Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Friday, February 11, 2011
Want to Bet Against Permanent Open Market Operations (POMO) ? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: John_Hampson
Permanent Open Market Operations are purchases of treasuries and other securities by the Fed to inject money into the system. It is the policy of Quantitative Easing broken down into a schedule of action. Chris Ciovacco's diagram here shows how this policy results in pushing asset prices higher around the globe:Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, February 11, 2011
European Stocks Under Pressure / Stock-Markets / European Stock Markets
By: Seven_Days_Ahead
The Technical Trader’s view:
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Thursday, February 10, 2011
Investors Finally Fear the Inflation Precipice / Stock-Markets / Inflation
By: Robert_Murphy
Well it's about time. The headline on Monday's CNBC article announces: "Investors Starting to Believe That Inflation Threat is Real."
For some time, I have been a proud member of the fuddy duddies who have been predicting the return of serious stagflation. Thus far, our prognostications have clearly been half-right — the "real economy" is indeed caught in a terrible rut, far worse than most of the Keynesian economists recognized even in late 2008.
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Thursday, February 10, 2011
Stock Market Hedging Strategies: Tight Trailing Stops and Inverse Funds / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Money_Morning
The Dow Jones Industrial Average has soared 26% since early July and some 84.59% from its March 2009 bear-market lows. And that has Money Morning Chief Investment Strategist Keith Fitz-Gerald more than a little concerned.
Does that mean it's time to cash out?
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Thursday, February 10, 2011
Stock Market Minor Pullback On The SPX/NDX Off 70 RSI's On Daily Charts... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jack_Steiman
You wouldn't call this a strong, or a major, pullback, I'm sure, but it was a pullback to some degree, nevertheless, especially on the Nasdaq and today's lows. RSI readings on the S&P 500, Dow, and Wilshire all hit 70 Tuesday, and thus, it should come as no shock that the market made an attempt to sell off some today. In the end, however, it didn't do a whole lot of selling successfully as the buy-the-dip bull crowd came in again today when things started to really move down. The interesting thing about 70 RSI readings in this bull market is that it has rarely stopped individual stocks from moving higher if they're in the right type of bullish pattern. The RSI readings often get well in to the 70's if not the lower 80's. This is not normal behavior, and shouldn't be looked upon as such, since normally, 70 will stop stocks dead in their tracks.
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Thursday, February 10, 2011
Financial Crisis, How Soon the World Forgets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
It is the week of February 07, 2011 and the Dow rests above 12,000 for the first time in three years. The markets have rebounded impressively since March of 2009, when the financial markets struck their lowest lows before a quick surge and near double to today.It is extremely interesting to watch the return to the financial markets and watch as each investment, regardless of its type, surge in price as money flows back into every financial vehicle on the market. AOL just purchased the Huffington Post for several multiples over its revenue in another large scale purchase of online media. The deal, done in all cash, only goes to show how cheap cash actually is. When was the last time any company, especially AOL, pumped out cash in return for 100% ownership?
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Wednesday, February 09, 2011
Under the Big Stock Market Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: PhilStockWorld
1,332. That is a 100% in the S&P since it's March 2009 low of 666 (see David Fry's chart). Does it matter? Can we expect even a LITTLE pullback after a 100% run or is it "to the moon Alice" and maybe Mars and Jupiter while we're at it as the Federal Reserve's multi-Trillion Dollar thrusters send us to the stars, breaking the bonds of gravity (and logic) as they send stocks every higher in an expanding universe of freshly supplied money. As fellow stock market physicist, Art Cashin said yesterday:
Wednesday, February 09, 2011
S&P Stock Index Key Points to Watch / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Mike_Paulenoff
Very sloppy action in the emini S&P 500 (e-SPH) and in the cash S&P 500 (SPX), which is a bit unnerving for me considering my cycle work (posted on Monday evening) as well as my Bollinger Band work BOTH suggest that the indices could be vulnerable to a shakeout on the long side within the current timeframe. A sustained breach of 1313.00 in the e-SPH should coincide with an upside penetration of the ProShares UltraShort S&P 500 (SDS) at 21.60.
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Wednesday, February 09, 2011
Forget Commodities... This Is the Next Big Trend in China / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
By: DailyWealth
In 2006, the Chinese government created a master plan for its economy.
It would invest billions of dollars in construction. New skyscrapers would be built. Schools and apartments would follow. The country's transportation network would also get a massive upgrade...
Wednesday, February 09, 2011
Why Another Financial Crash is Certain / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2011
By: Mike_Whitney
On August 9, 2007, an incident took place at a bank in France that touched-off a financial crisis that that would eventually wipe out more than $30 trillion in capital and thrust the world into the deepest slump since the Great Depression. The event was recounted in a speech by Pimco's managing director Paul McCulley, at the 19th Annual Hyman Minsky Conference on the State of the U.S. and World Economies. Here's an excerpt from McCulley's speech:
Tuesday, February 08, 2011
China World Wide Investing Ushering in the Next Asset Model / Stock-Markets / Investing 2011
By: Justin_John
This is not a typical day trading article but rather medium term fundamental patterns which ultimately define every move including bond markets and currency markets.
The Heritage Foundation’s China Global Investment Tracker documents large Chinese investment overseas outside of bonds. The volume of this investment has exceeded $200 billion in the past five years. The tracker also contains information on nearly $100 billion in large construction contracts since 2005. These numbers will only rise as China seeks to find outlets for closing on $3 trillion in official foreign exchange reserves.
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Tuesday, February 08, 2011
What Happens in a Sideways Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: John_Mauldin
Today's OTB features an excerpt from my friend Vitaliy Katsenelson's recently published The Little Book of Sideways Markets. Vitaliy is CIO at Investment Management Associates, a value investment firm in Denver, and he is a prolific and engaging writer (you can find and subscribe to his articles at http://ContrarianEdge.com). I had the pleasure of writing the foreword to Vitaliy's book, and here is a brief excerpt:
Tuesday, February 08, 2011
Stock Market Trending Higher Still.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jack_Steiman
The questions are asked daily. How soon will the correction begin? Shouldn't I be selling my longs and going short and short aggressively? I can't blame people for wondering about those issues. It makes sense emotionally. The problem is, it hasn't made sense in the real world. Bull markets can be very stressful on bulls and bears alike. The bulls get stressed out the higher they go. The bears get stressed out wondering just how much pain they can endure and when will those losses finally end. Nothing worse than being short and watching the market blast higher.
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Monday, February 07, 2011
Stock and Commodity Markets Heading for Summer Break / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Toby_Connor
It has been my contention all along that the Fed would print until something breaks. Once that break occurs we will enter the next leg down in the secular bear market. This time I don't expect it to be the credit markets, although we will almost certainly have trouble in the municipal and state bond markets. Some may even default.
I actually think the greater risk is from massive layoffs by state and local governments in an effort to cut expenses and avoid default. When that begins we will see unemployment levels start to spike again.
Monday, February 07, 2011
Stock Market Bias Remains Bullish, But Resistance Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Chris_Ciovacco
We head into the new week with some good news from the Middle East, Europe, and the United States. The bias on the Street remains positive, but from a strategy perspective we have potential resistance to contend with near 1,315 and 1,326 on the S&P 500. Below, we outline a possible approach for the week from a portfolio management perspective. Quick reads from this morning’s news capture the early tone for Monday:
Monday, February 07, 2011
Stock Market Real Negative Returns for the Next Decade, Bear Market in PEs / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
By: Mike_Shedlock
Market cheerleaders keep ratcheting up expected earnings, failing to note that much of the recent earnings growth is simply not sustainable.
Reasons for Unsustainable Earnings Growth
- Much of the recent earnings growth is directly related to federal stimulus that will eventually end.
- Much of the earnings in the financial sector are a mirage, based on assets not marked-to-market and insufficient loan loss reserves. The Fed and the FASB have repeatedly postponed rules changes for the benefit of banks and other financial institutions.
- Earnings in both the financial and nonfinancial sectors have margins outside historical norms, based on very low headcounts and outsourcing.
Monday, February 07, 2011
Stock Market Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for Week Starting 7th Feb / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Tony_Caldaro
The market again recovered from an end of month decline to start a new month off in positive fashion. This has been an ongoing theme during this seven month uptrend. Economic reports for the week were quite good: 13 positive and 3 negative. On the negative side, monthly Payrolls came in lower than expected, construction spending and the M1 multiplier both declined. On the positive side, ISM manufacturing/services improved, along with the Chicago PMI, monthly auto sales, factory orders, personal income/spending, PCE prices, Q4 productivity, the ADP, weekly jobless claims, unemployment, the WLEI and the monetary base.
Sunday, February 06, 2011
The Financial Crisis of 2015 / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Trader_Mark
An interesting paper by international management consulting firm Oliver Wyman, on the potential for the next Financial Crisis to play out around 2015. This is not necessarily a 'prediction' per se, but an outline of the next black swan. At the heart of it is once more.... central bankers, especially those of an American kind. I am 100% sure the central bankers will cause another crisis, but what year and via what instruments is a guess.
Sunday, February 06, 2011
Financial Markets Train Smash 2011... / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Brian_Bloom
For those who have the eyes to see, conditions for a train smash in the financial markets continue to build. This conclusion does not flow from a predisposition on the part of this analyst to be pessimistic. It flows from the facts – some of which have been highlighted in the three previous editorials of this name, and some of which are presented below.
Sunday, February 06, 2011
Value of Gold? (vs. currency, oil and stocks) / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Richard_Shaw
Let’s look at the possible value of gold from three angles:
- real money — replacing all paper currency in the world
- energy equivalent value — how much oil can gold buy?
- stock market value — how many S&P 500 index shares can gold buy?