Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Wednesday, July 21, 2010
Stock Market S&P500 Death Cross or Buying Opportunity? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Much has been made of the "Death Cross" that happened on July 2, 2010 in the S&P500. The "Death Cross" occurs when the 50 day moving average of price crosses below the 200 day moving average. Many interpret this technical "phenomena" bearishly, but as usual, folks are only reading the headlines and not critically looking at the numbers. There is more to this story. So what does the data say?
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Wednesday, July 21, 2010
Investors Road to Singapore Profits / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010
The warning signs about the U.S. economy are really starting to pile up.
The Philadelphia Fed’s widely-watched index of economic activity plunged in June to 5.1, about half the expected 10.0 reading the Wall Street crowd was counting on. Plus, the index of new orders dropped to a NEGATIVE 4.3.
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Wednesday, July 21, 2010
An Apple A Day Keeps The Stock Market Bears Away / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
U.S. stocks rose for a second day, erasing earlier losses as speculation the Federal Reserve will take steps to spur lending and an increase in building permits sent homebuilders and commodity producers higher and in doing so brushed off a nasty housing starts number and underwhelming numbers from Goldman Sachs. Yes on another day at the funfair the rollercoaster that is the Dow these days finished up 0.7% Tuesday after dipping as much as 1.4% earlier. Tech talisman Apple, Yahoo and AIDS drug maker Gilead Sciences (who missed EPS estimates and reduced guidance) were among companies that posted quarterly results after the official close of U.S. exchanges today.
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Wednesday, July 21, 2010
Stock Market Short Covering Rally... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Trade Recommendations: Take no action.
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Wednesday, July 21, 2010
SP-500 and GLD Time to Rally / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
At the time of my most recent article, we had just begun the stock market rally out of the July 2nd bottom and I suggested the rally would be able to continue higher, which it did, until the SP-500 1100 level stopped it on 3 consecutive days. Since then, we have taken 45 points off the index and today began a successful rally from 1057 that ended the day at 1083.
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Wednesday, July 21, 2010
Stock Market Indices Bounce Back from Morning Sell-Off to Close Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market indices started out the day in sharply lower fashion with a big gap down as the futures were lower before the opening. But they quickly stabilized and then took off. Within the first hour and a half they had reached key resistance at 1810 on the Nasdaq 100 and just under 1070 on the S&P 500, and backed off to form bull flags.
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Wednesday, July 21, 2010
Stock Market Reverses Where It Needs To... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The market wasn't happy overnight due to the fact that we had some bad earnings reports from Texas Instruments Inc. (TXN), International Business Machines Corp. (IBM), and this morning, Goldman Sachs (GS). Futures on the Dow were down nearly 150 points at its lows. Not what the bulls wanted to see, and with 1060 as a pivot for lower prices, it got scary for the bulls when we saw 1056 being printed early on after we gapped lower. It was1040 here we come as IBM and Texas Instruments were showing no signs of reversing up from very deep selling early on. However, Goldman Sachs started to reverse and so did the market.
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Tuesday, July 20, 2010
Stock Markets React to Goldmans Numbers and Housing Data / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
U.S. stocks rebounded Monday from the market’s biggest drop this month, as optimism about earnings from technology and energy companies overshadowed a drop in financial shares and worse than expected NAHB homebuilder confidence numbers. Microsoft climbed 1.4% after UBS raised its earnings estimate, citing signs of stronger demand. Halliburton jumped 6% after topping analysts’ earnings and revenue estimates.
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Tuesday, July 20, 2010
How to Find Recession Proof Stocks / Stock-Markets / Sector Analysis
Isn’t it amazing how quickly the mainstream media talk has turned from green shoots and recoveries to double-dip recessions and a whole laundry list of new economic worries?
The whimsical nature of the news aside, there certainly are plenty of reasons for concern as some of my colleagues have been pointing out in their recent Money and Markets columns:
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Tuesday, July 20, 2010
Why China’s Economy Will Exceed Expectations in the Second Half of 2010 / Stock-Markets / China Stocks
Larry D. Spears writes: The rapid growth China's economy experienced in the first half of the year was a blessing and a curse. It helped propel the world out of a disastrous recession, but it forced policymakers into action to prevent overheating - which scared off many investors.
But the fact is that while most of the world was struggling to keep the engine of economic recovery from sputtering to a halt, China spent the first half of 2010 with its foot on the brake. And now that the Red Dragon has reigned in growth, the second half of 2010 will likely look very different from the first.
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Tuesday, July 20, 2010
Problems of Investing in Asia, ETF's May Not be Winners for Structural Reasons / Stock-Markets / Asian Economies
This week we turn our eyes to Asia as my friend Louis Gave of GaveKal gives us a very thought-provoking piece on the problems of investing in Asia, with a focus on China. While there are real opportunities, Louis also sees some speed bumps. Those Asian ETFs may not be the winners a lot of people think for structural reasons.
I was to thank the team at GaveKal for letting me reproduce their research as typically it is only available to their clients who pay a rather hefty sum.
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Tuesday, July 20, 2010
Stock Market Sloppy Session Ends Higher / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market indices had an up-day to start the week, but the path was sloppy. They started off with some gains and then sold off sharply to new lows for the entire pullback, reaching 1795 on the Nasdaq 100 and 1061 on the S&P 500. At that point they started a 5-wave advance that last several hours until late into the day, reaching new session highs with about 30-40 minutes to go. They pulled back sharply, and then bounced into the close again.
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Tuesday, July 20, 2010
Stock Market Corporate Earnings Seasons Starts In Earnest / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
It appears the market has been waiting for this for a while as it's going nowhere these days. Since last Monday the market is basically dead flat. This includes the nasty 261 point down experienced Friday. Tonight we get the truth on things from International Business Machines Corp. (IBM) and Texas Instruments Inc. (TXN), two very closely watched stocks that tells us whether the economy is humming along or not doing so well.
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Tuesday, July 20, 2010
What Stock Market Sector Charts Say About Economy / Stock-Markets / Sector Analysis
This week we look at the sectors of housing, retail, basic materials, transportation that reflect economic growth or contraction to see what they’re telling us about the economy and if there’s any reason or area in which to get aggressive in this market.
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Monday, July 19, 2010
Investors Riding the High Volatility Waves Without Wipeouts / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010
With the inviting California surf a stone's throw from his office, Global Resource Investments Founder and CEO Rick Rule is always generous in sharing his wit and wisdom. In this Gold Report exclusive based on his Friday webcast, he covers a lot of territory and provides plenty of tips for investors. That the markets will deliver huge waves of volatility as the secular commodities bull market continues its charge is a foregone conclusion, as Rick sees it. Read on to find out what he says you need to ride the high curls and stay out of the soup.
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Monday, July 19, 2010
US Corporate Earnings Season Gets Into Full Swing / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Ending a yoyo week U.S. stocks fell Friday, ending the Dow’s longest winning streak in two months, following worse than estimated revenues at Bank of America , Citigroup and General Electric. Lack of loan growth is the a canary for broader weakness in the US economy. BofA CFO “we are in the business of loaning money to people, but people have to want to take out loans”. Economic data wise, a big dip in consumer confidence that sank to the lowest level in a year and the ECRI leading indicator pointing to a recession in the next 3 months added to the gloom.
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Monday, July 19, 2010
The Case for Emerging Markets Investment Out Performance / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
One of the best selling points for investing in emerging markets is growth potential, but like any other sector, this growth must come at a reasonable price.
Emerging market stocks are cheap these days. The MSCI Emerging Markets Index has a 12-month forward price-to-earnings ratio of 10.8x, which is 15 percent below the P/E for the MSCI World Index. As you can see on the chart below, this valuation has rarely been more attractive – it is 15 percent below the long-term average.
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Monday, July 19, 2010
Investors Listen to Washington and You’re Screwed! / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010
From my home base in Bangkok, Thailand, I can tell you — in no uncertain terms — that Asia’s economies are as vibrant as ever, if not more so.
Just consider the following list of recent economic stats coming out of Asia, the world’s most populous corner of the globe, home to fully 50% of the world’s population …
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Monday, July 19, 2010
Consumer Confidence Collapsing, Economy Sinking Investor Profit Bonanzas / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Rarely are the signs of an economic downturn as clear as they are today — collapsing consumer confidence, sinking retail sales, another round of housing market troubles, and much more.
And even more rarely do we see the stock market defy those signs like it did through Thursday of last week — finally succumbing, however, on Friday with the Dow’s 261-point decline.
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Monday, July 19, 2010
Stock Market Support Remains Low / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Sustainable multi-year advances in the stock market requires a background of improving fundamentals plus an expanding economy. On a more simplistic level, a bull market is when the fundamentals create an environment where the majority of stocks are trending up. However, investing conditions periodically build where the majority of stocks in an index are turning down short-term. This is when a deep correction can occur.
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