Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, December 28, 2009
Stock Index Analysis for S&P and Nasdaq / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Hope you all had a Merry Christmas, and are en route to a wonderful New Year.
In a post of December 11, I said: In June, index looked heading for a good drop, or correction, but it turned around without giving much and rallied. In November, Index looked very weak internally and cyclically, it looked ready to break, but it recovered without giving much. It has been my proposition for months that the bears of the last drop (before March) have been little significance to the market action (other than providing timely squeezes for rallies), and I think they are totally out of the game at this point. Market needs new bears with capital and conviction.
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Sunday, December 27, 2009
S&P500 Stock Market Rally and Forecast 2010 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
In last October’s reviews we wrote : ” There is a larger support and resistance zone we expect the S&P500 is heading towards. This point in time is also 45 weeks or 225 trading days after the March 2009 bottom. In Gann terms this point in time is typically a hard angle that typically come in as a high. We expect the market to continue it’s uptrend towards this point in time. Our dynamic market timing cycle model following the longterm cycles from the past also supports the larger trend will continue to move upwards until the end of 2009. Earlier in October we mentioned the probable price target of 1121. On the short term we expect the dominant cycle to bottom early to mid November 2009.”
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Friday, December 25, 2009
2009 The Year of the Stocks Stealth Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
For stock market Investors and traders there were two key events during the year.
1. The Stocks Bear Market Bottom of early March 2009 (Dow 6470).
2. The birth of the Stocks Stealth Bull Market that saw many indices soar by more than 60% over the next 9 months.
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Thursday, December 24, 2009
Motley Fool Says Ignore Stock Market Forecasts and Predictions for 2010, But... / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
A recent email titled "3 Reasons You Should Ignore Predictions for 2010" from the popular UK personal finance website Motley Fool perked my interest. My immediate thought was wow are they going to state that the real secret of successful trading is to react to price movements in real time, and if so what are the other 2 reasons?
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Thursday, December 24, 2009
Broad Social Trends Driving Global Financial Crisis and Economy 2010 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
In order to fully grasp the enormity of what is unfolding and to understand the upcoming Tedbits 2010 Outlook, I have penned two essays which will be presented over the next two weeks. Beginning in January, I am going to be doing a tour-de-force 2010 Outlook, spanning what you can expect in 2010 both fundamentally and technically.
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Thursday, December 24, 2009
Stuff Your Stocks Portfolio Stocking With Micro-Cap ETFs / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010
Do you remember the childhood wonder of looking at all the colorfully wrapped packages under the Christmas tree, trying to guess what fun was inside? If you were like me, your eyes were drawn to the biggest presents. And if they were too big to wrap, sometimes Santa would just leave them out in the open for us to find in the morning.
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Thursday, December 24, 2009
Financial Markets and Economic Forecasts 2010, Recovery or More Crisis? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Experts offer differing views, with some predicting 2010 to be a difficult year and others saying it will see recovery continuing
PANELLISTS
Eisuke Sakakibara: Former Japanese vice-finance minister for international affairs, now professor at Waseda University, Tokyo
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Thursday, December 24, 2009
10 Days of Stock Indexes and Commodities / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
It’s been a great year as we head into the final few trading sessions. The past several weeks the indexes have not done much of anything which is why we are now in cash.
I feel as though the market is about to change direction abruptly in the coming days or weeks. I feel this way for several reasons:
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Thursday, December 24, 2009
Stock Markets on Hold for Christmas / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
We had a small gap up today that was sold thirty minutes in to the trading day when the new home sales report for November was announced. It was well below expectations. A real blow to the theory of a growing or an improving economy. In the real world, with unemployment at 17% and climbing, finding too many home buyers on a consistent basis still doesn't appear to be a realistic expectation. The news wasn't just a little below expectations either. It was one of those truly scary misses which makes you wonder about things.
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Wednesday, December 23, 2009
‘Tis the Season for Gold’s (False) Hope / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
On December 4th, Investophoria wrote '... we have returned to the "olden days" of the bubble era'. This was demonstrated by quantifiable measurements of investor complacency. We also noted that this market is most certainly on less footing than in '07.
That footing has gotten even more slippery, the bullish gas powering this motor reduced to near fumes. Since December 4th, when we last posted an update on our market thoughts, the market has done this:
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Wednesday, December 23, 2009
Geithner Says There Will be No Second Wave To Financial Crisis 2010 / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2010
One sure way we know a second wave to the crisis is likely coming is the preemptive denial of it by those who never saw it coming. Please consider Geithner: There Will Be No 'Second Wave' Crisis.
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Wednesday, December 23, 2009
Stock Market Hanging Tough.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Seasonality probably has something to do with it but no matter how you slice it the bottom line is the market is holding up well with little resistance from the bears. What is most interesting is how many key sectors are breaking out ahead of the S&P 500, due mostly to financials.
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Tuesday, December 22, 2009
Stock Market Starts Week with Solid Gains / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The indices started the week with solid gains, the majority of which were gotten in the morning, when the indices gapped up and staged a 5-wave advance, taking the Nasdaq 100 to new 2009 highs, reaching 1835. However, at that point the S&P 500, reaching 1118, fell a couple points short of its high, failed to confirm, and they moved back down in a 3-wave decline to test lower levels of support, but held, and in the last hour bounced again.
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Tuesday, December 22, 2009
Nasdaq Takes The Plunge..Dow/S&P 500 Need To Follow.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
It's best when the Nasdaq leads as it shows there is a real desire for higher beta or to put it a different way, higher risk. Strong markets are always led by higher beta as lower risk and the like are left alone as it is believed the market will move higher. People basically thirsting for froth. They want those 50 and 60 P/E’s and don't care why they're buying it. They just want to own it.
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Monday, December 21, 2009
Is Dr Perma Doom, Marc Faber Wrong on the Economic Collapse? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Dr Perma Doom, Marc Faber on Indian TV revising his forecast for economic collapse following the his September Doom Report. Now he forecasts economic collapse in either 3 years time, 5 years time, 10 years time or 12 years time, this way he will never be wrong!
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Monday, December 21, 2009
Marc Faber on Economic Armageddon and the Collapse of Capitalism / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Marc Faber Says Run for Your Lives!
"The Future will be a total disaster with a collapse of our capitalistic system as we know it today, wars, massive government debt defaults and the impoverishment of large segments of Western society."
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Monday, December 21, 2009
Silent Night, Silent Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Two very quiet weeks now confront investors, as the Christmas and New Year’s holidays cut the trading for the week to but a whisper. Amid the quiet and solitude however are some rumblings from last year’s financial earthquake. Ratings on Greece debt were cut, Dubai has been backed by Abu Dhabi at least temporarily and concerns are growing about some Eastern European countries’ deficits. So far, the surfiet of cash from the US has allowed both the economy and financial markets to keep their collective heads above water – but for how long?
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Monday, December 21, 2009
Reliving the Stock Market Crash of 1929 / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
[First published in Inquiry, November 12, 1979] - A half-century ago, America — and then the world — was rocked by a mighty stock-market crash that soon turned into the steepest and longest-lasting depression of all time.
It was not only the sharpness and depth of the depression that stunned the world and changed the face of modern history: it was the length, the chronic economic morass persisting throughout the 1930s, that caused intellectuals and the general public to despair of the market economy and the capitalist system.
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Monday, December 21, 2009
How to Respond to the Inevitable Stock Market Crash in 2010 / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Theo Casey writes: ‘Cautious’ is my watchword for 2010.
The reason for my caution is because the bull market was illegitimate. It wasn’t a response to economic growth or corporate outperformance. The rally happened because central bankers made it happen. Don’t get me wrong, the multi-billion pound stimulus Bernanke, King and the rest of the world’s central bankers heaped upon the market has been a blessing. It’s driven our investments to record levels.
Monday, December 21, 2009
Stocks Bear Market Rally Inflection Point and Dollar Rally Impact on Gold / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
The action this week was in the currency markets. Moody’s downgrade of Greece’s sovereign debt put pressure on the euro, while supporting the dollar’s rally.
Hot money flows can sustain or reverse a trend in motion. Currency flows have weighed heavily on the gold market, which moves in line with the euro, and inversely to the dollar, as the chart below shows.
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