Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Saturday, June 21, 2014
Stock Market Rally Refuses to Die / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
I'll keep this brief this weekend as there really is very little, if anything, to add to what I have been talking about for weeks, if not months. The market is somehow finding a way to hang in there against all the odds. The froth and greed are ramping higher by the day as the market hangs tough. Yet, through all this greed and froth the market doesn't fall. It should get crushed, yet it doesn't. We have had exceptions to the rule historically. In the bear market of 2007 we had a bull-bear spread of -22%. Maybe we need +50 this time to get a top in. No one knows, but in the end, it's always about one thing in the short-term and that one thing, of course, is price. Nothing else. PRICE! What is price doing and how are those oscillators responding is all we care about. Nothing else.
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Friday, June 20, 2014
These Lies Could Trigger Another Financial Market Collapse / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
Shah Gilani writes: The public has been brainwashed about deflation.
We've been hoodwinked by central banks, governments, and the manipulators who pull the reins of those Trojan horses into believing that deflation is a deadly disease. It's not.
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Friday, June 20, 2014
The Era Of No Respect / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
The late, great comedian Rodney Dangerfield once made the following joke. “Last week I told my psychiatrist, "I keep thinking about suicide." He told me from now on I have to pay in advance.” Rodney would tug on his necktie and repeat his catch phrase, “I tell ‘ya, I get no respect!”
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Friday, June 20, 2014
Is VIX Beckoning The Stock Market Bear? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
The FOMC issued guidance at its Wednesday policy meeting to the effect that interest rates would remain low into the foreseeable future. It further lowered the pace of its monthly asset purchases by $10 billion to $35 billion per month. The Fed also said it expects the unemployment rate to range between 6.0% and 6.1% for the rest of the year, which is slightly lower than its previous projection.
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Thursday, June 19, 2014
The Stocks Dow Jones Industrial Average Index: a Fata Morgana / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) Index is the only stock market index that covers both the second and the third industrial revolution. Calculating share indexes such as the Dow Jones Industrial Average and showing this index in a historical graph is a useful way to show which phase the industrial revolution is in. Changes in the DJIA shares basket, changes in the formula and stock splits during the take-off phase and acceleration phase of industrial revolutions are perfect transition-indicators. The similarities of these indicators during the last two revolutions are fascinating, but also a reason for concern. In fact the graph of the DJIA is a classic example of fictional truth, a fata morgana.
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Thursday, June 19, 2014
India's Stocks Bull Market Forecast Still On Track / Stock-Markets / India
This chart tells you everything you need to know about the opportunities that financial forecasting firm Elliott Wave International (EWI) sees in India's stock market:
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Thursday, June 19, 2014
The Coming Crash Of the Financial And Monetary System / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
In an excellent video presentation, Claudio Grass, Managing Director at Global Gold Switzerland, explains why a crash of the financial and monetary system seems inevitable. The presentation covers all actual issues like currency wars, rigged markets, central bankers’ interventions, statistics manipulation, monetary mismanagement and financial repression. Claudio Grass does a great job “connecting these dots” but in a factual way. In this article, we collect several quotes and graphs. The full video presentation is 22 minutes long. Readers are highly recommended to watch the full presentation and subscribe to receive three exclusive reports for free on http://welcome.globalgold.ch.
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Wednesday, June 18, 2014
Outlook on U.S. Dollar, Currencies & Markets: Look Out Below! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
The FIFA World Cup and market predictions have in common that we are tempted to create a world of make-believe when it comes to predicting outcomes. While others ponder about the meaning of a round ball, we’ll focus on the implications of a make-believe world comprised of ever-higher asset prices. Our caution: look out below!
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Tuesday, June 17, 2014
Stock Market SP500 Looking For 2000 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
S&P500 accelerated to the upside this month with increasing volume and momentum. In fact, move from 1858 is very strong, so based on personality we think it was wave three of a five waves in progress in blue wave (5). As such, we expect even more upside in coming days; market may reach levels around 1980/2000.
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Tuesday, June 17, 2014
Stock Market Fractional Gain to Start the Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Courtesy of Doug Short:Against the backdrop of conflict in Iraq, this morning’s economic news was upbeat. The Empire State Manufacturing Index surprised to the upside and the Fed’s much broader Industrial Production series also beat expectations. The S&P 500 hit its -0.27% intraday low seconds after the opening bell. I then did sine wave during the first half of the day making nearly equidistant arcs below and above Friday’s closing price. The trading range tightened in the afternoon, and a dip into the red early in final hour created a bit of suspense for market watchers. But the index quickly recovered and closed the day with a modest 0.08% gain.
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Tuesday, June 17, 2014
Stock Market Grinding / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
The worst possible scenario is upon is for now. Grinding is not necessarily a precursor to a large move lower, which we know has to come to unwind froth. Grinding can last an incredibly long time and frustrate everyone. Markets are very good at that as we know all too well these past few months. We are grinding because we are full in terms of bulls, but we are seeing fear in the hearts of bears as shorting has not worked for them for quite some time. I guess you could say they're tired of being burned over and over again. Who can blame them. The bears need a bit of bravery to get the ball rolling down. Without any real bad news out there regarding our economy, and with the Fed Yellen reassuring everyone they're in control, thus, no worries needed, it's hard for the bears to find that bit of bravery they so sorely need.
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Monday, June 16, 2014
Europe Stock Markets Potential Turbulance Ahead / Stock-Markets / European Stock Markets
Using OEW we have been tracking 8 of Europe’s most important stock market indices: England, France, Germany, Greece, Italy, Spain, Switzerland, and the hybrid STOX 50. In general, since the 2011 low in most indices, and the 2012 low in some other European indices, all of these stock markets have been rising. Over the past year, however, we have been noticing some fairly negative, and potentially completing, long term patterns unfolding.
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Monday, June 16, 2014
Stock Market Short-Term Uncertainty, Is Correction Over? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Briefly: In our opinion speculative long positions are still favored (with stop-loss at 1,910, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook remains bullish:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: neutral
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: bullish
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Monday, June 16, 2014
Stock Market Minor Correction Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the Fed policy of keeping interest rates low has severely curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - May be tracing out an ending diagonal pattern.
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Sunday, June 15, 2014
The Horrible Laugh of the Doomed / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
I can hear the family gathered outside, banging on the walls of the Mogambo Bunker Of Paranoid Hysteria (MBOPH), demanding that I unlock the door, come outside immediately, stop acting like a crazy person, and at least pick up the empty pizza boxes that I threw out into the yard, because the neighbors are complaining, and it looks so tacky, and blah blah blah.
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Saturday, June 14, 2014
Stock Market SPX Uptrend to Resume Shortly / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
After hitting an all time high right at the OEW 1956 pivot at noon Monday, the market went into pullback mode for the rest of the week. For the week the SPX/DOW were -0.8%, the NDX/NAZ were -0.4%, and the DJ World index lost 0.3%. On the economic front, positive reports edged out negative ones for the week. On the uptick: business/wholesale inventories, retail sales, export prices, the monetary base, plus the budget deficit improved. On the downtick: the PPI, the WLEI, consumer sentiment, plus weekly jobless claims rose. Next week should be a busy one. Besides the FOMC meeting Tues/Wed, we have Options expiration Friday, plus reports on Capacity utilization and Housing. Best to your week!
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Saturday, June 14, 2014
The Death of Stock Market Volatility / Stock-Markets / Volatility
The US equity markets ended the week on a dull note, barely able to bounce after a lower open to end the week on a correcting note.
The question will be if this is just a consolidation after a widely noted great leap upwards, or will we see a bit more action to the downside before this is over.
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Saturday, June 14, 2014
Sell in May - Stock Market Seasonal Trading Myth Busters / Stock-Markets / Seasonal Trends
Whatever happened to the old seasonality adage “Sell in May, go away”?
That’s what some seasonal investors do, with the idea that the summer months tend to be weak for the stock market.
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Saturday, June 14, 2014
Financial Markets Good News In All The Bad Data / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
Today's financial markets make a mockery out of sanity and logic. The difference between what SHOULD happen and what IS happening is perhaps the greatest it has been in our investing lifetimes.
If you're perplexed, flummoxed, frustrated, stymied, enraged, bored, irritated, insulted, discouraged -- any or all of these -- by the ever-higher blind grinding of asset prices over the past several years, despite so many structural reasons for concern, you have good reason to be.
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Saturday, June 14, 2014
Stock Market Ugly Weekly Charts...Still No Reversal.....Froth Remains Extremely High.. / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
The market is trying to find a way to hang in there. Yes, there was a bit of selling this week, but not much to talk about. Not nearly as much as many would expect considering how many problems the market is currently facing. The bears are somewhat in disbelief that the market hasn't fallen under the weight of froth alone. Gap downs get bought up. The bears are acting almost fearful of getting involved due to the markets inability to find sellers when things look really bad for the bulls. So, the week came and went, and in the end, the bears feel a drop better about things, but I don't think they feel satisfied. Maybe fearful, but definitely not satisfied.
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