Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, September 08, 2009
Unemployment hits 28-Year High, Stock Market Soars... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
We have to acknowledge our bullish BIAS and exit the short positions in the major index ETFs. We aren't confident yet that the recent highs that represent resistance will be immediately broken, but there is further room to run higher here before these levels are challenged. Tuesday is the first day when traders return from holidays and trading volume is expected to return to normal as compared to the light summer volumes.
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Tuesday, September 08, 2009
Stock Market Trend, Looking for Clues in the Current Action / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Clues - Looking for clues to read the current action.
Stock Barometer Analysis
The barometer has issued a Buy Signal, Placing us in Buy Mode.
Tuesday, September 08, 2009
Getting Ready To Average Into Short Stock Market Funds / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Trade Actions:
Buy SH ( Short SP ) at 57 or better
Buy RWM ( Short Russell ) at 48 or better
Monday, September 07, 2009
The Crumbliest Flakiest Stocks Bull Market Never Tasted Before / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The $17 billion hostile bid for Cadbury 'should' bring home the inherent underlying actual strength of this bull market as the bid signals that business is returning to normal. Today's bid by Kraft Foods sent the Cadbury stock price soaring by more than 38% and clearly illustrates that multinationals are increasingly awakening from credit crisis fear to taste greed at being able to pick up corporate giants such as Cadbury at rock bottom recession prices even after a 38% one day price hike. Watch this space for many more mega bids to come as the bull market momentum continues to gather steam as we have a long, long way to go before we reach the Merger and Acquisition mania levels associated with BULL market Peaks.
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Monday, September 07, 2009
Stock Market Rally in Retreat / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Are the bulls waving the white flag?
Maybe things aren't quite that dramatic, but two of my indicators are singing the same tune that I have been for over two weeks now. Not to sound like a broken record, I still think we will see some lower prices in this consolidation before the bulls come back to storm the castle and take over price action once again.
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Monday, September 07, 2009
Stock Market Not Quite Ready to Rollover Yet / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
General Commentary: The system remains on a Neutral signal (with a bearish bias).
The markets don't seem quite ready to rollover just yet, but it seems that a corner was turned this past week.
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Monday, September 07, 2009
Stock Market Top Requiring Time to Develop / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
If a market top is developing, it will take several weeks to do so as the bullish extremes of the last several months need to be unwound. I have been stating the following for several weeks now: 1) the greatest gains are behind us; 2) the markets are to trade in a range with an upward bias; 3) there will be a bid under the market; 4) it will be tough to short or bet against this market for the foreseeable future.
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Sunday, September 06, 2009
Financial Crisis, US Market Trends / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Planned job cuts by US employers fell to 76,456 in August, down 21% from 97,373 in July says, Challenger, Gray & Christmas. Although job cuts slowed they are up 1.07 million from January through August - 60% higher yoy.
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Saturday, September 05, 2009
Five More Banks Go Bust, Stocks Retrace as Gold Breaks Out / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Five more failed banks!
These are taken from the FDIC Failed Bank List. No further comment is necessary.
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Saturday, September 05, 2009
Stock Market Critical Support Holds..... Consolidation Continues... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
A very interesting week has concluded with the market doing its usual number of head fakes both up and down, but with the greatest frustration, unquestionably felt by the bears who really had their hands around the neck of the bulls but simply couldn't get the job done. Something that has taken place many times over the past many weeks.
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Saturday, September 05, 2009
Stock Markets Bounce on U.S. NFP Unemployment Data / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Employment Situation is less than meets the eye. - Nonfarm payroll employment continued to decline in August (-216,000), and the unemployment rate rose to 9.7 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Although job losses continued in many of the major industry sectors in August, the declines have moderated in recent months.
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Saturday, September 05, 2009
Stock Market Hits Major Resistance, A Time for Caution and Respect / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
It has been a rally with no significant upside resistance for the S&P 500 ... until now.
In 2007, the market started its journey down in a ride where many investors where afraid to jump off of the moving train. Since March of this year, many have left their fear behind as the S&P moved up once again in a rally with Government and Fed rhetoric singing songs of "the recession is over".
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Friday, September 04, 2009
Prechter Stands Alone Again... He's Done the Math / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Neil Beers writes: So Bob Prechter is bearish again.
That may be no surprise to some, but recall that Prechter was about the only bull on February 23 of this year when he covered the short position he had recommended on July 17, 2007. That was nearly two years later and 800 points lower in the S&P. And the Daily Sentiment Index (DSI) reading for the S&P had gotten down to only 3% bulls!
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Friday, September 04, 2009
Will the Stock Market Also Defy September History? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The market has done quite a job of ignoring its history so far this year.
It experienced a sizable loss of 25% in January and February, during its usually positive winter months, not launching into a sizable rally until March (while still in its historically favorable period).
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Friday, September 04, 2009
Stock Market Bulls Jump in on Light Volume / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
We continue to be patient with our positions moving slightly against us. The very light trading volume seen makes it difficult to believe in this modest move. Our BIAS is still bullish so we continue to monitor the market moves to determine whether we will be forced to move back into a long position.
Friday, September 04, 2009
How Overpriced Is The Stock Market S&P 500 Index? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
Inquiring minds are wondering How Overpriced Is The S&P?
It's an excellent question given bulls feel the market is headed much higher while the bears feel the opposite after a remarkable 50% rally.
Friday, September 04, 2009
The Ten Rules of Silver Investing / Stock-Markets / Gold & Silver 2009
The following is a recent interview l did with Ellis Martin on the first rule of silver investing. As you will read, we got off topic but did cover a great deal of current concerns of investors.
Ellis Martin: Many years ago you were asked to write the ten rules of silver investing. Let’s start with that today. Rule Number One, when all else fails, there is silver . . . ?
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Friday, September 04, 2009
The Rate of Inflation and the Stock Market Rally? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The million dollar question what is real? The rate of inflation or a new stock market rally?
We are bombarded on CNBC or Bloomberg with one speaker after another stating… No INFLATION! The Rate of Inflation is nothing…or the average inflation will be minus x %. At the same time we hear speakers after speakers discuss green shoots …that the recession is over etc.
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Friday, September 04, 2009
Stock Market Bounce Day 2 / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The market is poised for Friday action.
Stock Barometer Analysis
The barometer is in Sell Mode.
Friday, September 04, 2009
Unwinding..... Stock Market Bearish Case Takes A Bit Of A Hit... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The bearish case, which just a few days ago, looked pretty good, now has a bit of a problem. Let me first say that the bearish case is far from dead. There are lots of possibilities out there that can play out bearishly but the near term picture has changed a bit. The biggest headache for the bears is the fact that we had some very overbought daily charts with some nasty negative divergences in place. These charts have really unwound most of the overbought conditions and the Macd's have thus pulled way down, working off those nasty divergences.
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