Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, September 03, 2009
Stock Market The Insider Selling Fallacy Exposed / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
The market rally has been strong and the bears continue to look for anything that could signal the downturn they’ve been waiting for months on to come.The latest “it makes sense on paper” market myth the bears have clung onto has been insider trading activity.
Insider trading is when corporate insiders like directors and executives buy or sell their own companies stock. It’s legal, regulated, and the insiders must disclose within four days of when they buy or sell their companies shares.
Thursday, September 03, 2009
World Wide Stock Market Crash on Pause / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Don't Be So Sure - Things Aren't Exactly 'Normal' - Starting in late 2007 and through 2008 a historic, worldwide market crash brought some of the largest corporations in the world to their knees. Between bankruptcies and bailouts, many massive financial institutions have been struggling simply to keep alive. Trillion dollar currency markets have been thrashing up and down like penny stocks. The largest housing bubble in history has popped with governments intervening and thereby prolonging the effects. Worldwide trillions of dollars in market equity has been lost.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, September 03, 2009
Stock Market Sector Investing, Use Fundamental or Technical Analysis? / Stock-Markets / Sector Analysis
Sector rotation investing is a successful strategy that takes advantage of the stages of the business cycle to identify industry groups that are more likely to outperform the market in each stage. Sam Stovall helped to highlight the value of sector rotation investing with his book titled Standard & Poor's Guide to Sector Investing 1995.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, September 02, 2009
Stock Market Late Rollover Puts Indices in Negative Column / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The indices ended the day with losses to follow up yesterday's decisive decline, but the going was volatile. The indices opened sharply lower to new pullback lows, and then rallied just as sharply to test yesterday afternoon's rally highs but couldn't get through. They then came down to retest, made new lows on the SPX but failed to do so on the NDX, and that resulted in a snapback rally that went right back up to resistance again and failed.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, September 02, 2009
Is the Stock Market Really Insane? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
Stop the Market Insanity
That’s what a CNN headline demanded over the weekend.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, September 02, 2009
Treat Any Stock Market Weakness as a Buying Opportunity / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
Claus Vogt writes: The seasonal market statistics are clear: September has historically been the worst month for stocks of the year. Plus it’s followed by October, the month of the most spectacular stock market crashes in history.
This is why many bears — who have actually gotten more visible again during the past few weeks — say it’s time to get out of the market now.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, September 02, 2009
Banking Crisis Accelerates as Number of Problem Institutions Grows / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
“‘The Nation was rich, Trade prodigiously great, Paper-Credit run high, and the Goldsmiths in Lombard-street, &c, commanded immense sums…’ was how Daniel Defoe remembered the 1680s.” – Devil Take the Hindmost: A History of Financial Speculation
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, September 02, 2009
Stock Market Drop Darkens the Outlook for an Already Bleak Month For Investors / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
When it comes to U.S. stocks, the first trading day of September typically sets the tone for the rest of the month.
And with share prices having hit a sour note yesterday (Tuesday), investors probably shouldn't anticipate a positive showing for the rest of September.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, September 02, 2009
Nasdaq Important Trading Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Today we are going to be examining the NASDAQ Index. This market, which made its peak in 2000 at the height of the dot com bubble, remains in a secular bear market.
After making a low in March of 2001, this market has had multiyear recovery which has rallied it very close to a 50% Fibonacci retracement level. After a nearly 50% recovery, this market now appears to be faltering.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, September 02, 2009
Does September Equal Stock Market Sell? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
It doesn’t take much to spook investors on the first day back in school. After a stonking ISM number that 2 months ago would have been worth a triple digit gain, we end up the day off 2% (led by a 5%+ dump in financials) on some vague rumour of a “West Coast Bank” in trouble, hedge funs collapsing, (Cererbus, who have big holdings in GMAC and Chrysler, formally denied that some of their funds were in trouble), chatter of Wells Fargo doing a rights issue to repay the TARP (very unlikely and later denied) and a rather sobering outlook of what the “new normal” may be like from the bouffant Bill Gross of PIMCO. And this down move came in the heaviest traded volume since May 7th, with the VIX ratcheting up to levels not seen since early July.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, September 02, 2009
Overbought Stock Market Being Evaluated / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Will the cure be worse than the disease? Good news was everywhere last week, as housing looks to be turning, consumers did well with the cash for clunkers program and confidence is high (even though incomes failed to rise). Unfortunately the equity markets remained subdued while bond yields fell. The coming week is the usual beginning of the month heavyweights of employment and data from supply management reports on manufacturing and services.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, September 02, 2009
Stock Markets Turning Lower / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
In our last newsletter, we have been reflecting about the possibility of a nearing turning point in the markets. Yesterday, the stock market declined on significant volume despite good economic news. This is definitely no good news for bulls. Having breached the red sell line on the longer term charts, stock markets tumbled lower.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, September 02, 2009
Financial Stocks on Tsunami Watch / Stock-Markets / Banking Stocks
After seeing quite a large rally from the March lows the market appears to be extended and indicators (stocks above 200 day moving average, market PE, bullish/bearish %'s) are signaling some rough seas ahead. While stock could conceivably move higher there are a few reasons why I am bearish at the present time.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, September 02, 2009
Stock Market Down Move has Potential? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Potential?
The markets sold off hard on Tuesday, this move has potential.
Wednesday, September 02, 2009
Strengthening Yen Spells Trouble for the Carry Trade and S&P500 / Stock-Markets / Yen Carry Trade
The Yen Carry Trade has provided an enormous source of capital for traders around the world. The strength or weakness of the Japanese currency played a vital role during the last bull market and the present bear equity down turn. Though the longer-term picture for the Yen appears favourable for a continuation of the carry trade, the recent month-over-month relationship between the S&P 500 and the Yen is turning against the index.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 01, 2009
Stock Market Speculative Disaster / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
On February 28th in Panic Selling Will Lead to a Sharp Bounce we stated, "investors should be positioning themselves for a countertrend rally…We do not expect that this is the ultimate low, merely a level that will support a multi-month bounce. This reflationary bounce will be much stronger (and possibly last longer) than any other rally we have seen since October 2007. Its purpose is to put to rest the widespread fear currently in the market…This temporary bottom will support a sharp bounce into the fall.”
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 01, 2009
Legendary Investor Betting on Another Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Having studied under two legendary value investors Max Heine and Michael Price, Winters has a long history of producing outsized gains: before he was 40, he was overseeing some $35 billion in assets as Chief Investment Officer for Franklin Templeton Advisors. During this period (2001-2004), David outperformed the S&P 500 by an average of 10% a year.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 01, 2009
Stock Market Investors September Warning / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
William Patalon III writes: When the "Great Crash" came in 1929, it came in October. So, too, did the infamous "Crash of '87." And last year, during a tortuous October that led to even lower lows in the months to come, the Standard & Poor's 500 Index lost 19% of its value in just 30 days.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 01, 2009
Daily Stock Market Trend Indications / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Note that if your broker had trouble finding shares to borrow so you could short TLT, you can take a long position (buy) shares of TBT. It is a 2x Inverse TLT ETF meaning that it should move approximately twice what TLT will, but in the opposite direction. So, you can buy half as many shares of TBT to approximate shorting shares of TLT.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 01, 2009
Stock Market Forecast S&P500 1400 by End 2010, and 400 by 2014 / Stock-Markets / Forecasts & Technical Analysis
Merrill Lynch Asia (Bank of America) strategists Sadiq Currimbhoy, Arik Reiss, and Jacky Tang suggest that the S&P 500 could soar another 40% by December 2010 before it collapses completely based on a unique comparison with the Nikkei 225. (Before you reject this possibility out of hand please read the entire article.)
Read full article... Read full article...