The big boys are doing damage control after the payroll numbers (entirely fictitious, of course). The bounce is happening faster than I can write about it. This is the third revision of my letter that started at 10:00 am.

The 50% retracement level is 1760.37, just beneath Short-term resistance. It appears that that resistance has stopped the retracement rally. This activity is merely to “run the stops” on any recent shorts who now show a loss. The best course of action is not to put stops on short positions. In fact, this is a good place to put in the final short positions.

TNX ran up to a high of 27.63. This would give TNX an inverted Head & Shoulders formation with a minimum target of 30.50!

There is little doubt that the Fed is not in control of the rates, notwithstanding protestations to the contrary.

VIX is challenging Short-term support at 13.43. Despite major brokerages dissuading their clients against owning VIX ETFs, major hedge funds and banks are piling in at bargain basement prices. Don’t let this fool you. VIX is going much higher.

GLD made a healthy decline beneath its Cycle Bottom support at 124.09. Although it may attempt to retest the Cycle Bottom, it is now in free-fall territory.

TLT broke its Cycle Bottom and is heading toward its major Head & Shoulders neckline at 102.00. Should it break the neckline, the minimum target is 75.70, forever breaking the 32-year trendline in bonds.

Regards,

Tony

Our Investment Advisor Registration is on the Web

We are in the process of updating our website at www.thepracticalinvestor.com to have more information on our services. Log on and click on Advisor Registration to get more details.

If you are a client or wish to become one, please make an appointment to discuss our investment strategies by calling Connie or Tony at (517) 699-1554, ext 10 or 11. Or e-mail us at tpi@thepracticalinvestor.com .

Anthony M. Cherniawski, President and CIO http://www.thepracticalinvestor.com

As a State Registered Investment Advisor, The Practical Investor (TPI) manages private client investment portfolios using a proprietary investment strategy created by Chief Investment Officer Tony Cherniawski. Throughout 2000-01, when many investors felt the pain of double digit market losses, TPI successfully navigated the choppy investment waters, creating a profit for our private investment clients. With a focus on preserving assets and capitalizing on opportunities, TPI clients benefited greatly from the TPI strategies, allowing them to stay on track with their life goals

Disclaimer: The content in this article is written for educational and informational purposes only. There is no offer or recommendation to buy or sell any security and no information contained here should be interpreted or construed as investment advice. Do you own due diligence as the information in this article is the opinion of Anthony M. Cherniawski and subject to change without notice.

Anthony M. Cherniawski Archive

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

The Market Oracle is a FREE Financial Markets Forecasting & Analysis web-site.
(c) 2005-2024 MarketOracle.co.uk (Market Oracle Ltd) - Market Oracle Ltd asserts copyright on all articles authored by our editorial team and all comments posted. Any and all information provided within the web-site, is for general information purposes only and Market Oracle Ltd do not warrant the accuracy, timeliness or suitability of any information provided on this site. nor is or shall be deemed to constitute, financial or any other advice or recommendation by us. and are also not meant to be investment advice or solicitation or recommendation to establish market positions. We do not give investment advice and our comments are an expression of opinion only and should not be construed in any manner whatsoever as recommendations to enter into a market position either stock, option, futures contract, bonds, commodity or any other financial instrument at any time. We recommend that independent professional advice is obtained before you make any investment or trading decisions. By using this site you agree to this sites Terms of Use. From time to time we promote or endorse certain products / services that we believe are worthy of your time and attention. In return for that endorsement and only in the cases where you purchase directly though us may we be compensated by the producers of those products.