Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, December 16, 2008
The Biggest Scam of All: Governments Saving us from the Credit Bust / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis Bailouts
The world's becoming a riskier place.
For a while there, it seemed that risk had been abolished. All through the boom, we still had terrorism, and we still had wars – but they didn't seem that important. They were sideshows, niggling little inconveniences in an otherwise near-perfect world.
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Tuesday, December 16, 2008
Stock Markets Focus on FOMC Interest Rate Meeting / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
A wishy-washy, nothing sort of a day for equities yesterday. Although they were on the back foot, they only finished marginally underwater . The Nikkei held up reasonably well overnight despite news that once Teflon Toyota is the ask suppliers to slash prices by up to 30% next year. Steel makers fared the worst on this report. The market is now bracing itself for some ugly numbers from those former-masters-of-the-universe-but-now-humbled Goldman Sachs today before the bell.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, December 16, 2008
VIX- Important Stock Market Indicator / Stock-Markets / Volatility
An important indicator to focus on this week : Fear and confidence ... two opposite emotions that play an important function in the stock market.
With fear and negative expectations, investors won't buy ... or worse, they will SELL driving the market down.
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Monday, December 15, 2008
Stock Markets Start Week on a Down Note / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The market started the week off with a down note. They were lower from the get-go and then had a rather sharp sell-off, particularly on the Nasdaq 100 that took it from over 1200 down to the 1170 area. Mid-day they bounced back and forth, tried to stabilize, did roll over and take out the lows, setting new session lows late in the session. But there was no downside follow-through, and they snapped back very sharply, taking the NDX from 1167 to 1192, or 25 points in about a half hour. The S&P 500 went from 858 to about 874 over the same period of time. In the last 15 minutes they backed off again.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, December 15, 2008
Credit Crisis Bailouts- No Free Lunch / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis Bailouts
I will never forget the walk down the long narrow hallway to the offices of my economics professors in university, and in particular, on the door of one a solitary sign permanently fixed saying ‘NO FREE LUNCH'. At the time, this particular professor was not my favorite because I viewed him as a bit of a ‘hard-ass', where I was unable to calculate the exacting standards he wanted in my work. However as time has passed, this has all changed. Now, with the experience of life behind me, it's almost as if I am viewing the world through his eyes, looking at all the rot and corruption that permeates almost every aspect of our society.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, December 15, 2008
Madoff Madness Exposes Rampant Fraud and Corruption / Stock-Markets / Scams
Corruption, fraud, and greed are rampant in every bull market. When the bear strikes that corruption and fraud are exposed.The biggest fraud in history was perpetrated Bernard Madoff, former chairman of the Nasdaq stock exchange. Many knew he was a crook as explained in Madoff Madness: "I knew he was cheating, That's why I used him" .
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Monday, December 15, 2008
Bailout Or Bankruptcy For The Big Three Automakers? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
Equities recovered late Friday evening with the prospect of the cure all TARP cavalry coming to the rescue of the automakers . But with Bush getting shoes thrown at him in Iraq, the spotlight once again will fall on the troubled banking sector with Goldman Sachs, reporting Tuesday and Morgan Stanley, Wednesday. For all of the economic and corporate releases this week, check out the Weekly Wrap .Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, December 15, 2008
Automaker Bailout Fails, Stock Market Short Lived Optimism Evaporates / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
After an opening surge on Monday, markets had a mixed time of it for the remainder of the week. President elect Barrack Obama’s announcement of a huge public works program helped virtually every market rally against the main trends of the last few weeks. Equities and commodities were higher, while the dollar, bonds, and CDS levels all eased. Unfortunately the optimism didn’t last, with the refusal of congress to ratify the Automaker bailout becoming the catalyst for the selling seen at the end of the week.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, December 15, 2008
Stocks Bear Market Rally Mixed Signals / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Head fake after head fake after violent move after violent move. Welcome to the current bear market that's trying to stage a bear market rally up to and possibly through the 50 day moving averages but can't quite seem to get the job done. It gets close seemingly day after day and the bears are finding a way to knock things down. What looks bullish one day looks bearish the next after the bears get done knocking things down. What looks bearish one day looks bullish the next after the bulls deny the bears from killing things off for good.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, December 14, 2008
Stocks Bear Market Rally Showing Signs of Rolling Over / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Down! The very-long-term cycles have taken over earlier than anticipated and if they
make their lows when expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until 2012-
2014. This would imply that much lower prices lie ahead.
SPX: Intermediate trend - An intermediate low may have been reached in November, but this remains to be confirmed. There is good possibility that January 2009 will bring a new low, or at least a test of the lows.
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Sunday, December 14, 2008
The Market Oracles of Doom / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
New York Magazine: Oracles of doomThey always knew the economy would collapse. What do they think will happen next?
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Sunday, December 14, 2008
Bullish Global Stock Markets Climb a Wall of Worry / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
Despite a litany of bleak economic and corporate news confronting investors during the past week, global stock markets digested the bearish fodder with a sense of aplomb. The MSCI World Index and the MSCI Emerging Markets Index gained 4.4% and 10.9% respectively on the week, with other reflation trades such as gold (+9.1%) and oil (+20.4%) also putting in a strong performance.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, December 13, 2008
Trying to take you off the Investment Roller-coaster / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
I have pleasure in sending you our winter 2008 Investment Report. Do have a look at he website www.ArmstrongDavis.com should you wish to view previous reports as well as our work in the national media. The website should be entirely revamped by the New Year - more user-friendly and interactive.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, December 13, 2008
Stock Market Rally Lacks Follow Through Strength / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The good news is: New lows have continued to decline.
Short Term - On October 10 88% of the issues traded on the NYSE hit new lows, the highest percentage, by almost double, ever recorded. The high percentage of issues hitting new lows makes unlikely we will see significant numbers of new highs any time soon.
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Saturday, December 13, 2008
The Stocks Bear Market Intermission / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Major stock averages have retested their 2002 lows, oil hits the 40 dollar mark and the dollar weakens. Does this now mean that it’s over? Has the bear market run its course? Is a new bull market on the horizon? Will oil go back to 140? Will the new administration fix everything? Will 2009 bring in more of the glory days?Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, December 13, 2008
Biggest Fraud in History $50 billion Madoff Ponzi Scheme / Stock-Markets / Scams
The Madoff fraud story gets Curiouser and Curiouser . Let's take at the headlines starting from the top.Bernard Madoff arrested over alleged $50 billion fraud - Bernard Madoff, a quiet force on Wall Street for decades, was arrested and charged on Thursday with allegedly running a $50 billion "Ponzi scheme" in what may rank among the biggest fraud cases ever.
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Saturday, December 13, 2008
Senate Rejects Automakers Bailout, Stock Market Implications / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
The bailout plan for GM and closely held Chrysler LLC was rejected last night after talks failed over Republican senators' demands that union workers accept a cut in wages next year. GM and Chrysler said they may run out of cash for their operations as sales head toward their lowest in 17 years.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, December 12, 2008
Stock Market Extreme Panic Volatility / Stock-Markets / Volatility
If it is not already happening, someday soon some entrepreneur will start selling t-shirts proclaiming “I Survived the Great Stock Panic of 2008”. The last few months' market action has been so unprecedented, and so brutally unforgiving to trade, that emerging from it ready to keep trading is an impressive feat. Many traders have lost everything because of their leverage while many more have totally given up on trading.
As a speculator, I found this stock panic very painful like everyone else and I can't wait for the markets to resume some semblance of normalcy. But as a student of the markets, the last few months were the most fascinating I have ever witnessed. People are going to be talking about and studying the Great Stock Panic of 2008 for generations. Yet we got to live through it and witness its fury firsthand in real-time!
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Friday, December 12, 2008
Stock, Commodities and Currency Futures Markets Analysis 12th December / Stock-Markets / Futures Trading
The March NASDAQ 100 was sharply lower overnight due to profit taking triggered by disappointment over the senate's failure to pass a bailout bill for the auto industry. The overnight sell off has led to a decline below the 20-day moving average crossing at 1154.67. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought and are turning bearish signaling that a short-term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 1154.67 would confirm that a short- term top has been posted while opening the door for sideways to lower prices possibly into the end of this year.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, December 12, 2008
Stock Markets Nosedive as Senate Says No to Auto Bailout / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis Bailouts
Detroit's auto bailout drives down a Congressional cul-de-sac. To add to this, GM has hired a bankruptcy lawyer, Bank of America is to cut 35k jobs and weekly jobless claims have soared to 573k (a two year high). Just to rub salt in the wounds, JP Morgan's Jamie Dimon tells us that 2009 is going to be another anus horribulus horror show for banks. Its no wonder the Dow Future is off 275 as I scribble.Read full article... Read full article...