Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Wednesday, February 16, 2011

How You Can Profit from the Latest Stock Market Warning Sign / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Claus_Vogt

There is no denying that the emerging world — especially China, India, and Brazil — has had a nice growth spurt. And there are convincing reasons to expect them to continue their long-term growth stories: Favorable demographics and a shift towards more market-oriented policies.

However, these long-term growth drivers do not immunize emerging economies from the business cycle … the ebb and flow of booms and recessions.

Wednesday, February 16, 2011

Sell American, Buffett Is / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Brady_Willett

In an October 16, 2008 op-ed entitled ‘Buy American. I Am’, Warren Buffett revealed that he was moving his own wealth into equities, adding that “If prices keep looking attractive, my non-Berkshire net worth will soon be 100 percent in United States equities.” Coming from someone that regularly contends he never tries to time the markets, this was easily Buffett’s most bullish call since October 1974.  And while it would take and additional 5-months before stocks would reach a ‘bottom’, it is now safe to conclude that Buffett, once again, was right.

Wednesday, February 16, 2011

Stock Market Pullback Imminent, Cyclical Bull to Continue / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: John_Hampson

Let's start by looking longer term.
Cyclical stocks bulls historically end when/with:

Inflation over 4%
10 year treasury yields over 6%
Stock market topping process accompanied by weakening breadth
Yield curve abnormal
Overtightening of interest rates

Wednesday, February 16, 2011

Stock Market Daring us to Buy Those Dips Again / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: PhilStockWorld

Should we be concerned?  
As Doug Short points out in his EEM chart from our Chart School, while Egypt may be "fixed," emerging markets are not. We had a pretty ridiculous discussion in Member Chat last week on whether we should take our quick 300% profits on our EDZ hedges or wait for the full 500% and we decided to wait because, like Doug and Captain Kirk - we do not believe the trend is the friend of Emerging Markets at the moment.  

Tuesday, February 15, 2011

Bull Bear Market Report / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Steven_Vincent

US equity markets have continued to make higher weekly closing highs, climbing relentlessly in defiance of calls for a pullback or a resumption of the bear market. Treasuries broke down from a month long consolidation and resumed their downtrend as capital continued to exit the perceived safety of fixed income for risk assets. Gold appears to have completed a correction of its recent decline and may be set to join Treasuries in a downtrend as investors exit safe haven plays.

Tuesday, February 15, 2011

Stock Market Correction Due, Awaits Technical Breakdown / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Christopher_Quigley

The market is at a very interesting juncture. On all my favourite indicators (A/D Line, McClennan Summation, Slow Stochastics, Fast Stochastics and MACD) the current bull run is very much overbought. Given that this highly profitable move has been in place since last September it is logical that we are due a correction, but there is no sign yet of any technical breakdown. If you are not in the market or have been stopped out from positions I would hold my powder dry for the moment as the risk/reward ratio is negative.

Tuesday, February 15, 2011

Stock Market Bears Can't Keep History From Repeating / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Money_Morning

Jon D. Markman writes: There's something in the air - and I'm not talking about spring or young love. I'm talking about a profound sense of déjà vu.

The way the stock market has performed of late has me thinking back to the low volatility bull-market cycles of the early- and mid-1990s. So far 2011 is awfully reminiscent of 1995 - another year that featured a jobless recovery and a Democratic president moving to the center.

Tuesday, February 15, 2011

Stock Market Bears Turning Bullish, Warning Signal for Crisis 2011 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Clif_Droke

After two years of issuing "sell" ratings on equities and making bearish pronouncements on the year-ahead economic outlook, Wall Street has finally turned bullish again. Recent analyst polls reveal the consensus outlook for 2011 is for another year of double-digit stock market gains. Even stalwart bears are starting to sound a more optimistic note on the prospects for continued economic recovery in 2011 and beyond.

Tuesday, February 15, 2011

Stock Market Overbought Again On The Daily Index Charts.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Jack_Steiman

It's the same old story. Wash, rinse and repeat. The market goes higher until the daily charts get those 70 RSI readings, and then it sells off a bit to unwind some. Once unwound just a little bit it begins its journey once again to the up side. At some point that'll stop. The RSI, stochastics, and MACDs, will some day really sell off when everyone expects it not to.

Monday, February 14, 2011

U.S. Stock Markets Financial Disconnect / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: John_Browne

Despite last week's confusing employment data, the increasing threat of another decline in home values, political uncertainty in Egypt and the broader Middle East, and sharp pullbacks in some emerging markets such as Brazil, US stock markets continued to rise. It sometimes seems that Wall Street exists in a bubble that is well-insulated from the rough and tumble of the outside world. But, in what may be a harbinger that America's era of prosperity is winding down, the hallowed New York Stock Exchange, long the epicenter of American economic might, is expected to be bought by Germany's Deutsche Boerse. When the king is so unceremoniously uncrowned, it won't be long before investors notice how shabbily dressed he really is.

Monday, February 14, 2011

Viral Bubbleomics: Debt infected Housing infected Oil …Now Gold / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble

By: Andrew_Butter

This article, references two articles put out recently, one on oil and one on how America has been financing its trade deficit. The only place that published them was Market Oracle:

Monday, February 14, 2011

Bear Season in Stocks S&P 500 and Crude Oil / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: J_W_Jones

Mr. Market has had an appetite for S&P 500 bears for several months now. In each  instance in which the bears think they are going to get away, Mr. Market draws up his high powered rifle and drops the bears just before they can comfortably return to their caves. Just when the bears think they have escaped and are home free, Mr. Market reminds them who is in charge.

Monday, February 14, 2011

How to Tell When Stock Bulls or The Bears Are in Control / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Marty_Chenard

There are different ways of measuring what is happening in the markets.

Indexes measure the market, but some indexes are price weighted, some are market value-weighted or market share-weighted, and some are float weighted. It is sometimes why, a few stocks can have an over exaggerated impact on the movement of an index.

Monday, February 14, 2011

An Objective Elliott Wave Study of S&P 500 Stocks Index / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory

By: Piazzi

Let’s look at some possible wave configurations

This is a bullish wave configuration that marks the 2009 low as the end of a Cycle 2 wave and all waves after that as parts of a Cycle 3 wave up

Monday, February 14, 2011

US Dollar Currency Expectations and Stock Market Cycle / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: readtheticker

The funny thing about cycles is they repeat, as expected, just like clock work. While the bull bear debate rages, eventually price aligns to the dominate cycle. Cycles gain respect when they statistically demand it. A market analyst also must give respect to inter market analysis for the same reason. Inter market analysis is the study of a market (say US Dollar) that has a high correlation or influence over another (say Stock Market). Therefore it is wise to do the same with cycles, one must consider the dominate cycle of each market to see if they concur or conflict with other markets that they correlate with.

Sunday, February 13, 2011

Stock Market Trends All Remain Up / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Andre_Gratian

Very Long-term trend - The continuing strength in the indices is causing me to question whether we are in a secular bear market, or two cyclical bull/bear cycles side by side.  In any case, the very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into 2014-15.

Long-term trend -In March 2009, the SPX began an upward move in the form of a mini bull market.  Cycles point to a continuation of this trend for several more months.

Sunday, February 13, 2011

Very Brutal Stock Market Investor Sentiment / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Guy_Lerner

As expected, the bullish extremes in investor sentiment persist. Company insiders continue to unload shares at a high rate. As I have brought forth over the past couple of months, these data points (and those of most analysts) have not mattered as the major indices keep marching higher. It has been very brutal if you are anticipating a correction. It has been brutal if you are short, and it has been brutally hard to sit on your hands and do nothing while you wait for an entry point that is more than 1% below the recent highs. At this point, divining when a meaningful correction will happen is only guess.

Sunday, February 13, 2011

India's Stock Market is in Freefall, a Chart You Should Start Following Immediately / Stock-Markets / India

By: DailyWealth

Brian Hunt writes: In an average week, my colleagues and I sift through more than 200 charts.

With some charts, we're looking for specific trading ideas... We're looking for extremes in the market that offer big "anti-consensus" opportunities. This is how we've found big winners for our readers in platinum, oil, uranium, offshore drilling, and overpriced growth stocks.

Sunday, February 13, 2011

Stock Market Valentines Day Massacre? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The FDIC Averaging 3 Weekly Closures for Past Year. The FDIC Failed Bank List announced four new bank closures this week. Premier American, based in Miami, acquired Sunshine State Community Bank, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. said today in a statement on its website. Lenders in Michigan, Wisconsin, and California also closed, and the four transactions drained $144.9 million from the FDIC’s deposit-insurance fund.

Saturday, February 12, 2011

Stock Market Uptrend is Relentless, Analysis for Week Starting 14th Feb / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Tony_Caldaro

Economic reports continue to come in mostly on the positive side and the market continues to move higher. This week the positive economic reports again outnumbered negative reports 8 to 2. On the negative side both the Trade and Budget deficits worsened. On the positive side consumer credit, wholesale inventories, consumer sentiment, the monetary base, the WLEI, excess reserves and the leading wbase increased. Also, jobless claims declined.