Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Saturday, February 19, 2011
Mutual Fund Investors Are Piling Into the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Gallup Finds U.S. Unemployment Up to 10.0% in Mid-February
Underemployment surged to 19.6% in mid-February from 18.9% at the end of January
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Saturday, February 19, 2011
Stock Market Rapidly Approaching Long-term Resistance....... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
What a great ride this has been for us. Fun for sure. Bigger picture, as long as printing press Ben is active, the fun should last a lot longer. That doesn't mean the market won't take some time out to pause and sell down some. There are a plethora of reasons to expect a sell off some time soon. The three primary ones are major resistance on the Nasdaq (chart included) at 2861. Add strong resistance on the transports and small caps (charts also included), and you have a lot of sectors close to major resistance. The second reason is overbought daily charts, and finally, you have confirming, very overbought, weekly charts on the major indexes. RSI's in the upper 70's on the Dow and S&P 500 on those weekly charts. Stochastic's a hair under 100. It doesn't go higher than 100.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, February 18, 2011
Investor Wealth Preservation and Enhancement via Reality Checks / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
“Ron Paul has written a book, End the Fed, well known in these circles. We have a better idea: Stiff the Fed.
In case you missed it, the financial cable network CNBC actually produced something informative a little while ago. It listed our 15 biggest creditors, the entities to which the captive citizens of the United Snakes of America owes money…
We owe Japan $877.2 billion. China ranks a measly third: they've been shedding U.S. debt like crazy, converting it to stuff we used to do, like mineral and oil production, but they're still just a hair shy of a trillion, $895.6 billion to be precise.
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Friday, February 18, 2011
Stock Market Selloffs Ignite U.S. Dollar Rallies / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
The inevitable periodic selloffs in the general stock markets indiscriminately hammer all stocks lower. But they pose a special magnified risk to commodities stocks. In addition to weighing on this sector directly, stock selloffs ignite fast US dollar rallies. This rapidly drives dollar-denominated commodities prices lower, amplifying the selling pressure faced by commodities stocks.
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Friday, February 18, 2011
Global Investing Strategies 2011, U.S. Stocks, Dollar, Inflation and China / Stock-Markets / Investing 2011
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: If you're a regular Money Morning reader, then you know that, d uring my appearances on national television or when I'm doing media interviews around the world, I frequently participate in something called a "lightning round " - a rapid-fire interview technique in which the announcer (and sometimes even audience members) run through a list of questions in rapid-fire order.
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Thursday, February 17, 2011
Nature Of The Game Elongation, Not Alteration / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
There has been much debate and dialogue about the actions of the Central Banks and the US Federal Reserve in particular. The basic Opinion falls into two camps: Opposition to these actions; and Support for these actions. The real questions however, are what will be the ultimate affect of these actions, and what is their true purpose.
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Thursday, February 17, 2011
Why the S&P is Rigged? One Chart Says It All / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
Try sending this to everyone and hopefully someone from FED will read it. They should finally know that we arent that stupid really and this time around, retail will not come in at PEAK to save the FED and cronies.
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Thursday, February 17, 2011
Stock Market Roars Back..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
But you just can't kill the beast someone once wrote in a song. No different here, as the beast known as the bull market, won't go away quietly. It gets a drop below overbought, then comes raging back without even a fight by the bears. It's as if they've just given up, which makes me nervous. But you can't argue with a market that uses any selling to come right back the very next day. The futures started ticking up overnight, which told me here we go again. You just can't keep this thing down with any momentum. You wonder who's buying these futures. The fed? Could be, but it doesn't matter does it. It catches on with many others joining in and up she goes. We gapped up and spent little time churning before moving higher still. There was one powerful pullback intraday, but that, too, got bought up as they rolled along.
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Wednesday, February 16, 2011
How You Can Profit from the Latest Stock Market Warning Sign / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
There is no denying that the emerging world — especially China, India, and Brazil — has had a nice growth spurt. And there are convincing reasons to expect them to continue their long-term growth stories: Favorable demographics and a shift towards more market-oriented policies.
However, these long-term growth drivers do not immunize emerging economies from the business cycle … the ebb and flow of booms and recessions.
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Wednesday, February 16, 2011
Sell American, Buffett Is / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
In an October 16, 2008 op-ed entitled ‘Buy American. I Am’, Warren Buffett revealed that he was moving his own wealth into equities, adding that “If prices keep looking attractive, my non-Berkshire net worth will soon be 100 percent in United States equities.” Coming from someone that regularly contends he never tries to time the markets, this was easily Buffett’s most bullish call since October 1974. And while it would take and additional 5-months before stocks would reach a ‘bottom’, it is now safe to conclude that Buffett, once again, was right.
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Wednesday, February 16, 2011
Stock Market Pullback Imminent, Cyclical Bull to Continue / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Let's start by looking longer term.
Cyclical stocks bulls historically end when/with:
Inflation over 4%
10 year treasury yields over 6%
Stock market topping process accompanied by weakening breadth
Yield curve abnormal
Overtightening of interest rates
Wednesday, February 16, 2011
Stock Market Daring us to Buy Those Dips Again / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Should we be concerned?
As Doug Short points out in his EEM chart from our Chart School, while Egypt may be "fixed," emerging markets are not. We had a pretty ridiculous discussion in Member Chat last week on whether we should take our quick 300% profits on our EDZ hedges or wait for the full 500% and we decided to wait because, like Doug and Captain Kirk - we do not believe the trend is the friend of Emerging Markets at the moment.
Tuesday, February 15, 2011
Bull Bear Market Report / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
US equity markets have continued to make higher weekly closing highs, climbing relentlessly in defiance of calls for a pullback or a resumption of the bear market. Treasuries broke down from a month long consolidation and resumed their downtrend as capital continued to exit the perceived safety of fixed income for risk assets. Gold appears to have completed a correction of its recent decline and may be set to join Treasuries in a downtrend as investors exit safe haven plays.
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Tuesday, February 15, 2011
Stock Market Correction Due, Awaits Technical Breakdown / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
The market is at a very interesting juncture. On all my favourite indicators (A/D Line, McClennan Summation, Slow Stochastics, Fast Stochastics and MACD) the current bull run is very much overbought. Given that this highly profitable move has been in place since last September it is logical that we are due a correction, but there is no sign yet of any technical breakdown. If you are not in the market or have been stopped out from positions I would hold my powder dry for the moment as the risk/reward ratio is negative.
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Tuesday, February 15, 2011
Stock Market Bears Can't Keep History From Repeating / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Jon D. Markman writes: There's something in the air - and I'm not talking about spring or young love. I'm talking about a profound sense of déjà vu.
The way the stock market has performed of late has me thinking back to the low volatility bull-market cycles of the early- and mid-1990s. So far 2011 is awfully reminiscent of 1995 - another year that featured a jobless recovery and a Democratic president moving to the center.
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Tuesday, February 15, 2011
Stock Market Bears Turning Bullish, Warning Signal for Crisis 2011 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
After two years of issuing "sell" ratings on equities and making bearish pronouncements on the year-ahead economic outlook, Wall Street has finally turned bullish again. Recent analyst polls reveal the consensus outlook for 2011 is for another year of double-digit stock market gains. Even stalwart bears are starting to sound a more optimistic note on the prospects for continued economic recovery in 2011 and beyond.
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Tuesday, February 15, 2011
Stock Market Overbought Again On The Daily Index Charts.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
It's the same old story. Wash, rinse and repeat. The market goes higher until the daily charts get those 70 RSI readings, and then it sells off a bit to unwind some. Once unwound just a little bit it begins its journey once again to the up side. At some point that'll stop. The RSI, stochastics, and MACDs, will some day really sell off when everyone expects it not to.
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Monday, February 14, 2011
U.S. Stock Markets Financial Disconnect / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Despite last week's confusing employment data, the increasing threat of another decline in home values, political uncertainty in Egypt and the broader Middle East, and sharp pullbacks in some emerging markets such as Brazil, US stock markets continued to rise. It sometimes seems that Wall Street exists in a bubble that is well-insulated from the rough and tumble of the outside world. But, in what may be a harbinger that America's era of prosperity is winding down, the hallowed New York Stock Exchange, long the epicenter of American economic might, is expected to be bought by Germany's Deutsche Boerse. When the king is so unceremoniously uncrowned, it won't be long before investors notice how shabbily dressed he really is.
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Monday, February 14, 2011
Viral Bubbleomics: Debt infected Housing infected Oil …Now Gold / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
This article, references two articles put out recently, one on oil and one on how America has been financing its trade deficit. The only place that published them was Market Oracle:
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Monday, February 14, 2011
Bear Season in Stocks S&P 500 and Crude Oil / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Mr. Market has had an appetite for S&P 500 bears for several months now. In each instance in which the bears think they are going to get away, Mr. Market draws up his high powered rifle and drops the bears just before they can comfortably return to their caves. Just when the bears think they have escaped and are home free, Mr. Market reminds them who is in charge.
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