Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, February 22, 2011
Secular Stock Market Insights, Stay Out of the ROOM / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: John_Mauldin
One of my favorite analysts is Ed Easterling of Crestmont Research. We used to get together a whole lot more when he lived in Dallas, but he has since moved to the wilds of Oregon. Ed’s first book, Unexpected Returns, is a classic work that I think is a must-read for all stock market investors.
And now he favors us with yet another book, called Probable Outcomes: Secular Stock Market Insights, in which he takes on the mostly silly research, done by so many analysts, that purports to show what an investor can expect to make from his retirement portfolio over time. I can’t tell you how disastrous this simplistic analysis can be for retirees.
Tuesday, February 22, 2011
Picture of the Two Latest Cyclical Stocks Bull Markets and Where the Current One is Headed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jas_Jain
The US "stock market" is but a reflection of the US econo-political system firmly in control of the corporate crooks that put the top powers (Presidency and the Chairmanship of the Federal Reserve) in hands of those who would not shy from policies that result in evil economic and financial deeds. No other nation is the cause of America's economic problems. They are all homemade. The reason Americans are angry and anxious about the future is that evildoers, driven by desperation, have led the US economy and there is no change in sight. Obama was lying when he promised change.
Tuesday, February 22, 2011
Stock Market Cycles Looking for a Peak! / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: Jim_Curry
Since the Summer of 2010, the various U.S. stock indices have garnered an impressive run, pushing up some 32% from our last major bottom with the 9 and 18-month cycles.
The current upward move was anticipated, with the 180-day (i.e., 9-month) cycle confirming various upside targets along the way. In terms of cyclic price projections, back in September this 180-day cycle had confirmed an initial upside target to the 1187.09 - 1226.23 region for the SPX, which was satisfied on 10/21/10.
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Tuesday, February 22, 2011
Stock Rising on "Rivers of Blood" / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: PhilStockWorld
"Libya is at a crossroads. If we do not agree today on reforms....rivers of blood will run through Libya.
We will take up arms...we will fight to the last bullet.
We will destroy seditious elements.
If everybody is armed, it is civil war, we will kill each other.
Libya is not Egypt, it is not Tunisia"- Saif al-Islam Kadhafi, 38 (Moamer's son)
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Monday, February 21, 2011
Commodity and Financial Markets Cycles Analysis / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: readtheticker
Hugh Hendry of Eclectica Asset Management and Gary Shilling of A Gary Shilling Company are bearish on China, and the world. We must pay respect to both of these market players as they have had an abundance of correct market calls in the past. Their opinions are contrarian, so for trends to change, major cycles must be ready to roll over. Lets review a few...
Saturday, February 19, 2011
Stock Market Up, Up and Away, Elliott Wave Analysis for Week Starting 21st Feb / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Tony_Caldaro
For the eleventh week in a row the SPX made new bull market highs this week. Statistically that is quite a run as this seven month uptrend continues to extend. Economic reports were plentiful and positive. Thirteen were positive or improving, four negative or weakening, and one flat. The negatives were declines in industrial production, building permits and the M1-multiplier, plus an increase in weekly jobless claims. The NAHB housing index remains flat and bouncing along the bottom. On the positive side; the PPI/CPI were positive, along with import/export prices, retail sales, the leading indicators. On the improve were the NY/Philly FED, business inventories, capacity utilization, the monetary base and the WLEI.
Saturday, February 19, 2011
Mutual Fund Investors Are Piling Into the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Gallup Finds U.S. Unemployment Up to 10.0% in Mid-February
Underemployment surged to 19.6% in mid-February from 18.9% at the end of January
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Saturday, February 19, 2011
Stock Market Rapidly Approaching Long-term Resistance....... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jack_Steiman
What a great ride this has been for us. Fun for sure. Bigger picture, as long as printing press Ben is active, the fun should last a lot longer. That doesn't mean the market won't take some time out to pause and sell down some. There are a plethora of reasons to expect a sell off some time soon. The three primary ones are major resistance on the Nasdaq (chart included) at 2861. Add strong resistance on the transports and small caps (charts also included), and you have a lot of sectors close to major resistance. The second reason is overbought daily charts, and finally, you have confirming, very overbought, weekly charts on the major indexes. RSI's in the upper 70's on the Dow and S&P 500 on those weekly charts. Stochastic's a hair under 100. It doesn't go higher than 100.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, February 18, 2011
Investor Wealth Preservation and Enhancement via Reality Checks / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: DeepCaster_LLC
“Ron Paul has written a book, End the Fed, well known in these circles. We have a better idea: Stiff the Fed.
In case you missed it, the financial cable network CNBC actually produced something informative a little while ago. It listed our 15 biggest creditors, the entities to which the captive citizens of the United Snakes of America owes money…
We owe Japan $877.2 billion. China ranks a measly third: they've been shedding U.S. debt like crazy, converting it to stuff we used to do, like mineral and oil production, but they're still just a hair shy of a trillion, $895.6 billion to be precise.
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Friday, February 18, 2011
Stock Market Selloffs Ignite U.S. Dollar Rallies / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Zeal_LLC
The inevitable periodic selloffs in the general stock markets indiscriminately hammer all stocks lower. But they pose a special magnified risk to commodities stocks. In addition to weighing on this sector directly, stock selloffs ignite fast US dollar rallies. This rapidly drives dollar-denominated commodities prices lower, amplifying the selling pressure faced by commodities stocks.
Friday, February 18, 2011
Global Investing Strategies 2011, U.S. Stocks, Dollar, Inflation and China / Stock-Markets / Investing 2011
By: Money_Morning
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes:
If you're a regular Money Morning reader, then you know that, d uring my appearances on national television or when I'm doing media interviews around the world, I frequently participate in something called a "lightning round " - a rapid-fire interview technique in which the announcer (and sometimes even audience members) run through a list of questions in rapid-fire order.
Thursday, February 17, 2011
Nature Of The Game Elongation, Not Alteration / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Charlie_Tarango
There has been much debate and dialogue about the actions of the Central Banks and the US Federal Reserve in particular. The basic Opinion falls into two camps: Opposition to these actions; and Support for these actions. The real questions however, are what will be the ultimate affect of these actions, and what is their true purpose.
Thursday, February 17, 2011
Why the S&P is Rigged? One Chart Says It All / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
By: Justin_John
Try sending this to everyone and hopefully someone from FED will read it. They should finally know that we arent that stupid really and this time around, retail will not come in at PEAK to save the FED and cronies.
Thursday, February 17, 2011
Stock Market Roars Back..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jack_Steiman
But you just can't kill the beast someone once wrote in a song. No different here, as the beast known as the bull market, won't go away quietly. It gets a drop below overbought, then comes raging back without even a fight by the bears. It's as if they've just given up, which makes me nervous. But you can't argue with a market that uses any selling to come right back the very next day. The futures started ticking up overnight, which told me here we go again. You just can't keep this thing down with any momentum. You wonder who's buying these futures. The fed? Could be, but it doesn't matter does it. It catches on with many others joining in and up she goes. We gapped up and spent little time churning before moving higher still. There was one powerful pullback intraday, but that, too, got bought up as they rolled along.
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Wednesday, February 16, 2011
How You Can Profit from the Latest Stock Market Warning Sign / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Claus_Vogt
There is no denying that the emerging world — especially China, India, and Brazil — has had a nice growth spurt. And there are convincing reasons to expect them to continue their long-term growth stories: Favorable demographics and a shift towards more market-oriented policies.
However, these long-term growth drivers do not immunize emerging economies from the business cycle … the ebb and flow of booms and recessions.
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Wednesday, February 16, 2011
Sell American, Buffett Is / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Brady_Willett
In an October 16, 2008 op-ed entitled ‘Buy American. I Am’, Warren Buffett revealed that he was moving his own wealth into equities, adding that “If prices keep looking attractive, my non-Berkshire net worth will soon be 100 percent in United States equities.” Coming from someone that regularly contends he never tries to time the markets, this was easily Buffett’s most bullish call since October 1974. And while it would take and additional 5-months before stocks would reach a ‘bottom’, it is now safe to conclude that Buffett, once again, was right.
Wednesday, February 16, 2011
Stock Market Pullback Imminent, Cyclical Bull to Continue / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: John_Hampson
Let's start by looking longer term.
Cyclical stocks bulls historically end when/with:
Inflation over 4%
10 year treasury yields over 6%
Stock market topping process accompanied by weakening breadth
Yield curve abnormal
Overtightening of interest rates
Wednesday, February 16, 2011
Stock Market Daring us to Buy Those Dips Again / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: PhilStockWorld
Should we be concerned?
As Doug Short points out in his EEM chart from our Chart School, while Egypt may be "fixed," emerging markets are not. We had a pretty ridiculous discussion in Member Chat last week on whether we should take our quick 300% profits on our EDZ hedges or wait for the full 500% and we decided to wait because, like Doug and Captain Kirk - we do not believe the trend is the friend of Emerging Markets at the moment.
Tuesday, February 15, 2011
Bull Bear Market Report / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Steven_Vincent
US equity markets have continued to make higher weekly closing highs, climbing relentlessly in defiance of calls for a pullback or a resumption of the bear market. Treasuries broke down from a month long consolidation and resumed their downtrend as capital continued to exit the perceived safety of fixed income for risk assets. Gold appears to have completed a correction of its recent decline and may be set to join Treasuries in a downtrend as investors exit safe haven plays.
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Tuesday, February 15, 2011
Stock Market Correction Due, Awaits Technical Breakdown / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Christopher_Quigley
The market is at a very interesting juncture. On all my favourite indicators (A/D Line, McClennan Summation, Slow Stochastics, Fast Stochastics and MACD) the current bull run is very much overbought. Given that this highly profitable move has been in place since last September it is logical that we are due a correction, but there is no sign yet of any technical breakdown. If you are not in the market or have been stopped out from positions I would hold my powder dry for the moment as the risk/reward ratio is negative.