Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Friday, April 18, 2008
Government Interventions Tinkering with the Deleveraging Derivatives Monster / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Doug_Wakefield
Staying Alive - The size and frequency of the government's interventions into the markets, especially over the last month, has generated little coverage. Those articles that have addressed this seem to ignore its implications, concluding that the markets will chug along indefinitely. The only real surprise is that these comments have more frequently come from individuals who have written extensively of the morass in our financial system. How is it that so many take such historically profound information in stride? Why does most of the public not recognize the numerous warning signals the real world is giving to prepare for significant changes? Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, April 18, 2008
US Stocks Surge as Foreigners Buy 'Cheap' US Equities / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Paulenoff
So far, this has been a remarkable session, with the SPY holding nearly all of its gains, while oil gyrates from $113 to $116/bbl., gold plunges $25/ounce (I could cry), and the dollar strengthening for no apparent reason. In any case, investors have decided to buy any and every pullback in the SPY.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 17, 2008
Are Corporate Earnings Expectations Too High? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
By: Hans_Wagner
We are in the middle of the first quarter 2008 earnings season. Since the U.S. is in a recession, it is normal to expect the reported earnings to reflect the slowing economy. However, a number of analysts are forecasting a brief slowdown followed by a robust rebound. Is this realistic and a good basis to make investing decisions?
What History Tells Us
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Thursday, April 17, 2008
Stock Market Mega Trend and the Wolf Wave / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Ty_Andros
- Wolf Wave and the Future
- Mega Trend and Micro Stock Market Analysis by Peter Eliades
Introduction
The unfolding economic scenery can only be described as one thing: TUMULTUOUS leading to HUGE OPPORTUNITIES. Inflation in anything which is solid and deflation in everything that is paper, so monetary policy can only address one or the other and fiscal reform (reduction of regulatory, or tax, print and spend policies) is never considered. Volatility is set to expand from today's levels and “Volatility is Opportunity ”. As outlined in the 2008 Outlook (See Tedbits archives at www.TraderView.com ), the Wolf is afoot in the G7 and the consequences to every investable sector will be PROFOUND!
Thursday, April 17, 2008
India One of the Worlds Best Profit Plays for Investors / Stock-Markets / India
By: Martin_Hutchinson
The Indian market as measured by the Mumbai Sensex Index is down 22% this year, about 25% below its all-time high reached in January. That's not very surprising: China is down further (about 35%) and most other emerging stock markets have also fallen. Growth in 2008 seems likely to be slower than in 2007 and there are some signs of a credit crunch. Yet India remains one of the world's great growth opportunities and investors at this level may well be getting in on the ground floor of a very major long-term profit play . Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 17, 2008
Stock Markets Headed Higher Into Summer / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
By: David_Petch
So far the HUI turn date of Monday April 13thish was a few days late, but appears to be on course. The XOI and USD index also are playing out according to their respective Elliott Wave patterns. Analysis below discusses what to expect in the S&P over the course of the next few months. One side note, we have implemented all charts on our site going forward to be HTML coded so that a much larger version is available at the click of a mouse. Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, April 16, 2008
Commodities Reversing US Dollar Bottoming- Yorba TV Show / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Here are the topics for tomorrow's television show on www.yorba.tv Thursday at 4:00 pm EDT.
1) It's almost time for the US Dollar to stop its plunge!
As everyone is
aware, the US Dollar has been in a severe decline since 2001. Over that
time it has declined over 41%. The declining dollar helped to pull the
economy out of the 2001 recession by lowering the prices of exports to
foreign countries. But it also caused a lot of pain to consumers by being
the primary cause of the rising cost of fuel. Depressed investor confidence
in the Dollar is causing foreign investors to start selling dollar
denominated assets, which in turn depresses investor confidence even more.
Wednesday, April 16, 2008
Global Investing Roundups- China Buys 1% of Oil Giant BP / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: Keith_Fitz-Gerald
Wholesale Prices Soar; U.S. Bancorp Sees Earnings Slide; Johnson & Johnson Enjoys 40% Jump in Profit; China Buys 1% of BP for $1.7 Billion; Brazil's Retail Sales Hit Four-Year Record; Crocs Stock Drops; Intel Profit Down; Big Loss for WaMuRead full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, April 16, 2008
Protect Your Wealth from Wall Street Liars / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
By: Jim_Willie_CB
Few seem to remember that Wall Street is not a non-profit community driven by altruism or any sense of service. They would gladly cheat you out of your entire life savings if their actions were legal, or at least not prosecuted. In the last two to three years, the lies, deception, misdirection, false reporting, corruption, and grand fraud will be the topic of historical accounts for decades. When returning on my flights from another successful Cambridge House gold conference, this in Calgary Alberta , many thoughts came to mind, jotted down while gazing at the natural beauty made up from cloud blankets with a sun guarding its lot. The sun and clouds care not at all about economic landscapes underneath, even if in turmoil. Whenever travels take me across national borders, nationalism, idealism, culture, and dreams come to mind. It seems pursuit of truth, clarity, and integrity has become negotiable, one and all in the United States . Its people are being stripped of so much. Perhaps this layout will be helpful. Routinely such matters are covered in the Hat Trick Letter reports. Gold & silver continue to do well to protect individuals and their wealth. Banks are no longer safe, an astonishing conclusion. Bonds are not safe, and neither are money market funds!!!Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, April 15, 2008
New Upleg in Brazil Stock Market ETF / Stock-Markets / Brazil
By: Mike_Paulenoff
In general, the EWZ exhibits a VERY constructive intermediate term chart pattern. All of the price action off of the Jan. low at 64.00 represents the start of a new upleg within the existing longer term bull trend that started in 2002 near 5.00. Furthermore, the decline off of the Feb. 28th high at 88.77 to the March 20 low at 72.11 appears to me to be a completed pullback, and the start of a new upleg that projects to retest 88.00-81.00 on the way to 91.00-93.00. Let's notice how much respect the price structure (investors) have exhibited during tests of the sharply rising 200 DMA. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, April 15, 2008
The S&P 500: Offering Investors Attractive Valuations Or a Bull Trap? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
By: Donald_W_Dony
As the S&P 500 gradually drifts lower in 2008, many analysts and portfolio managers are now saying the index has attractive valuations and are offering investors excellent profit opportunities. But is the S&P 500 really cheap at present levels? And are these recent short-term rallies just a bull trap? Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, April 15, 2008
Stein's Law- Mean Reversion Results in US Wealth Contraction / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: John_Mauldin
This week we look at a remarkable and important essay by my friend Dr. Woody Brock who is one of my favorite "Outside the Box thinking" economists. I seriously look forward to Woody's quarterly insights and devour them as soon as the come in.
I especially urge you to read and re-read the first few paragraphs, and then think about what mean reversion will mean to US wealth growth, and to the developed world in general. This is a very important concept, and basic to economics, but one that has not had enough attention drawn to it. Coupled with high valuations, the headwinds facing traditional investments are getting stronger.
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Sunday, April 13, 2008
Stock Market Update: Make or Break Time / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Dominick
Not only did Friday's inexorable drip lower invalidate several bullish charts that would have seen an extension of the April rally, it also crushed positive sentiment on the Street and reiterated the prevailing wisdom of a bear market. But as we now enter the mine field of earnings season next week, TTC members have covered their shorts as our indications suggest the market has reached a crucial potential support level that will prove to be make or break early next week. Besides, we can always get back on Sunday night when we actually start our week.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, April 12, 2008
Short-term Stock Market Trend Remains Up / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Burk
The good news is: Last weeks sell off was not accompanied by increased volume of issues moving downward.
Short Term The chart below covers the past 9 months showing the NASDAQ composite (OTC) in blue and a 5% trend of NASDAQ downside volume (OTC DV) in black. OTC DV has been plotted on an inverted Y axis so increasing OTC DV moves the indicator downward (up is good). Dashed vertical lines have been drawn on the 1st trading day of each month; the line is red on the 1st trading day of the year.
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Saturday, April 12, 2008
Credit Crisis Spreads Beyond Banks Hitting Corporate Earnings / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Is the consumer “all done in?” - ( Bloomberg ) The Reuters/University of Michigan preliminary index of consumer sentiment decreased to 63.2 this month, the weakest level since 1982, when the jobless rate approached 11 percent, the worst since the Great Depression. In other figures released today, the Labor Department reported that the cost of imported goods climbed 14.8 percent in March from a year ago, led by oil.
``The consumer's feeling increasingly hemmed in,'' said Brian Bethune , director of financial economics at Global Insight Inc. in Lexington , Massachusetts . ``They've got higher energy bills, higher gasoline bills, higher food bills and obviously the employment markets are nowhere near as strong as they were.''
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Saturday, April 12, 2008
Stock Market Valuation and Reversion to the Mean / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
By: John_Mauldin
Market Cycle Math - Where Are We Today?
- Analyze and Strategize
Are we in a bull, a bear, or a cowardly lion market? As we will see, the answer can make a huge difference in your investment portfolio. This week I am at my Strategic Investment conference in La Jolla. About four times a year I take a break from writing the letter and bring in a guest writer. This week Thoughts from the Frontline will have the very distinguished analyst and author Vitaliy Katsenelson.
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Thursday, April 10, 2008
Buy Chinese Stocks Like Crazy! / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
By: Money_and_Markets
Larry Edelson writes: If you're serious about making some money and you haven't already acted on my recent suggestions to buy the heck out of China, then I urge you not to waste another minute.
Look, five years ago the Shanghai stock market was flat on its back. The Shanghai Composite 300 Index was trading at the 1,300 level, and I dedicated one of my Asia trips to China. I wanted to be on the front lines to see what was going on ... and the economy I saw was on fire.
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Thursday, April 10, 2008
Bottom for the Banking and Financial Stocks? / Stock-Markets / Banking Stocks
By: Hans_Wagner
Investors who regularly beat the market are always careful not to jump into a sector to early. In the last few weeks there has been unprecedented action in the financial markets as several banks have received infusions of capital to help them cover their significant credit losses. Last month the Fed lowered the Fed Funds and Discount rate, increasing the slope of the yield curve which should help banks. They also opened its lending window to investment banks giving them a new, stable source of funding. Then the regulators allowed Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to boost their investments in U.S. mortgages by $200 billion, trying to give the mortgage market a boost. Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, April 09, 2008
Who Will Bail Out the US FED? / Stock-Markets / Central Banks
By: Alex_Wallenwein
Whoever believes that the most recent Fed/JP Morgan heist to acquire Bear Stearns, along with other simultaneous and preceding Fed actions, were ”successful” had better check again.
The current crisis is so severe, and it has already forced the Fed to reach into its own balance sheet grab-bag so deeply, that a very legitimate question arises, and the question is this: when the Fed ploughs all the way through its own balance sheet and gets to the bottom of the barrel, who will bail it out?
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Wednesday, April 09, 2008
Relatively Subdued Pullback for Russell 2000 ETF / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Paulenoff
So far despite what feels like a broad-based sell-off, in the lager scheme of things the Russell 2000 Small-Cap ETF (AMEX: IWM) actually has experienced a relatively subdued pullback off of last Friday's high at 71.90 (2.3%), which my work argues is a high-level congestion area atop the March-Aril advance prior to another thrust to the upside. At this juncture, only a sustained breach of key near-term support at 70.30/00 will begin to compromise the developing pattern.Read full article... Read full article...