Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, September 24, 2012
Stock Market Rally Maxed Out, Heading for Short-term Correction / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Current position of the market
SPX: Very Long-term trend – The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over) there will be another steep and prolonged decline into late 2014. It is probable, however, that the steep correction of 2007-2009 will have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 120-yr cycle.
SPX: Intermediate trend – The Fed has extended the SPX intermediate uptrend, but for how long?
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Monday, September 24, 2012
U.S. Dollar Frenzy Selling Opening Up Bullish Opportunities / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
A market that experiences a climatic selling frenzy can often generate hyper-sold conditions which merit for an oversold rally, but not one that is sustainable to recover from such severe technical damage. Instead what occurs is prices fall back at minimum to retest the prior low, but the decline in motion is not nearly as dramatic. Thereafter becomes a scrimmage between both buyers and sellers until a general support area can be agreed upon, and to where the next bottom can then be established.
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Sunday, September 23, 2012
China Stock Market Shanghai Tower Pattern and Aftermath / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
Courtesy of Doug Short. : Of late market watchers in the U.S. are wondering if the QE3 stimulus will have a comparable effect on markets as the first two rounds of easing. And of course we in the US are nearing the end of the third quarter with earnings season just over the horizon. Around the world the ongoing euro zone financial crisis remains in the center circle of the world’s financial circus. But what caught my eye this afternoon in doing my weekly world market update was the ghastly performance of Shanghai Composite.
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Sunday, September 23, 2012
Bernanke QE to infinity Sacrificing the U.S. Dollar / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
For those that remember there is a great film called The Ten Commandments and a classic line by Yul Brynner “So it is written so it shall be done”
On the 13th September Ben Bernanke did something that will likely go down in history, I won’t bore readers any further with the details suffice to say “So it is written so it shall be done”.
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Saturday, September 22, 2012
Stock Market 70 RSI...Red Flag....Oil Strange Week....Transports Very Weak...... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Let's start with oil. The price of oil started creeping up, it seems, in anticipation that Mr. Bernanke would do QE3. It was moving closer and closer to 100$ per barrel. Not a good sign for a clean break above 100$ had the commodity moving towards 110$. I need not tell you how bad that would be for our weakening economy, our rapidly weakening economy, at that. The Fed didn't let the masses, he fooled me, and gave the world QE3. Oil blasted up initially, and you could hear the moans of what it meant to be clearing 100$ a barrel. Suddenly, and seemingly out of nowhere, oil absolutely plunged. It needed to plunge, and plunge it did. Manipulated? Who knows. It's certainly possible, but it was good to see it fall, and fall hard. It's down huge for the week, and now, well below that magic 100$ level.
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Friday, September 21, 2012
QE-3 Hyperventilating Hyperbole on Hyperinflation / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
Wow! The hyperventilating hyperbole on hyperinflation to be brought about by QE-3 was near overwhelming. From some of what we read, QE-3 is to cure all the economic woes of the U.S., cause hyperinflation, crash the U.S. dollar, prevent male patten baldness, push $Gold to $2,400, and cause the death of our favorite pet. Oh, and the perennial favorite fantasy trotted out on a regular basis is Silver going back to $50. Could QE-3 really be all those things, or is it really Damp Squib One?
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Friday, September 21, 2012
How Investors Can Navigate an Economy Weighed Down by Government Meddling and Cronyism / Stock-Markets / Government Intervention
Doug Hornig, Casey Research writes: If you wanted to sum up the just-concluded Casey Research/Sprott Inc. Summit titled Navigating the Politicized Economy, you could say "The situation is hopeless but not serious."
More than 20 speakers – many of them world-renowned financial experts and best-selling authors – gathered in Carlsbad, CA, from September 7 to 9 to ascertain exactly how hopeless, and what investors can do to protect themselves.
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Thursday, September 20, 2012
How to Game the Fed QE3 / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
Peter Krauth writes: Everything changed on September 13. It's the day Ben Bernanke promised not to take away the punch bowl.
Last Thursday, Helicopter Ben announced that the Fed would start buying $40 billion in mortgage-backed securities -- for as long as it takes. He also announced the Fed will keep rates between 0-0.25%, until mid-2015.
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Thursday, September 20, 2012
The Murky World of India’s Commodity Futures Markets, Excessive Speculation and Market Manipulation / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
Kavaljit Singh writes: The recent guar trading scandal gives a peek into the murky world of Indian commodity futures markets and reveals how commodity exchanges are acting like casinos for speculators, moving away from their avowed objectives of price discovery and price risk management in an efficient and orderly manner.
Guar (Cyamopsis tetragonoloba) is a drought resistant crop grown mainly in Rajasthan and parts of Haryana and Punjab. The sowing season for guar seed begins in July and the crop is ready for harvesting in October. Most guar farmers sell their produce to traders at the farm gate and nearby markets. A part of produce is also kept by farmers for seed, animal feed and fodder purposes.
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Thursday, September 20, 2012
Stock Markets Sucker Punch? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
To be useful, technical analysis of investor behaviour requires a suspension of prejudice; which is an extremely difficult outcome to achieve.
The chart below – of the S&P 500, courtesy stockcharts.com – has given a strong buy signal. At face value, this makes no sense. The world economy is in a mess. How can the world’s largest stock market be giving buy signals?
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Thursday, September 20, 2012
Stock Market Staying Overbought...Fed Protection Is Alive And Well...... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
And why not. A friendly Fed sure goes a long way to keeping the bears away from getting too aggressive. You can see how fast they are to cover on any market selling let alone not taking too many new short positions. They know they're fighting an uphill battle, and, seemingly, would rather step aside for now. This does not mean we shoot straight up. Things are getting a bit complacent, more on that later, and that alone over time can cause a strong selling episode for the entire market.
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Thursday, September 20, 2012
U.S. Treasury Debt Powder Kegs and Money Printing Photo Ops / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
The following is a portion of an interview I conducted with Dr. Janice Dorn, as found in the December 2006 issue of The Investor’s Mind: Mindgames. Dr. Dorn has not only traded the futures markets for the past 2 decades, but has coached hundreds of traders in the futures markets. She holds a PhD in neuroanatomy, and is an M.D., certified by the American Board of Psychiatry and Neurology. I am confident you will find these comments even more pertinent today, than when they were originally read in December 2006.
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Tuesday, September 18, 2012
Prepare for Stock Market Crash 2013 / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Jonathan Yates writes: The market has surged in recent action, but these gains haven't eradicated the chances of a stock market crash in 2013.
Global markets are up on news that central banks will deliver more stimulus measures, such as QE3 in the United States.
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Tuesday, September 18, 2012
Stock Market Pop and Drop Crash Pattern / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
It appears that the SPX (cash) is in an a – Triangle b – c pattern that may lend itself to a pop to at least 1465, or possibly higher. This will give the SPX enough elevation to break through support, which is just beneath the Triangle formation (and the cause of the bottom trendline). I think that 1465.23 is resistance, but there may be an attempt to rise above it. No matter. The decline that follows will then have enough strength to “punch through.”
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Monday, September 17, 2012
Fed QE3 Ecstasy Delays Stock Market Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over) there will be another steep and prolonged decline into late 2014. It is probable, however, that the steep correction of 2007-2009 will have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 120-yr cycle.
SPX: Intermediate trend - The Fed has extended the SPX intermediate uptrend, but for how long?
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Saturday, September 15, 2012
Wild Stock Market Week, QE3 Is Here To Stay...... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
A lot of anticipation is the way to explain the week that just passed. There were two major events to come as the week wore on. Apple Inc. (AAPL) was going to introduce the IPhone5 on Wednesday, while everyone, and I mean everyone, tuned into the words from Mr. Bernanke on Thursday about whether he was going to implement a QE3 program. I didn't think there was a chance he would do it, but more on that in a minute.
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Saturday, September 15, 2012
Stock Market The Rally Continues … with Reservations / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Courtesy of Doug Short. The rally that started with yesterday’s FOMC announcement of an open-ended round of stimulus continued today, at least through the first hour of trading. The markets disregarded the ugly Industrial Production data, preferring instead to emulate the mood of the latest Michigan Consumer Sentiment survey, which was released at 9:55 AM. But a bit less than 30 minutes later, the S&P 500 hit its intraday high, up 0.99%, and slowly faded to a modest closing gain of 0.40%. Will the QE3 rally continue next week? We’ll see. Meanwhile, the index gained 1.94% for the week, all of it in the aftermath of the Bernanke boost.
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Saturday, September 15, 2012
How Investors Can Protect Themselves in a Politicized Economy / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
Right on the heels of the Republican and Democratic National Conventions, the recent Casey Research Summit in Carlsbad, California—cosponsored by SprottGlobal—focused on a timely theme: "Navigating the Politicized Economy." The somber revelations of the summit contrasted with the buzz of the party conventions. The Gold Report sat down with Louis James, Casey Research's chief metals and mining investment strategist, Rick Rule, founder of Global Resource Investments, and Marin Katusa, Casey Research's chief energy investment strategist, to discuss how investors can position themselves in a politically driven economy.
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Saturday, September 15, 2012
Bernanke Secretly Gives away Sixteen Trillion Dollars / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis Bailouts
In July of 2011, I was one of the first to bring to your attention to the incredible fact that the US Federal Reserve had secretly given away $16 TRILLION dollars;
Read full article... Read full article..."The first ever GAO (Government Accountability Office) audit of the US Federal Reserve was recently carried out due to the Ron Paul/Alan Grayson Amendment to the Dodd-Frank bill passed in 2010. Jim DeMint, a Republican Senator, and Bernie Sanders, an independent Senator, while leading the charge for an audit in the Senate, watered down the original language of house bill (HR1207) so that a complete audit would not be carried out. Ben Bernanke, Alan Greenspan, and others, opposed the audit.
Saturday, September 15, 2012
Enough With The Fed’s Transparency Already! / Stock-Markets / Central Banks
When Ben Bernanke became chairman of the Federal Reserve in 2006 he promised a significant change. The Fed would be much more ‘transparent’ in letting markets and the public know more about its inner workings, its concerns, its internal debates, its potential decisions. He has certainly kept his promise.
But sometimes I yearn for the days of former Fed chairmen Paul Volcker and Alan Greenspan, who revealed nothing of what the Fed was thinking. Greenspan was particularly adept at befuddling even Congressional committees with his famous “fed-speak” language that left committee members and analysts asking afterwards, “Wha’d he say?”