Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Sunday, February 07, 2010
The Bull Bear Market Report Round Table on Stock Market and Commodities / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
With Steven Vincent, Andrew Cardwell and Larry Katz
round table discussion the panel agreed that short term we are likely to see a rally in the stock market and commodities but that lower lows will follow. There was less than agreement about the long term picture.
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Sunday, February 07, 2010
The Bullish Stock Market Stampede from March ’09 ends abruptly in January ’10 / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Shortly following the Dow’s print high in late January, it became clear that the markets forward looking mechanism suddenly shifted into reverse. Well before the fact, we were alerting subscribers of a looming top in late December or January.
Turn-bar analysis is one of the ways we keep members abreast of pivotal market turning points. Back in October of 2009, when most everyone else was calling for an imminent crash, we alerted our readership that new highs were likely throughout November and into the dawn of the current decade.
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Sunday, February 07, 2010
U.S. Federal Deficit is the Biggest Threat to Investor Wealth! EVER! / Stock-Markets / US Debt
While our federal deficit explodes and U.S. stocks sink, I’ve been actively meeting our readers on my personal blog to share ideas on how to build the optimal growth portfolio in trying times like these.
We’ve examined all five of the major asset classes — stocks, bonds, currencies, precious metals and commodities — to sort out which ones we believe will sink and which will surge going forward.
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Sunday, February 07, 2010
Stock Market Bottom Are We There Yet? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Like those long distance car trips I take with my children where 90 minutes into an 8 hour drive they say, "Are we there yet?", market participants are wondering the same: are we there yet? Will the recent bout of selling entice the buyers such that the market will revisit the highs last seen only 4 short weeks ago? Anything can happen, but from a sentiment perspective, the answer remains same as last week: complacency reigns and this is not a high reward, low risk investing environment.
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Sunday, February 07, 2010
Stock Market Testing the 200 day Exponential Moving Averages / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The market has come down a long way in a fairly short period of time. It wasn't too long ago that the S&P 500 printed 1151. Intra-day yesterday we hit 1044 on the S&P 500 or a drop of 107 points or roughly 9.5%. A very decent drop and can clearly be called a correction although it falls technically about 1/2% below. 9.5% is close enough to say we just went through a correction. The market has purged and now it's time for a little break from the down side action. It's taken enough Pepto Bismol to where it can have at least a tiny vacation. How long is unclear and I'll cover the whole scenario in this report.
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Saturday, February 06, 2010
Financial Markets Review and Inflation Mega-trend Ebook Update / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The Inflation mega-trend ebook presents key analysis and and precise concluding forecasts for the key economic indicators of inflation, interest rates and economic growth which have been applied to a range of financial markets and investment trends that further conclude towards precise forecasts.
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Saturday, February 06, 2010
Had the Fed Stopped Buying Stocks and Can we trust the U.S. Economic Statistics? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The unemployment rate fell from 10.0 to 9.7 percent in January, and nonfarm payroll employment was essentially unchanged (-20,000), the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Employment fell in construction and in transportation and warehousing, while temporary help services and retail trade added jobs. In January, the federal government added 33,000 jobs, including 9,000 temporary positions for Census 2010. Employment in state and local governments, excluding education, continued to trend down.
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Saturday, February 06, 2010
Financial Market Bubbles in Search of a Pin / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
A Bubble in Search of a Pin
Unemployment Numbers: A Mixed Bag
A Bubble in Search of a Pin
And Speaking of Bubbles
Should Greenspan and Bernanke have seen the bubble in housing and other assets and acted, or should we accept their defense that you can't know whether there is a bubble until after the fact? We will look at research that suggests they should have known, and, at the least, policy makers should no longer be allowed to say, "How could I have known?"
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Friday, February 05, 2010
World in Chaos and Market Meltdowns, Too Costly To Bear / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Though this piece was originally released via our paid research publication – The Investor’s Mind – in September 2006, if not timeless, its contents are certainly applicable to our current markets and economic environment. While we have taken the liberty of updating some of the charts, it is largely unchanged:
“It does not matter how frequently something succeeds if failure is too costly to bear.” – Solon
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Friday, February 05, 2010
Avoiding Wealth Confiscation... With Profit! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
“The issue which has swept down the centuries and which will have to be fought sooner or later is the banks.”
Lord Acton, 1834-1902
“In the absence of the gold standard there is no way to protect savings from confiscation through inflation…
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Friday, February 05, 2010
Can Stock Market Corrections Be Better Than Rallies? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Twenty years ago, just prior to the 1990 recession, I wrote a little booklet for my subscribers which I titled ‘Bear Markets Are Best’. Its premise was not that bear markets are really better than bull markets, but that they are not something to be feared, and do have some advantages over bull markets. The same goes for intermediate-term corrections within bull markets.
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Friday, February 05, 2010
Vintage Wine Turns Sour for Financiers / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010
Alex Daley and Doug Hornig, Casey Research write: When the folks at a private equity firm gather at the holiday party refreshment table to talk about “vintage,” they aren’t commenting on the Château Pétrus.
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Friday, February 05, 2010
Is The Reflation Trade Over? Commodities Kiss of Death? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Last week the LA Times reported the California teachers pension fund is $43 billion short.
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Friday, February 05, 2010
Stock Market Goes Splat... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
There are many words which could describe today's action but I think splat says it best. Clear, concise and to the point. It felt like splat for the bulls without question. The Nasdaq over the past three days wasn't very good but the Dow and S&P 500 printed some very nice candles with small inside sticks printed yesterday suggesting things would move higher today ahead of tomorrow's Jobs Report, which is huge to say the least. Instead, this morning we got bad news from many overseas company's about debt on their balance sheets. Headaches that are more than a bit serious. No liquidity. Not good.
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Friday, February 05, 2010
Thursday Stock Market Shocker, Not a Normal Retest / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Not a Normal Retest
Or is it...?
Friday, February 05, 2010
Stocks, Gold and Commodity Markets Major Update / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
It's been a while since I gave an update. This one comes at what may be a turning point as significant as the one in March '09. Is the bear market beginning its next leg? Quite possibly. It’s important to note that I have been bullish since the March ‘09 bottom and I do not qualify as a permabear.
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Friday, February 05, 2010
Stock Market Manipulation and Gold Trading / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
Our recent commentary on the subject of market manipulation elicited a wide range of feedback, pro and con. Some respondents agreed with my assertion that, assuming the existence of market manipulation, it doesn’t preclude one’s ability to successfully navigate financial markets with a reliable technical discipline. Others expressed the view that manipulation and government/central bank interference in the market make it untenable for small traders to be participants.
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Friday, February 05, 2010
Brazilian Bovespa Stock Market Index, Dead Money? / Stock-Markets / Brazil
Figure 1 is a monthly chart of the Brazilian Bovespa Index. The indicator in the lower panel measures the number of negative divergence bars occurring between price and an oscillator that measures that price action. Negative divergence bars are the price bars with pink markers on them.
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Thursday, February 04, 2010
Investors Greater Rewards From Investing Abroading / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010
President Obama's State of the Union message only serves to reinforce my forecast that investors will continue to find better returns in markets outside America and in currencies other than the U.S. dollar. Indeed, the reward gap may well increase.
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Thursday, February 04, 2010
Stock & Commodity Markets Warning, January Barometer Points to Bear Markets / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Beware! It was a cold January on Wall Street. The S&P-500 Index lost 3.7% of its value in January, the biggest monthly setback in a year’s time, succumbing to heavy selling, especially after US President Barack Obama and his economic adviser Paul Volcker, shocked the markets, by calling for stricter limits on the “proprietary trading,” activities of Wall Street’s titans, - aiming to rein-in their ability to buy and sell commodities, derivatives, and equities for their own accounts.
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