Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, March 22, 2010
Raging Bull in Greed and Abject Stupidity / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
We hear many talk of “Bull” and “Bear” Markets. But one thing seems to be settled: This “Bull” is either “Secular” or “Cyclical”- but it is a “Bull”. Take your pick, right ?
Yes indeed, there is a “Bull Market” – and it is raging. But it is a “Bull Market” in Greed and Abject Stupidity. The “Bear Market” is in Common Sense and Logic. And it is reaching New Lows – we’ve solidly taken out the 2007 Lows.
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Monday, March 22, 2010
Stock Market Great Reversal And Yes, Overbought Again..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
No one who is bullish would complain about today's great reversal off the lows which allowed the market to close green across the board. In fact, the S&P 500 made a perfect, and I mean Perfect, back test of the 1151 breakout with an 1152 print just after the opening bell gap down. From that point forward those determined bulls made an amazing run higher throughout the rest of the day to finish with decent gains on solid reversal volume.
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Monday, March 22, 2010
Stock Market, An Up and Down Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
It’s been an interesting start to the week as the Dow opened lower and looked like it could fall even more. Now the Dow is up 45 points. Meanwhile the US dollar rallied all the way up top 81.34, just above strong resistance at 81.32, only to fall back down into negative territory by noon time. Then there was gold! As the US dollar rallied, gold fell down to test strong support at 1,090.10, only to bounce back later in the morning. At 1:15 pm EST the April gold is trading at 1,104.00 down 3.00 for the session.
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Monday, March 22, 2010
Gold and Stocks, When it Breaks, It's Going Somewhere In a Hurry... / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Gold and silver are both in a fairly tight consolidated trading range over the past several weeks, keeping both metals bound within a compressed psychological battle between mid-term bulls and mid-term bears.
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Monday, March 22, 2010
What Health Care Plan and A Rising U.S. Dollar Mean For Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
While the new health care plan could have negative implications for business, for taxes, for the deficit, for interest rates and so on, the S&P 500 has gone straight up since its Feb 5 low. I don’t know what it’s been discounting, but it couldn’t have been discounting the negativity implied by the health care plan. Instead, this rally has to be discounting something positive, whatever that may be.
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Monday, March 22, 2010
Wall Street Redux / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
There has been no shortage of mainstream media coverage regarding the public’s growing outrage with Wall Street and its now unparalleled lust for money and power (greed), with everything from Matt Taibbi’s comprehensive accounting of the growing scandal entitled Wall Street’s Bailout Hustle, to the hollow calls from politicians to rein in these apparently misguided people, heavy on the sarcasm here. And with the growing Tea Party Movement and the success of independent candidates like Ron Paul aiming at the next Presidency, you had better believe the bureaucracy (the bureaucracy behind the two party system that really runs the country) is concerned about this growing outrage, where in the balance the final straw that ultimately breaks the camel’s back might have been thrown with this past year’s record bonus packages – this while main street suffers and Washington’s disregard for this suffering is evident.
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Monday, March 22, 2010
Emerging Markets on Buying Spree / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010
It’s getting to be common news for a Chinese company (usually with links to the government) to buy a foreign commodities producer to secure supplies of coal, oil, iron ore and other assets to fulfill the country’s ambitious growth plans.
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Monday, March 22, 2010
Sir John Templeton, Financial Chaos and Investing / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010
When my friends Lauren Templeton and Scott Philips gave me a copy of their delightful book, Investing the Templeton Way, they included a memorandum Sir John Templeton sent to Lauren, his great-niece, in 2005.*
Sir John Templeton came from humble origins, founded the Templeton Funds (later bought by Franklin Investments), and died a billionaire in 2008, four months shy of his 96th birthday. Like the book that summarizes his strategies, his memo is written in plain English but communicates profound ideas:
Monday, March 22, 2010
Fastest Economic Recovery Ever Could Push Corporate Profits to Record Highs 2010 / Stock-Markets / Corporate Earnings
Jon D. Markman writes: Sometimes we get a little carried away talking about esoteric subjects like bulls, bears, supply, demand, moving averages and the like. But if you just want to focus on something real, then look at corporate profits. When they're rising from a low, that's good; when they're flat-lining or declining, that's bad. Pretty simple.
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Monday, March 22, 2010
Gerald Celente Forecasts Financial Crash and China Trade War 2010 / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Congress is lurching toward legislation to renovate the financial-regulatory system to reduce the risk of another devastating crisis. Finally, the unveiling of a 1,336-page bill by Sen. Christopher Dodd, the Connecticut Democrat who chairs the Senate Banking Committee, was significant. The move showed he is determined to move a bill through the committee despite his inability to get even a few Republicans to sign on.
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Sunday, March 21, 2010
Fed Orchestrated Money Printing Lifts Stock Market Higher / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Technology is usually a wonderful thing. Advances in production allow us to manufacture and ship countless items, to every corner of the world, on a daily bases. Improvements in communication allow an individual to call the other side of the world in seconds whereas four decades ago you would wait hours, sometimes a day, for an international operator to place your call. You can now surf a thousand channels on your TV instead of the three channels that existed when I was a kid, and world events are brought into your living room as they happen.
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Sunday, March 21, 2010
Stock Market Indices Hit 18 Month Highs on Fed Policy Statement / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The major stock market indices added to their gains this week - obtaining comfort from the Fed’s policy statement that the “juice” was not about to be removed anytime soon - and hit 18-month highs before closing down on Friday as “quadruple witching day” in the US weighed on sentiment. A day earlier on Thursday, the S&P 500 tracking ETF (SPY) broke a 14-day winning streak - its longest since the launch of the ETF in 1993.
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Sunday, March 21, 2010
Is the Stock Market Rally Done? In the Final Stages! / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Last week many commentators jumped on the Dow passing a key chart point as a bullish indicator. Rather fewer bears highlighted the equally prescient point that the rally now almost exactly matches the rally of 1929 in percentage gain.
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Sunday, March 21, 2010
Stock and Gold Market Trading Range Madness / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
One of the most salient observations that can be made in the financial market is the tendency of market averages to enter lengthy trading range after a prolonged uptrend or downtrend. This temporarily directionless trend of prices, or consolidation, within a range creates a psychological discomfort among investors that at times is quite palpable. Taken to an extreme, a trading range tends to manifest itself emotionally among market participants and in ways that can be sometimes be observed even in non-participants. The longer the market continues in a lateral or directionless range, the more discomfited the crowd tends to be.
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Sunday, March 21, 2010
Stock Market Bullish Extreme Going Forward / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
In hindsight, the best strategy has been to "set it and forget it" - buy at the bottom in March, 2009 and let it ride. I am sure that is what everyone did! Going forward, the best strategy remains as it has been since October. It will be important to exercise patience and buy at the lows and sell at the highs to capture any profits from this market. While buying low and selling high is always a good policy, it is particularly important here.
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Saturday, March 20, 2010
Stock Market Distribution Day Friday? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Friday had all the makings of a distribution day. It, however, was an OpEx day and we can’t know how much of the activity were market’s way of punishing late buyers and rally hopefuls. Monday, and Tuesday’s action will tell us if this was yet another quick selloff buying opportunity or the beginning of a pullback/correction.
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Saturday, March 20, 2010
Economic Bubbles and Financial Crises, Past and Present / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2010
"It is well enough that people ... do not understand our banking and monetary system, for if they did, I believe there would be a revolution before tomorrow morning." Henry Ford, American industrialist
Read full article... Read full article..."It seems to me that Europe, especially with the addition of more countries, is becoming ever-more susceptible to any asymmetric shock. Sooner or later, when the global economy hits a real bump, Europe's internal contradictions will tear it apart." Milton Friedman, American economist
Saturday, March 20, 2010
Stock Market Investors, Don't Be Fooled Again / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
In contrast to our typical lean toward writing about how active traders can better engage the markets, this piece is for everyday people who are exposed to the markets, but too busy to pay any meaningful attention to them.
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Saturday, March 20, 2010
Has the Stock Market Broadening Top Crested? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The finger-pointing has already begun - Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said the central bank and other U.S. regulators “failed” during the financial crisis because they became too complacent about risks.
“Even with the breakdown of private risk-management, the financial system would have held together had the second bulwark against crisis -- our regulatory system -- functioned effectively,” Greenspan said in the text of a speech at a Brookings Institution conference today. “But, under crisis pressure, it too failed.”
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Saturday, March 20, 2010
Stock Market Finally Some Selling..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
It took its sweet time but the selling has finally arrived. We started the day with a small gap down and never really made an effort to shoot higher. Some small attempts but they were quickly knocked down. It took over a month at being overbought but the market finally caved in. It's important for a market to unwind, of course, and I know it's no fun being in some plays while the market is selling off, but if we had not ignored overbought over the past many weeks we would have missed out on some wonderful plays. We'll just deal with what we have until the market finished off its selling.
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