Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, March 01, 2016
Stock Market Nothing Bearish Yet...Hesitation For Now...Still Nowhere... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
Right now is an EXTREMELY critical time for the market, and I'll explain why so pay attention. On Thursday of last week, we made a triple top breakout on the S&P 500 above 1947. A full candle day above that key level as we closed on the highs. The key was to see follow-through the very next day, Friday. We got just that. A nice follow-through early in the day, but we got overbought. Overbought can stay that way, but not this time, as we fell back and closed at 1948. One tail up, thus, not the best action for the bulls. We came in to today no longer overbought, so no more excuses. We started out slightly red, but blasted higher as the morning went along. Halfway through the afternoon the fun stopped on the up side.
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Monday, February 29, 2016
Overseas Stock Markets are Down. SPX Targeted by HFTs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The SPX Premarket is marginally lower this morning. However, it has not crossed beneath the 50-day Moving Average at 142.90, so anything may happen at the open.
The largest influence on the markets appears to be China. ZeroHedge reports, “After the G-20 ended in a wave of global disappointment, leading to the biggest Yuan devaluation in 8 weeks, and sending Chinese stocks into a tailspin on concerns the PBOC has forsaken its stock market as well as speculation the housing bubble is now sucking up excess liquidity which in turn pushed global market deep in the red to start the week, it was the PBOC's turn to scramble in a panicked reaction to sliding risk exactly one month after Japan unveiled its own desperation NIRP, and as reported before unexpectedly cut its Reserve Requirement Ratio by 0.5% to 17.0%, the first such cut in 2016 and the 5th since the start of 2015.”
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Monday, February 29, 2016
Another Pull Back in the Stock Market Due? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Brad_Gudgeon
Last week, I was doing what most traders were doing, being swayed by the momentum indicators. Last time we saw the momentum indicators where they are now we pulled back a little and then continued on up. That was early October 2015. The problem is, the current e-wave formation has an irregular bottom that formed after the February 8 low and that was on February 11, which suggests a move below the last low of SPX 1810 and soon. And here we have the astros confirming along with the very short term momentum indicators agreeing.
Monday, February 29, 2016
Is the Stocks Bear Rally Ending At A 50% Retracement? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Severe correction underway.
SPX: Intermediate trend - Next down-phase close at hand.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Sunday, February 28, 2016
“Somebody” Stepped In to Prop Up Stocks Friday / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Graham_Summers
At this point the manipulations are getting ridiculous.
“Someone” decided to step in a prop up stocks yesterday. How do we know it was a market prop and not real investors?
There were several “tells.”
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Sunday, February 28, 2016
Stocks Bear Market Uptrend Nearing its Peak / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Tony_Caldaro
The market started the week at SPX 1918. After a gap up opening on Monday the market rallied to SPX 1947. After that it pulled back, aided by two gap down openings, to SPX 1891 by Wednesday. Then helped by two gap up openings the market rallied to SPX 1963 by Friday, and ended the week at 1948. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 1.55%, the NDX/NAZ gained 1.80%, and the DJ World index gained 0.90%. Economic reports for the week were neutral. On the uptick: Q4 GDP, durable goods, the FHFA, personal income/spending, the PCE, and existing home sales. On the downtick: Case-Shiller, consumer confidence/sentiment, new home sales, the WLEI, GDPn, plus weekly jobless claims increased. Next week’s reports are highlighted by the FED’s Beige book, the ISM’s and monthly Payrolls. Best to your week!
Saturday, February 27, 2016
Challenging S&P 500 1947/Breakout....Sentiment Changes... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
A very interesting week as the S&P 500 made a strong move upward towards the double top breakout at 1947. It succeeded at getting through. That was as of the close yesterday, so naturally when you get a breakout what you want to see is follow-through, which was the case this morning when we woke up to some very strong futures. The breakout was on with a move to 1962 early on in the day. A nearly 1% move, which can be confirming, but only on a closing basis. When the day was over we saw the S&P 500 pull back, and, thus, it closed only one point above the breakout level, which is not enough to yet confirm that breakout move. Above, but not by enough. So yes, the market has made its strong move off the bottom, but now we get some deeper understanding about what's taking place. About whether this was a rally in a bearish environment, or whether the market is ready for much higher prices. When you study this evening's charts you'll see some very interesting back tests that got stopped today.
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Saturday, February 27, 2016
Stocks Rally on Lies, Fantasy, and Hope / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Barry_M_Ferguson
What should we make of the rally in stocks, world stocks, metals, materials, oil, junk bonds, and everything else that could be counted as an asset in the third week of February, 2016? Well, not much. When central banksters want a rally, we get a rally!
The stock rally can easily be explained through ‘calendar-ization’. This is a term that I coined a few years back so if you reuse it, send me some money. What it means is this. Every year, central bankers and their shills (Wall Street, bankers, financial media) goose asset prices in the fourth quarter so investors will get a pretty statement in January. Knowing that the next quarterly statement doesn’t get printed until April, these same manipulators take off the better part of January to rest and restock their inkjet money printers. Naturally, asset prices swoon. Realizing that most investors get monthly statements as well, these manipulators go into panic mode and begin to goose asset prices to mute the damage of January. If the selling in January is too brutal, as was the case this year (2016), the manipulators hold off until February. Then we get a rerun of the same movie.
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Saturday, February 27, 2016
Learn Why 2015 Was a Key Transition Year for Stocks, Early Stages of Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: EWI
Steve Hochberg explains why he thinks we're in the early stages of a bear market
Our Chief Market Analyst Steve Hochberg talks to Moe Ansari on Market Wrap Radio. You'll hear his take on what we've seen in the markets so far in 2016 -- and why Steve thinks 2015 was a "transitional" year.
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Saturday, February 27, 2016
Obsoleting Banks, Brokers, Clearinghouses & Exchanges / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016
By: Gordon_T_Long
RA Co-Founder Gordon T. Long has an in-depth discussion on the future of Bitcoins and Block Chain technology with serial entrepreneur, Reggie Middleton. Middleton’s experience has given him the ability to recognize value, or the lack thereof, well before much of the professional populace. His ability to identify opportunity and his “out-the-box” mind-set are due to years of entrepreneurial pursuits in insurance, financial valuation/modeling, technology, media, and real estate. He is the founder of Veritaseum and the finance and technology blog, Boom Bust Blog. Until 2011, he wrote about financial evaluation and the global financial crisis at the Huffington Post.
Friday, February 26, 2016
SPX Rally Met by Triple Resistance / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX did not make its Fibonacci 50% retracement at 1963.29. Instead, it declined back beneath its Cycle Top resistance at 1959.81 and Broadening formation trendline at 1956.00. A confirmation and sell signal comes beneath the 50-day Moving Average at 1943.49.
The peak came at 09:32 hours, only two minutes after the open. This may also be a confirmation of yesterday’s expected Pivot. We may yet see a retest of either the trendline at 1956.00 or the Cycle Top resistance now at 1961.70.
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Friday, February 26, 2016
Binary Options Trading Strategies You Need To Know / Stock-Markets / Options & Warrants
By: Boris_Dzhingarov
Whenever you want to trade binary options you need to have a solid trading strategy. This is a necessity for all the traders that actually want to be successful. Having a binary options trading strategy will help you to get over any even that is unexpected and you will be able to increase your profits on the long run. Remember the fact that binary options have a really high volatility and you cannot have just one strategy that will always work. The smart trader has high binary options knowledge and uses that in order to be successful.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, February 26, 2016
February 26 Could Be a Wild Day in Markets! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Brad_Gudgeon
Not only does February 26 have a slew of economic reports, but it also has some interesting cycle, e-wave, and astro-signatures. Earlier this week, my thinking was we were going to see a ‘b’ wave pull back in the stock market followed by higher prices. Then the irregular top came in Monday and I was beginning to believe that we just completed a bear flag. Well, the first scenario is proving to be the correct one and that is we are in a “b” wave pull back. The chart below explains everything.
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Thursday, February 25, 2016
State of the Global Markets Report 2016 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: EWI
Dear Investor,
State of the Global Markets Report -- 2016 edition, one of the most anticipated annual reports for investors and technical analysts, has just been released, and the first 10,000 copies can be reserved right now 100% free. After that, it goes to $99 per download, where it will stay for the rest of the year.
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Thursday, February 25, 2016
TNX Doesn't Buy the Rally in SPX Stocks Index / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
It appears that the rally is challenging the 50-day Moving Average at 1944.37. A new high above 1946.70 is not needed to change the Elliott Wave structure back to my original assessment, that Wave (2) peaked on February 1. I have re-oriented the chart to show this. The Broadening formation views this as an extension of point 5.
Note the trading bands are contracting, suggesting a large move ahead. The next step in this scenario is a potentially sharp decline. The Cycles Model calls for a probable decline through Friday, March 4, if I am reading the Model correctly. There may be a brief extension into Monday, March 7. The Cycles Model has kept my orientation fairly close to what the market has been delivering.
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Thursday, February 25, 2016
Stock Market Crashes Represent Opportunity / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash
By: Sol_Palha
One chart illustrates why stock market crashes represent opportunity
And the trouble is, if you don't risk anything, you risk even more. -
Erica Jong
A Market crash can be viewed as a monumental tragedy or a splendid opportunity depending on what side of the fence you sit on. If you decided to pour all your money into the market close to the top, then it would be viewed as a tragic event. If on the other hand, you got in early and as the market trended higher, you banked some of your profits then it would be viewed as a splendid opportunity.
Thursday, February 25, 2016
Elliott Wave Analysis On German DAX And SP500 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Gregor_Horvat
German DAX
Bounce on DAX to 9400 today looks like a clear three wave move, so it can be wave b as part of incomplete corrective set-back. That said, we need to be aware of another leg down, ideally into gap area since Feb 15 where index may turn bullish again after the gap is filled. At the moment it can be too soon for any bullish continuation, but we will look for reversal signs for sure, once our support levels are meet.
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Thursday, February 25, 2016
Shanghai Stock Market First... Are we Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
Yesterday’s call that the Shanghai Index had topped must have been prescient. Overnight it dropped 187.65, or 6.41%. This puts the index just above a potential Cup with Handle formation whose target exceeds the Head & Shoulders formation target.
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Thursday, February 25, 2016
Economic News Gets Worse... Stock Market Sentiment Unwinding.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
Lots of bad news for the bulls today as the bull-bear spread blasted up from -13.5% to just -1.0%. A 12.5 move of bullish behavior and thinking. Then to add to the bad news we saw the flash ISM Services Report, or the preliminary report, come in below 50.0 for the first time in three years. Down nearly 4% month over month, which shows a very strong decline in the overall economic activity for our country. The services sector had been holding up better than the manufacturing sector, but it is clearly playing catch up. This is the worst possible news for our economy, to be losing the last piece of hope for an economic recovery. Bad news on sentiment. Bad news on our economy in a very big way, and the result is a nice blast higher in our markets after gapping down nicely and running lower after we opened up for trading. Would you expect anything else?
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Wednesday, February 24, 2016
An Escalating War on Cash / Stock-Markets / War on Cash
By: John_Browne
On February 16th, The Washington Post printed the article, "It's time to kill the $100 bill." This came on the heels of a CNNMoney item, the day before, entitled "Death of the 500 euro bill getting closer." The former cited a recent Harvard Kennedy School working paper, No. 52 by Senior Fellow Peter Sands, concluding that the abolition of high denomination notes would help deter "tax evasion, financial crime, terrorist finance and corruption." In recent days, former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers, ECB President Mario Draghi, and even the editorial board of the New York Times, came out in support of the elimination of large currency notes. Apart from the question as to why these calls are being raised now with such frequency, the larger issue is whether these moves are actually needed or if they merely a subterfuge for more complex economic manipulations by central banks to extend control over private wealth.