Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, January 07, 2010
Emerging Market Investing 2010 in the Next 11 After BRIC / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010
Everyone is making 2010 forecasts. So today I’ll jump on the bandwagon and share one of mine with you:
In 2010 you’ll hear a lot more about the “Next 11.”
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Thursday, January 07, 2010
Stock Market Lateral But Stable... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
And that's not to be diminished in its importance. You don't have to keep blasting higher all the time to say that things look good. The 60-minute time frame charts got very overbought again and thus it is no surprise that the market didn't rocket up today, but all in all the action was solid for some very important reasons I will discuss later in this report. We started out with a small move down today but it didn't take long for the churning to begin once the initial sellers did their deed. The Nasdaq sold hardest but that didn't stop the other indexes from hanging in there. In fact, the Nasdaq ended up down only 7 points, but when you consider how some of its leaders acted, it has to be considered a victory for the bulls. Bottom line is the market continues its basic lateral consolidation as the oscillators play up and unwind.
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Thursday, January 07, 2010
Dismal Decade My Assterisk, Stock Market Cycle Investing / Stock-Markets / Investing
From the end of 1999 through the end of 2009, all of the popular Wall Street market performance measurement tools were in the red. The average bloodletting level of the DJIA, the S & P 500, and the NASDAQ was a disturbing-to-some minus nineteen percent.
The Media has dubbed it "The Dismal Decade".
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Thursday, January 07, 2010
2010 Gathering Giant Economic and Financial Storm Clouds / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The year 2008 bore my mark as the year the system broke. A public article addressed the issues, laid out before the breakdown occurred in September of that year. The consequences for the many failures, the desperate nationalizations, the hasty scrambles to put financial sewage under USGovt ownership, the realization of TARP as a vast slush fund for illegitimate bank rescues, the official monetization plans put forth to prevent bond implosions, and much more occurred in the year 2009 as a recognized aftermath. Here we are in 2010 and the threats must again be laid out.
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Wednesday, January 06, 2010
Stock Market Outlook for 2010, Growth and Risk Appetite Returns / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock markets in 2009 roared upward over 30%. This advance far outstripped fundamental valuations and expectations from many analysts and investors. The fuel for this rise can be largely attributed to the massive government stimulus program. But with the "march of money" anticipated to be removed in 2010, have the equity indexes recovered enough to climb higher without continued tax payer funding or is this run nothing more than a bear market bounce?
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Wednesday, January 06, 2010
Mutual Fund Cash Levels Do Not Support the Stock Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
As a group, mutual fund managers are as good a contrarian indicator for the stock market as they come. History shows that they hold relatively high cash levels at the beginning of a bull market. Then at the end of a bull market they don’t have much cash since they’re more or less fully invested.
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Wednesday, January 06, 2010
Do NOT Trade Against This Indicator / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Increasing Product Demand, Higher Product Prices ...
Increasing Liquidity in the Market, Higher Stock Market Prices ...
Wednesday, January 06, 2010
Forecast Trends for Gold, Silver, Dollar and Dow Still in Check / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
We posted the following chart in our last article:
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Wednesday, January 06, 2010
2009 Annus Horribilis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Now that 2009 has passed into history, analysts have flooded the public with their opinions on how the events of the past year will impact the coming years. While most are optimistic, I feel that last year's developments have greatly exaggerated the imbalances in the U.S. economy. Although we may see a temporary respite from the turbulence, these mistakes will hinder our long-term viability. I fear that we have gone down a road that will destroy the value of the dollar and may even threaten the political stability of the United States.
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Wednesday, January 06, 2010
The Gates of Financial and Economic Hell Have Opened / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2010
The abyss is widening, many have already fallen in. The Fat Boys at Goldman say they are doing God's work, do they really believe that. Maybe they know dark secrets we are not privy to. What does God's work entail? Stopping fear and panic? Holding up asset prices and presenting the illusion of a stable, recovering economy? If they fail, then hell will follow.
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Wednesday, January 06, 2010
S&P 500 Stock Market Trends Forecast for January 2010 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
This is monthly chart for the S&P 500 showing 20 years of performance. Since this index is the one used by professional traders, it is important to understand how it is performing. This chart is also excellent at defining the longer term trends for the market.
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Tuesday, January 05, 2010
2010 Financial Markets and Economic Tipping Point Forecast / Stock-Markets / Great Depression II
For the last week or two “experts” and pundits have been making their forecasts for 2010. I always take these forecasts with a grain of salt. The people making the forecasts generally have some skin in the game and will tailor their forecast to benefit their particular agenda or investment portfolio. I pride myself on dishing out punishment to both political parties and most investment shills. I will take on the thankless task of predicting the future. Below are my prognostications in the areas of the economy, domestic politics, global geopolitics, and the investment markets.
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Tuesday, January 05, 2010
The Most Proftiable Investment Themes for 2010 / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010
Shah Gilani writes: If the crippling financial events of 2008 and 2009 proved one thing, it's that investors need to rethink the entire philosophy of "portfolio management."
Today, the best-performing managers around the world manage their portfolios based on broad-and-potent market themes. And with good reason.
Tuesday, January 05, 2010
Byron Wien's 10 Financial Markets and Economic Surprises for 2010 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Pretty straight forward... Byron Wien has been doing "10 Surprises" for a quarter century - some years very good, some years not so much; but always good fodder. 2009's surprises looked awful on March 1st, 2009 - but mostly looked brilliant by Dec 31st. Below is his 2010 list in full much of it based on a very bullish economic outlook for the year.
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Tuesday, January 05, 2010
S&P Stock Market Outlook Going into 2010 for Jan 4-8 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
In the final week of the year we saw the market continue to break to new (recent) highs above the former range highs, but volume was very light. Thursday, the final trading day of 2009 for stocks, saw aggressive selling into the close with the S&P falling 7 points in the final 25 minutes of trading after another very sedate afternoon. The S&P closed back within the old range.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 05, 2010
Billionaire Predictions for 2010 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
There was an interesting article online of Forbes discussing Billionaire predictions that I glanced through this morning. My immediate thought was..Do these Billionaires know something that we don’t? They know better than us? What I expected was they had a variance of opinions as we all do…as well as they are optimistic.. Really they are no different than us mortals…Maybe they were at the right time at the right place… worked extremely hard to earn their status as a billionaire… but they are no soothsayer…
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Tuesday, January 05, 2010
Global Stocks Bear Market Rally Will End with Japan as Hyperinflation Rips Economy to Pieces / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis
Let me welcome you to a new year of Outside the Box. I doubt we will have trouble finding interesting commentary this year, as there are many things that could happen that demand our attention. We start with a short column by Ambrose Evans-Pritchard of the London Telegraph giving us a quick run down of the problems faced around the globe. He thinks the #1 problem is Japan, and I more or less agree.
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Tuesday, January 05, 2010
S&P 500, NDX Range Breakout / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Well, Holidays are over.
I think I left my readers in a very good shape with a very valid and solid setup.
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Tuesday, January 05, 2010
Stock Market On Breakout... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Friday was ugly and certainly well within normal behavior when you consider just how overbought those daily charts had been. Some unwinding was needed thus that selling couldn't be unexpected. You would think that the market would spend some time unwinding further but not this market apparently. The futures shot up overnight. The dollar fell and that was the perfect tonic for the market. It seems a falling dollar is still the best medicine for this market, although we have seen the market stay resilient when the dollar sells. Seems the bears can't get it right on either side of that trade these days.
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Tuesday, January 05, 2010
Stock Market Divergences Spread And Grow More Profound / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Divergences in various markets, indicators, and data continue to grow across the gambit, with patterns indicating some sort of resolution is set for as early as next week – as discussed previously. A diamond is forming in the widely followed S&P 500 (SPX) (and other broads) due to pinnacle next week, which as suspected for some time now, should keep equities buoyant until the New Year.
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