Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Wednesday, July 21, 2010
Stock Market Reverses Where It Needs To... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The market wasn't happy overnight due to the fact that we had some bad earnings reports from Texas Instruments Inc. (TXN), International Business Machines Corp. (IBM), and this morning, Goldman Sachs (GS). Futures on the Dow were down nearly 150 points at its lows. Not what the bulls wanted to see, and with 1060 as a pivot for lower prices, it got scary for the bulls when we saw 1056 being printed early on after we gapped lower. It was1040 here we come as IBM and Texas Instruments were showing no signs of reversing up from very deep selling early on. However, Goldman Sachs started to reverse and so did the market.
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Tuesday, July 20, 2010
Stock Markets React to Goldmans Numbers and Housing Data / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
U.S. stocks rebounded Monday from the market’s biggest drop this month, as optimism about earnings from technology and energy companies overshadowed a drop in financial shares and worse than expected NAHB homebuilder confidence numbers. Microsoft climbed 1.4% after UBS raised its earnings estimate, citing signs of stronger demand. Halliburton jumped 6% after topping analysts’ earnings and revenue estimates.
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Tuesday, July 20, 2010
How to Find Recession Proof Stocks / Stock-Markets / Sector Analysis
Isn’t it amazing how quickly the mainstream media talk has turned from green shoots and recoveries to double-dip recessions and a whole laundry list of new economic worries?
The whimsical nature of the news aside, there certainly are plenty of reasons for concern as some of my colleagues have been pointing out in their recent Money and Markets columns:
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Tuesday, July 20, 2010
Why China’s Economy Will Exceed Expectations in the Second Half of 2010 / Stock-Markets / China Stocks
Larry D. Spears writes: The rapid growth China's economy experienced in the first half of the year was a blessing and a curse. It helped propel the world out of a disastrous recession, but it forced policymakers into action to prevent overheating - which scared off many investors.
But the fact is that while most of the world was struggling to keep the engine of economic recovery from sputtering to a halt, China spent the first half of 2010 with its foot on the brake. And now that the Red Dragon has reigned in growth, the second half of 2010 will likely look very different from the first.
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Tuesday, July 20, 2010
Problems of Investing in Asia, ETF's May Not be Winners for Structural Reasons / Stock-Markets / Asian Economies
This week we turn our eyes to Asia as my friend Louis Gave of GaveKal gives us a very thought-provoking piece on the problems of investing in Asia, with a focus on China. While there are real opportunities, Louis also sees some speed bumps. Those Asian ETFs may not be the winners a lot of people think for structural reasons.
I was to thank the team at GaveKal for letting me reproduce their research as typically it is only available to their clients who pay a rather hefty sum.
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Tuesday, July 20, 2010
Stock Market Sloppy Session Ends Higher / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market indices had an up-day to start the week, but the path was sloppy. They started off with some gains and then sold off sharply to new lows for the entire pullback, reaching 1795 on the Nasdaq 100 and 1061 on the S&P 500. At that point they started a 5-wave advance that last several hours until late into the day, reaching new session highs with about 30-40 minutes to go. They pulled back sharply, and then bounced into the close again.
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Tuesday, July 20, 2010
Stock Market Corporate Earnings Seasons Starts In Earnest / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
It appears the market has been waiting for this for a while as it's going nowhere these days. Since last Monday the market is basically dead flat. This includes the nasty 261 point down experienced Friday. Tonight we get the truth on things from International Business Machines Corp. (IBM) and Texas Instruments Inc. (TXN), two very closely watched stocks that tells us whether the economy is humming along or not doing so well.
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Tuesday, July 20, 2010
What Stock Market Sector Charts Say About Economy / Stock-Markets / Sector Analysis
This week we look at the sectors of housing, retail, basic materials, transportation that reflect economic growth or contraction to see what they’re telling us about the economy and if there’s any reason or area in which to get aggressive in this market.
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Monday, July 19, 2010
Investors Riding the High Volatility Waves Without Wipeouts / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010
With the inviting California surf a stone's throw from his office, Global Resource Investments Founder and CEO Rick Rule is always generous in sharing his wit and wisdom. In this Gold Report exclusive based on his Friday webcast, he covers a lot of territory and provides plenty of tips for investors. That the markets will deliver huge waves of volatility as the secular commodities bull market continues its charge is a foregone conclusion, as Rick sees it. Read on to find out what he says you need to ride the high curls and stay out of the soup.
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Monday, July 19, 2010
US Corporate Earnings Season Gets Into Full Swing / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Ending a yoyo week U.S. stocks fell Friday, ending the Dow’s longest winning streak in two months, following worse than estimated revenues at Bank of America , Citigroup and General Electric. Lack of loan growth is the a canary for broader weakness in the US economy. BofA CFO “we are in the business of loaning money to people, but people have to want to take out loans”. Economic data wise, a big dip in consumer confidence that sank to the lowest level in a year and the ECRI leading indicator pointing to a recession in the next 3 months added to the gloom.
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Monday, July 19, 2010
The Case for Emerging Markets Investment Out Performance / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
One of the best selling points for investing in emerging markets is growth potential, but like any other sector, this growth must come at a reasonable price.
Emerging market stocks are cheap these days. The MSCI Emerging Markets Index has a 12-month forward price-to-earnings ratio of 10.8x, which is 15 percent below the P/E for the MSCI World Index. As you can see on the chart below, this valuation has rarely been more attractive – it is 15 percent below the long-term average.
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Monday, July 19, 2010
Investors Listen to Washington and You’re Screwed! / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010
From my home base in Bangkok, Thailand, I can tell you — in no uncertain terms — that Asia’s economies are as vibrant as ever, if not more so.
Just consider the following list of recent economic stats coming out of Asia, the world’s most populous corner of the globe, home to fully 50% of the world’s population …
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Monday, July 19, 2010
Consumer Confidence Collapsing, Economy Sinking Investor Profit Bonanzas / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Rarely are the signs of an economic downturn as clear as they are today — collapsing consumer confidence, sinking retail sales, another round of housing market troubles, and much more.
And even more rarely do we see the stock market defy those signs like it did through Thursday of last week — finally succumbing, however, on Friday with the Dow’s 261-point decline.
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Monday, July 19, 2010
Stock Market Support Remains Low / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Sustainable multi-year advances in the stock market requires a background of improving fundamentals plus an expanding economy. On a more simplistic level, a bull market is when the fundamentals create an environment where the majority of stocks are trending up. However, investing conditions periodically build where the majority of stocks in an index are turning down short-term. This is when a deep correction can occur.
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Monday, July 19, 2010
Stock Market Targeting Corrective Downtrend Into October / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Current Position of the Market
Very Long-term trend - Down! The very-long-term cycles are down and if they make their lows when expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until about 2014-2015.
SPX: Intermediate trend. The index made an intermediate top at 1220 and is now in a dubious intermediate downtrend.
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Sunday, July 18, 2010
Stock Market Crash Update - Don't Get Fleeced Get Rich / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
When I was at school in England and about 15 years old I opted to play golf on sports day, in order to get out of playing rugby, and one of my happy memories, apart from using the same sick note forged by a friend about 17 times to get out of sports altogether, is strolling around the golf practice area at school, which happened to be adjacent to a rugby pitch, occasionally whacking a ball idly with a 7 iron while the rugby teams charged around like oxen after an oval shaped ball, play being interrupted occasionally for one of them to be carried off with concussion or a broken ankle or whatever. If this seems like irrelevant rambling bear with me for we are soon going to get to the point.
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Sunday, July 18, 2010
Stock Market Extremes in Bearish Sentiment Needs More Buyers / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Without buyers stepping in, extremes in bearish sentiment will be just that - extremes in bearish sentiment. Prices not only ended the week on a big down note, but they also failed to close above resistance levels despite probing above those levels all week. This was just pure selling.
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Sunday, July 18, 2010
Stocks Stealth Bull Market Correction Generating China Buying Opportunity? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
China - You will no doubt have heard much about the start of the great chinese stocks bear market as the Shanghai SSEC index has fallen below 2,500 to currently stand at 2,424. In my opinion the whole trend off of the high is a correction and therefore represents a opportunity to buy at bargain prices.
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Sunday, July 18, 2010
Why Are Economic Debates in Academia So Bitter? Answer Because the Stakes Are So Low / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
John Hussman of the Hussman Funds has a Ph.D. in economics from Stanford. He used to be a professor of economics and international finance at the University of Michigan. Now, he’s a highly successful money manager. John tells a story about how Paul Krugman once gave a talk at Stanford about a model of economic development which caused him to leave academia and become a money manager.
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Saturday, July 17, 2010
It’s the End of the World As We Know It / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
What are 308,367,109 Americans supposed to do?
First of all, despite clamping down on immigration, our population grew by 2.6M people last year. Unfortunately, not only did we not create jobs for those 2.6M new people but we lost about 4M jobs so what are these new people going to do? Not only that, but nobody is talking about the another major job issue: People aren’t retiring! They can’t afford to because the economy is bad – that means there are even less job openings… The pimply faced kid can’t get a job delivering pizza because his grandpa’s doing it.
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