Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, May 27, 2014
Stock Market Seeking New Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the Fed policy of keeping interest rates low has severely curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - Probably tracing out an ending diagonal pattern.
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Monday, May 26, 2014
Strategic Investment - A Bubble In Complacency / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: John_Mauldin
Notes from SIC 2014
I and many others are still trying to digest the massive amount of useful and original information that was offered at last week’s Strategic Investment Conference. In this week’s letter I want to recap some of what I learned but do so in a little different manner. I find it quite instructive to listen to and read what other people have to say about their takeaways from the conference. I have come across several very good summaries and reviews that I am going to excerpt rather liberally, along with sharing some of my own thoughts.
Sunday, May 25, 2014
Stock Market Are You Ready? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: WavePatternTraders
SPX
In my last article I wrote that we were looking for more upside, the SPY and ES are the first markets to confirm the upside move we have been expecting, although the SPX has yet to confirm a new all time high, the DAX and DOW are likely to confirm the move that we have seen on the ES and SPY. Both the DAX and DOW have similar patterns to the SPX but they need a bit more upside, which I think will be seen this coming week.
Sunday, May 25, 2014
Stock Market Near All Time Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Tony_Caldaro
The week started with a positive Monday, sold off on Tuesday, then ended within one point of the SPX 1902 all time high. The SPX/DOW were +0.95%, the NDX/NAZ were +2.40%, and the DJ World was +0.90%. On the economic front positive reports outpaced the negative 5 to 1. On the uptick: existing/new home sales, leading indicators, the WLEI and the M1-multipler. On the downtick: weekly jobless claims rose. Next week, holiday shortened by Monday’s Memorial Day, we get the second estimate for Q1 GDP, Personal income/spending and the Chicago PMI.
Saturday, May 24, 2014
Indian Stocks: You Want a REAL Opportunity? Know WHEN to Look for It / Stock-Markets / India
By: EWI
Why the Nifty and many other emerging market stocks screamed "Buy!" three months ago
From Elliott Wave International's February Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast (published Feb. 7):
Read full article... Read full article......Bloomberg reports that "more than $7 billion flowed from ETFs investing in developing-nation assets in January, the most since the securities were created." Such massive selling...supports our view that emerging markets are ending large-degree three-wave declines.
Saturday, May 24, 2014
Are Some Proven Stock Market Investment Strategies Too Simple To Accept? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Sy_Harding
As goes January so goes the year. Avoid the first two years of the Four-Year Presidential Cycle. Buy in the fall of the 2nd year of the presidential cycle and hold through to the end of the third year. Sell in May and re-enter in October.
Those are all strategies proven to out-perform the market over the long-term. Don’t take my word for it. But also don’t blame the messenger. I am only reporting what hundreds of exhaustive academic and independent studies have clearly shown since forever.
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Saturday, May 24, 2014
SPX Cycle Top - End of an Era? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX is up against its Cycle Top resistance and appears to have completed its retracement. It may be time for a Dynamic Sell Signal. The current high of 1899.05 is still short of the May 13 high of 1902.17. The pattern does not support a further rally.
Friday, May 23, 2014
Energy Stocks No Bear Market Refuge / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Zeal_LLC
The lofty US stock markets have stalled out, looking more and more top-heavy with each passing day. This is spawning growing unease among prudent investors, who sense the long-overdue major selloff is nearing. Many are seeking shelter in sectors they hope will weather the storm. And energy stocks, with their lower valuations, are a leading one. Unfortunately history proves they too offer no refuge in stock bears.
The stock markets are topping, essentially grinding sideways near nominal record highs for the better part of 3 months now. The American S&P 500 benchmark stock index is now trading at incredibly high valuations between 23x to 26x trailing earnings, dangerously expensive. And after rocketing 180.5% higher over 5.2 years, this truly extraordinary bull market stocks have enjoyed is getting ominously long in the tooth.
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Friday, May 23, 2014
Money and Growth / Stock-Markets / Fiat Currency
By: Alasdair_Macleod
The most common of all misconceptions today is that a weakening currency is fundamental to a healthy economy, or put another way, a strong currency is economically destructive. For decades this has been the fundamental belief of mainstream economists and the mainspring behind government policy. Even Switzerland, widely regarded as the leading exponent of non-interventionism, intervenes to keep the franc from rising against the euro.
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Friday, May 23, 2014
Stock Market 4-6% Pullback in S&P 500 Possible Soon / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Submissions
Brad Gudgeon writes: The stock market appears to be on the verge of a 4-6% pullback. All the cycles, wave analysis, technical analysis, sentiment and pattern analysis I analyze point to a quick downdraft over the coming days into early June.
As of this writing on Thursday, May 22, 2014, the S&P 500 appears to want to make a nominal new high above the old high of 1902. We could make that high on Friday and sell-off easily.
Friday, May 23, 2014
How Bad Will the 60-year Kress Cycle Bottom Be? / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: Clif_Droke
One of the questions most commonly asked by investors is why the economy has been so sluggish in recent years despite the Fed’s efforts at stimulating it?
This question was recently asked of former Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner by Time magazine. His answer was that Americans are still “still living with the scars” of the credit crisis, implying that the reason for the slow pace of recovery is more psychological than anything. His answer is unsatisfactory, however, since it obscures the deeper reason behind the slow growth era of the last few years.
Thursday, May 22, 2014
Stock Market Sour Surprise / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Money_Morning
Shah Gilani writes: On Monday, I explained why, when you’re considering investment ideas, you should always keep the bond market in mind. That’s because stocks and bonds are inextricably interconnected.
They’re inextricably interconnected because interest rates matter.
When expected relationships between stocks and bonds (interest rates) diverge, therefore, it’s important to take notice, try to understand what is happening, and consider what the divergences could portend for both stocks and bonds.
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Thursday, May 22, 2014
Stock Market Closer To All-Time High – Make Or Break Moment / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion speculative long positions are still favored (with stop-loss at 1,850, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is still bullish, and our short-term outlook remains neutral:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: bullish
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: neutral
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Thursday, May 22, 2014
Stock Market Chartology Mania / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Rambus_Chartology
First I want to acknowledge how frustrating the markets have been over the last several months for most of you. There has been no clear cut trend in which one can just take a position and not get caught up in the chopping action the markets have been giving us. As I have said in the past the hardest part of trading is to get your initial position to stick before your sell/stop gets hit. If your a bear it’s two steps down and one step up and if your a bull it’s two steps forward and one step back. It’s that one step after you take your initial position that usually gets you if you don’t buy the exact high or low.
Wednesday, May 21, 2014
The Smart Money Is Preparing for a Stock Market Correction / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Investment_U
Marc Lichtenfeld writes: If you want a great stock to invest in, you should buy Crystal Ball Inc. (NYSE: BS) because it appears that in the past few weeks everyone on Wall Street is using one and they're all saying there is a big correction coming.
For the record, if you didn't get the joke, there is no stock called Crystal Ball Inc. I don't want any angry emails saying you couldn't find the stock.
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Wednesday, May 21, 2014
What My Stock-Market Warning Sign Is Saying Today / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: DailyWealth
Dr. David Eifrig writes: Readers of Retirement Millionaire have made a fortune in this bull market...
Over the past five years, our average gain is 50%.
We've made such great gains by ignoring "doom and gloom" pessimists who would have you believe we're about to enter another depression. Instead, we've focused on facts, owned U.S. stocks, and we've made huge gains.
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Wednesday, May 21, 2014
Fractional-Reserve Banking: From Goldsmiths To Hedge Funds To…Chaos / Stock-Markets / Fiat Currency
By: John_Rubino
Banking didn’t start out as a reckless, parasitical plaything of a moneyed and politically-connected aristocracy. In the beginning, in fact, bankers weren’t even bankers. They were jewelers and goldsmiths who had to maintain their inventory with vaults, guards etc., and offered storage services to others with valuables to protect. So the original banks were, in effect, very safe warehouses.
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Wednesday, May 21, 2014
Stock Market Rally Reversal Time! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX stopped its ramp at 1886.06, nominally higher than Monday’s high at 1886.00. It may go higher, but for practical purposes, the rally may already be done.
USD/JPY also rallied this morning from its new lows, but could not overcome its prior high. It appears to be out of gas and its influence fading.
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Wednesday, May 21, 2014
S&P 500 To Continue To The Downside / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Gregor_Horvat
The US stocks turned bearish yesterday, which has been expected, as rally on the E-mini {{166|S&P 500}} had a corrective shape. The decline from 1884 was sharp, that also took out the lower trend line of a corrective channel. It suggests that move from 1858 is complete and that market will continue to the downside, beneath 1858 as long as 1884 is in place. Short-term resistance for current minor a-b-c rally comes in around 1875.
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Tuesday, May 20, 2014
The $12 Trillion Derivatives Ticking Time Bomb / Stock-Markets / Derivatives
By: Graham_Summers
Time and again, we’ve been told that the Great Crisis of 2008 has ended and that we’re in a recovery.
Indeed, earlier this year, we were even told by Fed Chair Janet Yellen that the Fed may in fact raise interest rates as early as next year.
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