Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Sunday, May 17, 2015
Stock Market CAC40 Trend Forecast / Stock-Markets / France
The French stock index, the CAC40, looks to have the final top to its bull market already in place. Let's analyse the technicals using the weekly, monthly and yearly charts.
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Saturday, May 16, 2015
Stock Market Diagonal Pattern Nearly Complete / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The market did this week what it had done the previous three weeks: open higher, dip mid-week, then close the week over 2100. Last four weekly closes: 2118, 2108, 2116 and 2123. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.40%, the NDX/NAZ were +0.85%, and the DJ World index was +0.80%. On the economic front the reports came in biased to the downside. On the uptick: business inventories, the NY FED, the WLEI, plus the budget surplus improved and weekly jobless claims were lower. On the downtick: export/import prices, the PPI, industrial production, capacity utilization, consumer sentiment, and the monetary base declined. Next week will be highlighted by the FOMC minutes, the CPI and reports on Housing.
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Saturday, May 16, 2015
Stock Market Basing Below The Breakout.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
When you watch price action near critical levels of resistance you want to see how it holds up, even if the short-term charts are at or near overbought. Watching the action today with those short-term sixty-minute charts near or at 70 RSI it has to give the bulls some comfort due to the fact that the bears couldn't pound the market lower the way they have been in recent weeks whenever the market went to these levels on the oscillators. The market tried many times today to sell off, but the bulls made sure things held up well enough. A change of character for the short term.
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Saturday, May 16, 2015
A Financial "Perfect Storm" May Be Brewing / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2015
The "Perfect Storm" of 1991, as described in the best-selling book by Sebastian Junger, resulted from massive weather systems converging to create the storm of a century.
In the financial world at this very moment, we have eight different "weather systems" that are all developing in real time. While the defenses in place may be able to easily withstand any one or two of these concerns in isolation – the danger is the increased power of a "storm" that can result from the merging of multiple systems together.
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Friday, May 15, 2015
Economic Expansion Ahead? World Stock Markets Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
BIG PICTURE - The global economy softened during the first quarter of this year; however, reflationary efforts by the central banks should bring about a pick-up in business activity. At this stage, it is difficult to tell precisely when the economy will accelerate, but we suspect that various data points will show a marked improvement during the back half of this year.
You will recall that the world's economy slowed down significantly at the beginning of 2015 and this coincided with a surge in the US Dollar and extreme strength in government bonds. In response to the deflationary pressures, the European Central Bank (ECB) unleashed its QE program and unsurprisingly, this policy initiative immediately sparked a rally in European stocks. A few weeks later, the US Dollar Index put in an intermediate-term top, government bonds peaked, crude oil bottomed and the major foreign currencies ended their relentless downtrend.
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Friday, May 15, 2015
Stock Market Excellent Day for Wall Street / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The stock market indices had a huge session today. The day started out with a breakaway gap, they ran sharply higher, running all day, and closing near the session highs going away.
Net on the day, the Dow was up 191.75 at 18,252.24. The S&P 500 was up 22.62 at 2121.10. The Nasdaq 100 was up 68.48 at 4495.04.
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Thursday, May 14, 2015
Global Debt Now $200 Trillion / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis 2015
- McKinsey Institute says global debt is $199 trillion and unsustainable
- Total global debt is $27,204 for every person living today
- All major economies have “higher levels of borrowing relative to GDP” than in 2007
- 3 risk areas – rising Chinese debt, government and household debt
- Debt report ignores U.S. unfunded liabilities of over $100 trillion
- Major cause of risky, unprecedented debt levels – QE and ultra loose monetary policies not acknowledged
- Risk of new global financial crisis – wealth taxes, currency wars and devaluations and bail-ins
Thursday, May 14, 2015
Learn from Geithner and Profit from the Next Big Financial Crisis / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2015
MoneyMorning.com Peter Krauth writes: Former Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner was as close as it gets to the epicenter of the 2008 U.S. financial crisis.
Together with Treasury chief Hank Paulson and Fed boss Ben Bernanke, he presided over the crisis at the Bush administration, which let the conflagration get out of control. He then led the Obama administration's response.
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Thursday, May 14, 2015
Trade Secret For being Positioned to Profit When Stocks Fall / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
MoneyMorning.com Shah Gilani writes: I’ve been telling you about market “Disruptors” for several weeks now, and showing how these “agent-of-change” catalysts are the trigger points for some of the greatest profit opportunities you’ll find.
But that’s only part of the message I’ve been emphasizing to you in our get-togethers here.
I’ve also urged you to keep your eyes open for all profit opportunities – on both the “long” side of the market… as well as on the “short” side.
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Wednesday, May 13, 2015
The End Is Near? Peak Trophy Asset Inflation / Stock-Markets / Inflation
Stories about insane prices being paid for unique (and some not so unique) things are now a daily occurrence. A few examples:
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Wednesday, May 13, 2015
Stock Investors Should Keep an Eye on the Dow Transportation Index / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
When does the market break down?
There are a lot of ol' timers out there who have their programs set for "not going against the DOW Theory". That means, if the Dow Transports and the Dow Industrials fail to the downside, sell programs will kick in.
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Wednesday, May 13, 2015
Lindsay Forecasting the End of the Stocks Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The first step in forecasting an important high is accomplished using Lindsay's 15yr interval. It isolates an eleven month period in which the high is found. Lindsay wrote that the interval (15yr-15yr, 11m) can be counted from any "important" low leaving the identification of the low somewhat ambiguous.
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Wednesday, May 13, 2015
Financial Markets - There Is No Silver Lining / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Rodney Johnson writes: As I read the news and watch the markets, I’m struck by the yawning difference between what’s going on with the economy and what is happening with equities.
I know the worn out arguments.
People are buying stocks because they don’t have many choices. That’s fair, to some extent. The return on stocks (dividends, expected earnings growth) is higher than the interest paid on bonds.
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Wednesday, May 13, 2015
Stock Market Tops - First Dow, Then Russell… Now This / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
I have been touting a major top in stocks, especially in the Dow and the largest small-cap index, the Russell 2000.With each new bubble, we reach higher highs, and then crash to lower lows. It’s such an obvious megaphone pattern that I’m not sure how anyone could miss it.
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Tuesday, May 12, 2015
Stock Market Sell Status is Upgraded / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
SPX has now crossed its 50-day Moving Average at 2089.47. This is an aggressive sell signal with confirmation beneath its prior low at 2067.93. We’ll probably see some back-testing of the 50-day before it resumes its decline. There is a good possibility of a trendline break in the Orthodox Broadening Top today.
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Tuesday, May 12, 2015
Stocks and Bond Markets Reach an Epiphany... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Good Morning!
The SPX Premarket has bounced from the 50-day Moving Average at 2089.58 this morning. It appears that the algos have been turned on while the volume is light to ramp it back, but so far SPX remains negative prior to the open.
USD/JPY had a sharp sell-off while SPX was in decline. It is attempting a retracement, but appears to be stalled at 120.14. Meanwhile, SPX appears to have given up all the gains from the positive employment report form Friday.
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Tuesday, May 12, 2015
Bill Gross Promises to Give "Everything" Away / Stock-Markets / Social Issues
Bill Gross of Janus Capital sat down with Bloomberg Television's Erik Schatzker at his office in Newport Beach, California to discuss his new life, how he defines success and why he's giving away his multi-billion-dollar fortune. On how much he's given away, Gross said: "I think to this point probably $600 million to $700 million."
Gross went on to say "We'll give everything that we have other than our home away to either philanthropic causes that I've talked about, or to the foundation." He said the amount he'll give away "is staggering, even to me."
On why he hasn’t talked more about his philanthropy, Gross said: "I guess Sue and I try and keep it quiet. We're not the--not that there's anything wrong with this,--but we're not the type to attend functions and parties and galas. We like to work underneath so to speak.”
Tuesday, May 12, 2015
Stock Market Another Try...Another Failure.....But Not Bearish.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Another day, another failure, but you are all used to that by now. Right? Hello? Look folks, we've seen this so many times over the past five months it shouldn't have a single adverse effect on you. Wash, rinse and repeat for so long it's off the charts. That said, we need to study how the market sold off today and ask ourselves if the selling that took place below the breakout level of 2119 to, let's call it, 2125 was really bearish. I would suggest it was not. The volume was light and the oscillators were leading, while price fell very little meaning solid unwinding without a lot of price depreciation. It would be very bad for the bulls if price was leading lower with force while the oscillators stayed up there. No longer are we overbought, and no one should feel as if today's selling was anything bad in terms of price.
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Tuesday, May 12, 2015
Canaries In The Coal Mine - Tech High-Flyers Fall To Earth / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
While the “stock market” continues to flirt with new records, there’s turmoil under the surface. High-flying social media companies Twitter and LinkedIn fell hard in late April, and now recent IPO Etsy, an online marketplace for arts and crafts, is down 50% since going public (8% of that today).
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Tuesday, May 12, 2015
Stocks Spooked as Yields break Head & Shoulders Necklines / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The Head & Shoulders neckline was redrawn on TNX, but the outcome is the same. Yields are now going high and it is being recognized
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