Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Sunday, September 13, 2009
Stock Market Critical Timing Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
We have a Key Reversal Date coming in this week - which is worth paying attention to.
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Sunday, September 13, 2009
Stock Market Counter Trend Rally Near Reversing, Awaiting Top Confirmation / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Down! The very-long-term cycles have taken over and if they make their lows when expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until 2014. This would imply that much lower prices lie ahead. This will not be a straight-down decline, but a series of intermediate-term rallies and declines until we have reached the low point.
SPX: Intermediate trend - near reversing! The counter-trend rally which started in March is soon coming to an end. The price objective for a high is being reached and, to deceleration, we have now added negative divergence. But we cannot call a top until we have a confirmed reversal.
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Sunday, September 13, 2009
Stock Market Top Yet? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
This is the million dollar question...
SOS Timing Indicator
Indicators are at an extreme, this can suggest a top. We also have a key reversal date on 9/14 - which is Monday. So well recommend puts.
Sunday, September 13, 2009
Stock Market Investor Sentiment Bullish Fodder / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
The "It Takes Bulls To Make A Bull Market" scenario is playing out, and the best thing to do is not fight the tape. However, someone forgot to tell the Rydex market timers who continue to look for a top and short the market. For the last two months, they have become short covering fodder for the bulls.
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Sunday, September 13, 2009
How to Prepare For China’s Coming Derivatives Default / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
In case you have not heard the news, China has announced that it will be instructing its state-owned enterprises to potentially default on their derivatives contracts. As I have written extensively in the past, the derivatives market is a massive time bomb just waiting to go off. China’s latest move may be the match that lights the fuse.
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Sunday, September 13, 2009
Greenback Gases, Gold and the Meltdown of the Global Financial System / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
At the end of a good movie, oftentimes apparently unrelated events are woven together and it becomes clear how and why things happened. If, today, it feels as if we are at the end of an era, it is because we are; and, just like the movies, only at the end do certain events and the reasons for them become clear.
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Sunday, September 13, 2009
Three More Banks Go Bust, Tax Payers Stuck With More Toxic Assets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
These are taken from the FDIC Failed Bank List. No further comment is necessary.
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Sunday, September 13, 2009
FInancial and Economic Crisis Compares to Collapse of the Soviet Union - Video / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
"Seriousness of the Crisis Cannot be Exaggerated, Closest Comparison is the Collapse of the Soviet Union" George Soros
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Sunday, September 13, 2009
Investment Profit Opportunities in India / Stock-Markets / India
I write a lot about China, but it isn’t the only country I pay close attention to. Another country that deserves your careful investment attention is India.
First of all, India is Asia’s third-largest economy after Japan and China. And with 1.2 billion citizens, it is the second most-populous country on the planet.
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Saturday, September 12, 2009
The US Government's Journey to Economic and Stock Market Collapse, Are we there yet? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Regular visitors to LRC are probably scratching their heads by now. How can the U.S. stock market continue to zoom higher each day while the best that can be said of the U.S. economy is that the pace of job losses has slowed? Why are debates over massive new government programs overshadowing the economic typhoon that is slamming tens of millions of families with legions of unemployed adults?
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Saturday, September 12, 2009
Nasdaq and S&P 500 Stock Markets Breakout Over Two Year Downtrend Lines / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The charts for the past month, if not more, have been suggesting, in normal times, that this market was about to take a big hit to the down side. After all, there have been existing massive negative divergences on many of the dailies on both the index charts and many individual stock charts, especially the leading stocks such as Apple Inc. (AAPL), Google Inc. (GOOG), and more. It's even more pronounced on recent leaders such as the financial stocks, especially the Financial Select Sector SPDR (XLF), or the Emerging Markets Telecommunications Fund Inc. (ETF) for that group of stocks. Just awful looking charts abound about everywhere.
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Saturday, September 12, 2009
Stock Market S&P 500 Uptrend Remains Intact and Dominant / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
It is remarkable that after a 6% upmove in six sessions, the S&P 500 closed down only 0.13% on Friday.
Early in the session the SPX made a new multi-month peak at 1048.18 prior to pulling back a bit. The price weakness did NOT inflict any meaningful damage to the nearest-term September uptrend. Only a decline that breaks 1025 will inflict preliminary damage, while a breach of 1008 will exacerbate the damage to a point of concern.
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Friday, September 11, 2009
The Financial Industry Will Not Be Reigned In! / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
Did you think it would last, that feeling that Congress and the people were mad as hell and not going to take it anymore?
I refer to the anger over what Wall Street and the banking industry has done to the nation yet again, and the determination they will be brought under control so it can never happen again.
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Friday, September 11, 2009
Are the Bailed Out Banks Speculating With Taxpayer Money? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Under Quantitative Easing, the value of the Total Securities Held Outright on the Fed's Balance Sheet has increased by $917 billion- from $584 billion to $1.5 trillion. This has been accompanied by an almost linear increase in the S&P 500 Index, from 721 at QE announcement on March 18 to 1048 today.
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Friday, September 11, 2009
Profit Opportunity Knocks, But Beware The Stock Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
- Will China Break The Cartel’s Grip on the Gold Price? -
“Opportunity knocks” in today’s Treacherous Markets, as it were; but not necessarily on the long side.
Consider Gold.
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Friday, September 11, 2009
Financial Collapse, Whatever Happened to the Lehman Lad? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
"Look what happens when you let a financial system get to the edge of collapse..."
CASTING professional Seventies' Geordie James Bolam as Bank of America chief Ken Lewis was an inspired choice. This week's ridiculous BBC drama, The Last Days of Lehman Brothers, would scarcely be funnier without him.
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Friday, September 11, 2009
U.S. Dollar Extends Fall, FTSE Closes Above 5,000 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Financial market review - Foreign Exchange - The USD came under renewed selling pressure this week, reacting to a further decline in US 3-month libor and equity market optimism. A fall in the VIX volatility index implied greater demand for higher risk assets. Interestingly, the JPY and CHF outperformed the commodity and high yielding currencies like the CAD, AUD and NOK. Sterling caught up with the move and ended the week among the top three gainers. GBP/ USD vaulted 1.67, supported by stronger UK data and the BoE decision to leave Bank rate on hold at 0.50% and the QE target at £175bn. EUR/USD crossed 1.46 and USD/CHF fell below 1.05.
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Friday, September 11, 2009
All the Major Stock Market Indices Closed at 2009 Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
All the major indexes, the Russell-2000, and the Semiconductor Index (SOX 325.82) all moved to new 2009 highs. We continue to monitor the SOX as the leader of this rally. Unfortunately, the Semiconductors holders which we regularly report on only move two cents higher, so there is a clear disconnect between this and the SOX.
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Friday, September 11, 2009
Dumb Money Indicator Stock Market Predictability / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
Several weeks ago a reader wrote me to suggest that there is no predictability to the "Dumb Money" indicator. I think I understood what the reader was stating especially since the indicator has been stuck in a super bullish extreme (i.e, bear signal) for several months now while the equity markets have gone higher. I take the reader's question seriously, and feel that it is a worthwhile query that requires a thoughtful answer.
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Thursday, September 10, 2009
Rydex Assets, Stock Market Leveraged Bulls v. Leveraged Bears / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
Looking at figure 1, which is a daily chart of the S&P500, we note that the amount of assets in the Rydex leveraged and bearish funds are now greater than the assets in the leveraged and bullish.
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