Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, January 31, 2011
Stock Market Trend Regression to the Mean / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Toby_Connor
All markets are subject to the forces of regression. Newton's basic laws of motion; Action and reaction.
At current levels both the S&P and Nasdaq 100 are stretched further above the 200 day moving average that virtually any other time in the last 10 years.
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Monday, January 31, 2011
Fed Stays the Course as Egypt Unrest Rattles Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Money_Morning
Jon D. Markman writes:
Stocks swaggered through the first four days of the past week with their usual devil-may-care attitude, then tripped into the final three hours on Friday amid scenes of civil unrest in Egypt. At the final count, the Dow Jones Industrials closed down Friday by 1.4%, the S&P 500 fell 1.8%, the Nasdaq fell 2.5% and the Russell 2000 small-caps sank 2.5%.
Monday, January 31, 2011
Between Monetary Policies, Where are Markets Heading to 2011? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Submissions
Jaroslaw Suplacz writes: Mutual relations, which characterize markets (to others these may be economic aggregates) allow us to define likely tendencies in specific areas. Firms use these to make strategic decisions regarding the scale and place of production/provision of services, way of financing, the way settlements with clients are done, the costs of introducing new products to the market etc. Investment banks and funds by the following defined steps and by making their own assessments allocate both their own investments and those entrusted to them.
Monday, January 31, 2011
Short-term Stock Market Top May Be Forming / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Andre_Gratian
Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and if they make their lows when expected, the secular bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until about 2014-2015.
Long-term trend -In March 2009, the SPX began an upward corrective move in the form of a mini bull market. Cycles point to a continuation of this trend.
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Monday, January 31, 2011
Dow Theory Stocks Bear Market Rally Update and Values / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Tim_Wood
At present, we have a Dow theory non-confirmation in place that began in mid-January. According to Dow theory, we must operate under the assumption that the previously established trend is still intact until it is reversed with a move above or below the previous secondary high or low point. In this case, a downside trend reversal would require a move below the previous secondary low point. Until such time, the primary trend change that occurred in conjunction with the March 2009 low still remains intact. Now, as for non-confirmations, they serve as warnings of a possible trend change. Non-confirmations do not mean that a trend change is inevitable, because it is possible that the non-confirmation can be corrected. It is also possible that the previous secondary high or low point will not be penetrated.
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Monday, January 31, 2011
Dow Jones Stock Market Index Reverses at 12,000 Target, Correction Starts / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The Dow achieved the long standing limit target of 12,000 early week and afforded traders / investors plenty of opportunity to bank profits on the rally to Dow 12k that began late November that can only be described as market trending higher on autopilot with very little reaction against it.
Sunday, January 30, 2011
Stock Market Top at Technical Resistance? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: JD_Rosendahl
For the past few months, I've been calling for some kind of stock market top, with January 2011 as my preferred time frame. From the July 2010 lows to Thursday's close was a Fibonacci 144 days. Friday's minor new high might be the top I'm looking for.
For the past couple weeks I kept saying the market could test the 1,300 to 1,310 levels as part of that top. And last Thursday, Art Cashin said to watch the 1,303-1,304 resistance area: Watch S&P's New Resistance Are: Art Cashin
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Sunday, January 30, 2011
Time is Ticking for World Stock Market Indices / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: MarketTimingCycles
The time is ticking away for World Indices to correct for a medium term correction in a possible longer-term uptrend. Last week we mentioned: "A short-term top in World Indices has likely been set. In last two articles we mentioned we expected a top to be formed around January 18th - January 21st 2011, with the FTSE100 and S&P500 as an example.
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Sunday, January 30, 2011
Creative Art of Bullish Excuses, Stock Market Still Good to Go, Hook Has Been Set / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Mike_Shedlock
While reading more on the Egyptian riots in a Bloomberg article, I found this nice quip on global equity prices.
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Sunday, January 30, 2011
Stock Market Crash Warning, FTSE World Equities BubbleOmics / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Andrew_Butter
Intriguing to see John Authers’ chart in an article about the “Carry Trade” in this weekend’s Financial Times, had all the hallmarks of classical BubbleOmics.
Sunday, January 30, 2011
Stock Market SPX Reverses from Cycle Top Resistance / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The FDIC Expands the Problem Bank List. -
The FDIC Failed Bank List announced four new bank closures this week. Before BankUnited FSB collapsed in May 2009, employees lit candles and prayed that Florida's biggest bank would survive the bad loans it made before the housing bubble burst. The miracle came in the form of Uncle Sam, or more precisely, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp., which sold the failed BankUnited to a group of Wall Street financiers led by a longtime New York banker. The FDIC agreed to reimburse as much as $10.5 billion in future loan losses—and gave the new owners $2.2 billion in cash. The buyers paid $945 million.
Sunday, January 30, 2011
Friday’s Panic in the Stock Market S&P 500 and Gold Futures / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: J_W_Jones
Mr. Market has thrown traders a few curve balls lately as precious metals and crude oil have been selling off while the U.S. Dollar Index futures were consolidating. Additionally, the volatility index has been very choppy and was indicating that we could be seeing a potential change in the underlying trend with regards to future price action. In previous articles that I have proffered, I was warning about a likely correction in gold and equities as prices were extremely overbought and both asset classes were due for pullbacks.
Sunday, January 30, 2011
Schumpeter vs. Wall and the Business Cycle Count in the Long Wave / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: David_Knox_Barker
Joseph Schumpeter was a Harvard economist and president of the Econometric Society (1940-41). He was author of the two-volume tome Business Cycles (McGraw-Hill 1939). Schumpeter’s cycle research is of particular interest because he was one of the first to attempt to integrate sociological understanding into economic trends. He also presented an integrated approach to cycles that presented the Kondratieff long wave as a larger scale of the smaller cycles. In Business Cycles, he introduced a theoretical model for how all the various cycles fit together.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, January 30, 2011
Stock Market Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for Week Starting 31st Jan / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Tony_Caldaro
During the past six trading days the market had cleared the Ops-Ex and the FOMC potential obstacles, but on friday ran into serious trouble with a lower than expected Q4 GDP. Just after the open on friday the SPX was at a new bull market high and up 1.6% on the week. After friday’s close it ended down 0.6% for the week. This week’s economic reports were more mixed than in recent weeks: seven improving and five weakening. The decliners were Case-Shiller housing prices, durable goods, the M1-multiplier, the WLEI, and a rise in jobless claims.
Saturday, January 29, 2011
Smart Money is Still Leaving Stock Market as Retail Money is Coming Back / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
U.S. Consumer Sentiment Falls Less Than Forecast - (Bloomberg) Confidence among U.S. consumers fell less than expected in January, a signal the biggest part of the economy may extend gains from late 2010. The Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan final index of consumer sentiment decreased to 74.2 from 74.5 in December. The median forecast in a Bloomberg News survey called for a reading of 73.3, up from a preliminary figure of 72.7 issued earlier this month.
Friday, January 28, 2011
Making Money with Stocks: Two Big Things That Make All the Difference / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Profit_Confidential
Mitchell Clark writes: Being long the stock market is certainly paying off. In fact, it’s been paying off quite handsomely since the financial crisis low set in March 2009. Of course, the stock market is still in recovery mode. Share prices still aren’t back to their highs set over a decade ago. They’re getting closer, but, really, we’re only talking about breaking even. If it weren’t for dividends, most equity investors would have been in the red over the last 10 years.
There are two extremely important things that make all the difference for the equity investor. Time and timing.
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Friday, January 28, 2011
The Fed Effect, Full Spectrum Dominance of Stock and Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Joseph_Russo
Dual mandates of Maximum Employment and Price Stability are noble headline goals of the Federal Reserve.
Unfortunately, over a long period of time, the perceptibly infinite concentrations of power in concert with the short comings of human nature has inflated the Federal Reserve System into an all-powerful godlike entity to both fear, and worship.
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Thursday, January 27, 2011
Stock Market Top Ahead? These Two Stocks Say Yes / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Profit_Confidential
Michael Lombardi writes: While I hate to be the bearer of bad news, something is suddenly happening in the luxury high-end consumer market that stock analysts and economists have failed to pick up on.
Coach, Inc. (NYSE/COH), a seller of high-end leather handbags and a stock I follow closely to monitor consumer spending patterns on luxury items, yesterday reported that it made $303 million in its latest quarter on $1.26 billion in sales. Same-store sales climbed 13% and the company announced a $1.5-billion stock buyback program.
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Thursday, January 27, 2011
Inflation to cool soon, Metal & Commodities to correct further / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Dhaval_Shah
No. This is mere healthy pullback. This correction will drive out weak holders from the market, presenting fresh buying opportunity at lower levels.
I have not changed my long term outlook about Gold by one iota.
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Thursday, January 27, 2011
Stock Market Train Crash 2011, Continued / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Brian_Bloom
Below are two charts showing the cyclical behaviour of the S&P 500 – over a +-9 month cycle and a +-4 year cycle. (source: DecisionPoint.com)Essentially, the way cycles are measured on a computer is that the computer looks for dips or valley bottoms and then looks to see whether there is any periodicity to those dips. 9 months and 48 months appear to be recurring periods of valleys. It is never “precisely” the same – but always +- a similar amount. That’s why the perpendicular dashed lines are not always equidistant.
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