Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Wednesday, September 02, 2009
Financial Stocks on Tsunami Watch / Stock-Markets / Banking Stocks
After seeing quite a large rally from the March lows the market appears to be extended and indicators (stocks above 200 day moving average, market PE, bullish/bearish %'s) are signaling some rough seas ahead. While stock could conceivably move higher there are a few reasons why I am bearish at the present time.
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Wednesday, September 02, 2009
Stock Market Down Move has Potential? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Potential?
The markets sold off hard on Tuesday, this move has potential.
Wednesday, September 02, 2009
Strengthening Yen Spells Trouble for the Carry Trade and S&P500 / Stock-Markets / Yen Carry Trade
The Yen Carry Trade has provided an enormous source of capital for traders around the world. The strength or weakness of the Japanese currency played a vital role during the last bull market and the present bear equity down turn. Though the longer-term picture for the Yen appears favourable for a continuation of the carry trade, the recent month-over-month relationship between the S&P 500 and the Yen is turning against the index.
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Tuesday, September 01, 2009
Stock Market Speculative Disaster / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
On February 28th in Panic Selling Will Lead to a Sharp Bounce we stated, "investors should be positioning themselves for a countertrend rally…We do not expect that this is the ultimate low, merely a level that will support a multi-month bounce. This reflationary bounce will be much stronger (and possibly last longer) than any other rally we have seen since October 2007. Its purpose is to put to rest the widespread fear currently in the market…This temporary bottom will support a sharp bounce into the fall.”
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Tuesday, September 01, 2009
Legendary Investor Betting on Another Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Having studied under two legendary value investors Max Heine and Michael Price, Winters has a long history of producing outsized gains: before he was 40, he was overseeing some $35 billion in assets as Chief Investment Officer for Franklin Templeton Advisors. During this period (2001-2004), David outperformed the S&P 500 by an average of 10% a year.
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Tuesday, September 01, 2009
Stock Market Investors September Warning / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
William Patalon III writes: When the "Great Crash" came in 1929, it came in October. So, too, did the infamous "Crash of '87." And last year, during a tortuous October that led to even lower lows in the months to come, the Standard & Poor's 500 Index lost 19% of its value in just 30 days.
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Tuesday, September 01, 2009
Daily Stock Market Trend Indications / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Note that if your broker had trouble finding shares to borrow so you could short TLT, you can take a long position (buy) shares of TBT. It is a 2x Inverse TLT ETF meaning that it should move approximately twice what TLT will, but in the opposite direction. So, you can buy half as many shares of TBT to approximate shorting shares of TLT.
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Tuesday, September 01, 2009
Stock Market Forecast S&P500 1400 by End 2010, and 400 by 2014 / Stock-Markets / Forecasts & Technical Analysis
Merrill Lynch Asia (Bank of America) strategists Sadiq Currimbhoy, Arik Reiss, and Jacky Tang suggest that the S&P 500 could soar another 40% by December 2010 before it collapses completely based on a unique comparison with the Nikkei 225. (Before you reject this possibility out of hand please read the entire article.)
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Tuesday, September 01, 2009
Stock Market Heading Lower or Bear Trap? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Interesting Start
The markets initial move is lower, but is it the start of a large move lower, or a bear trap?
Monday, August 31, 2009
History Repeating Towards Dollar, Bonds and Stocks Crashing in Unison / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Many are now talking about how the markets appear to be managed these days, and these people are now taking conspiracy theories in this regard far more seriously. And without a doubt the Fed and Treasury are working overtime to keep the bubbles afloat, the bubbles in both equities and debt. The key in this regard for now is keeping interest rates low, however this will not be enough forever if revenues keep shrinking in the face of rising costs. Sooner or later, foreigners will see the US has no hope of honoring it’s debts short of hyperinflation and continued acceleration in monitization efforts (particularly in debt markets), and will begin pulling sufficient assets out of American markets to send market interest rates past the margin consumers can handle.
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Monday, August 31, 2009
Major Financial and Commodity Markets Turning Point Dead Ahead (Part I) / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Major Financial and Commodity Markets Turning Point Dead Ahead (Part I)
A Transitional Period in Intermarket Relationships Will Likely Give Way to New Secular Trends
THE BULLBEAR MARKET REPORT
A pullback to support in equities is likely and could set up a long term buying opportunity. The US Dollar has begun a stealth, technical Bull Market. The Bull Market in commodities is arguably over.
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Monday, August 31, 2009
Robert Prechter Warns Financial Crisis Worst is Not Over! / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
Dear reader,
Our friends over at Elliott Wave International (EWI) are offering Bob Prechter’s recent 10-page market letter, free. It challenges current recovery hype with hard facts, independent analysis, and insightful charts. You’ll find out why the worst is NOT over and what you can do to safeguard your financial future. Learn more.
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Monday, August 31, 2009
Stock Market System Neutral with Bearish Bias / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The system remains on a Neutral signal (with a bearish bias).
Just as day is followed by night, so too will the current enthusiasm be followed by a decline (and probably within the next few weeks). Apart from September being a traditionally weak period, there are growing signs that the market is unable to sustain its upward movement.
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Monday, August 31, 2009
New Stock Market Sell Signals for SPX and NDX / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
Official signal: SELL Signal on SPX __ __ __ __
SELL Signal on NDX __ __ __ __
Sunday, August 30, 2009
Stock Market 6 Month Counter Trend Rally Ending / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Down! The very-long-term cycles have taken over and if they make their lows when expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until 2014. This would imply that much lower prices lie ahead. This will not be a straight-down decline, but a series of intermediate-term rallies and declines until we have reached the low point.
Sunday, August 30, 2009
Trading Dow Jones ETF IYJ / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Welcome to The J.E.D.I. Way.
LONG-TERM TREND (> 1YR) OF THE MARKETS: UP
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Sunday, August 30, 2009
Stock Market Investors Still Climbing A Wall of Fear / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
Many of the major world indices are highly correlated and move in tandem following a move in the same direction and forming a similar pattern in time, at least in 60-70% of the observations. There is quite some research done and available on the Internet on this stock market “synchronicity” phenomenon. In the current bullish counter trend since March 2009 many of the world indices are moving in tandem, nicely following a similar path and pattern in time. This stock market synchronicity phenomenon can be an aid in pinpointing the likely target in time or price for stock markets to change direction in the near future.
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Sunday, August 30, 2009
Stock Market, No Selling Yet / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
No Selling Yet
The market is holding up well, which weighs into our call.
Sunday, August 30, 2009
Stock Market Rally is Over, Doji Dejavu / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Doji Dejavu
It is happening all over again.
Sunday, August 30, 2009
Caution Remains Over the Robustness of Any Economic Recovery / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Stock markets, in general, again logged gains last week as pundits perceived economic data to be better than expected. But the recovery path is not home and dry yet, as shown by declines in crude oil, a number of emerging stock market indices, small cap indices and high-yield corporate bonds. All said, risky assets displayed some fatigue despite positive economic reports.
Caution remained over the robustness of any economic upswing, as reflected by the solid performance of government bonds, with safe-haven currencies such as the US greenback and the Japanese yen also edging up.
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