Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, October 27, 2016
Stock Market Short-Term Uncertainty Following Economic Data, Earnings Releases / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,210, and profit target at 2,050, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook is neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Thursday, October 27, 2016
Not a Pretty Day for the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices had a volatile session, first gapping lower and snapping back sharply to fill that gap, only to roll over, retest, and slightly take out the lows before a late rally brought them back.
Net on the day, the Dow was up 30.06 at 18,199.33. The S&P 500 was down 3.73 at 2139.43, 8 points off its low. The Nasdaq 100 was down 30.86 at 4860.59, 11 points off its high.
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Wednesday, October 26, 2016
4 Incredible Market Forecasts You Have to See to Believe / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: EWI
Dear reader,
Consider the common thread among these four market calls:
Read full article... Read full article...Forecast 1: A two-month, double-digit rally in a blue-chip stock index, even as investor sentiment hit a negative extreme last seen at the epic market lows of March 2009.
Wednesday, October 26, 2016
3 Reasons Ex-Wall Street Trader Jared Dillian Is Stock Market Net Short Today / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: John_Mauldin
BY MAULDIN ECONOMICS : Take profits and batten down the hatches. That’s the advice of former head of ETF trading Jared Dillian. He believes equity markets are likely to see a rough ride in the next few months.
In a recent interview with Mauldin Economics, Dillian elaborates on three red flags that make a case for a near-term pullback in stocks. Dillian first notes that “the price action is really not that good” in various financial markets.
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Wednesday, October 26, 2016
The Aging of the Microchip Industry Is the Reason Behind This Economic Malaise / Stock-Markets / Technology
By: John_Mauldin
BY GEORGE FRIEDMAN : Classical economics argues that as capitalism matures, competition causes both wages and profits to decline. Wages go down because the early successes of capitalism cause more workers to compete for jobs. Profits decline because more businesses enter markets, causing business failure.
Wednesday, October 26, 2016
The Next big Catalyst for Stocks and Commodities / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Clif_Droke
We’re about to enter that time when financial commentators offer up their best guesses as to what investors can expect in the Near Year. It always makes for fun reading, but it also never fails to disappoint. Instead of engaging in that tired exercise in futility, investors would do better to focus on something more productive. And that would be next year’s most likely catalyst for stock and commodity prices.
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Wednesday, October 26, 2016
Stock Market Cycle Shift / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Ed_Carlson
Last week’s commentary stated that we expected to see a high in the Dow no later than Wednesday. That high didn’t come a day too soon as the index topped on Wednesday at 18,252 and fell to an intra-day low on Friday at 18,050.The Hybrid Lindsay model points to a low this week and it looks increasingly as if the low will come late as short-term cycles have shifted to be more in line with the Lindsay intervals pointing to a low this Friday.
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Tuesday, October 25, 2016
Today is a Stock Market Daily Turn Date / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
While SPX hasn’t broken out above 2154.79 in the Premarket, there is a threat of a final probe to the 50-day Moving Average at 2161.11 that may turn the double zigzag (w-x-y) into an a-b-c formation, which is more appropriate for a Wave 2. That appears to be the pattern in the futures, although the futures and cash markets don’t necessarily have to agree in pattern.
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Tuesday, October 25, 2016
Another Stock Market Gap Goes Nowhere....Huge Earnings Week... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
Let's start with the world of earnings. There have been so many pre-warnings, meaning warnings that were announced before the actual earnings date, that we know the season got off to a bad start. Some giants warned ahead of time, but now we'll focus on those who are waiting for their actual day to announce. This morning we got Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMB), an economically-sensitive stock, to report, and it wasn't pretty. It was down huge for the day. What's so amazing to me so far this particular-earnings season is how low the bar has been set for just about everyone, since we are dealing with eight straight quarters of lowered earnings expectations. It would be easy, one would think, for most to beat with no problem. The actual numbers may be weak, but they are better than expected. Right!? Not happening so far overall. Always good beats, but the number of bad reports is adding up, once again, more than anyone would like.
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Monday, October 24, 2016
Why are Americans Avoiding the Stock Markets; Fear or Lack of Money? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Sol_Palha
The financial crisis of 2008 scarred many individuals and scared away even more; add in the Great Recession, and one can see that the average can come up with many reasons to avoid the stock market. To make matters worse, the unemployment rate remains stubbornly high, and wages in most instances are dropping instead of rising which means that many Americans have little to no disposable income left after expenses. Don't for one second believe the twisted statistics issued by the BLS (Bureau of labour department); those statistics are on par with toilet paper.
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Monday, October 24, 2016
SPX may be completing a double zigzag pattern / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The SPX Premarket appears to be challenging the Triangle formation and the two-hour mid-cycle resistance at 2146.56 in a double zigzag pattern. This may explain the overlapping, corrective structure of the retracement of the decline between October 10 – 13.
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Monday, October 24, 2016
Stocks, Crude Oil and EURUSD Trend Forecasts / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Ken_Ticehurst
We should now begin to see a drop in WTI over the next couple of months and in to 2017, so far the consolidation that has ocurred over the last few weeks has been as forecast and the next down phase we have been modelling for months is now due.
Monday, October 24, 2016
Stock Market Positive Expectations, Will Stocks Continue Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,210, and profit target at 2,050, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook is neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Monday, October 24, 2016
Stock Market Another Month to Go? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: The long-term trend is up but weakening. Potential final phase of bull market.
SPX Intermediate trend: The uptrend from 1810 continues, but it has entered a corrective phase which could extend into November.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Monday, October 24, 2016
Large Sell-off in Stock Market Looming / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Brad_Gudgeon
About every 20 weeks or so there is usually a noticeable sell-off in the stock market. We had the October 15, 2014 low followed 20 weeks later, in mid March, 2015 by a low, which was followed in late August (the 24th) by that low. Then roughly 5 months later on January 20, 2016 by a low, then June 27th and now November 2016. The March 2015 low was a shallow, skipping low as was June 27, 2016 (the Brexit low).
November 2016 also represents the 8-year cycle low due from November 21, 2008. Wednesday next week is exactly 40 weeks from the January 2016 low, so it is due. The 20 week lows are subdivided by 5 and 10 week lows last seen 8/2/16(five), 9/12/16(ten) and 10/13/16(five). The ideal 10/20/40 week low is due Nov 21, 2016 one week.
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Monday, October 24, 2016
Stock Market Boredom Before The Storm / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: John_Rubino
With all the surprising and/or disturbing things going on – Brexit, China’s soaring debt, US/Russia/China saber rattling, the, um, unique US presidential race, the cyber attack that shut down big parts of the US Internet – you’d think that an unsettled world would be reflected in skittish financial markets.
Saturday, October 22, 2016
Still waiting for SPX uptrend to kick off / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Tony_Caldaro
Another choppy week. The week started at SPX 2133. After a decline on Monday to SPX 2124 the market rallied to 2148 by Wednesday. Then monthly options expiration kicked in and the market declined to SPX 2130 by Friday. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.25%, and the NDX/NAZ were +0.85%. Economic reports were mixed. On the downtick: the NY FED, capacity utilization, the NAHB, the WLEI, housing starts, plus weekly jobless claims were higher. On the uptick: industrial production, the CPI, building permits, existing home sales, the Philly FED, and the Q3 GDP est. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by Q3 GDP, durable goods orders and more housing reports. Best to your week!
Friday, October 21, 2016
SPX Triangle has Broken Down / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
SPX Premarket has breached yesterday’s low at 2133.44 this morning. The short-term direction is down and the next support point appears to be the Cycle Bottom and trendline at 2124.63. Free fall may begin below those supports.
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Friday, October 21, 2016
The Fortune at the Bottom of the Pyramid: Golden Opportunity for Frontier Asia / Stock-Markets / Asian Economies
By: Dylan_Waller
The concept of the “Fortune at the Bottom of the Pyramid” was introduced by CK Prahalad, and it describes business strategies used to profit from selling products to the poorest populations in the world. This approach can also be applied to frontier market investing. Frontier market investing often requires an asset-based approach (viewing opportunities presented from less developed populations/countries/industries, rather than focusing on the challenges), as well as a futuristic view of growth trends. Select frontier markets have the potential to economically be on par with other emerging markets in the next 20-30 years.
Thursday, October 20, 2016
The Stock Market is an Accident Waiting to Happen / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
It is abundantly clear that the market decline is being suppressed. However, the decline continues. In the Mid-week Report I put the Master Cycle low at the October 13 low (2114.72). I am not sure that it belongs there yet, due to its shallow nature. In addition, the retracement that peaked out at 2149.19 is unusually small coming from a Master Cycle low. The markets appear to be winding up for a big decline and if there is an “accident” this week, we may still have our flash crash marking the true Master Cycle low. So far, it still has us guessing, but either way, it appears to be bearish.