Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Saturday, March 01, 2014
Another Stock Market Record High With Some Afternoon Drama / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Courtesy of Doug Short: Before the US market opened, the Second Estimate of Q4 GDP showed slower growth than previously reported. But the market wasn’t fazed. The S&P 500 rallied for the first hour, assisted by an improvement in Michigan Consumer Sentiment. The index hit is 0.74% intraday high in the early afternoon. However, shortly before 2 PM it began a sudden and fairly dramatic selloff to its -0.36% intraday low — a move that roughly coincided with news of Russian military action in the Ukrainian crisis. The selloff reversed in the final hour, and the index closed with a trimmed gain of 0.28%, setting another record high.
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Saturday, March 01, 2014
Stocks Unconvincing Despite New Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
The S&P 500 closed at a new record high Friday, but again it was another stumbling, directionless performance. Markets opened higher, perhaps relieved that Q4 GDP was not much worse than forecasts, but then declined on news of heightened tensions in Ukraine. Gains were recovered into the close on late buying as investors realized that despite social media hysteria, a world war is not imminent.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, March 01, 2014
The Deadly Economic Undercurrent of Deflation / Stock-Markets / Deflation
Despite the overall positive state of U.S. equities and the improvements in the retail economy, the stealth enemy known as deflation is still lurking in the shadows.
Consider the following graph of real disposable income, courtesy of Zerohedge.com. This shows the true underlying state of the real economy and is a testament to the continued presence of deflation.
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Saturday, March 01, 2014
Essential Investor Knowledge for Maximizing Real Gains / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
“Noted investor Jim Rogers says outgoing Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke has set the stage for the collapse of the U.S. central bank within the next decade, and had turned the nation’s fiscal balance sheet into ‘garbage.’
“In a recent interview with the British financial website Mineweb, Rogers said Bernanke and his fellow central bankers in other countries have brought the global economy to the brink of disaster….
“Rogers predicted that history will remember Bernanke as ‘the guy who set the stage for the demise of the central bank in America.’
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Friday, February 28, 2014
Stocks at New Highs, But Keep the Champagne on Ice / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
The S&P 500 closed at a new record high on Thursday, but the mood is far from celebratory. The index has made modest gains this year, a far cry from the fearless risk appetite one would expect to be associated with all-time highs. Instead, nervousness is prevailing over markets, with the S&P 500 closing at these lofty levels after several days of directionless trading.
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Thursday, February 27, 2014
German DAX: Correcting Within Uptrend / Stock-Markets / Germany
We have seen some risk-off moves on European markets with the Dax falling more than 100 points on the day down to 9500 where recent support was found. From an Elliott Wave perspective we see the Dax in an expanded flat correction with wave (c) now underway down to 9430-9470 support area. Wave (c) also needs to be made by five subdivisions so looks like there is room for more weakness before corrective pullback can be finished.
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Thursday, February 27, 2014
Where’s the Stock Market New All-Time High? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Courtesy of Doug Short: Once again the S&P 500 spent a good part of the day slightly above its all-time closing high of January 15th, and once again it disappointed hopeful market watchers eager for that new high. The index opened in the green, sold into the shallow red, and then rallied to its 0.41% intraday high on the better-than-expected new home sales. It then lost traction and sold off to its -0.24% mid-afternoon intraday low. Ninety minutes later the index closed essentially at the flatline (at three decimal places was a gain of 0.002%).
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Thursday, February 27, 2014
Stock Market Strike Three-You're Out!......Well, Maybe...... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Three consecutive days have come and gone, with each day testing above 1850 on the S&P 500 intraday. Each day the S&P 500 failed to complete the breakout. Normally, when a key index fails for three straight days the bulls give up for a while, allowing the bears to do some damage for the very short-term. I said normally. And this should be one of those normal times, but this market has been stubborn to fall, even when it's obvious that it should. That said, I would expect some selling here, but how much is difficult to know. It could be all the way down to key support approximately at 1800, or it could stay above that. It's very unclear, and we all know by now that anything between 1800 and 1850 on the S&P 500 is nothing but emotional noise.
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Wednesday, February 26, 2014
Stock Market Ghosts of Bubbles Past / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
The New Homes Sales number came in much higher than expected this morning, and so stocks reversed from their initial slump. They rose to challenge the overhead resistance once again, only to fall back down in the afternoon.
Rinse, wash, repeat.
Wednesday, February 26, 2014
The Coming Global Monetary Reset / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2014
The Opposite of Emerging is Submerging
Lulled and distracted by the antics of developed country central banks – and emerging economy central banks – to constantly “pump up the jam” and flood the economy with paper chips from either Fort Knox or Mount Gox, the tectonic shift of the global economy since 2008 has been ignored. It is taken as “normal” that deflation or disinflation is operating in the developed economies, but riproaring inflation now operates in the emerging economies. Supposedly, this is Muddle Through but since 2008 the North-South paradigm has dissolved – the developed OECD economies are locked in a death embrace with the Emerging economies. The developed economies export monetary inflation and import cheap industrial goods, services and resources.
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Wednesday, February 26, 2014
What’s Happening in the Stock Market Today Reminds Me of 1999… / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
What year is this—1999?
Some of you might have been active investors in the bull market during the late 90s, as I was, witnessing the S&P 500 soar during that decade. In fact, the bull market was so strong back then that it created a false sense of confidence, as many people quit their regular jobs to become traders. As we all know, this didn’t last forever and the S&P 500 bull market popped and sold off sharply.
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Wednesday, February 26, 2014
Prepare for the Biggest Financial Catastrophe Since Founding of the U.S. Republic / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
The stock market's current big picture price pattern has never before been seen in 300 years of stock market history. Learn why you need to prepare to batten down the hatches.
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Wednesday, February 26, 2014
Top 10 Signs That Reveal Mounting Panic In The World Banking System / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2014
Dear Depositor:
We don’t want to cause you unnecessary stress or worry, but it might be prudent to pay attention to a series of unusual news reports recently emanating from the banking world. Viewed independently, each event might be rather insignificant.
However, when examined collectively, these events paint a very dire warning for the safety of bank deposits everywhere. Naturally, most all of these have received little to no coverage by the mainstream media. That is to be expected.
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Tuesday, February 25, 2014
Bernanke’s Legacy - Good for Bankers, Bad for Anyone Who Wants to Retire / Stock-Markets / US Federal Reserve Bank
"Mr. Bernanke, on the way out, don't let the door hit ya, where the good Lord split ya!" That's what I've imagined my former coworker Charley—a brilliant Alabamian who was proud to be called a redneck—might have said as the former Fed chairman stepped down.
In case you missed it, here's Bernanke's highlight reel:
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Tuesday, February 25, 2014
How to Profit from the Yellen Fed / Stock-Markets / US Federal Reserve Bank
Janet Yellen might have the most powerful job in the world, as the Federal Reserve (Fed) she now chairs controls what may be the world’s most powerful printing press. We take a closer look at what her reign might mean for investors’ portfolios.
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Tuesday, February 25, 2014
Fed Still Pumping, But FDI Goes Negative? Stock Market M Tops / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
Bear Stearn, Lehman Level Foreign Flows
If you are traveling at 100 mph and you abruptly hit the car breaks, as a passenger it can cause serious consequences. If the car is then suddenly slammed into a reverse direction, a fatality may often the likely outcome. Similarly, with FDI (Foreign Direct Invest) not only dramatically slowing but also being slammed into a negative direction, we might expect major consequences! However, true to form our Keynesian government economist and the compliant media report this by saying it is a short term anomaly. Tell this to the passengers!
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Tuesday, February 25, 2014
Stock Market Breakout Fails...Nothing Bad At All........ / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
We spent the morning watching the futures play around with the flat line to up a four handle at the highs. We were well under S&P 500 1850, or the breakout level, but the bulls were very happy to see the market holding up after poor action on Friday. The bears seemed to be gaining some control, but the futures suggested another story. Nothing tremendous, but at least the bulls were preventing a blast down that would create technical damage for them. The market opened a bit higher, but took little time in doing what the bulls were hoping for. A break over 1850. It traded slightly below for roughly an hour, but when it was clear the bears could not bring the market down, the bulls became braver, the bears gave up, and the market broke through 1850. That's where the day actually got interesting.
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Tuesday, February 25, 2014
Stock Market New Highs… Now What? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Shah Gilani writes: The bulls are running today, being chased by hot mergers and acquisitions news.
As I write this, the S&P 500 is at an all-time high and the Nasdaq Composite is at a 14-year high. The Dow still has a few steps to climb, but there’s a good chance it too will reach for new highs in the next few sessions.
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Monday, February 24, 2014
Stock Market Rogue Rally Nearing Completion / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Would you believe that the really took 85 hours and 40 minutes from inception to today’s high at 12:20? The Wave (B) analysis still stands, since the Dow, The Russell 2000 and the Trannies have not made new highs, giving a major non-confirmation of this rally. There is negative divergence at all degrees of trend.
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Monday, February 24, 2014
Stocks Fluctuate Near Their Recent Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Our intraday outlook remains bearish, and our short-term outlook is neutral:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: bearish
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: neutral
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish