Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. US Housing Market House Prices Bull Market Trend Current State - Nadeem_Walayat
2.Gold and Silver End of Week Technical, CoT and Fundamental Status - Gary_Tanashian
3.Stock Market Dow Trend Forecast - April Update - Nadeem_Walayat
4.When Will the Stock Market’s Rally Stop? - Troy_Bombardia
5.Russia and China Intend to Drain the West of Its Gold - MoneyMetals
6.BAIDU (BIDU) - Top 10 Artificial Intelligence Stocks Investing To Profit from AI Mega-trend - Nadeem_Walayat
7.Stop Feeding the Chinese Empire - ‘Belt and Road’ Trojan Horse - Richard_Mills
8.Stock Market US China Trade War Panic! Trend Forecast May 2019 Update - Nadeem_Walayat
9.US China Trade Impasse Threatens US Lithium, Rare Earth Imports - Richard_Mills
10.How to Invest in AI Stocks to Profit from the Machine Intelligence Mega-trend - Nadeem_Walayat
Last 7 days
Technical Analyst: Gold Price Weakness Should Be Short Term - 24th May 19
Silver Price Looking Weaker than Gold - 24th May 19
Nigel Farage's Brexit Party EU Elections Seats Results Forecast - 24th May 19
Powerful Signal from Gold GDX - 24th May 19
Eye Opening Currency Charts – Why Precious Metals Are Falling - 23rd May 19
Netflix Has 175 Days Left to Pull Off a Miracle… or It’s All Over - 23rd May 19
Capitalism Works, Ravenous Capitalism Doesn’t - 23rd May 19
The Euro Is Bidding Its Time: A Reversal at Hand? - 23rd May 19
Gold Demand Rose 7% in Q1 2019. A Launching Pad Higher for Gold? - 23rd May 19
Global Economic Tensions Translate Into Oil Price Volatility - 22nd May 19
The Coming Pension Crisis Is So Big That It’s a Problem for Everyone - 22nd May 19
Crude Oil, Hot Stocks, and Currencies – Markets III - 22nd May 19
The No.1 Energy Stock for 2019 - 22nd May 19
Brexit Party and Lib-Dems Pull Further Away from Labour and Tories in Latest Opinion Polls - 22nd May 19
The Deep State vs Donald Trump - US vs Them Part 2 - 21st May 19
Deep State & Financial Powers Worry about Alternative Currencies - 21st May 19
Gold’s Exciting Boredom - 21st May 19
Trade War Fears Again, Will Stocks Resume the Downtrend? - 21st May 19
Buffett Mistake Costs Him $4.3 Billion This Year—Here’s What Every Investor Can Learn from It - 21st May 19
Dow Stock Market Trend Forecast 2019 May Update - Video - 20th May 19
A Brief History of Financial Entropy - 20th May 19
Gold, MMT, Fiat Money Inflation In France - 20th May 19
WAR - Us versus Them Narrative - 20th May 19
US - Iran War Safe-haven Reasons to Own Gold - 20th May 19
How long does Google have to reference a website? - 20th May 19
Tory Leadership Contest - Will Michael Gove Stab Boris Johnson in the Back Again? - 19th May 19
Stock Market Counter-trend Rally - 19th May 19
Will Stock Market “Sell in May, Go Away” Lead to a Correction… or a Crash? - 19th May 19
US vs. Global Stocks Sector Rotation – What Next? Part 1 - 19th May 19
BrExit Party EarthQuake Could Win it 150 MP's at Next UK General Election! - 18th May 19
Dow Stock Market Trend Forecast 2019 May Update - 18th May 19
US Economy to Die a Traditional Death… Inflation Is Going to Move Higher - 18th May 19
Trump’s Trade War Is Good for These 3 Dividend Stocks - 18th May 19
GDX Gold Mining Stocks Fundamentals Update - 17th May 19
Stock Markets Rally Hard – Is The Volatility Move Over? - 17th May 19
The Use of Technical Analysis for Forex Traders - 17th May 19
Brexit Party Set to Storm EU Parliament Elections - Seats Forecast - 17th May 19
Is the Trade War a Catalyst for Gold? - 17th May 19
This Is a Recession Indicator No One Is Talking About—and It’s Flashing Red - 17th May 19
War! Good or Bad for Stocks? - 17th May 19
How Many Seats Will Brexit Party Win - EU Parliament Elections Forecast 2019 - 16th May 19
It’s Not Technology but the Fed That Is Taking Away Jobs - 16th May 19
Learn to Protect your Forex Trading Capital - 16th May 19
Gold Ratio Charts Offer The Keys to the Bull Market - 16th May 19
Is Someone Secretly Smashing the Stock Market at Night? - 16th May 19

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

U.S. House Prices Analysis and Trend Forecast 2019 to 2021

Stock Market Grinding Higher....

Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014 Jun 01, 2014 - 06:01 PM GMT

By: Jack_Steiman

Stock-Markets

The market continues its dance with higher prices while the bears sit on the sidelines wishing they could partake in the festivities. Just not meant to be even though they have reasons to expect better times, but more on that later. The market tried to sell today a bit, but the bulls refused to let things get out of hand. The Nasdaq 100 slightly under performed today but that's not bad since it has outperformed so much lately as the heavily beaten down stocks are finally getting a bid from severely oversold conditions. The reason for the under-performance today was the large reversal from Apple Inc. (AAPL) as it went from up near points to down a couple when all was said and done. I guess even AAPL has to take the occasional vacation from upside action.


With the market trying higher to some degree just about every day we are now starting to see some major index and sector charts getting very stretched on price and oscillators so we have to be more on guard for at least your normal pullback, but there are still no signs of the big correction many are waiting for and have front ran only to feel the pain of playing that way. I can understand their thinking but you need to see evidence of a reversal, thus, for now, the overbought sector and index charts may pull back some, but that does NOT mean we are starting the bigger correction most seem to waiting on. If the pullback off the top is not impulsive on the oscillators it will tell us to expect even higher prices after that. Never argue with what those sector and index charts tell you, even if it makes no logical sense to you. Go with what you see, not what you feel should be.

So what would be the one thing that tells us that the uptrend is ending and is ready for something large to the down side? You need a large gap down that runs lower all day and closes at or very near the lows. Then, after possibly going flat for a few days you get another large gap down that runs lower and closes at or near the lows for the day. If you put two large gap downs close together in time that remain wide open the odds are extremely high that something nasty is brewing and that the bears will finally have some fun for a while. Without that process it'll be hard for the bears to gain any momentum to the down side with any force. One large open gap would cause the bulls some headaches, but it takes that second open wound to really get the bears active and acting fearlessly.

So, yes folks, we have nasty monthly and weekly charts on both divergences and extreme levels of overbought on those index charts, and, yes folks, we have terrible news on the sentiment front, but in the end it's all about price. If we don't get those multiple gap downs you simply stay slightly long and wait for the market to tell us when it's time to go cash. Don't front run. Don't anticipate. Act ONLY when the market tells you to. Emotion can cause you to make moves that won't help your bottom line. The headaches are there but so are extremely low rates which is the major weapon for the fed and the bulls. Plug along but be smart. React to what the market does. For now we're still above key support at 1897 and 4204 on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100, respectively. 4204 is the top of a very strong gap up. 4186 is the bottom that strong gap. The bears have their work cut out for them to be sure. Day to day as we watch and wait for signals.

For now the only signal we have is a grinding higher market.

Peace,

Jack

Jack Steiman is author of SwingTradeOnline.com ( www.swingtradeonline.com ). Former columnist for TheStreet.com, Jack is renowned for calling major shifts in the market, including the market bottom in mid-2002 and the market top in October 2007.

Sign up for a Free 15-Day Trial to SwingTradeOnline.com!

© 2014 SwingTradeOnline.com

Mr. Steiman's commentaries and index analysis represent his own opinions and should not be relied upon for purposes of effecting securities transactions or other investing strategies, nor should they be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy any security. You should not interpret Mr. Steiman's opinions as constituting investment advice. Trades mentioned on the site are hypothetical, not actual, positions.


© 2005-2019 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

6 Critical Money Making Rules