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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Friday, December 30, 2011

When Ticks Outnumber Dogs, What to Expect for Investment Environment 2012 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: Barry_M_Ferguson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA new year is upon us. What should we expect from the investment environment in 2012. Over the past several years, the stock markets have been transformed from markets to casinos, from investing to gambling, and from skill to fortune. Central bank intervention and manipulation has morphed into domination and control. We have witnessed, and continue to witness, a profound change in the way our economies function. We must adapt or we shall perish. If there is one fundamental difference that distinguishes today from decades passed, it is this. Going forward, I believe the key theme will be that the ticks now outnumber the dogs. Let me explain.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, December 29, 2011

Stock Market Looks Poised to Reverse Hard to Downside Within Days / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: David_Banister

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe market has been in the process of a near 13 Fibonacci week corrective rally since the October 4th 2011 lows at 1074 on the SP 500.  So far the highs reached on the initial rally of 218 points were in October at 1292.  That has remained the high water mark as we have consolidated over the last many weeks.  I expect the market to complete this counter-trend ABC bounce during the Dec 27th-29th window, followed by a good sized correction into Mid-January ahead of the earning season.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, December 29, 2011

Stock Market Back on Crash Alert / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleYesterday the SPX decline to mid-cycle support/resistance at 1249.27. This morning it is taking a brief bounce to retest the 200 day moving average at 1258.87. As an alternate, it may challenge the 50% Fibonacci retracement at 1259.02.

Additional support may lie at the 50 day moving average at 1235.61 or the intermediate-term trend support at 1230.87. However, other circumstances dictate that those supports may have little influence on the decline.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, December 29, 2011

Stocks Are Topping, Gold Has Topped and Gold & Silver Are Moving Lower / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe last week of the year volume tends to be light due to the fact that big money traders are busy enjoying the holidays and waiting for their yearend bonuses.

I was not planning on doing much this week because of the low volume but after reviewing some charts and risk levels on my top 5 trading vehicles I could not help but share my findings with everyone last Friday.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, December 29, 2011

Get Ready for Another Stock Market Plunge! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe VIX has staged a breakout of its smaller Ending Diagonal Formation, but is still underneath mid-cycle support/resistance at 26.94 and the upper trendline of its larger Declining Wedge formation. The VIX is posing a challenge to the equities markets again. My best interpretation of the cycles is that the VIX may be challenging the upper trendline of the Declining Wedge formation by the end of this week.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, December 29, 2011

Stock Market Back To No Control........ / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Jack_Steiman

The market getting back up to the breakout area of 1267 on the S&P 500 looked so promising if you're a bull. We headed into the holiday weekend with breakouts that were the talk of the stock market world. The bulls were talking the talk as it seemed Europe was under control for the moment. The reports in the United States, currently, aren't at all bad. The reasons for a breakout seemed real. That is, until today when the bears, not so fast, stopped us cold when we tried to break things down. But now, we're stopping the bears as well. No one in control. Volume is light, thus, both sides need not apply too much pressure to hold the other side off from making the bigger move. Holiday time of year when volume is basically light.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, December 28, 2011

Euro Holds Key For Stock Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Chris_Ciovacco

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe best way to monitor the sustainability of the current push higher in stocks (SPY) is to keep an eye on the euro and U.S. dollar. The correlation between stocks and the euro has been strong in recent months. In the current environment, when the euro strengthens, stocks tend to come along for the ride.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, December 28, 2011

Stock Market Volatility Lurks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Fred_Sheehan

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe European Union is putting its money where its mouth is. Never taking the slightest blame for euro woes, its New York employees are moving to new offices at 666 Third Avenue. The EU's United Nations delegation will "take about 45,000 square feet .... and pay about $60 a square foot annually for 15 years...." reported Bloomberg on December 23, 2011. Negotiations with its prospective new landlord, Tishman Speyer Properties L.P., are nearing completion. The real estate company should consider an anti-EU hedge at the moment the EU signs up.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, December 28, 2011

Central Bankers vs. Natural Stock Market Cycles in 2012 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: David_Knox_Barker


Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGovernment fiscal policy and central bank monetary policy have the specific goal of stamping out the business cycle. Governments have been intervening in the economy and financial markets with fiscal policies for thousands of years. Central banking, at least its current form of the last one-hundred years or so, offers more sophisticated and less transparent methods of intervention including interest rates, quantitative easing (QE), reserve requirements, currency swap lines, bank loans, etc. Use of these tools has risen sharply in recent decades, but they have never really worked. It is time to realize that business cycles and their accompanying market cycles are natural forces that are here to stay.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, December 28, 2011

U.S. Treasury Bonds About To Plunge? Implications For Stocks and Gold Silver / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: Willem_Weytjens

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAre Bonds about to plunge? And if so (or if not), what are the implications for stocks and precious metals?

Let’s have a look at TLT, which is the iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond Fund.

Back in 2008, at the climax of the financial crisis, TLT was very stretched above the 200MA, and the RSI was very oversold on a weekly basis.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, December 28, 2011

Krugman's Missed Call; Europe/China/Japan; Sideways Markets; Profit Margins; Microsoft / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: Vitaliy_Katsenelson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticlePaul Krugman wrote about China in his New York Times column last Monday.  That’s a topic that you have researched closely.  He said that "China’s story just sounds too much like the crack-ups we’ve already seen elsewhere," referring to the financial crisis in the US and the Japanese lost decade. Do you agree with his assessment?

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, December 27, 2011

Stock Market Rally Time for a Pause / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Andre_Gratian

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into 2014.

SPX: Intermediate trend - The current action suggests that a wave "C" from 1075 is underway and, after a short consolidation, has resumed its uptrend.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, December 27, 2011

Stock Market Year End Notes, More Broadening Tops / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhile everyone is looking at the Dow in the SPX, virtually no one is paying attention to the NDX. The rally from August 9 to December 5 was very choppy and overlapping, with the best interpretation being a wave two. Since December 5 it has made an impulsive decline to 2950.71 and three wave correction. As of Friday it has stalled at mid-cycle resistance at 2287.57.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, December 26, 2011

Stock Market Inflection Point / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Toby_Connor

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAfter a rough beginning on monday US stocks surged tuesday, following the ECB’s successful LTRO results, then continued higher for the rest of the week. For the week the SPX/DOW were +3.65% and the NDX/NAZ were +2.25%. Asian markets gained 0.6%, European markets surged 3.5%, and the DJ World index rose 3.0%. Economic reports in the US were mixed, with positives outnumbering negatives 8:7. On the uptick: NAHB, housing starts, building permits, consumer sentiment, durable goods orders, new home sales, the monetary base, and weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: existing home sales, Q3 GDP, leading indicators, FHFA, personal income, the M1-multiplier and the WLEI. Next week, a holiday shortened week, Case-Shiller and the Chicago PMI.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, December 24, 2011

Stock Market Holiday Short Squeeze and Crude Oil Trade Idea / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleTypically, the week before Christmas, stocks and commodities drift higher due to the lack of participants.  Light volume favours higher prices, which is why stocks want to rise going into the holiday season.

The big money players, like hedge fund managers, are finished for the year.  They’re sitting on the sidelines enjoying the holiday season while waiting for their year-end bonus checks.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, December 24, 2011

Stock Market Bulls Closing In.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Jack_Steiman

One week ago the market was closing in on breaking down below S&P 500 1225. It failed to hold the breakdown once it occurred as the bears just couldn't find any momentum once the level was taken out. A slow grind lower ensued, with the bulls, eventually, holding the line in the sand. Here we are with the bulls trying to press through massive resistance between 1260/1657. You need a gap up and out to confirm the move, so we'll be looking for that on Tuesday when we open for trading once again. The bears choked big time when they had their chance, especially since they actually broke through key support at 1225. Now, the bulls are on the precipice of breaking through their major headache resistance area. Let's see what they can, or can't, do with it.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, December 24, 2011

Stock Markets in a Pre-Crash Pattern / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article-- The VIX appears to be nearing completion of a doubly indicated bullish Descending Wedge pattern on December 27. It will then have completed a Master Cycle low, beginning a new bullish cycle pattern for the VIX. The master cycle low appears to have been delayed, but I wish to assure you that the low will occur within turn window allowed for it. What follows may be a breakout above the wedge as early as the end of next week.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, December 24, 2011

Europe Bond Market To Remain Problematic For Stocks In 2012 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Chris_Ciovacco

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWall Street tends to segregate “bond-guys” from “stock guys”. The bond side of the market tends to be more conservative; they also perform more detailed research meaning they actually look at the numbers. The stock side of the market is based more on momentum, gut feel, and stories.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, December 23, 2011

The Stock Market and Recession Crazes / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Zeal_LLC

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleRecession is a four-letter word in the financial markets, striking terror into the hearts of everyone.  And if reports since August are to be believed, there is a recession hiding behind every tree.  For a myriad of reasons, economists have argued we are due to plunge into the next one any day now.  But speculators and investors have to understand how recession talk is spawned, sometimes leading to recession crazes.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, December 23, 2011

European Debt Is ‘Obviously Unserviceable’ / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: Chris_Ciovacco

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleReferencing Kyle Bass’ work in a December 18 video, we noted numerous countries have an unstable combination of debt and revenue relative to the size of their banking system. Another excellent source for debt sustainability analysis comes from Jeffery Gundlach, manager of the 2011 top-performing U.S. bond fund. Mr. Gundlach was recently interviewed by the Financial Times. He does not subscribe to the theory European leaders can “put a Band Aid on a system which didn’t break a week ago, or a month ago, or a year ago. It’s been in the process for years.” His analysis came to the same conclusion as Mr. Bass’; default on unpayable obligations will occur. He also believes growing the way out of the problem is not an option since the debt is “obviously unserviceable”.

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