Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, August 23, 2012
What Caterpillar’s Warning Means for Your Investments / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
Sasha Cekerevac writes: With the global economy continuing to limp along, we’re all looking for some signs of a rebound. GDP growth has been lackluster in the U.S., negative in Europe, and decreasing in China. After so many years with a weak global economy and trillions of dollars in monetary stimulus failing to provide the spark yet, GDP growth is still not able to accelerate.
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Thursday, August 23, 2012
Fed Minutes Old News, There Will Be No QE3! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
The Fed Minutes are from the July 31-August 1 meeting, this was before they latest run-up in asset prices. For example, WTI was $88 dollars a barrel then, now it is $98 and with the new asset prices any QE3 thoughts have now been priced out of the market. In short, the Fed minutes from three weeks ago are outdated. There is no way with eight dollar corn prices and 4 dollar gas that the Fed does any major QE3, just forget that notion.
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Thursday, August 23, 2012
Post FOMC Market Analysis and Trade Setups / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
FOMC did exactly what it was supposed to do: DO NOTHING and yet give the feeling that it was going to do the biggest asset purchase in its history. Looking at forex markets, it seemed QE was going to begin this week. But for us traders, we couldnt care less if they did QE or not. We leave those to for skillful pens of financial journalists and the analysts out there who feast on every word that comes from FED mouth. We are far too buzy to analyse the language of FED and if he has used “an” or “a” or “the” (sarcasm implied). It splits me up when I read some of the things on the net about how Bernanke is using words like “appropriate time” and “extended” to imply his hearts deepest desire to print. Well they may have a point but that is not trade-able advice and hence ignore it.
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Thursday, August 23, 2012
Stock Market Reaction, Fed Minutes And QE3...... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
So the market tried very hard to follow through to the down side after yesterday's reversal, and was doing so successfully, until those Fed minutes were read at roughly 3:00 PM Eastern Time. That was the end of the deeper selling as those minutes pretty much said QE3 was a done deal and would happen almost assuredly sometime in the not too distant future. We all know by now that the market loves free money. Who doesn't, I guess. Although the market didn't explode due to overbought conditions, it did come well off the lows with the Nasdaq leading the way up and performing the best of all the indexes. Froth leading, which is a necessity. The dollar fell and gold rose.
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Tuesday, August 21, 2012
SP500 Stock Market Manipulation Telling Action / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Unnaturally tight upward ranges like this are generally the sign of a 'market operation' to take equities higher.
The question of course is by whom and for what reason.
It could just be the tendency of the wiseguys to take it higher in the absence of real activity, just because they can, until it becomes priced for fantasy.
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Tuesday, August 21, 2012
Copper Prices Signaling Stock Market Top / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The past 5 – 6 weeks have seen equity prices move considerably higher amid growing concerns regarding the European debt crisis, the instability of the Middle East, and ultimately the potential for a major economic slowdown in the United States.
U.S. equity indexes have continued to climb the proverbial “Wall of Worry” since the first week of June and have put on an incredible run. This past Friday saw the S&P 500 Index (SPX) post the highest weekly close of 2012. The perma-bears have been calling for a top and continue to run scared as light volume and volatility have given the bulls an edge during August.
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Tuesday, August 21, 2012
Significant Stock Market Top, Next Leg Down: Export led World Economic Collapse UNDERWAY / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
- Italy: Time to put a fork in it. It’s done!
- 50 year lows equal 50 year highs in FEAR and MONEY printing!
- GRESHAMS LAW strikes AGAIN!
- Faces of CRONY Capitalism!
- Stock Market Top of significance?
- Next leg down: Export led world economic collapse UNDERWAY!
As the Developed World’s Currency, Financial systems and economies move towards their ultimate denouement the next 4 months are JAMMED packed with prospective catastrophes. A number of canaries in the coalmines are singing loudly signaling their COMING demise as the grim reaper continues its march to them. This era in mankind’s evolution will be written about and studied for centuries into the future. Illusions fostered by GOVERNMENT-controlled schools, the main stream media and a global banking cartel are set to FALL.
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Monday, August 20, 2012
What Skirt Lengths Tell You About The Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: Over the years I've written a number of articles about trading indicators.
They have ranged from the commonly used variety - like moving averages, crossovers, the VIX, death crosses, and Bollinger Bands - to the esoteric, including the tallest buildings, Big Money Polls, financial astrology and, more recently, magazine covers.
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Monday, August 20, 2012
Inter-Market Relationships That Are Driving The Stock Market And Commodities / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
This will be a quick post today illustrating what I expect over the next 2 years, and the inter-market relationship between the currency markets, CRB and stocks.
Pay particular attention to the inverse relationship between the dollar index and the CRB; notice how the CRB almost immediately began moving down into its three year cycle low once the dollar formed it's three year cycle bottom in May 2011.
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Sunday, August 19, 2012
Ubiquity, Complexity Theory, and Sandpiles, How Change Happens / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
"To trace something unknown back to something known is alleviating, soothing, gratifying and gives moreover a feeling of power. Danger, disquiet, anxiety attend the unknown – the first instinct is to eliminate these distressing states. First principle: any explanation is better than none… The cause-creating drive is thus conditioned and excited by the feeling of fear …"– Friedrich Nietzsche
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Sunday, August 19, 2012
Powerful Stock Market Bulls, Push Market to Near Overbought / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
The market has shifted in the past four weeks, or so, from trying to break down to actually breaking out on the Nasdaq, and it's getting very close to doing so on the S&P 500, which is a necessary confirmation for the bigger picture. The Nasdaq, as well as the rest of the key index charts, was testing time, and again, a the 200-day exponential moving averages. Four consecutive tries in a very short period of time. Each test down looked nastier than the last one with the bears feeling assured that the breakdown was finally upon us all. We saw the bears give it up all four times, with the bulls hanging in right at the breakdown, and following through with a move up of their own. Great to see repeated failures, if you're a bull, because eventually the bears ran out of steam after so many efforts, which allowed the current move up we're experiencing now.
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Saturday, August 18, 2012
Market Manipulation, What Do Stocks Get That Credit and Bonds Don’t? / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
I’m sick of writing about Europe. The entire situation over there is such a complete and total disaster that you could literally write a 12-volume set about it. So let’s forget about it for a while and look at something else which is only slightly less depressing… the rest of the world.
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Saturday, August 18, 2012
What The MainStream Media is Hiding from Investors / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
“…Greg Page, chief executive of global grains trading giant Cargill Inc, joined a chorus of critics of biofuels by urging the U.S. government to temporarily curb its quotas to produce corn-based ethanol fuel.
“Page said on CNBC that the U.S. biofuel mandate ‘needs to be addressed’ through existing policy tools. Otherwise, the spike in U.S. corn and soybean prices to record highs will ‘ration’ demand in ways that will hurt food production too much.
“‘If all that is only on livestock or food consumers, it really makes the burden disproportionate. What we see are 3 or 4 percent declines in supply lead to 40 to 50 percent increases in prices, and I think the mandates are what drives that,’ he said.
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Saturday, August 18, 2012
Stock Market Calm Before a Storm? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Global stock markets have been enjoying a remarkable summer rally since June, remarkable for several reasons.
For one thing, the rally has been much more substantial than typical summer rallies, which are usually brief time-wise, and average about a 5% gain by the S&P 500.
Friday, August 17, 2012
Sentiment Measure Shows No Fear of Major U.S. Stock Decline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
The stock market's recent rally has seemed to ignore Europe's debt crisis and the weak U.S. economy, and in turn commentators have dusted off an old Wall Street phrase: wall of worry.
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Friday, August 17, 2012
The "Fear" Trade, Gold the Only True Safehaven / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
Stocks and interest rates are back to late spring – pre latest European fear levels - and the Jefferies/Thomson Reuters CRB index is at a three-month high.
Risk assets are obviously back in favor with investors - possible action by the European Central Bank (ECB) and the US Federal Reserve (Fed) could offer an explanation why:
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Friday, August 17, 2012
Why Bill Gross is Wrong About Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: I've gotten quite a few great questions from readers lately so I thought we'd take a quick peek into the mail bag today.
As always, I love answering questions from the Money Morning family so please feel free to keep the conversation going by sending your questions to: keith@moneymorning.com
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Friday, August 17, 2012
High-Frequency Trading Has the Potential to Kill the Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
Shah Gilani writes: It's no wonder the public is scared to invest in stocks. They believe the game is rigged.
It is, and I'm going to tell you who's behind it, what's really happening, when it started, where the sinkholes are, why they're there, how you can play in the short run, and how America can get back to investing in a successful long-term future.
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Friday, August 17, 2012
Cash Is King? Swiss Bankers' New Safe Haven: Safe Deposit Boxes Full Of Banknotes / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2012
Swiss banks have been doing an extremely brisk yet totally discreet trade with their "New Safe Haven" solution ever since the Eurozone crisis went into full swing and new bilateral tax-treaties were inked with major countries to prevent secret bank accounts in Switzerland being used for evading taxes. Those two drivers together may have inadvertently contributed to a powerful "New Safe Haven" solution.
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Friday, August 17, 2012
Will Bernanke Save the Stock Markets? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Vedran Vuk, Casey Research - How far is the Fed from reaching the bottom of its ammunition box?
Well, both Mario Draghi and Ben Bernanke said no to yet more monetary stimulus last week.
Wall Street unsurprisingly was disappointed.
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