Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, January 14, 2010
Decline in Credit Card Debt in the United States, Market Review / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Americans borrowed less for a 10th consecutive month in November with total credit and borrowing on credit cards falling by the largest amounts on records going back nearly seven decades.
The Federal Reserve said yesterday that total borrowing dropped by $17.5 billion in November, a much bigger decline than the $5 billion decrease economists had expected.
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Thursday, January 14, 2010
Stock Market Indices Rally in Afternoon to Close Positive / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The stock market indices started out with a little bit of a pop and then immediately sold off sharply. When yesterday's late lows held, the indices turned around and rallied for the rest of the day. Only a mid-afternoon pause prevented them from going straight up, but they never violated their intraday moving averages on the 5-minute charts, with the Nasdaq 100 going from 1855 to 1890 and S&P 500 jumping from 1133 to 1148.
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Thursday, January 14, 2010
Stock Market Bulls Fight Back... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Yesterday we get a strong gap down that runs lower all day. A trend down day that puts the bulls on notice for more down side action. The move lower coming from overbought oscillators on those daily charts. Surely the market could use some time off to get things unwound. Give the bulls a breather. The market could use it so let’s just continue the selling today. Not to be. The market rallied early on and failed right where it was supposed to. Right at the back test of the gap down that would put the brakes on any rally.
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Wednesday, January 13, 2010
Avoid Emerging Markets Like the Plague, Global Stock Market Margin Call / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
As we reported last month, individual investors are “pouring money into mutual funds that buy foreign stocks, especially in emerging markets such as China and India.” It appears that UK investors are joining the party. Not surprisingly, stories of the Chinese bubble are starting to come in. As typical of the top, investors feel that nothing can “change the upward trend.”
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Wednesday, January 13, 2010
Marc Faber Global Stock Markets Heading for an Imminent Strong Correction / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
Marc Faber discusses the stock market and the economic outlook for 2010 and concerned about the U.S. Debt bubble.
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Wednesday, January 13, 2010
NASDAQ-100 Bubble Bust Compared To S&P 500 Stocks Index / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
Interesting remark in a recent article by Karl Denninger:
But in 2003 credit was rapidly expanding, as it was in 2004. This is why the S&P expanded back to (and slightly beyond) its previous high - that was all financial leverage. The Nasdaq, made up of companies that made "things" (and services) for the most part, did not recover because it was not able to play financial engineering.
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Wednesday, January 13, 2010
Stocks, Bonds, Gold, Silver and Forex Market Forecasts 2010 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
A year ago we said we believed a full court press by G10 central bankers, finance ministers and governments would succeed in at least halting the slide. It did, and markets responded more strongly than even we had hoped for, and we were among the more optimistic observers 12 months ago.
We also said a year ago that you were unlikely to see a repeat of 2008. It’s safe to say the same comment applies again. 2010 will not look like 2009.
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Wednesday, January 13, 2010
Stock Market Outlook 2010 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
At the start of every year we put together our best research and analysis and then formulate a forecast based on the most likely outcomes. Unlike others who simply say what they think will happen, we sit down and analyze the fundamental, technical and sentiment evidence and opine on what is most likely to happen, what might happen and what won’t happen. We take a lot of pride in this, as we believe we are one of the few that puts forth actionable research and makes it available to the public.
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Wednesday, January 13, 2010
Would You Buy This Business? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
Hi there,
I would like to sell you my business. Of course, you’re going to want to know a little bit about it before buying, so let’s look at the numbers.
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Wednesday, January 13, 2010
In Defense of Stock Market Bears / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
It’s difficult, darn difficult to be a bear right now.
The whole world has begun acting as though the period from late 2007 to early 2009 never happened. For one thing, financial newsletter writers are currently MORE bullish than they’ve been since October 2007 (the absolute peak in stocks). Similarly, the American Association of Individual Investors survey shows only 23% of individual investors are bears, while 49% are bulls: an HIGHLY slanted view.
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Wednesday, January 13, 2010
The Stock Market Selling Begin... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
I have recently warned that some selling was close at hand as we had very overbought conditions on both the daily and weekly charts that simply need to be worked off over time. The rubber band can stretch only so far and then it has to break, especially when it occurs on multiple time frame charts such as those daily's and weekly's.
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Tuesday, January 12, 2010
The Coming BioTech Stock Market Investment Bubble / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010
In last Friday's letter, I said that I had not bought any single stocks in the last decade, preferring funds and managers, and in general I still do. However, I am now going to start buying a specific asset class this month and currently plan to add to those holdings at least every quarter for several years. This is the high risk portion of my portfolio, so it will not be all that large a percentage. (Do not write and ask me what the right percentage is. It will be different for everybody. For some of you the answer will be none, as you need to be taking very little risk. Consult your investment professionals.).
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Tuesday, January 12, 2010
Rydex Stock Market Timers Long Term View / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
Rarely in this forum have we used the Rydex market timers to guide us in making that intermediate term trading decision. Typically, money flows in and out of their funds relatively easily, and this data set appears better suited for positioning oneself on a daily basis. However, a longer term (i.e., weekly view) has proved fruitful in the past, and this is what is presented in this article.
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Tuesday, January 12, 2010
Hold on Tight, U.S. Stock Market Is in for a Long Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
An Interview with Glenn Neely, NEoWave Institute - In January 2008, Glenn Neely, founder of NEoWave Institute, released a forecast announcing “The Bull Market is Over!” He predicted a 4- to 6-year bear market and a “protracted recession.” In a recent interview, Neely discussed his January 2008 forecast. In addition, he explained why, as the current Wave structure continues to unfold, the U.S. economy is facing an overarching 20-year consolidation.
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Monday, January 11, 2010
China Keeps Moving Forward, Stock Market Grows Up / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
Regulators in Beijing have approved a variety of investment products and strategies that are commonplace in mature stock markets: margin accounts for trading, stock index futures and short selling.
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Monday, January 11, 2010
Financial Market Bubble Dynamics In 2010 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
If asked the question, most ‘financial experts’ would likely tell you the possibility of a return to extreme bubble dynamics in stocks during 2010 is the most unlikely possibility, not after all the ones during the last decade. Besides the possibility of deflation Prechter and the likes sell to a public that sees the risks, which are in fact very real, because this is widely known and being countered by central authorities, a risk of opposites must also be considered – or so the charts tell us. That is to say, not only because of the true state of inflation, but also because of the mechanisms influencing and controlling the direction of our faulty and fraudulent markets, which will be discussed in further detail below, you should know the chances of returning to a state of extreme bubble dynamics in stocks does in fact exist moving forward, this, and all that goes along with it.
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Monday, January 11, 2010
Welcome to Another Lost Decade For Stock Market Investors / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market’s performance over the next decade will be very similar to the one since 2000: the WSJ appropriately named it “the lost decade.” Stocks will go up and down (setting all-time highs and multiyear lows), stagnate, and trade in a tight range. At the end of this wild ride, when the excitement subsides and the dust settles, index investors and buy-and-hold stock collectors will find themselves not far from where they started in 2000.
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Monday, January 11, 2010
How to Profit From the 2010 Road Map to Economic Recovery / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010
Jon D. Markman writes: Getting both sides of a bear market and recovery right is the biggest test that investors face because it requires doing an about-face on a winning strategy.
The ideal investor would have sold in October 2007 when stocks were making new all-time highs, then stayed out of all subsequent rallies during the worst bear market in seven decades, and then bought back into the market at its once-unimaginable low after not just the wheels of the economy had fallen off, but seemingly the engine, doors and steering wheel as well.
Monday, January 11, 2010
Stock Market S&P Analysis for Upcoming Week: Jan 11-15 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The year started out strong for US stocks, breaking out above the range that had pervaded much of the last two months of the 2009. The S&P also finished at a recent high, closing out strongly on Friday. Volume was not great and throughout the week there were numerous examples of times when the market barely seemed to be open - the futures and many stocks stuck in small ranges with no activity whatsoever. None the less, the bull rally has continued.
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Monday, January 11, 2010
Financial Market Meltdowns, Inflation, Protecting Capital and Trading Commodities / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The purpose in owning commodities like gold, silver and oil is to protect oneself from the effect of inflation that I believe will begin to assert itself in the coming months.
Unfortunately, the United States has taken a monetary policy of printing massive amounts of money to attempt an escape of deflation. In just the past 16 months, the monetary base has ballooned from $908 billion to $2.0 trillion. Bailout funds in the past 2 years total $8.1 trillion..... That is 78 times more than what they spent to bail out WorldCom...... and 123 times more than they spent on Enron. U.S. debt has risen sharply, from $6.2 trillion in 2002 to $12.1 trillion today. These are scary numbers!