiling, all eight world markets on my watch list closed the week higher, the sixth such occasion in 41 weeks so far in 2013. India’s SENSEX was the standout with its 3.08% advance, followed by two other Asia-Pacific indexes — the Nikkei up 2.71% and the Shanghai Composite up 2.46%. Two of the European indexes, hit new highs; France’s CAC 40 rose 1.34% to an interim high, and Germany’s DAXK hit an all-time high with its 1.18% gain.
Saturday, October 12, 2013
Stock Market Deflationary Crash Mounting Risks / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: EWI
Dear Investor,
So many financial markets; so little time to follow them. The one forecaster I know who will put it all in perspective is EWI's Robert Prechter. Read his reports and you will get a clear idea of what really drives the markets and the U.S. economy – and why the Fed is beating its head against the wall.
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Saturday, October 12, 2013
Stock Market Wash and Rinse on Wall Street / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Jesse
VIX took a dive as Wall Street celebrated the end to the debt ceiling crisis in advance.
Actually, taking a peak at what the little people were doing, the wiseguys saw a great opportunity for a wash and rinse. Plus the private words out of Washington is that the debt ceiling fight will come to nothing, never fear.
Saturday, October 12, 2013
Buy Emerging Markets, But Carefully / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
By: Sy_Harding
Emerging markets were under pressure all summer from fears that the U.S. Fed would begin to taper back its QE stimulus. More recently, it was widely expected the battle in Washington over raising the debt-ceiling would add to the selling pressure.
However, charts reveal what a market is actually doing, not what people think it should be doing. And in reality, emerging markets in general have been rallying off an oversold condition beneath 20-week moving averages, even as the U.S. market was pulling back from its September peak on the new debt-ceiling worries.
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Saturday, October 12, 2013
Preparing for The Big One - U.S. Dollar Revolt / Stock-Markets / Fiat Currency
By: DeepCaster_LLC
”Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke has been tap dancing on a land mine since 2008. He has avoided detonating an intensified banking-system crisis, so far, but the cost has been that of locking the Fed into near-perpetual quantitative easing and monetization of U.S. Treasury debt, with horrendous implications for future domestic inflation and U.S. dollar debasement…. the Fed has locked itself into quantitative easing for some time to come, irrespective of any jawboning to the contrary….
Friday, October 11, 2013
Diabolical Stock Market Pattern, Hard Down on Monday! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX has just crossed above mid-Cycle resistance at 1692.30 after a struggle. The next resistance is at the lower trendline of the Broadening Wedge (and round number resistance) at 1700.00. I suspect that this will be the final resistance of the rally, if it doesn’t run out of steam (or greater fools) before then.
Friday, October 11, 2013
U.S. Debt Deal Hopes Trigger the 2nd Best Stock Market Gain of 2013 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: Early hints of negotiations over the debt ceiling sent today’s market on a tear. The S&P 500 opened at its intraday low and closed at its intraday high for an impressive gain of 2.18%. This was the biggest rally since its 2.54% surge on January 2nd in celebration of dodging the Fiscal Cliff. Of course, that rally came with an actual resolution. Today’s relief rally was closer to a “buy the rumor” event. Perhaps the market will now pay closer attention to earnings season, which got underway this week.
Friday, October 11, 2013
Stock Market Rally Stalls / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX has now stalled at mid-Cycle resistance, halfway between the 50% and 61.8% retracement levels.
This action is reminiscent of the 2011 summer lows. Once the 50-day moving average was re-crossed in late July 2011, it took 13 market days to the August 8 low making nearly a 20% decline.
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Thursday, October 10, 2013
World Bank Concerned About U.S. Debt Ceiling and Emerging Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
By: Bloomberg
World Bank President, Jim Yong Kim, joined Bloomberg Television’s Sara Eisen live from the IMF this morning and said he expects staff reductions as the institution seeks to cut its budget by $400 million annually for three years.
Thursday, October 10, 2013
Stock Market Wave C Plunge Comes Next! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
Yesterday I had been working under the assumption that the declining pattern was not yet over. I was wrong. The EW pattern from the top was a rare 3-3-3 (A-B-C) pattern that confounded all the analysts. I had proposed the pattern, but had anticipated a 3-3-5 decline, which never materialized.
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Thursday, October 10, 2013
VIX - Trading Above the U.S. Debt Row / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Money_Morning
It's time to learn something all serious investors should know: how to trade the volatility index, the VIX.
While most investors are scrambling to figure out whether the market is headed up or down, savvy pros use the VIX both as means of protection and a source of profit.
The VIX not only gives you an idea of how uneasy people are about the markets... it tells you whether or not the markets have reached an extreme level of sentiment - either bullish or bearish.
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