Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, November 13, 2007
NOLTE NOTES A Volatile Period As Stock Markets Nosedive in the face of Stagflation / Stock-Markets / Inflation
By: Paul_J_Nolte
Ok, so the stock slump we have been looking for was more along the lines of a cliff dive. Worries over the dollar, oil, sub-prime write-offs and the housing markets all conspired last week to push markets down over 4% for the week. Global warming hurt the retail industry, as consumers stayed away from buying their winter garb just yet. We're still confused as to what constitutes “good” weather for shopping. The government's official stats will be released this week and should show retail sales slowed significantly from September's pace.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 12, 2007
Nasdaq Ripe for Potent Recovery Rally / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Paulenoff
The Q's made yet another new reaction low this morning at 49.60, prior to reversing for a rally above 50.00. The new corrective low pierced but did not sustain below key 50% Fibonacci support at 49.80, which is a constructive sign that perhaps the vicious decline has seen its worst for now. My near-term work has turned up in a strong way, suggesting too that the Q's are ripe for a potent recovery rally period that should propel prices into the 51.50-52.00 target zone.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 12, 2007
Next Phase of the Financial Markets Credit Crunch Crisis: The Great Ratings Debacle / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch
By: Money_and_Markets
Martin Weiss and Mike Larson write: Evidence of an imminent U.S. recession is now piling up so high, even Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke had to admit to a slowdown in his testimony to Congress last week …
The housing crisis is gutting the home equity of millions of households, abruptly ending their ability to use it as a personal ATM machine.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 12, 2007
The Trading Game - 150+ Years of Grand Super Cycle Advance is Still Alive and Well / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
By: Joseph_Russo
Classic Elliott Wave Theory implies that there are nine degrees of trend that drive the broad based indices.
The trend that most are concerned with is the long-term or Primary Trend.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 12, 2007
Stock Market ABC Correction Completing - Bull Market End of Year Rally to Begin This Week ? / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The S&P Closed on Friday at 1453, hitting more or less the target for the ABC correction low which coincided with the bull markets major support trend line, which now technically implies that that should be it for this sell off and for the bull market to re-exert itself.
How can I be bullish in the face of all the bearish news ?
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 12, 2007
The Week Ahead in the Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: David_Urban
This week will be interesting to say the least. The large drops were very worrisome but expected in some ways. Internal indicators have been weak in this rally which led me to believe that we would get some sort of a selloff before the year end rally. But timing these selloffs is very tricky.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, November 11, 2007
Stock Market Weekly Update: Trading by Numbers / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Dominick
It was nice to see more of our membership coming in tune with the rhythm of Wall Street this week rather than always being stuck a move behind. The gems in the Nasdaq finally turned into trash this week and, with the help of the financials, had the whole market trading lower. We don't tend to buy high-flyers or sell into holes, but this week really had most Ellioticians scratching their heads.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, November 11, 2007
Loss of Confidence in the US Markets As Credit Crunch Spreads from the Subprime to the Prime / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch
By: Mike_Whitney
America is finished, washed up, kaput. Foreign investors and central banks around the world have lost confidence in US markets and are headed for the exits. The dollar is sinking, the country is insolvent, and its leaders are barking mad. That's bad for business. Investors are voting with their feet. They've had enough. Capital is flowing to China and the Far East in a torrent. It's "sayonara" Manhattan and “Hello” Tiananmen Square. Want some advice? Learn Mandarin.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, November 11, 2007
US Stock Markets Oversold But More Downside Expected / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Burk
The good news is: · The blue chip decline is accelerating which suggests we are approaching at least an intermediate term low.
Short Term
This year there have been 3 sharp declines, the first in late February – early March the second in Late July – early August and last week.
Saturday, November 10, 2007
Credit Crunch Grows From a $2bn to a Trillion Dollar Problem! / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
We seem to be entering a new phase of the credit crunch. The markets are finally catching on that the attempts at minimizing the losses at the banks are not working as the smoke clears and the real losses are becoming more apparent. Bill Gross, the chief investment officer at Pacific Investment Management, Inc. and the manager of the largest bond portfolio in the world recently stated that the sub-prime and alt-a problem exceeds $1 trillion and that he expects to see some $250 billion in defaults. Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, November 10, 2007
Transports Trend Close to Calling Dow Theory Bear Market, Deterioration in the China Shanghai Index / Stock-Markets / Dow Theory
By: Marty_Chenard
Today we will look at the Transportation Index, and what happened in China last night.
A potential market problem we pointed out last Friday, was the Transportation index.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, November 10, 2007
Credit Crunch to Credit Crisis - Financial Sector Crash Continues / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch
By: John_Mauldin
In this issue:
- A Confidence Credit Crunch Credit Crisis
- How Much is That Dog in Your Net Capitalization?
- King Dollar Faces the Guillotine
- The Euro-Yen Cross
- The Consumer is Getting Tired
- New York, Philadelphia, Switzerland and Phoenix
Just when it felt like it was safe to get back in the water, a second and potentially much meaner version of this summer's credit crisis has reappeared. This week we look at why there are more mortgage write downs coming (in a self-fulfilling prophecy) in the financial sector, how an obscure new accounting rule is shedding light on a lot of risk in the world's banking system, how this is all tied to the consumer and is part of the reason for the fall in the dollar.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, November 10, 2007
Risk of Full Blown Financial Crisis - Technicals at a Critical Juncture / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Brian_Bloom
What we are now watching is no longer an intellectual game for the purpose of making money. It is real, and the stakes are far higher than just money.
In context of my most recent article a couple of days ago, the following two charts show just how critical the juncture is that we have reached:
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, November 08, 2007
S&P 500 Violates 1-Year Moving Average Support / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Paulenoff
The big picture of the cash SPX shows that the index has violated its 1-year moving average at 1465 and has the form of an incomplete decline that points next into the 1430/25 target zone. Let's notice that the weekly RSI is pointed straight down and likely is a big warning signal to us that we should expect downside pressure to continue until a considerably oversold condition is established, which is another way of saying that we should look for the SPX to press below 1430/25 to test the powerful 2003-2007 trendline, now at 1390. Rallies from a near-term oversold condition should continue to be short-lived in the upcoming hours.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, November 08, 2007
US Dollar Bear Market That's Threatening Nearly Every Portfolio / Stock-Markets / US Dollar
By: Money_and_Markets
Sean Brodrick writes: Despite some hiccups, the broad indices have had a great run recently, pushed along by good data on jobs, personal spending and more. It's what you call a "Goldilocks market" — a time when the economic data isn't too hot and isn't too cold.
Gross domestic product is rising at a 3.9% clip, so investors feel things are just right, and they keep pushing stocks higher.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, November 08, 2007
Wall Street Tumbles 360 As The Bear Awakes / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Regent_Markets
Wall Street suffered yet another big drop last week, with investors worried about the spreading fallout from the credit crisis at banks, and about a dollar that just keeps getting weaker. The Dow Jones industrial average fell more than 360 points on Wednesday, coincidently just about matching its post FOMC drop on Thursday November 1st says Betonmarket.com 's Michael WrightRead full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, November 07, 2007
Dow Jones Index Break of 13,000 Would Signal Bear Market and Recession / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
By: Brian_Bloom
Assuming reversion to the mean, and assuming historical earnings and dividends are maintained, the $SPX could pull back to 912 (40%) and the Dow Jones Industrials could pull back to 10018 (25%). Strictly speaking, this assumes three things:
- The mood on Wall Street turns Primarily Bearish – thereby pointing to a reassessment based on fundamentals
- Earnings remain constant
- There is a reversion to the historical mean
Wednesday, November 07, 2007
Wall Street Conventional Wisdom and Stock Market Corrections / Stock-Markets / Investing
By: Steve_Selengut
During every correction, I encourage investors to avoid the destructive inertia that results from trying to determine: how low can we go; how long will this last? Investors who add to their portfolios during downturns invariably experience higher Market Values during the next advance. For just as surely as there is a Santa Claus for every five year old, there is another "value stock" rally for every fingernail biting fifty-five year old. Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, November 07, 2007
Potential Top Formation in S&P 500 / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Paulenoff
Notice the potentially massive top pattern that has formed on the S&P 500 Depository Receipts (AMEX: SPY), which is in stark contrast to the still viable uptrend pattern evidenced by the Nasdaq 100 Trust Shares (NASDAQ: QQQQ).Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, November 06, 2007
How to Beat the Market by Playing the Federal Reserver US Interest Rate Cuts / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Hans_Wagner
On October 31, 2007 the Federal Reserve lowered the Fed Funds and Discount rates by 0.25%. This is the second Fed Funds Rate reduction and the third for the Discount rate. In their announcement the Fed hinted that investors should not expect another rate move at their next meeting on December 11, 2007. In the hours after the announcement the market jumped up. The next day it fell on bad news from Citigroup regarding sub-prime mortgage loan write offs. Read full article... Read full article...