Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Saturday, July 28, 2012

Stock Market and Gold Fibonacci relationsh​ips / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

In the last two days I talked about Fibonacci relationships in the Elliott Wave structure.  Generally, in an impulsive (5-wave) move where wave [iii] is the largest, then wave [v] is often equal to wave [i], or some other Fibonacci relationship may apply.  This morning I gave it my best shot, suggesting that wave [v] would be equal to wave [i] at 136.75.  Actually, my calculation was off.  The correct target was 136.52.  Not enough coffee, perhaps.

Friday, July 27, 2012

Four Ways To Not Lose Money In A Bubble Economy / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble

By: Money_Morning

Many experts claim we're not in a bubble economy because they can't see the "bubble."

Why is beyond me.

The bubble is so enormous right now that any serious bailout attempt would have to encompass the entire shootin' match or roughly $600 trillion to $1.5 quadrillion ($1,500,000,000,000,000) in order for it to work.

Friday, July 27, 2012

Draghi Just Pulled Out His Bazooka… How Long Before the Stock Market Crash? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Graham_Summers

Yesterday, the markets exploded higher on ECB President Mario Draghi’s comments that the ECB stands by ready to do whatever is needed to hold the EU together

We’ve seen this exact same game plan before in 2008 when Hank Paulson claimed that getting a blank check from Congress to battle the US banking Crisis would be like having a bazooka: the markets would be shocked and awed back into functioning properly.

Friday, July 27, 2012

SP500, Russell 2K, Dollar Index and Gold’s – Fake out or Shakeout / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: J_W_Jones

Today has been quite a trading session with risk assets rocketing higher after Mario Draghi of the European Central Bank reiterated what has already been stated. The S&P 500 Index (SPX) is posting some nice gains, but price has not taken out the recent ascending trendline illustrated in the daily chart of SPX shown below. Until that ascending trendline is taken out, the bears remain in control of the price action.

Thursday, July 26, 2012

Next Stocks Bear Market Leg Beginning / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Steven_Vincent

Since the July 9th BullBear Market Report, the US stock market has apparently completed an ABCDE ascending triangle pattern to complete the rally off the June low.  This is being confirmed by a mounting body of technical evidence which strongly suggests we have either seen the top to the rally or that it is nearby.  The Introduction to the last report still stands as a solid, sound interpretation of the current state of the markets:

Thursday, July 26, 2012

Stock Markwet Road To Nowhere Still Upon Us... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Jack_Steiman

And that could be the end of this report. What is there really left to say. The bulls and bears come to the ring each day prepared to fight, and on any given day, either side can score a victory, but when you look back at the fight after 15 rounds, you see that no one has won and that both sides are bloodied, neither one looking all that good. When you look at the two fighters all you see is different body types. You wonder how someone could legally allow such a fight to take place, since one candidate looks so much bigger and stronger than the other one. It's no different for our stock market.

Thursday, July 26, 2012

Europe Can and Will Cause a Systemic Collapse… Are You Ready? / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: Graham_Summers

A lot has been said about the European Crisis. I’m going to explain it all in simple terms.

In simple terms, today we are facing a Crisis that is far, far worse than 2008. Before it ends, it is quite possible that we will see the entire Western Financial System collapse and a new system put into place.

Wednesday, July 25, 2012

Bypassing Government Roadblocks to Your Personal Prosperity / Stock-Markets / Government Intervention

By: David_Galland

David Galland, Casey Research writes: Recently I helped out with some delivery chores. As I drove about, I discovered that one of the roads I would normally use was closed by roadblocks. It was, I imagine, due to road repair work. I had to reverse course and take a substantial detour.

I wondered why the road crew hadn't put up a sign indicating the road was closed back at the main intersection, but I shrugged and muttered something like "Typical government operation."

Wednesday, July 25, 2012

Fed Dangles QE3 as 'Raw Meat' for Markets / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing

By: Bloomberg

Stephen Roach, former non-executive chairman of Morgan Stanley in Asia, appeared on Bloomberg TV's "In the Loop" with Betty Liu this morning, saying that he "absolutely" sees more Fed stimulus next week and that "they have no choice...the markets are setting themselves up and discounting the next QE2. They will not disappoint the markets."

Roach went on the say that "Jon Hilsenrath [of the Wall Street Journal] is actually the chairman of the Fed. When he writes something...Bernanke has no choice but to deliver on what he wrote."

Wednesday, July 25, 2012

Barton Biggs and the Internet Bubble / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks

By: Fred_Sheehan

Barton Biggs (1932-2012) will be remembered by most of us for the words he wrote as strategist at Morgan Stanley. He worked at the firm for 30-odd years. He did not waver in his dismissal of Internet bubble promoters. At the same time, Morgan Stanley deserves credit since it did not fire Barton Biggs, Byron Wien, or Stephen Roach during that period when most Wall Street firms replaced nourishment with treacle.

Wednesday, July 25, 2012

Position Yourselves for Stock Market Collapse Crash or 10 Year Breakout / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Chris_Vermeulen

As mentioned last Friday just before things took a dive on the weekend, a look at the major market indices did not look promising. If we take an even longer term look and examine the monthly charts we can see that The S&P 500 as well as the Dow Jones have been approaching multi-decade rising channel resistance lines. Further, they also appear to be forming bearish rising wedge patterns.

Tuesday, July 24, 2012

Fake Growth, Economic Collapse, Death...er...Debt Spirals, SOCIALISTS Smelling the End Zone / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis 2012

By: Ty_Andros

As the politics of HOPE are slowly replaced by the politics of FEAR the demise of the developed world's empire, financial systems and economies continues to UNFOLD. NOWHERE are the lessons of history being EMBRACED as the elite powers that be: socio and psychopaths in power FIGHT to cling to power regardless of the outcomes their policies have sown in the past.

The results of which are ENTIRELY PREDICTABLE as history provides a powerful ROADMAP. With the proverbial gun to their heads the elites, banksters and public servants duck and let the public take the bullet.

Tuesday, July 24, 2012

Europe Hits U.S Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Jack_Steiman

Europe hit the United States futures market overnight when deeper debt concerns became the talk of the world. Spain, Greece and Italy are having a very rough time of it these days with the concerns mounting over the weekend. All of these Eurozone countries are on the precipice of something no one wants to deal with on any level. It doesn't look like there's much anyone can do to save it, either, and that's where there's real problems. If the market feels there's an immediate cure from either the world banks, or a collective effort with our Fed Governor, then things won't be so bad from a market perspective. Clearly, that was somewhat the hope today as things could have been much worse than they were, especially when you look at the losses compiled overseas today.

Monday, July 23, 2012

Financial Markets Forecasting is Looking Bleak / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: Chris_Vermeulen

I hope you had a great summer weekend.

This week could be a huge one for stocks and commodities. This morning the dollar index is taking another run at our weekly chart resistance level. If it can break out and start to rally this week then a possible 4-6 week sell off in stocks and commodities may be just starting.

Monday, July 23, 2012

Spain the Latest Domino to Fall Into the Eurozone Bailouts? / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: GoldCore

Today's AM fix was USD 1,571.50, EUR 1,298.12, and GBP 1,011.91 per ounce.
Friday’s AM fix was USD 1,583.00, EUR 1,291.30and GBP 1,007.83 per ounce.

Silver is trading at $26.98/oz, €22.36/oz and £17.94/oz. Platinum is trading at $1,396.00/oz, palladium at $564.80/oz and rhodium at $1,190/oz.

Monday, July 23, 2012

Stock Market Gathering Storm Clouds / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Andre_Gratian

Current position of the market

SPX: Very Long-term trend – The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over) there will be another steep and prolonged decline into late 2014.  It is probable, however, that the steep correction of 2007-2009 will have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 120-yr cycle.

SPX: Intermediate trend –  SPX is in a limited intermediate uptrend which is estimated to end in the first week of August.

Saturday, July 21, 2012

Stock Market Trend Forecast, Put Your Seatbelts On, It’s About To Get Bumpy! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Chris_Vermeulen

It was just about a year ago today when the S&P was sitting at fresh highs and everyone was enjoying a rather upbeat summer. It was a nice summer, the markets were calm, and there was a surreal sense of optimism. Then, in the matter of a few days, things got real ugly, real quickly.

Well, it doesn’t seem like too much has changed since then. We’ve had mixed earnings reports, ever-evolving worries in Europe, and the always looming fiscal mess in the U.S. Once again, are we in the calm before the storm?

Saturday, July 21, 2012

Spain and CMG... Stock Market Smacked Down... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Jack_Steiman

Sometimes there's an event that takes place to hit the markets in a negative fashion. Sometimes there are multiple things that occur that can bring a market lower. We saw it today in the form of earnings, the markets number one focus these days, and from news in Spain regarding more bailout talks and defaults. None of it is very good news, and thus, the market had a very bad day today. No fun.

Saturday, July 21, 2012

Stock Market Seasonality Mid-Year Update / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Sy_Harding

Even with the S&P 500 up a whopping 107% in the bull market that began three years ago, investors were still pulling their money out of stocks and mutual funds in the first half of 2012, and pouring it into the perceived safety of Treasury bonds.

You can’t blame them. It’s been an extremely rough time for most since the market peak in 2000. Two full-fledged recessions in the economy in the subsequent eight years, two severe bear markets, with the market losing 50% of its value in each.

Friday, July 20, 2012

How Long More for Stocks? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Equity indices may be selling off after 3 consecutive rising days, but this weeks shrugging of poor data by equities cannot be ignored. Equities resilience to pervasively negative economic data (US and abroad) is taking a life of its own.

9-month lows in the US June leading economic indicators index, 8-month lows in US existing home sales and double digit negative reading in the June Philly Fed indexall on the back of the 3rd consecutive monthly decline in US retail sales should be sufficiently negative for equities. Yet indices were still up 2.7-3.0% since Monday.