Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Saturday, March 05, 2011
SPX Stock Market Classic Reversal Pattern / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
NFP +192,000, Below Expectations Of 196,000; Unemployment Rate 8.9%, Unchanged Average Hourly EarningsNonfarm payroll employment increased by 192,000 in February, and the unemployment rate was little changed at 8.9 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Job gains occurred in manufacturing, construction, professional and business services, health care, and transportation and warehousing.
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Saturday, March 05, 2011
Pivotal Events for Gold, Commodities and Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
"Any investors willing to bet that the commodities boom is running out of steam may need both courage and patience. Major mining companies have wagered more than US$110B on the opposite view." -Financial Post,
"Consumer Confidence in U.S. Increases to Three-Month High" -Bloomberg,
"U.S. treasury secretary: poor financial regulation in Britain fueled financial crisis." -Telegraph,
Friday, March 04, 2011
A Strong NYSE Stock Market Index / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
The NYSE Index is an exceptionally important index to follow because of its size, composition, the fact that it embodies so many program trades, and because of the focused activity coming from Institutional Investors.
Read full article... Read full article...So, what the NYSE Index is doing, how it is trending, and how strong it is are all very important elements relative to what the rest of the market is doing.
Friday, March 04, 2011
Stock and Currency Market Triangle Price Patterns Pending Breakouts / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Stock indices in Asia and major currency pairs are closing in on the conclusions of large triangles that have been in formation since around 2008.
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Thursday, March 03, 2011
Smart Investors Are Making the Chicken Run To Protect Wealth From U.S. Government Theft / Stock-Markets / Investing 2011
Doug Casey Internationalise Your Wealth writes: With the U.S. government's ever-increasing stranglehold on Americans' assets, smart investors are now taking their wealth abroad. Doug Casey tells you how to do it, and why you shouldn't put it off any longer.
"Making the chicken run" is what Rhodesians used to say about neighbors who packed up and got out during the '60s and '70s, before the place became Zimbabwe. It was considered "unpatriotic" to leave Rhodesia. But it was genuinely idiotic not to.
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Thursday, March 03, 2011
Inflation-Proofing Your Investments / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
With interest rates over 15% in 1981, Harry Browne and Terry Coxon penned Inflation-Proofing Your Investments. They began:
“It’s obvious now that inflation isn’t a temporary problem that will soon disappear.”
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Thursday, March 03, 2011
Gold, Silver, Crude Oil, SP500 and Dollar Long Term Trends / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Trading with multiple time frames - Every now and then it’s always a good idea to look at some different time frames to be sure you have a solid understanding for the longer term trends in play. I will admit that it’s easy to get caught up in trading the shorter time frames like the 1, 10, and 60 minute charts especially when there are large intraday movements. But every night you must reset your thinking by looking at the bigger picture.
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Thursday, March 03, 2011
Stock Markets and Crude Oil Prices / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
The turmoil in the Middle East and North Africa has led to higher oil prices (see Chart 1, data plotted up to 3/1/2011). Brent crude oil was trading at $116.99 ($113.07 on 3/1/2011) as of this writing and West Texas Crude was quoted at $101.68 ($99.63 on 3/1/2011). The Libyan crisis has raised oil prices significantly in the last three trading days. The crisis in the region commenced the day after a Tunisian man set fire to himself on January 21, 2011.
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Thursday, March 03, 2011
Has Crude Oil Spiking Kicked-Off a New Stocks Bear Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Today, we cover specific strategies and tactics we may employ over the coming weeks with respect to our holdings, cash, the Fed, the outlook for stocks, oil prices, and key market levels. The recent spike in oil prices has many wondering if it is “déjà vu all over again”. In July 2008, oil prices surged to over $140 per barrel with the S&P 500 trading at 1,240. As oil came back to earth over the coming months, the S&P 500 did not find buyers until hitting 666 intraday in March 2009.
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Wednesday, March 02, 2011
POMO? Where are you? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke finishes his two day testimony in front of Congress and the one question I liked to see asked is: would you still consider QE2 a success if the equity markets were down 10% since you signaled your intent to purchase assets in August, 2010 as opposed to being up 30%?
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Wednesday, March 02, 2011
Stock Market Correction, How Long and How Deep? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
In my analysis of February 17th here, I suggested a stock market pullback was imminent but that the cyclical stocks bull was to continue longer term. It turned out to be timely, as we have been in correction since the 18th until today. So how long and how deep should we expect the market to consolidate or correct, and is the case for the underlying cyclical stocks bull to continue still as strong?
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Wednesday, March 02, 2011
The Stock Market May Plunge / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
We have seen a larger than normal pullback in the general stock market. The media is already trotting out the perma bears to be interviewed. They are quick to point out how over extended the bullish consensus is. They are right, it does not matter which one you look at, they are all saying the same thing.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, March 02, 2011
The Math is Different at the Top / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
It's Not Rocket Science.
It's just basic arithmetic. 2+2 = 4 ...
Privately-owned central banks + discretionary monetary policy = systemic corruption/oppression.
If the Food & Drug Administration had 100% of its shares owned by private pharmaceutical companies, and, a few months after implementing some radical new regulatory directives, these companies began making record profits and their executives receiving record bonuses, then it wouldn't be too difficult to understand why.
Tuesday, March 01, 2011
NDX Lags, While Overall Stock Market Strong / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
2808 Nasdaq is a huge gap down created a week or so ago off the top. We got within 10 points today (2798) before a strong reversal lower took place. Small caps did the majority of the selling. The Nasdaq stocks as well as the Dow and S&P 500 were out performing throughout the entire trading day. The highest beta, most frothy stocks, took it on the chin showing classic bull market action. Nothing too heavy across the board, although we could definitely use more selling across the board to unwind things on those oscillators to oversold. No guarantee we get it, but the line in the sand is clearly drawn here. The Nasdaq is being protected by the 20-day exponential moving average down to the 50-day exponential moving average with gaps as well to help out while that huge open gap down at 2808 is capping things on the way up.
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Monday, February 28, 2011
American Monster, Excerpts from The Madoff Tapes / Stock-Markets / Scams
“It’s unbelievable. Goldman … no one has any criminal convictions—the whole new regulatory reform is a joke. The whole government is a Ponzi scheme.”
Here are some brief excerpts from a story in New York Magazine called The Madoff Tapes. The story runs to nine pages, so consider this just a taste and read the whole thing when you have the time. I thought Steve Fishman did a terrific job of letting Bernie talk and of presenting his thoughts in a orderly manner without a lot of interpretation and editorial intrusion. He has real talent as an interviewer, and seems a natural reporter.
Monday, February 28, 2011
Microcosm of the Market Manipulation in the US and the Repeated Failure of Ideology / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
I am seeing this same sort of 'gaming the markets' across many markets and stocks that the author notes below, especially in those markets amenable to leverage and electronic manipulation such as indices driven by futures, options markets, and ETFs which more closely resemble carney games than investment vehicles.
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Monday, February 28, 2011
Investing in Sweden – A Cold Country with a Hot Economy / Stock-Markets / European Stock Markets
Jason Simpkins writes: What comes to mind when you think of Sweden: Blonde hair, pale skin, and a pair of sullen blue eyes piercing through a whiteout - or an economy that grew 5.5% last year?
Too often, it's the former when it should be the latter.
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Monday, February 28, 2011
Gold, Dollar, Stocks & Sentiment at Major Market Pivot Point / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
So far 2011 has been an interesting to say the least. Stocks and commodities have been jumping around with high volatility generating mixed trading signals. This choppy price action typically indicates trends are in their late stages. The late stages of a trend is very difficult to trade because volatility rises meaning larger day to day price swings, and at any time the price could either drop like a rock or go parabolic surging higher in value. Generally the largest moves take place during the final 10% of trend, but with a sharp rise in price keep in mind the day to day gyrations are much larger than normal, hence the false buy and sell signals back to back on some investment vehicles.
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Monday, February 28, 2011
Booming Global Auto Market Good For Many / Stock-Markets / US Auto's
Perhaps no industry has experienced a stronger recovery from the depths of the recession than the global automobile industry. Around the world, cars are rolling off the lot at a pace not seen in years. Global car ownership is expected to rise 17 percent over the next five years, according to data from J.D. Power.
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Sunday, February 27, 2011
Stock Market SPX Correction May Be Over / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Very Long-term trend - The continuing strength in the indices is causing me to question whether we are in a secular bear market, or two cyclical bull/bear cycles side by side. In any case, the very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into 2014-15.
Long-term trend -In March 2009, the SPX began an upward move in the form of a mini bull market. Cycles point to a continuation of this trend for several more months.
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