Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Wednesday, February 17, 2010
How To Invest for a Global-Debt-Bomb Explosion / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010
Paul B. Farrell writes: Wake up investors. Are you prepared for the economic anarchy coming after a global-debt time bomb explodes? Are you thinking outside the box? Investing differently? Act now – tomorrow will be too late.
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Wednesday, February 17, 2010
Marc Faber Says Investors Don't Ignore India / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010
I found it remarkable that at a recent Barron’s roundtable discussion in New York where a number of prominent strategists and portfolio managers had gathered, India – the world’s second-most populous country, with more than a billion people and an economy that is growing at around 8% per annum – wasn’t mentioned once.
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Wednesday, February 17, 2010
Stock Market S&P 500 Bearish Black Cross Lurking? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
My view on the S&P 500 is that right now it is 28% undervalued but it will keep on being undervalued until all of the detritus from the past seven years of fiscal insanity get’s cleared out. So basically it’s going to drift sideways for quite a long time with it’s value determined roughly by the ratio of nominal GDP divided by the yield of the 30 Year Treasury.
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Wednesday, February 17, 2010
Stock Market Bottoming Process / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Bottoming Process
Has the line been set?
Wednesday, February 17, 2010
Stock Market Breakout Needs Follow Through / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Break out
Now we need some follow through...
Tuesday, February 16, 2010
Emerging Markets Investing 2010, Colombia Is Open for Business / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
Following a recent group email exchange with Louis James, the truly tireless editor of Casey’s International Speculator currently kicking rocks in Colombia, one of the non-Casey Research participants in the exchange commented, “You guys are doing it right. How many research shops have emails that start out with ‘Greetings from Medellin’?”
This is not Louis’s first trip to Colombia but just one of many. This time he is there to update his notes on what’s going on down there, now that some semblance of political stability has reignited interest on the part of large and small exploration/mining companies alike in Colombia’s rich mineral endowment.
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Tuesday, February 16, 2010
Gold, Commodities, Stocks and Financial Markets Mega-analysis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The world’s attention is focused on Greece’s sovereign debt problems – a budget deficit that is 12.7% of gross domestic product. Consequently, Greece needs to sell 53 billion euros of debt this year, the equivalent of about 20% of its gross domestic product.
This has caused the yield on Greek bonds to rise to 7.16%, which in turn lowers bond prices (value). For 2009, Greek bonds had a negative return of 0.76%. The spread between Greek bonds and German bunds is about 300 basis points.
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Tuesday, February 16, 2010
Stock and Commodity Forecasts and Analysis for ALL Major Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Get a World of Investment Opportunity for FREE, Download the 100+ Page Global Market Perspective Now
Even if you invest mostly in a specific region or sector, market moves in stocks, bonds, currencies, gold, silver, crude oil or others around the world can have a huge impact on your portfolio.
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Tuesday, February 16, 2010
Stock and Commodity Market Investors Heading for Six Months of Hell / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
In last week’s column, I reviewed the profits you should have bagged the week earlier. Total now, since March of last year, assuming you followed all of my suggestions: 11 closed out trades, including 9 winners — with gains of as much as 91.7% — one breakeven trade, and one loser. Not bad for just over 10 months.
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Tuesday, February 16, 2010
Europe China Connection Threatens Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Jon D. Markman writes: I was watching the Asia Edge show on Bloomberg television Wednesday night when the lovely and smart Susan Li broke in breathlessly on her guest with news about China's consumer inflation numbers. Inflation was reported up just a touch in January, which was considered good news because if it was higher it would have made Chinese banking authorities more anxious to clamp down on interest rates and if it was lower it would have raised the awful specter of deflation.
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Tuesday, February 16, 2010
Are We in a Stocks Bull Market and Bear Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Current Position of the Market
Very Long-term trend - Down! The very-long-term cycles have taken over and if they make their lows when
expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until 2014.
SPX: Long-term trend - Up! We are in a medium-term bull market, which is a corrective move within a long term bear
market. This bull market should last until 2011-2012.
Tuesday, February 16, 2010
Stocks One More Thurst Lower Before a Multi-Week Rally / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Last week ended on a positive note with stocks and commodities pushing higher into Friday’s close. The market overall is looking very unstable here and this week I figure there will be some big price movement.
Below are the charts on the DIA, GLD, SLV, UNG and USO funds so you can get a feel for the trend and additionally what I am looking for this week with respect to prices.
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Tuesday, February 16, 2010
Global Debt Crisis Red Alert, Sell Your Stocks and Bonds / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis
One year and five months ago — armed with a 92-page white paper and 59,000 petitions — we warned Congress about the grave danger of government bailouts.
To view the video of my presentation at the National Press Club, click here. To download the white paper, “Dangerous Unintended Consequences,”
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Monday, February 15, 2010
Commodity Pendulum Swings and U.S. Treasury Long-Bond Futures Inaccurate Chart Trend / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Below is a chart of the 30 year Treasury bond (future) as it is reported on all charting web sites. The chart does not seem to have a discernible pattern but rather to be what the random walk theorists believe – a meaningless collection of zigs and zags with no predictive power.
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Sunday, February 14, 2010
Jim Cramer Gets a Stock Pick Right, Sort of / Stock-Markets / Company Chart Analysis
It's no secret that we've been socked with snow this past week. During that time, I was flipping through channels and came across Jim Cramer's show Mad Money. I've said this before, Jim is a great entertainer. I am not so sure how good he is at picking stocks.
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Sunday, February 14, 2010
Stocks Bear Market Resumes, Risk Aversion Final Wave / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Over the past months I’ve written extensively in my Money and Markets columns about the bubbling over of the risk trade. I also warned about the rising threats that would likely make a sustainable recovery, at this point, a low probability.
And as time passes, we’re beginning to see that these threats, including a growing sovereign debt crisis, rising protectionism, and threatening asset bubbles, are becoming ripe and dangerous.
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Sunday, February 14, 2010
China's Huge Economic Bubble To Trigger Another Major World Financial Crisis / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Experts are expecting a recession in China along with a new wave of the economic crisis. They say that the next two years may become critical for both China and the global economy. The growth of the Chinese GPD is caused by financial bubbles that can burst and bring the country into a recession followed by a global economic crisis, reports Nezavisimaya Gazeta.
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Sunday, February 14, 2010
Stock Market S&P500 Index Half Way Towards A Bottom Low / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
On January 10th, we wrote: “The S&P500 has now touched the current upper trend line as formed since early last year. On January 15th 2010 we are also 45 weeks or 225 trading days after the March 2009 bottom. In Gann terms this point in time is typically a hard angle that typically come in as a high.
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Sunday, February 14, 2010
Stock Market Investor Sentiment Finally Turns Neutral / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
Finally, the "Dumb Money" indicator has turned neutral after spending 28 consecutive weeks in the extreme bullish zone. For those keeping score at home, the S&P500 gained 8.9% over the past 28 weeks. For the sake of comparison, investor sentiment was either bearish or neutral for the 9 weeks following the March 6, 2009 bottom, and over that time, the S&P500 gained 36%. I will leave it to you as to which market environment I want to put my money to work.
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Saturday, February 13, 2010
Stocks Bear Market Rally Manipulation / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
As I have stated all along, my research suggests to me that the rally out of the March 2009 low has been a bear market rally. Nothing has occurred to change that point of view. As a result of the weakness that began a few weeks ago, I have received a number of e-mails asking about manipulation. Over the years I’ve noticed that every time the market makes a break, questions about manipulation and the ability of the powers that be to hold the markets up seem to surface. It is for this reason that I want to address the subject of manipulation in this article.
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