Most Popular
1. It’s a New Macro, the Gold Market Knows It, But Dead Men Walking Do Not (yet)- Gary_Tanashian
2.Stock Market Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal Trend Analysis - Nadeem_Walayat
3. Bitcoin S&P Pattern - Nadeem_Walayat
4.Nvidia Blow Off Top - Flying High like the Phoenix too Close to the Sun - Nadeem_Walayat
4.U.S. financial market’s “Weimar phase” impact to your fiat and digital assets - Raymond_Matison
5. How to Profit from the Global Warming ClImate Change Mega Death Trend - Part1 - Nadeem_Walayat
7.Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast 2024 - - Nadeem_Walayat
8.The Bond Trade and Interest Rates - Nadeem_Walayat
9.It’s Easy to Scream Stocks Bubble! - Stephen_McBride
10.Fed’s Next Intertest Rate Move might not align with popular consensus - Richard_Mills
Last 7 days
Nvidia Numero Uno in Count Down to President Donald Pump Election Victory - 5th Nov 24
Trump or Harris - Who Wins US Presidential Election 2024 Forecast Prediction - 5th Nov 24
Stock Market Brief in Count Down to US Election Result 2024 - 3rd Nov 24
Gold Stocks’ Winter Rally 2024 - 3rd Nov 24
Why Countdown to U.S. Recession is Underway - 3rd Nov 24
Stock Market Trend Forecast to Jan 2025 - 2nd Nov 24
President Donald PUMP Forecast to Win US Presidential Election 2024 - 1st Nov 24
At These Levels, Buying Silver Is Like Getting It At $5 In 2003 - 28th Oct 24
Nvidia Numero Uno Selling Shovels in the AI Gold Rush - 28th Oct 24
The Future of Online Casinos - 28th Oct 24
Panic in the Air As Stock Market Correction Delivers Deep Opps in AI Tech Stocks - 27th Oct 24
Stocks, Bitcoin, Crypto's Counting Down to President Donald Pump! - 27th Oct 24
UK Budget 2024 - What to do Before 30th Oct - Pensions and ISA's - 27th Oct 24
7 Days of Crypto Opportunities Starts NOW - 27th Oct 24
The Power Law in Venture Capital: How Visionary Investors Like Yuri Milner Have Shaped the Future - 27th Oct 24
This Points To Significantly Higher Silver Prices - 27th Oct 24
US House Prices Trend Forecast 2024 to 2026 - 11th Oct 24
US Housing Market Analysis - Immigration Drives House Prices Higher - 30th Sep 24
Stock Market October Correction - 30th Sep 24
The Folly of Tariffs and Trade Wars - 30th Sep 24
Gold: 5 principles to help you stay ahead of price turns - 30th Sep 24
The Everything Rally will Spark multi year Bull Market - 30th Sep 24
US FIXED MORTGAGES LIMITING SUPPLY - 23rd Sep 24
US Housing Market Free Equity - 23rd Sep 24
US Rate Cut FOMO In Stock Market Correction Window - 22nd Sep 24
US State Demographics - 22nd Sep 24
Gold and Silver Shine as the Fed Cuts Rates: What’s Next? - 22nd Sep 24
Stock Market Sentiment Speaks:Nothing Can Topple This Market - 22nd Sep 24
US Population Growth Rate - 17th Sep 24
Are Stocks Overheating? - 17th Sep 24
Sentiment Speaks: Silver Is At A Major Turning Point - 17th Sep 24
If The Stock Market Turn Quickly, How Bad Can Things Get? - 17th Sep 24
IMMIGRATION DRIVES HOUSE PRICES HIGHER - 12th Sep 24
Global Debt Bubble - 12th Sep 24
Gold’s Outlook CPI Data - 12th Sep 24

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

Stock Market Right Back Up...

Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014 Jun 26, 2014 - 10:37 AM GMT

By: Jack_Steiman

Stock-Markets

A reversal to the reversal. Why not. When all seemed ripe for big selling we didn't see any today, although we tried early on for sure. A small gap down that had a chance to at least run somewhat lower. No large gap down suggested today wouldn't be terrible, which I spoke about early on in the morning update, but there was hope that we could move lower throughout the day. It just didn't happen. Why? Hard to say other than the usual. Folks are still looking to buy when there's some decent weakness, and in this market, weakness is about 1% lower.


It is mind numbing to be sure, but that's the mantra of this market now, and that's the way it has been for quite some time. Yesterday was very promising for the bears. A strong reversal down after a failed breakout. This is almost guaranteed to be the top, and it may be, but you have to be impressed with what the bulls were able to do today in the face of what seemed like the end of the run higher for a while to come. It may still be, but today didn't give any evidence to that becoming a reality any time soon. The next few days will be very interesting and very important technically.

Even more bad GDP news early this morning pre-market couldn't get the big gap down going. A big negative number. It is so bizarre but true that the worse the economy is the better the market is simply due to rates. It is crazy for sure, but that's how the market is trading. A strong economy will be the end of the bull market, so as they say, be careful what you wish for. Of course, we all want a strong market, because that's what's best for the masses, but as long as the economy is struggling the market will remain elevated. A correction will occur, but that doesn't mean a bear market is upon us. Weak economic news, or, at worst, okay economic news is good for the market. Only a surging economy will end the bull-run.

Froth remains out of control as the bull-bear spread, once again, was well over 40%. 43.9% to be exact. The tiniest of a move lower, but still in total sell territory. What it will take to get that big gap down is beyond my understanding, and probably everyone else's as well. There is one interesting things going on here though. There was a strong spike in put buying on the S&P 500 today, meaning folks are now expecting a move down in the market. A hard move at that. Maybe that belief will continue to hold things up. Once again, folks, front running, which hasn't paid off at all. Maybe it will this time, but the opposite action took place today versus what the retail trader was doing in terms of a bet on the short-term market direction. Nothing has changed. Nothing at all. The market is still well above support at 4186 on the S&P 500. Only when that level goes away will we have trouble ahead for the bulls.

Keep it light. Keep stops tight. Avoid massive froth and you'll survive it all quite well.

Peace,

Jack

Jack Steiman is author of SwingTradeOnline.com ( www.swingtradeonline.com ). Former columnist for TheStreet.com, Jack is renowned for calling major shifts in the market, including the market bottom in mid-2002 and the market top in October 2007.

Sign up for a Free 15-Day Trial to SwingTradeOnline.com!

© 2014 SwingTradeOnline.com

Mr. Steiman's commentaries and index analysis represent his own opinions and should not be relied upon for purposes of effecting securities transactions or other investing strategies, nor should they be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy any security. You should not interpret Mr. Steiman's opinions as constituting investment advice. Trades mentioned on the site are hypothetical, not actual, positions.


© 2005-2022 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in