Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Thursday, May 19, 2016

Stocks Prepare to Crash as the Last Buyer Stops Buying / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash

By: Graham_Summers

Stocks are now on borrowed time.

Corporate buybacks have been the single largest driver of stock prices in the last quarter. Institutional investors have been net sellers for 15 weeks. And individual investors have been pulling capital out of stock funds in record amounts.

This leaves corporate buybacks as the sole driver of stocks. But now that is ending.

Thursday, May 19, 2016

Yellen’s Talk of Interest Rate Hike Causes Stock Market Plunge / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices had a really volatile and interesting day today due to the FOMC. The day started out with a very nice run up in a 3-wave, corrective-type move, reaching resistance midday just before the FOMC. When that occur, and indications of a probable or potential raise in rates in June, it took the market back form 4362 down to 4305, a big, 57-point drop. The S&P 500 dropped from 2060 to 2035, 25 points. They backed and filled in a right-handed, extended-V bottom to finish positive, and get the blue chips back down near flat.

Thursday, May 19, 2016

Fed Shocks The Stock Market... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

The fed minutes were announced today at 2 PM ET. The market was expecting the minutes to say that things aren't that good economically, and that the prospect was for continued low rates. SURPRISE!!!! The minutes said that Ms Yellen would hike if the data improved in Q2. While that's not very likely, it is interesting that she talked about raising rates in June. She's so far behind of the curve that maybe she's getting anxious about keeping rates too low. Maybe she's preparing the market for the inevitable. It has to happen some year. Maybe this year will be that year, although I wouldn't hold my breath. That said it does seem she wants to hike and maybe the market is simply picking up on that. That it doesn't matter if the economy doesn't recover.

Wednesday, May 18, 2016

Stock Market Trendline Broken on Fed Announcement / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX has now broken its Head & Shoulders neckline and has bounced from its 2-hour Cycle Bottom. A rally above today’s earlier high at 2060.61 implies that it may continue back to the 4.5-year trendline. That doesn’t appear to be the case, but I am just cautioning. On the other hand, a drop below 2034.49 may open the trap door for a panic decline to the Head & Shoulders target of 1967.85, at a minimum.

Wednesday, May 18, 2016

SPX Bounces off the Neckline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX bounced almost precisely at the Head & Shoulders neckline at 2040.00, after having complete another impulsive decline. It appears to have attempted a 50% retracement of that decline at 2055.00 thus far. The bounce may have relieved the oversold condition enough to attempt another decline, but the bear market doesn’t gain strength until 2040.00 is broken.

Wednesday, May 18, 2016

Statistically Significant Stock Market Death Cross? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Will skeptics and backers of Death Cross finally unite? The S&P500 is currently showing a pattern seen in June 2008 and March 2001, both cases in which the index lost more than 30%. The 50-week moving average is crossing below the 100-week moving average, a pattern whose importance has been highlighted by its rarity and consequence.

Wednesday, May 18, 2016

Nasdaq is Not Topping, It's Forming a Huge Bull Flag / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks

By: Gary_Savage

The Nasdaq is not topping. It’s forming a huge bull flag (or cup with handle) that will ultimately breakout of this 16 year consolidation.

Wednesday, May 18, 2016

What You Can Gain From One Tech CEO's $355 Million Loss / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks

By: EWI

Exclusive invitation: We just released a new subscriber-level summary report for independent investors, The Coming Cold Reality for Tech Stocks. If you have money in tech, you'll want to read this report, right now. Learn more and get your free copy here >>

"How to lose $355 million in two weeks" -- it's a lesson tech CEO Jack Dorsey just learned the hard way. This from a recent MarketWatch article:

Wednesday, May 18, 2016

The ‘Tide’ has turned… NEGATIVE For STOCKS!!! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Currently, a ‘sharp fall’ is now anticipated within the equity markets! This decline will be accompanied with ‘new volatility’.  There is a great deal of ‘uncertainty ‘within the U.S. markets. Currently, we are viewing a ‘textbook’ ‘head and shoulders pattern’ in the SPX and is going to be a big inflection point we look back on months from now.

There are less and less stocks that are participating in the recent move upwards which suggest a technical breakdown is likely to happen.

Wednesday, May 18, 2016

Stock Market on the Precipice / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Ed_Carlson

For over three weeks equities have been pulling back from the high on April 20; a high that tested the same level seen in the S&P 500 at the August and November highs – 2,110. A break of 2,033 will confirm that the herd has turned. The 200-dma and horizontal support converge near 2,012-2021. However, a break of 2,040 will trigger a bearish head-and-shoulders pattern that measures a minimum decline to 1,970.

Wednesday, May 18, 2016

Goldman Sachs's - Regulatory Climate is Chilling Deals; Hatzius Not Worried About a Recession / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Bloomberg

Bloomberg Television talks to Jan Hatzius, chief economist at Goldman Sachs and Gregg Lemkau, co-head of global M&A at Goldman Sachs at the Goldman Sachs Leveraged Finance Conference in Rancho Palos Verdes, CA.

Hatzius discusses the risks associated with the Federal Reserve overshooting full employment, why he's not worried about a U.S. recession, and corporate America's constructive view of the U.S. economy.

- "I'm not very worried about a recession. I think the risk of recession -- if I look at the indicators that seem to predict recessions the best -"

Tuesday, May 17, 2016

Crude Oil Price Trend Forecast 2016 Implications for Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Nadeem_Walayat

At the start of the year the prevailing mood in the oil market was not just one of gloom and doom but of catastrophe as the oil price sunk below $30, skidding by the middle of February to virtually touch $25, a period during which many prominent analysts and investment banks such as Goldman Sachs all of whom were bearish on the prospects for oil prices this year some even suggesting that the oil price could sink to as low as $10 (Standard Chartered) which meant that the oil producers large and small, the frackers and even a string of nations such as Russia, Nigeria and Venezuela were on the fast track towards going bust as their oil profits that financed their state spending budget deficits evaporated.

Tuesday, May 17, 2016

Stock Market Retracement Rally May be Complete Today / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The SPX Premarket is lower this morning, but there may be some unfinished business to the upside. Due to the length of time that it has taken, I have assigned a higher degree Wave label to this Cycle. This morning it will have taken 129 hours from the April 20 high to possibly its Wave 2 high. A possible target may be 2075.00.

Tuesday, May 17, 2016

Stock Market Fooling Them Yet Again.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

The market loves to fake the masses. With the Dow closing decently below the 50-day exponential moving average on Friday, with the S&P 500 testing it, and with the small caps also closing well below the 50's, it seemed as if the bears had finally seen their time arrive. Most folks believed that today we'd see a big gap down, and run lower all day as the bears finally took control of this stubborn market. The bears also had some nice hope once the futures opened for trading last night.

Tuesday, May 17, 2016

Crisis Investing - Jim Rogers on “Buying Panic” / Stock-Markets / Investing 2016

By: Casey_Research

By Justin Spittler

Editor's note: Successful crisis investing boils down to one skill. The ability to go against the crowd to buy beaten-down assets that have been left for dead.

Few people know as much about this subject as Jim Rogers. Jim is a legendary investor and a true “international man.” He has earned millions investing in crisis markets.

Monday, May 16, 2016

Financial Armageddon Looms On The Horizon As The EURO UNION IMPLOSION Nears / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016

By: I_M_Vronsky

History is testament that an ill-conceived fetus is doomed to a handicapped crippled adulthood. Thusly, many rational pundits perceive the hodge-podge jumbled union of many European nations, known as the Euro Union. But just as oil and water cannot be blended nor melded into a stable liquid, it logically follows that the haphazard mixture of many radically diverse nations are likewise immiscible…and will probably collapse in the not too distant future.

Monday, May 16, 2016

Stock Market One Big Inflection Point We Will Look Back On / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Chris_Vermeulen

This week will very likely be one we look back on as a big inflection point.  We will see that the bears are coming back.

It appears the market is forming a head and shoulders topping pattern. Thre are a couple different ways to trade this pattern depending on the level of skill and aggressiveness.

One can wait for a closing bar below the ‘neckline’ on the time-frame in which you have identified the pattern.  By operating on a closing bar basis you significantly reduce the risk of entering on a ‘false’ breakout. Entering prior to the close of the bar increases the risk of becoming part of the wick of a reversal candlestick should it close back above ‘neckline’ support.

Monday, May 16, 2016

Stock Market Rally Back to the 4.5-year Trendline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX is above its 50-day Moving Average this morning. This has caused overlap in the decline and indicated something more bearish may result. Assuming that today’s Pi date is forecasting another Master Cycle low imminently, the overlap creates a (i)-(ii), i-ii scenario that suggests a flash crash may be in the making. This may be followed up by a plunge beneath the Head & Shoulders Neckline at 2040.00. The retracement may go as high as the 4.5-year trendline.

Monday, May 16, 2016

Stock Market Futures Flat. Mixed Signals Abound / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX Premarket has been flat up until now. There may be a better indication of direction closer to the open.

The attempts at a bounce have been technical and haven’t had a large effect. ZeroHedge reports, “The main risk over the weekend was that markets, which have now dropped for three consecutive weeks the longest negative streak since January, would focus their attention on the latest batch of negative Chinese economic news released over the weekend, which missed expectations across the board, most prominently in Retail Sales (10.1% vs. Exp. 10.6%, down from 10.5%) and Industrial Production (6.0% vs. Exp. 6.5% down from 6.8%), an

Monday, May 16, 2016

Stock Market Mixed Expectations Following Friday's Move Down - Will It Continue Lower? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.

Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral