Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Sunday, December 20, 2009
Stocks Bear Market Rally Last Thrust Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Down! The very-long-term cycles have taken over and if they make their lows when expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until 2014. This would imply that lower prices lie ahead. As illustrated by the current market performance, this will not be a straight-down decline, but will consist of a series of intermediate-term rallies and declines until we have reached the low point.
Sunday, December 20, 2009
S&P and Dow: Weekly Stock Market Analysis (Dec 21-Dec 24) / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: ForexPros
Overall, it was a fairly uneventful week in terms of price action in the stock markets. We had a lot of nice tradable moves during the week, but ultimately the market did not move into or out of any technical significant areas. Volume was light, except for Friday which was due to index rebalancing and contract expirations. In terms of the overall movement throughout the week, the S&P traded in a smaller range than average, only moving about 21 points all week; the weekly (14) average is just under 36 points and heading into this week was slightly higher.
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Sunday, December 20, 2009
Stock Market Dumb Money Indicator Says Investors are Extremely Bullish / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
By: Guy_Lerner
The holidays are approaching, and I am lucky enough to be traveling this year with my family. So there won't be any comments attached to this week's sentiment charts. I don't have the time, and I won't waste your time. That's o.k. because as you know nothing has really changed in this market for the last three months anyway. Prices have been range bound, and investors continue to be overly bullish, insiders continue to sell, and the smart money remains indifferent.
Sunday, December 20, 2009
Key Financial Markets and Economic Forecasts for 2010 and Beyond / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: Akhil_Khanna
Biggest worldwide stock market bounce - The world stock markets bottomed in the first week of March 2009. Since then they have staged one of the biggest rallies ever in the history of stock markets worldwide in the shortest time frame. The world stock and commodities markets have shot up anywhere between 50% to 100% within a span of nine months. Some of the reasons for this powerful rally are :
Sunday, December 20, 2009
Stock Market, Commodities and Economic Forecasts 2010 / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010
By: Sean_Brodrick
I think 2010 will be dominated by many of the same themes that shaped 2009, but new forces will come into play as well: Forces including …
Saturday, December 19, 2009
Stock Market Consolidation Extends...Bears Still Showing Little... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Jack_Steiman
There are many things we can talk about when referring to the case that can be made by the bears. We have many leading stocks breaking down below their 50-day exponential moving averages. Goldman Sachs (GS) lost that level nine full points ago but is now starting to show some positive divergence on the Daily. JP Morgan (JPM), another financial stock and unquestionable leader, retested that 50-day exponential moving average and fell right back down with full red candle sticks, leaving little doubt as to the bears intentions on that issue.
Saturday, December 19, 2009
Stock Market Update / Stock-Markets / Dow Theory
By: Tim_Wood
The Dow theory bullish trend confirmation that occurred earlier this year remains intact. Cyclically, the higher degree low that began at the March low also still remains intact. Longer-term, I maintain, based on my data, that this is nonetheless a bear market rally. Once this rally has run its course the big surprise will be the Phase II decline and history shows us that Phase II declines are the most destructive. One reason for this is because with everyone believing that the bear market has ended, the Phase II decline takes everyone by surprise and as the realization begins to set in so does the panic.
Saturday, December 19, 2009
Financial Crisis 2008-2009, The Seeds of the Credit Crunch Part 2 / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
By: Akhil_Khanna
Effects on Corporates
The corporates had taken on huge debts during the boom times to expand their capacities to meet the huge quantum of orders they were receiving. They had retained manpower at very high employee costs to meet their targets and offered huge incentives and bonuses to the employees. They were caught unawares with the sudden drop in orders. Their capacity utilization began to drop substantially. They started to go back on or reduce their commitments to purchase the goods being manufactured in Asia.
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Saturday, December 19, 2009
Financial Crisis 2008-2009, The Seeds of the Credit Crunch / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
By: Akhil_Khanna
Currently the whole world is in the midst of a financial crises. The crises began with the sub-prime housing problem in the US and over the last two years has spread to the rest of the world. The problem is huge to such an extent that we are currently seeing an unprecedented economic slowdown and talks of a global recession are gathering steam.
Saturday, December 19, 2009
Goodbye to Stock Market Santa Rally? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
New jobless claims unexpectedly rise. - The number of newly laid off workers filing claims for unemployment benefits unexpectedly rose last week as the recovery of the nation's battered labor market proceeds in fits and starts.
The Labor Department said Thursday that the number of new jobless claims rose to 480,000 last week, up 7,000 from the previous week. That was a worse performance than the decline to 465,000 that economists had expected.
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Saturday, December 19, 2009
Financial Markets 2010 Scenario's Building / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: Nadeem_Walayat
My focus over the coming week is in completing the UK inflation analysis and forecast that is at the core of what happens to subsequent market trends as it directly feeds into interest rates, house prices, economy and stocks. Last years analysis and concluding forecasts for RPI and CPI proved remarkably accurate (30 Dec 2008 - UK CPI Inflation, RPI Deflation Forecast 2009) and hence the inflation road map resulted in the generation of many accurate projections for subsequent trends throughout 2009 and especially for UK savers that if they followed my cue of fixing savings at above 5% for 1 - 2 years would not have been burned by the subsequent crash in UK interest rates to pittance of as low as 0.1% on savings accounts, shame on you HBOS.
Saturday, December 19, 2009
S&P500 Stock Market Consolidation Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Donald_W_Dony
Models continue to support the outlook of restrained upward movement into Q1. The broad-based S&P 500 is encountering downward pressure from two directions. After 10 months of steady advances, the index has entered a significant resistance band that dates back eight years. The zone of 1070 to 1200 stalled both the steep bear market plunge in late 2001 and the held in-check the new bull market in early 2005.
Friday, December 18, 2009
Stock Market Investors Have Jumped Into Another Fire / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: EWI
The following article is an excerpt from Robert Prechter's Elliott Wave Theorist.First they bought into the “stocks for the long run” case and got killed. Then they jumped on the commodity bandwagon and got killed. Many investors are buying back into these very same markets, but others are running to what they perceive as safe “yields” in the municipal bond market. So far this year, individual investors have “poured a record $55 billion” (Bloomberg, 11/12) into muni bond funds, with the pace running $2b. per week in August and September; many other investors are buying munis outright. These must be the people who tell us that they can’t live without “yield” and also cannot imagine their city, county or state government going bust. But as Conquer the Crash warned and as The Elliott Wave Theorist has reiterated, the muni bond market is heading for disaster.
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Friday, December 18, 2009
Financial Markets 2009 Were The Eye of the Storm / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: Casey_Research
Louis James writes: At a recent Casey Research editors’ meeting, the team took on the question of whether the somewhat steady recovery since last February’s washout bottom in the broader markets had any of us thinking that the recession might be over. The gathering of minds included: Doug Casey, Managing Director David Galland, CEO Olivier Garret, Casey Chief Economist Bud Conrad, Senior Energy Analyst Marin Katusa (my counterpart on the energy side), myself heading the metals division, and several other editors.
Friday, December 18, 2009
Financial Markets Profit Opportunities and Wealth Destroyers in 2010 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: DeepCaster_LLC
“A Great Collapse. The U.S. economic and systemic solvency crises of the last two years are just precursors to a Great Collapse: a hyperinflationary great depression. Such will reflect a complete collapse in the purchasing power of the U.S. dollar, a collapse in the normal stream of U.S. commercial and economic activity, a collapse in the U.S. financial system as we know it, and a likely realignment of the U.S. political environment. The current U.S. financial markets, financial system and economy remain highly unstable and vulnerable to unexpected shocks. The Federal Reserve is dedicated to preventing deflation, to debasing the U.S. dollar. The results of those efforts are being seen in tentative selling pressures against the U.S. currency and in the rallying price of gold.” (emphasis added)
Friday, December 18, 2009
Is the NASDAQ Stock Market Index Running Out of Steam? / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
By: INO
The NASDAQ index is now in thin air and appears to be waning in strength. In my new video I show exactly what I think will happen to this market.
Friday, December 18, 2009
As the Dow Stocks Index Goes, So Goes the Country / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: INO
The Dow has managed to claw back 50% of the losses that occurred in 2007 and 2008. The question now is, what's ahead?
Friday, December 18, 2009
Stock Market At Mid Range..Some Leaders Breaking Lower... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Jack_Steiman
But nothing is broken as those that are breaking can come right back up. It isn't great to see Apple Inc. (AAPL) lose the 50-day exponential moving average for the second time in short order. It lost it and surged back through with an eight point up day but that has now been largely lost, and we are again below on this massively important leader. It's only by a little more than a dollar (50's at 193.80) and it wouldn't take much for AAPL to recapture this critical level but it's still not great to see it go away once again. In bull markets that may be topping out, you look for small subtle signs that say there may be trouble ahead. AAPL losing the 50's is certainly at least a red flag that has to be respected.
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Thursday, December 17, 2009
ProShares UltraShort SPY SDS Recovery Rally Needs to Hurdle Prior Rally Peak / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Mike_Paulenoff
Looking at the hourly chart on the ProShares UltraShort SPY (NYSE: SDS), the only thing we really know about the pattern is that the price structure has carved out what could be a double bottom low in December, which is juxtaposed against a series of declining rally peaks.
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Thursday, December 17, 2009
Stock Market Timers, FOMC A One Day Event / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
By: Guy_Lerner
For Wednesday's FOMC announcement, the Rydex market timers were betting heavy that Bernanke and company would deliver. The Fed didn't disappoint as they continue to keep their foot on the easy money pedal. Unfortunately, the market did its best to frustrate the most, and the early morning rally fizzled intraday. The Rydex market timers have moved back to the sidelines.
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