Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, September 04, 2009
The Rate of Inflation and the Stock Market Rally? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The million dollar question what is real? The rate of inflation or a new stock market rally?
We are bombarded on CNBC or Bloomberg with one speaker after another stating… No INFLATION! The Rate of Inflation is nothing…or the average inflation will be minus x %. At the same time we hear speakers after speakers discuss green shoots …that the recession is over etc.
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Friday, September 04, 2009
Stock Market Bounce Day 2 / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The market is poised for Friday action.
Stock Barometer Analysis
The barometer is in Sell Mode.
Friday, September 04, 2009
Unwinding..... Stock Market Bearish Case Takes A Bit Of A Hit... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The bearish case, which just a few days ago, looked pretty good, now has a bit of a problem. Let me first say that the bearish case is far from dead. There are lots of possibilities out there that can play out bearishly but the near term picture has changed a bit. The biggest headache for the bears is the fact that we had some very overbought daily charts with some nasty negative divergences in place. These charts have really unwound most of the overbought conditions and the Macd's have thus pulled way down, working off those nasty divergences.
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Friday, September 04, 2009
Stock Market Strong Snapback Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The indices had a strong snapback off early losses that held support and at the end burst through 3-day resistance and closed at the session highs going away.
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Friday, September 04, 2009
When it Comes to China, Australia Shows Investors How to Maximize Profits / Stock-Markets / Resources Investing
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: A $15 billion deal for liquefied natural gas (LNG) involving Australia, China and global-oil heavyweight Exxon-Mobil Corp. (NYSE: XOM) has prompted many investors to worry that China may be using its global-markets muscle to "paper over" cracks in the global economy.
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Friday, September 04, 2009
1930's Depression Bear Market a Plausable Reality for Todays Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Half Empty circa 1930
In similar fashion to the present wisdom held by the majority of professionals, it is with certainty that the majority of those embedded in the ’29 quagmire viewed their 48% V-shape rally in the Dow as the start of a full economic recovery, an end to the crisis, and a sure sign of a permanent return to prosperity.
Thursday, September 03, 2009
Banking Sector Practices, Sure It’s Legal… But Is It RIGHT? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
Folks, I’d like to ask your indulgence today. Typically we reserve these pages for in-depth analysis of the stock market and economy. But I’ve grown FED UP with the complete lack of coverage that one area of the current crisis has received.
Ever since the Financial system started imploding in July 2007, I’ve heard countless folks talk about liquidity, bull markets, bear markets, the dollar, bailouts, etc. But there’s one thing I’ve heard virtually NO ONE talk about. That is:
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Thursday, September 03, 2009
Stock Market The Insider Selling Fallacy Exposed / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
The market rally has been strong and the bears continue to look for anything that could signal the downturn they’ve been waiting for months on to come.The latest “it makes sense on paper” market myth the bears have clung onto has been insider trading activity.
Insider trading is when corporate insiders like directors and executives buy or sell their own companies stock. It’s legal, regulated, and the insiders must disclose within four days of when they buy or sell their companies shares.
Thursday, September 03, 2009
World Wide Stock Market Crash on Pause / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Don't Be So Sure - Things Aren't Exactly 'Normal' - Starting in late 2007 and through 2008 a historic, worldwide market crash brought some of the largest corporations in the world to their knees. Between bankruptcies and bailouts, many massive financial institutions have been struggling simply to keep alive. Trillion dollar currency markets have been thrashing up and down like penny stocks. The largest housing bubble in history has popped with governments intervening and thereby prolonging the effects. Worldwide trillions of dollars in market equity has been lost.
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Thursday, September 03, 2009
Stock Market Sector Investing, Use Fundamental or Technical Analysis? / Stock-Markets / Sector Analysis
Sector rotation investing is a successful strategy that takes advantage of the stages of the business cycle to identify industry groups that are more likely to outperform the market in each stage. Sam Stovall helped to highlight the value of sector rotation investing with his book titled Standard & Poor's Guide to Sector Investing 1995.
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Wednesday, September 02, 2009
Stock Market Late Rollover Puts Indices in Negative Column / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The indices ended the day with losses to follow up yesterday's decisive decline, but the going was volatile. The indices opened sharply lower to new pullback lows, and then rallied just as sharply to test yesterday afternoon's rally highs but couldn't get through. They then came down to retest, made new lows on the SPX but failed to do so on the NDX, and that resulted in a snapback rally that went right back up to resistance again and failed.
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Wednesday, September 02, 2009
Is the Stock Market Really Insane? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
Stop the Market Insanity
That’s what a CNN headline demanded over the weekend.
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Wednesday, September 02, 2009
Treat Any Stock Market Weakness as a Buying Opportunity / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
Claus Vogt writes: The seasonal market statistics are clear: September has historically been the worst month for stocks of the year. Plus it’s followed by October, the month of the most spectacular stock market crashes in history.
This is why many bears — who have actually gotten more visible again during the past few weeks — say it’s time to get out of the market now.
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Wednesday, September 02, 2009
Banking Crisis Accelerates as Number of Problem Institutions Grows / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
“‘The Nation was rich, Trade prodigiously great, Paper-Credit run high, and the Goldsmiths in Lombard-street, &c, commanded immense sums…’ was how Daniel Defoe remembered the 1680s.” – Devil Take the Hindmost: A History of Financial Speculation
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Wednesday, September 02, 2009
Stock Market Drop Darkens the Outlook for an Already Bleak Month For Investors / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
When it comes to U.S. stocks, the first trading day of September typically sets the tone for the rest of the month.
And with share prices having hit a sour note yesterday (Tuesday), investors probably shouldn't anticipate a positive showing for the rest of September.
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Wednesday, September 02, 2009
Nasdaq Important Trading Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Today we are going to be examining the NASDAQ Index. This market, which made its peak in 2000 at the height of the dot com bubble, remains in a secular bear market.
After making a low in March of 2001, this market has had multiyear recovery which has rallied it very close to a 50% Fibonacci retracement level. After a nearly 50% recovery, this market now appears to be faltering.
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Wednesday, September 02, 2009
Does September Equal Stock Market Sell? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
It doesn’t take much to spook investors on the first day back in school. After a stonking ISM number that 2 months ago would have been worth a triple digit gain, we end up the day off 2% (led by a 5%+ dump in financials) on some vague rumour of a “West Coast Bank” in trouble, hedge funs collapsing, (Cererbus, who have big holdings in GMAC and Chrysler, formally denied that some of their funds were in trouble), chatter of Wells Fargo doing a rights issue to repay the TARP (very unlikely and later denied) and a rather sobering outlook of what the “new normal” may be like from the bouffant Bill Gross of PIMCO. And this down move came in the heaviest traded volume since May 7th, with the VIX ratcheting up to levels not seen since early July.
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Wednesday, September 02, 2009
Overbought Stock Market Being Evaluated / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Will the cure be worse than the disease? Good news was everywhere last week, as housing looks to be turning, consumers did well with the cash for clunkers program and confidence is high (even though incomes failed to rise). Unfortunately the equity markets remained subdued while bond yields fell. The coming week is the usual beginning of the month heavyweights of employment and data from supply management reports on manufacturing and services.
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Wednesday, September 02, 2009
Stock Markets Turning Lower / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
In our last newsletter, we have been reflecting about the possibility of a nearing turning point in the markets. Yesterday, the stock market declined on significant volume despite good economic news. This is definitely no good news for bulls. Having breached the red sell line on the longer term charts, stock markets tumbled lower.
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Wednesday, September 02, 2009
Financial Stocks on Tsunami Watch / Stock-Markets / Banking Stocks
After seeing quite a large rally from the March lows the market appears to be extended and indicators (stocks above 200 day moving average, market PE, bullish/bearish %'s) are signaling some rough seas ahead. While stock could conceivably move higher there are a few reasons why I am bearish at the present time.
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