Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Friday, March 11, 2016

Stock Market Rally is Abating / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX has stopped rallying after a little more than 19.5 days from its February 11 low. Not much more can be said until it breaks the uptrend line at 1975.00. Most rallies of this nature usually take less time than this, so we can say that it is unusually long.

Friday, March 11, 2016

Gold, Stocks and the Miners Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Gary_Tanashian

One is the star of the year so far, grinding higher in what could be the launch phase of a new bull market as confidence wanes in the face of NIRP and other desperate global policy actions, and the realization that this disgraceful policy designed to spur speculation and asset price appreciation is all policy makers have got left in their bags of tricks.  The endgame is a bag with a hole in it; a monetary black hole.

The other grinds on in what could be the last significant hope replenishing bounce before new downside is explored.  Various US and global indexes are already in bear markets but casino patrons are trained to look at the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 and Dow as “the stock market” and these have not yet gone ‘bear’.  If the current bear-trend bounce fails however, that confirmation would be coming promptly.

Friday, March 11, 2016

Stocks, It's all about Oil... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

It’s all about oil as the IEA and banks do their best to elevate the price of oil, topping at 38.95 this morning while encouraging oil companies to raise cash with equity offerings at their newly inflated price so that their (bank’s) loans may be paid off. The obvious conflicts of interest (and possible jail time) are being ignored, indicating the sense of desperation about this maneuver.

Friday, March 11, 2016

Mario Draghi's 'Shock and Awe' Market Campaign Morphs into 'Shock and Aw Shucks' / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Mike_Shedlock

In a series of stunning market reversals, ECB president Mario Draghi's "Shock and Awe" campaign quickly morphed into "Shock and Aw Shucks".

Earlier this morning, Draghi pulled out a Bazooka Package that was supposed to sink the Euro and save the eurozone from the alleged evils of deflation.

Draghi's plan worked for all of 15 minutes. The market then had second thoughts on the Euro, on gold, on the German stock market, and on equities in general.

Friday, March 11, 2016

Stock Market Truth Is Dangerous / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Barry_M_Ferguson

The current bullish climb for US stock indices is now seven years old. Yet, many pundits, investment bankers, and even central bankers are warning that downside risk is growing. Maybe, but I believe stocks will likely continue their bull run. The February rally of 2016 was a clear result of ‘calendarization’. That is, the fourth quarter is always good so investors receive a pretty statement at the beginning of January. This makes all the lies the government tells about the economy seem copacetic. Central bankers and Wall Street shills make it so. Tired from a quarter of constant price manipulation, these manipulators take a few weeks off in January. Naturally without unnatural support, stock indices take a dive. Panicked at the thought of investors receiving a negative January monthly statement, the central banker manipulation crowd goes into overdrive in February pushing stock indexes back up so investor psyche will be soothed by a positive February statement. Still worried about negative first quarter statements courtesy of the January beating, the manipulators continue pushing indexes higher through March. We have seen this movie over and over. I call it ‘calendar-ization’. If clients ask what is happening in the stock carnivals, I check the calendar first. And like all rallies, this one was all based on lies (improving economics), false data (corporate earnings), and hope (central bankers will save us with more stimulus). The central bankers are throwing us a birthday party and it’s not even our birthday. So why are so many people pessimistic about price levels and the recent rally?

Thursday, March 10, 2016

Stock Market Retracement High was Made... Prepare for What's Next / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX clearly made a corrective high beneath Friday’s high before impulsively declining to its low at 1969.25. The 61.8% retracement is at 1991.39, where the bounce may be expected to go. We may see the ensuing decline begin in earnest either in the last hour of the day or overnight. Be Prepared.

Thursday, March 10, 2016

Is This The End? Draghi Fires His Bazooka And Markets Turn Away In Disgust / Stock-Markets / Negative Interest Rates

By: John_Rubino

ECB chair Mario Draghi delivered big-time this morning by announcing lower interest rates and a new round of debt monetization. Historically, this kind of thing has sent the financial markets into Pavlovian ecstasy, with stocks soaring and the local currency falling.

Sound money people have for years been warning that such New Age monetary policies are poison and that the markets would eventually wise up and react accordingly. Today, finally, that’s what they did. European stocks popped on the news — then dropped.

Thursday, March 10, 2016

Mario Supersized Stock Market Stimulus / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Mario Draghi supersized his stimulus announcement. EuroStoxx ramped after the announcement, but what will be the follow-through? Will this be another Kuroda, European style?

ZeroHedge Reports, “Well, the people wanted a "bazooka-sized" surprise from Draghi, and they got it.

Thursday, March 10, 2016

SP500 Stocks Index still at 2,000 Mark - Which Direction is Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,050, and profit target at 1,900, S&P 500 index).

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish, as we expect a downward correction or short-term uptrend's reversal at some point. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence. We decided to change our long-term outlook to neutral recently, following a move down below medium-term lows:

Thursday, March 10, 2016

Stock Market Update / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Brad_Gudgeon

Over the weekend, my thinking was we had higher prices ahead of us.  I actually ignored the astrological reversal mid-zone of the Sun translating Neptune, Saturn and Jupiter on March 4th.  My logic was the powerful, advancing MACD and momentum indicators.  My main reservation was the lack of early volume.

Thursday, March 10, 2016

Draghi On Deck... Stock Market Waiting On His Decision On Stimulus.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

We have had a bifurcated market for the entire year. The Nasdaq is now down nearly 7% for the year, with the S&P 500 down only a drop over 2%. Why is that you ask? Simple really. The bear market is froth, but still hasn't died as evidenced by the action in the world of the FANG!! Facebook, Inc. (FB), Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN), Google Inc. (GOOG), and Netflix, Inc. (NFLX), all slaughtered big time today, along with all of them losing key, exponential moving averages. Some lost all three in today's action alone. Merciless selling in leaders with high beta and higher P/E's.

Thursday, March 10, 2016

Stock Market Smart Money is Quietly Getting Out of Dodge / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

It appears that SPX may close between 1894.35 and 1992.69 as an “inside day.” This denotes uncertainty in the market. However, there is no uncertainty. This is the best it can do to prevent an all-out collapse.

ZeroHedge comments, “One week ago, when looking at the latest BofA client flow trend monitor, we noticed something strange: despite the S&P's surge higher due to either a record short squeeze or because it is merely another bear market rally, the smart money was selling.

Wednesday, March 09, 2016

Gold and Hillary’s Scary New Cash Tax / Stock-Markets / War on Cash

By: Casey_Research

By Justin Spittler

The largest underground currency market in history...how to make huge investment gains from negative interest rates...none dare call it a tax.

Editor’s Note: This is the most important Dispatch we’ve published all year.

You won’t find our regular daily market commentary in this issue. Instead, you’ll find an urgent message from Casey Research director Brian Hunt. Right now, the government is planning a secret new tax. It involves a new way of taking money directly from your bank account…

Wednesday, March 09, 2016

Stock Market SPX Bounce / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The impulsive decline in SPX appears to be in need of a correction this morning. Currently the Premarket is higher, but beneath the 38.2% retracement level at 1989.54. We may see a further probe higher after the open to either the 50% retracement level at 1993.28 or the 61.8% retracement level at 1997.02. The retracement may go back to touch the lower trendline of the Bearish Pennant near 2001.00 – 2002.00, but that would be the extreme.

Wednesday, March 09, 2016

Another Down Day for the Stock Market Indices / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices had a rough session. They gapped down hard at the opening, bounced to support, and retested in the morning, which enabled them to rally midday. The Nasdaq resistance at 4310 was too much to overcome as was 1995 S&P 500, and they sold off in the afternoon. They not only sold off, but made nominal new lows late in the day, before bouncing slightly, essentially closing at the lows for the day.

Net on the day, the Dow was down 109.85 at 16,964.10. The S&P 500 was down 22.50 to 1979.26. The Nasdaq 100 was down 37.82 to 4265.51.

Tuesday, March 08, 2016

Trump vs. the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Clif_Droke

The broad equities market has gotten a respite from the selling pressure which plagued it for the last few months.  Some of this can be attributed to the Kress cycle “echoes” which we reviewed earlier this year.  The echoes, which are based on the 6-year, 10-year, and 30-year cycles, suggested that stocks could experience a rally in the March-April time frame based on past rhythms.  To date that expectation has materialized as traders cover short positions that were built up to excessive proportions in prior months. 

Tuesday, March 08, 2016

Stocks Bear Market Rally End It’s Close… very close / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Ed_Carlson

The biggest rallies occur in bear markets and equities have had an impressive run after leaving behind a double-bottom in January and February - but the “end is near”.  In election years, March is a seasonally strong month for equities but this year, the March rally got started early in the first half of February. Several signs point to a top either last Friday or sometime this week.

Tuesday, March 08, 2016

Waning Enthusiasm for Stock Buybacks Signals Major Stock Market Reversal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: EWI

"State of the Global Markets Report -- 2016 Edition" (excerpt)

Editor's note: The following article was adapted from the just-published State of the Global Markets Report--2016 Edition, one of our most anticipated annual reports for technically minded investors and analysts around the world. We are making the first 10,000 copies of this $99 report available 100% free. Click here to get your free copy now >>

Tuesday, March 08, 2016

Stock Market Myths, and What’s Wrong with the Economy / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Tony_Caldaro

Stock market myths

Over the decades we have all learned to accept that earnings drive stock prices. Rising earnings – rising stock markets and stocks. Falling earnings – falling stock markets and stocks. In fact, there have been numerous studies, using current, future and lagging earnings, to determine an appropriate market price earnings multiple. Then standard deviations from that multiple are used to suggest a risk-on or risk-off investment climate.

Tuesday, March 08, 2016

US Dollar, Oil and Bonds Three-way Dance... / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The USD closed at the bottom of its trading range today, beneath mid-Cycle support/resistance at 97.17. The Cycles Model suggests the USD may continue its decline through March 25 and possibly longer.