Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, October 03, 2011
Stock Market Beginning of the End / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Andre_Gratian
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into 2014 after this bull market has run its course.
SPX: Intermediate trend - Ideally, the 3-yr cycle is due to make its low next week. This should put an end to the intermediate downtrend and start a new intermediate uptrend.
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Monday, October 03, 2011
Two charts best define where we’ve been, where we are and where we are most likely to go / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Garry_Abeshouse
Sustainable bull markets cannot co-exist with falling bank stocks and when bank stocks fall the rest will follow.
In my May commentary I reproduced the monthly chart of the Philadelphia Bank Index. For good measure this time I have added the S&P 500 Diversified Financials Industry Group Index as well. These two charts underline the story I have been trying to convey to my readers for just on two years now. These two charts are the most important ones here, as the bearish patterns have advanced to the point where they are almost impossible to reverse.
Monday, October 03, 2011
The Unpunctured Stock Market Cycle Points to Big Declines Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Submissions
Robert M. Williams writes: This report is a follow-up to my September 13th report entitled “Running Out Of Time” whereby I projected the demise of the Dow for a number of reasons. At that time I stated my reasons for believing the stock market was going to turn down. I still feel it is important to grasp the turn of events about to befall us, especially in light of the fact the media is busy trying to convince us to buy “cheap stocks”. The Fed of course came out with its “twist” and the market shrugged it off for what it was, a lot of nothing. You simply swap out today’s debt for long-term debt, but nothing is solved. Congress has decided to keep the government open a bit longer but offers no solutions, and Obama’s jobs bill is on a slab in the morgue. Finally problems in Europe once again surfaced and Treasury Secretary Geithner has been assigning blame in an effort to distract Americans from the real problems that face them at home.
Sunday, October 02, 2011
The Stock Market Smells Deflation / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Clif_Droke
In previous commentaries we've talked about how the 6-year cycle is scheduled to peak around Oct. 1. That now appears to be all but certain following the last few trading sessions. Although the cycle has a 1-2 week standard deviation (plus or minus), it appears that it peaked on schedule last week and that the stock market has lost the last remaining cyclical support it had throughout most of September.
Sunday, October 02, 2011
Stock Market Elliot Wave Count Now Clearer / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Tony_Caldaro
This recent week played out like the week before: a rally into tuesday and then a pullback for the rest of the week. Nevertheless, most of the world’s indices were higher and Europe gained 5.2%. In the US economic reports came in mixed. On the uptick: Case-Shiller housing prices, consumer confidence/sentiment, Q2 GDP, the Chicago PMI, the monetary base, and weekly jobless claims dropped under 400K. On the downtick: new/pending home sales, durable good orders, personal income/spending, excess reserves, PCE prices, the WLEI and the M-1 multiplier. US markets ended mixed with the SPX/DOW mixed, and the NDX/NAZ -2.9%. Asian markets gained 0.5%, the Commodity equity group gained 0.3%, and the DJ World index gained 0.9%. Next week’s economic reports include: the monthly Payrolls report, ISM and Auto sales.
Sunday, October 02, 2011
Strong Dollar Equals Weak Stocks, Gold and Silver / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: George_Maniere
For the last several weeks I have had readers mailing me asking why gold and silver have been selling off. The answer is very simple. There is a strong correlation between a strong dollar and weak commodities. The dollar is no different than anything on earth – it will always follow the path of least resistance. As the dollar grows stronger commodities sell off or become cheaper. Take a look at the chart of the dollar below.
Sunday, October 02, 2011
Stock Market Important Juncture Looming? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: WavePatternTraders
They ended pretty much flat for the week, although I was expecting a move towards the 55 or 63ES, area, the actual bounce was far stronger than I initially thought.
Another crazy week of whipsaw, this particular week just gone was some of toughest price action I have seen in a while, loads of crazy wild swings, made trading the range treacherous to say the least, a tough week.
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Sunday, October 02, 2011
SPXU on the Way Down and UPRO on the Way Up / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: George_Maniere
Wow! What a week! Friday ended the worst quarter for the stock market since 2010. After another choppy day, as expected, stocks sold off Friday, 10/28/11, at 3PM to close the day down 240 points o the Dow, 29 points on the S&P and an amazing 65 points on the NASDAQ. The close of 10903 on the Dow was seen as a psychological level of the already fragile economy turning from bad to worse.
Friday, September 30, 2011
Markets Signaling Economic Recession / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: EconMatters
We at EconMatters expected the QE2 froth to come out of markets once the fed experiment of artificially inflating asset prices was over, and for the most part this is exactly where we are today at the crossroads.
Are we going to just trudge along with a slow growth economy until the world finally works its way out of the housing inventory overhang, and the next building phase takes hold and there is a strong surge in the labor markets from the bottom up, or are we going to take the next leg down and head back into a recessionary environment?
Friday, September 30, 2011
Short-Term Conviction Faltering For Stock Market Bulls / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Chris_Ciovacco
The expression “we are stuck in a trading range” can lull investors into a state of short-term complacency, especially when the market has exceeded expectations since the early August low. While there were many important market moving events over the past seven weeks, the bulls tended to look forward to the Fed’s September 21 statement and Germany’s approval of the July 21 changes to the European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF). The Fed meeting disappointed and stocks reacted in a negative manner. It may be too early to grade the reaction to Thursday’s EFSF vote in Germany, but as we postulated on Wednesday, it appears as if the bullish gains following the vote may be short-lived.
Friday, September 30, 2011
Another Autumn Stock Market Crash? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Puru_Saxena
After reviewing a host of technical and fundamental data, we are of the view that the world’s stock and commodity markets may be on the verge of a big slide. Remember, for almost two years, the Federal Reserve supported the ‘risk trade’ via quantitative easing. However, it has now left the party, which means that the private-sector credit contraction in the developed world is reasserting its upper hand. For instance, a variety of credit spreads are rising, interest rates on Eurodollars are appreciating (shortage of dollars outside the US), the Federal Reserve is desperately trying to provide liquidity via its swap lines and the US Treasury market is signaling a severe economic contraction.
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Friday, September 30, 2011
Euro Drama Tough Love / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: HRA_Advisory
The market refrain this month could be summed up with the phrase “just do something!” Growth continues to be slow and the spectre of debt default in Europe has cast a pall over the markets for the past three months. Unfortunately, the EU bureaucracy is not built for speed so the torture is likely to continue for a while yet.
Friday, September 30, 2011
The Real Cost of the Credit Crisis Bank Bailouts [So Far] / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis Bailouts
By: Rob_Kirby
Back on July 21, 2011 – Senator Bernie Sanders [VT] published a paper titled, The Fed Audit, where he made the claim that a GAO [Government Accountability Office] report showed the real cost of the Federal Reserve bailout was 16 Trillion.
Thursday, September 29, 2011
Stocks Bear Markets Are Cunning Beasts / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: EWI
Bear markets are cunning beasts.
Don't get me wrong -- we are not in the bear market territory yet. At least, not officially.
An "official" bear market begins when the stocks indexes decline 20%. The DJIA's decline from the May 2, 2011 high to the September 21 low is about 17%. Close, but no cigar.
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Thursday, September 29, 2011
The Case for a Short-Term Stock Market Rally, And How to Play It / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Money_Morning
David Zeiler writes:
The short-term market rally we've seen over the past week represents fresh opportunities to profit, but be forewarned - it won't last.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average on Monday rallied 272 points, or 2.5%, and followed with another 148-point, or 1.34%, gain on Tuesday. That's after last week's 738-point, or 6.4%, tumble. TheStandard & Poor's 500 Indexis up 3.4% this week after last week's 6.5% fall.
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Thursday, September 29, 2011
Stock Market Flag...Flag....Flag / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jack_Steiman
Nearly eight weeks old. Not unusual, but definitely boring. The whipsaw driving everyone nuts. There are no rules for length of time. The flag could finally break with a loss of 1101 and reverse just when you think it's over with for the bulls. It could rise up out of the top of the most recent highs only to head fake again and fail, leaving the bulls disappointed. It could also just trade in this flag for a lot longer than it already has. Did that make your day!! The exponential moving averages are stopping the market cold on all rallies for now. Classic bear market action, which is what we're in until we can blow through 1260 on the S&P 500. It's not going to be happening any time soon, I'm afraid, if you're a bull. Sentiment has been holding the market up from breaking down, but that doesn't mean enough bad news can't hit and take us below, even if it's just temporarily. If we get enough bad news on bank defaults, or a default from Europe, we certainly could have another leg lower, even with sentiment such as it is.
Thursday, September 29, 2011
Forecasting the Current Financial Crisis and How to Profit From It / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2011
By: Casey_Research
Best Doug Casey interview ever? You decide.
Wednesday, September 28, 2011
Gary Shilling: U.S. Economy Going Into Recession and Deflation / Stock-Markets / Double Dip Recession
By: Bloomberg
Economist Gary Shilling spoke about the outlook for the U.S. economy and Treasuries with Bloomberg Television's Erik Schatzker and Deirdre Bolton this morning. In August, Schilling correctly called the drop to below 3% on the 30-year Treasury yield. Today, he told Bloomberg TV that the S&P is going to 800 and by next year the economy will be in recession and deflation.
Wednesday, September 28, 2011
The Most Dangerous Time Ever for Investors / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Andrew_Snyder
The government has taken control. No longer is Washington about justice and liberty. It's all about money.
This is perhaps the most dangerous time ever to be an investor. Sounds dire, I know, but it is the truth.
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Wednesday, September 28, 2011
Fed "Operation Twist" Threatens Long-Term Stock Returns and Retirement Lifestyles / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Dan_Amerman
The Federal Reserve's "Operation Twist" represents a $400 billion assault on retirement investment portfolios, pension funds, corporate stock valuations and the financial viability of state and local governments. As explored herein, the full potential effects of Operation Twist and related Federal Reserve policies include: