Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, November 29, 2007
US Economy in Serious Trouble Whilst Asia Booms - What it Means For Your Portfolio / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
The U.S. is not only sneezing, it's struggling to breathe with a bad lung infection. Failing real estate and mortgage markets might just cause the worst recession this country has ever seen.
Meanwhile, to the south in Latin America and to the east in Asia, the world is witnessing huge economic revolutions and spectacular growth.
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Thursday, November 29, 2007
Stock Market Long-Term Bull Trend Still Intact / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
This is a very interesting and important chart right about now. Let's take a closer lookŠand what we see is that this week's action (so far) represents a key upside reversal, which, if the S&P 500 sustains above 1456.70, will indicate a significant change in market direction (UP).
The fact that the recent decline plunged towards the August low (1370.60)
but managed to hold at an equally important support coordinate along the
2003-07 support line suggests strongly to me that the longer-term dominant
uptrend remains very much intact.
Thursday, November 29, 2007
Stock Markets Santa Rally? Sell the Rally! / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
Call today the "running of the bulls." In my youth, I visited the running of the bulls in Pamplona , Spain . It was very messy and nerve wracking, to say the least. Not to mention those who were gored or trampled. As much as participants planned ahead, the bulls would do what they wanted, so you always had to have a backup plan. Today appears to be the last hurrah for the bulls. Any advance beyond this should be considered noise.
Move over, Santa, the Grinch is coming.
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Tuesday, November 27, 2007
Japanese Stock Market Ripe for Advance / Stock-Markets / Japanese Stock Market
A 13% appreciation of the Yen (vs US$) since June, a relief rally in oil (down) approaching quickly, and a bullish intermediate-term price pattern indicate strongly to me that "Japan Inc" and the Japan iShares ETF (AMEX: EWJ) are ripe for the emergence of a powerful advance. The enclosed daily chart of the EWJ shows the upside pivot off of last week's low at 13.18, which my work indicates inaugurated a new upleg that should propel the EWJ to the top of the 18-month pattern above 14.70. Only a plunge that takes out 13.18 wrecks my current outlook.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, November 27, 2007
Stock Market Discounting a Weak US Economy During 2008 / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
December is almost always a great month to be holding utility stocks. Big institutions typically use the time to re-jigger their portfolios to safer fare, and those who've won big during the year will often move to safe havens to better lock in their gains.
The only really bad Decembers for utes have come in the wake of a crisis of fundamentals. One such time was in 1993, as fear and panic began to spread about prospective deregulation. December 2001 was another lousy month, as fallout from the ENRON bankruptcy gripped the industry. And though the worst of the dreadful utility bear market was over by then, December 2002 was no picnic either.
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Tuesday, November 27, 2007
Let Chinease Yuppies - Chuppies Power Your Portfolio! / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
Tony Sagami writes: If your family is like mine, Thanksgiving signals the beginning of the holiday season. Of course, we also have another very important way to kick off the holiday season — we attend a performance of the Nutcracker, in which my daughter Keiko dances.
Keiko has been doing this since age four, and excuse me for sounding like a proud daddy, but she is one of the most talented dancers in our community. This year, she played the French Maid and one of the Flower Girls ... and she was fantastic!
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Tuesday, November 27, 2007
The Stock Market Crash - Market to Fed: Don’t fight the tape! / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Well seasoned traders know that for any trade to work, to work big, that trade needs to be in synch with primary trend of the market.
Now clearly the Fed is a not for profit enterprise but their well healed trading houses should have know better. For months we have witnessed an expanding money supply and for months we have seen a strong bid come into the markets at the most opportune times.
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Monday, November 26, 2007
Global Stock Markets to Crash in Unison / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Susan C. Walker of Elliott Wave International writes: When you're caught in the middle of a bad storm, you don't really care whether it's a tropical depression or a full-strength hurricane. You just know you're hanging on for dear life. The same idea applies to financial markets. When a market is trending up strongly, it's hard to tell whether it's just a bull market or a more dangerous financial mania.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, November 25, 2007
Stock Markets To Decline Towards Tradeable Bottom During the Week / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The good news is: · The market is near a tradable low.
Short Term As of last Wednesday the Russell 2000 (R2K) was down for 6 consecutive days for the first time since July 2006 and for only the 4 th time in the last 5 years. This is an oversold condition that usually occurs near the beginning and end of bear markets.
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Sunday, November 25, 2007
Worsening Credit Crisis Leading to Meltdown of Financial System and Severe US Recession / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch
Take a Look at Professor Roubini's Crystal Ball - Reality has finally caught up to the stock market. The American consumer is underwater, the banks are buried in dept, and the housing market is in terminal distress. The Dow is now below its 200-Day Moving Average -- the first big "sell" signal. Anything below 12,500 could trigger program-trading and crash the market. The increased volatility suggests that we are watching a "real time" meltdown.
International Business editor for the UK Telegraph, Ambrose Evans Pritchard, summed up yesterday's action in the Asian markets:
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Saturday, November 24, 2007
The Four Horsemen of the Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
It's a tough market. It's tough being short because you fear the bounce. It is tough being long because you fear the fundamentals. So where do you go? You can't go into cash because you know it is losing value. It is downright foolish to hold bonds because the only thing worse than holding something that is losing value now is holding something that is likely to lose even more of its value later. Luckily, there is some stability out there, at least from a common sense perspective.
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Saturday, November 24, 2007
Retail Sector Stocks - Will Black Friday be Black or "in the Green" ? / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
1. Its Black Friday, when retailers typically get 10% of their sales today. U.S. and Foreign markets will be closely watching what happens here today. Early this morning, Macy stores were reporting more traffic and sales than last year and they are expecting a really good day. The test for today comes around 2 PM to 3 PM when shoppers come back or drop in numbers. Watch for what happens in the markets from 3 PM to 4 PM today.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, November 24, 2007
Stock Market Bounce Coming - Sucker Rally? / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The Dow Jones Industrial Index is now badly oversold from a technical perspective, and it looks more likely that the markets will bounce up than “collapse”.
Having said this, the most important chart in the array of charts seems to be the Dow Jones Industrial Index below.
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Friday, November 23, 2007
Financial Sector Crash - Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac The New Savings and Loan Crisis / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Mike Larson writes: I don't know about you, but I ate enough turkey and trimmings to last me through Christmas. That's okay — I have plenty to be thankful for, so it's worth celebrating with a big feast once a year!
But in the marbled halls of this nation's leading banks ... and the wood-paneled boardrooms of top investment firms ... it's a whole different story. These guys don't have much of anything to celebrate.
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Friday, November 23, 2007
Investing In Asia - Buy the Technology, Not the Trend / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
Yiannis G. Mostrous and GS Early write: There are two big concepts on growth investors' minds today: Asia and green tech. And for good reason; they both reinforce one another.
India and China is each turning out 600,000 engineers and scientists a year. In comparison, the US is graduating about 50,000.
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Thursday, November 22, 2007
Stock Market Seasonality – Historical Data, Trends & Market Timing / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
We are entering what has historically been the best season to be invested in the stock market. According to Ned Davis Research if an individual invested $1,000 in the S&P 500 index from November 1 st to April 30 th every year from 1950 to 2006 – the ‘winter season' – and held cash in their account for the remainder of each year the account would be worth an astonishing $38,700 before tax considerations.
If, over the same 56 year period, an investor had invested the $1,000 in the S&P 500 index from May 1 st to October 31 st – the ‘summer season' – and held cash in their account for the remainder of each year the account would be worth $916. During that 56 year period an investor in the stock market using this seasonality strategy would have lost money.
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Thursday, November 22, 2007
US Heading For Recession, Dow Theory Stocks Sell Signal and Flight to T-Bonds Continues / Stock-Markets / Recession
Last week I missed a possible headline grabber. On November 15 the Federal Reserve had lent $47.25 billion to fellow bankers, in what may be the largest single day loan to member banks in its history. Folks, the problem isn't going away. On November 2, I reported that the Fed had lent $41 billion, which was the largest daily sum since 9-11.
Bank Reckoning Day came and went with no fanfare.
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Thursday, November 22, 2007
Expecting Double Bottom For Nasdaq Tek Stocks / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
It takes me about 10-12 minutes to prepare one of these chart + text uploads... and lately, I cannot type fast enough to get the thing done before prices are completely out of the range from 12 minutes ago... In this particular case, the Nasdaq 100 Trust Shares (NASDAQ: QQQQ) rallied 20 cts in the past 12 minutes, as we head into the final hour of trading... Let's see if the gains can be preserved for more than a few minutes...Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, November 21, 2007
Dow Theory Stock Market Sell Signal May Be At Hand / Stock-Markets / Dow Theory
In my last article entitled, A Mere Correction or Reversal? I correctly identified the early beginnings of a reversal in motion. I also identified the next decline as a wave 3 or C and suggested it could be no shorter than 8 days, but could be as many as 13 or 21 days. Despite my preference for a 13-day decline, the Dow Jones Industrials (DJIA) had another 8-day decline. The cycle came early and set up the DJIA for yet another decline, a fifth wave.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, November 21, 2007
China and Hong Kong Stock Markets - Don't Bet Against China! / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
Tony Sagami writes: You'll have to excuse your portfolio if it's feeling a little dizzy. After all, the Dow shot up 320 points last Tuesday but then dropped 207 points the next two days. Yesterday, it had another awful time, falling more than 200 points.
Investors are worried about the usual suspects — subprime woes, a weakening dollar, and signs of a rapidly slowing economy that is suffering from $90-plus oil.
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