Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Sunday, January 31, 2010
Stock Market Dumb Money Still Bullish Despite 7% Sell Off / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
From the highs three weeks ago to the lows of this past week, the S&P500 has slid about 7%. This is not as great as the mid- June to mid- July, 2009 swoon, which saw the S&P500 loose about 10%. So maybe investors are right in not being too concerned about the pace of the current downdraft, and when looking at the sentiment indicators this week, that is exactly what we see: complacency amongst the "dumb money" and indifference by the "smart money". Despite any short term gains over the next week, this still is not a high reward, low risk investing environment.
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Sunday, January 31, 2010
The 1% Stock Market Crash, a week in review / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The week saw Tory Bliar appear in front of Britain's amateur Iraq War Inquiry to pound his fist on the table for war without end as he justified lying to the country on the reasons for the Iraq War and subsequent 200k+ deaths, from the 45 minute lie, to the WMD lie, right through to regime change lie on top of the Sept 11th excuse for war, despite the fundamental and absolute fact that it was the Saudi's that flew the planes into the twin towers and not Iraqi's!
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Sunday, January 31, 2010
Stock Market Trend Correction / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The U.S. markets are in a major correction. If you see any bubblehead portfolio manager on TV telling you this is a great buying opportunity, know that this man/woman is merely a gambler rather than an intelligent speculator. For the foreseeable future, the market is a roulette wheel. Until the dust clears – that is, until market participants figure out the direction of the economy -- this is a good time to be in cash (and non-cyclicals like biotech).
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Sunday, January 31, 2010
Stock Market Investors Are Last to Get the Return of Risk Aversion / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
I’ve been pounding the table about what I think is coming down the pike for months now. Rather than producing another editorial heavy essay, I thought today we’d let the market dictate what’s going on.
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Sunday, January 31, 2010
A Brief Stocks Market Rally Update / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
In late December and early January as the market was performing its levitation act to lure as many people into the market as it could, I had a number of phone calls from people who had “missed the rally” and were calling seriously questioning my analysis. I had been telling subscribers that the price action in December and January was an ending move of the current intermediate-term cycle and not a beginning move with a new cycle.
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Saturday, January 30, 2010
Stock Market Correction Or Bear Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
This is now the question we need to ponder and decide which way this market is headed. There are cases to be made for both and I will discuss that later on. Yesterday I spoke about how we had our first down trend confirmed when we broke down out of a bear flag for the first time in one year. Three nasty days down that went lateral for four to five days and then broke yesterday, especially on the QQQQ's or the etf proxy for the Ndx 100. Today was a continuation of that down move after a strong gap up on an artificially induced GDP at over 5% that was created by an interfering Government that simply won't allow things to play out as they should naturally. They simply prolong things but that's for another time.
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Saturday, January 30, 2010
Stock Market Plunges Through Thin Ice On Fake U.S. Economy GDP Growth Numbers? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The economy in the U.S. expanded in the fourth quarter at the fastest pace in six years as factories cranked up assembly lines and companies increased investment in equipment and software.
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Friday, January 29, 2010
Stock Market Unfinished Business From 2009 For 2010 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
In March 2009, the Dow bottomed at 6470 and the S&P 500 hit a low of 666. On January 19th we released a report titled, Desperation, which – if this nascent decline continues – will mark the top in the markets, with the Dow at 10,729 and the S&P 500 basically triple-topping on the 11th, 14th, and 19th at 1150. So, in less than one year’s time, the Dow gained 66 percent while the S&P 500 gained 73 percent. And, these numbers are as dubious as they are amazing.
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Friday, January 29, 2010
The Coming Debt Cataclysm, Some Investment Opportunities & Defences / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
“Something is Rotten is the State of Denmark” - Hamlet, 1.4 William Shakespeare
“Last week we interviewed G. Edwin Griffin, author of the Creature from Jekyll Island. Ed explained that the Federal Reserve has been created to preserve the interests of the bankers. Gold is an enemy of the Fed because, when it is demanded as money, it restricts their ability to re-allocate wealth from the people who create it, the miners, manufacturers, farmers and inventors, to themselves as they create fiat money out of thin air.”
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Friday, January 29, 2010
The China Google Controversy and the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The news spotlight recently was stolen by Google, the Internet search engine giant. A statement issued by Google a couple of weeks ago was greeted by dismay on Wall Street as shares retreated in response to the company’s announcement that it no longer supports China’s censoring of searches that take place on the Google platform. China has defended its extensive censorship after Google threatened to withdraw from the country.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 29, 2010
Why the Stock Market Has Fallen, Battle of the Titans, JP Morgan Versus Goldman Sachs / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
We are witnessing an epic battle between two banking giants, JP Morgan Chase (Paul Volcker) and Goldman Sachs (Geithner/Summers/Rubin). Left strewn on the battleground could be your pension fund and 401K.
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Friday, January 29, 2010
Retracement Not Reversal in S&P Stocks Index / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
WEEKLY CHART
The sell-off has been brisk with a sharp increase in volatility.
But in the context of the bull run from the beginning of 2009 it has yet to be extensive.
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Thursday, January 28, 2010
Stock Market Crash Risk, Geronimo! / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
As a former army parachutist with a bad head for heights, I recall standing in the doorway of an aircraft while my jumping instructor shouted: "Don't look down!" He understood that my unease with parachuting combined with the sight of thousands of feet of open air could be enough to elicit panic. Many investors in today's American stock and bond markets appear to be getting the same advice. While in my predicament, I had a parachute and a rudimentary understanding of how to use it, I fear that American investors have nothing to break their fall.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 28, 2010
Financial Crisis Triggered Shock and Awe Response for Accounting Driven Recovery / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2010
SHOCK & AWEBeginning in October 2007, the world has survived a Financial Crisis like no other in modern times. It is the first truly Global Financial Crisis ever experienced. This crisis brought to light a vast array of financial instruments (CDO’s, CDS’s, CLO’s, etc.) being offered by murky financial entities (SIV’s, VIE’s, SPE’s, QSPE’s etc.) that were completely unregulated, often offshore, always off balance sheet and never traded through any regulated exchange. None of these are regulated nor understood by sovereign governments. Minimally, this is a recipe for fraud. But definitely, it has been a modern day financial “wild west” for the innovative and aggressive!
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Thursday, January 28, 2010
Stock Market Bear Flags Break Down... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The question becomes for the masses, does that matter very much or is it really not very relevant? Let's discuss what breaking down from bear flags can and usually does mean. If we go back to the March lows of 2009 we can see there was never a time during a pullback where the market basically stood still and formed a bear flag. Pretty much right back up once we had some selling. Strong hollow black candles which left little doubt about what was taking place.
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Thursday, January 28, 2010
The Chinese Stock Market Is Rolling Over / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
The bears are starting to win the "China argument" we told you about a few weeks ago.
To recap, the Chinese economy and stock market are the center of a big debate. Some say the country is a huge pile of malinvestment. Some say don't worry, things are fine there. Now let's ask the market who is right...
Thursday, January 28, 2010
Nasdaq Trendline Alert for Stock Index Traders / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
One of the most powerful technical tools that a trader possesses is a pencil and a ruler. It sounds kind of old-school, but the reality is trend lines in technical analysis are enormously important.
In my new video I will show you how the NASDAQ index has broken a very important trend line and what the ramifications are for this index.
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Thursday, January 28, 2010
Stock Market Crash Second Leg, What’s Next in 2010? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
A lot of people realize that the world financial and commodity markets have rocketed around 60 pct since March 2009. Around the summer/fall people realized that the markets got ahead of the world economy, which is still terrible. Unemployment is still rising and one day this month there were US job losses of 50,000 announced. Hey if jobs are again going to tank (they are) then this gig of so called recovery is over.
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Thursday, January 28, 2010
A Dismal Decade? No Way With Stock Market Cycle Investing / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010
From the end of 1999 through the end of 2009, all of the popular Wall Street market performance measurement tools were in the red. The average bloodletting level of the DJIA, the S & P 500, and the NASDAQ was a disturbing-to-some minus nineteen percent.The Media has dubbed it "The Dismal Decade". Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 28, 2010
Obama And Earnings Reports Soothe Stock Market Investors Nerves / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
A more hawkish than expected FOMC statement yesterday saw equities ending higher and debt lower. There was also relief that Obama’s State of Union speech contained no negative surprises. He announced an extension of tax incentives which was warmly received and announced the elimination of capital gains tax on small businesses. Not sure whether this squeeze has legs but with one hurdle out of the way some of the bears are covering – it’s just a question of whether the long-only sellers we have seen all week decide to come in of the side lines. We are knee deep in earnings and global proxies. CAT, Hitachi Construction etc are guiding lower which doesn’t exactly fill me with a great deal of confidence.
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