Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Monday, May 23, 2016

Stock Market Crash Death Cross Doom Prevails / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Nadeem_Walayat

We appear to be at one of those stock market times of the year when cognitive dissonance prevails, for one does not need to look far to see the building mood for imminent doom that apparently has been imminent all year! Nevertheless, it appears to be reaching a new fever pitch of intensity with the focus now on the apocalyptic sounding DEATH CROSS ! Which depending on the analyst has occurred from twice to more than a dozen times this century for the fundamental fact that the Death Cross just like much of Technical Analysis is just a back fitting exercise, i.e. tweak the parameters used so as to fit a pattern with the benefit of hindsight so as to support ones pre-existing opinion.

Monday, May 23, 2016

Did AMAT Chirp? Implications for the Economy and Gold / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Gary_Tanashian

The following is the opening segment of this week's Notes From the Rabbit Hole, NFTRH 396. The report also covers, in detail, the technical status of US/Global stock markets, precious metals, commodities, currencies and even a few individual gold miners and a couple of new (non-gold related) NFTRH+ trade ideas.

In January of 2013 we noted that the "Canary's Canary" chirped and signaled an economic up phase (such as it was) on the horizon. The Canary was the Semiconductor sector, which is cyclical and economically sensitive. The Canary's Canary is the Semi Equipment sector, manned by the likes of Applied Materials and Lam Research.

Monday, May 23, 2016

Stocks Extended Their Rebound On Friday - Will They Continue Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.

Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

Monday, May 23, 2016

Stock Market Support Breached, But Not Broken! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend: The beginning of a lengthy correction is most likely underway!

SPX Intermediate trend: May be in the process of forming a H&S bull market top.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

Monday, May 23, 2016

No Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Gary_Savage

If you try hard enough you can always find a set of moving averages that will confirm your bias. The 50/100 week exponential moving average cross has never generated a false signal in 36 years. It’s confirming what I’ve been saying all along. No bear market.

Sunday, May 22, 2016

Third Death Cross of the Century Pointing to Stock Market Carnage - Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Mario_Innecco

Sunday May 22nd 2016 short video and technical analysis I know people think
technical analysis doesn't work I have always been close follow-up technical
analysis course is on technical announces but I and I also like the
fundamentals I think it's important to follow boat but it's really important
that I come out with this because we've had a death cross on the weekly chart of
the S&P 500 also handed out but I'm going to focus on the S&P 500 because
that's the broader market and moving averages basically confirmed tops or
bottoms so they happened after the top and this makes sense because we had that
top stock market last year and fifty weekend hundred week is very long-term...

Saturday, May 21, 2016

SPX Downtrend Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Tony_Caldaro

The market started the week at SPX 2047. After a rally to SPX 2072 on Monday, the market worked its way down to SPX 2026 by Thursday. Then an options expiration on Friday closed the week at SPX 2052. For the week the SPX/DOW were mixed, and the NDX/NAZ were +0.95%. Economic reports for the week were again positive. On the downtick: the NY/Philly FED, and the Q2 GDP est. was lowered: +2.5% v +2.8%. On the uptick: the CPI, housing starts, building permits, industrial production, capacity utilization, leading indicators, existing home sales, and weekly jobless claims declined. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by Q1 GDP, Durable goods, and more Housing reports.

Friday, May 20, 2016

Stock Market Laterally Painful... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

Writing this newsletter is getting harder and harder these days as the market is incapable of moving sustainably in one direction. Just when it seems one side has control that control gets taken away. You get perfect action from the bulls. They break up through resistance only to have things reverse the very next day. The bears start to make a move for themselves. Just yesterday we tested below 2040 horizontal support, and then tested almost to the point at 2023 (2025 print), which is the 200-day exponential moving average.

Friday, May 20, 2016

Stock Market Rally At the End of the Road? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Chris_Vermeulen

In May of 2008, there was a very similar stock market ‘rally’ as compared to today’s ‘rally’.  Investors believed that the ‘turmoil’ during the latter part of 2007 and the early part of 2008 was permanently over and that we were headed towards a strong economic growth!

In actuality, it merely masked the ‘declining economic collapse’.  The same situation is happening, all over again, even as you are reading this article.  There are numerous flashing red lights, currently while the stock markets is ‘collapsing’ once again, just as it did during the beginning of the spring of 2008!

Friday, May 20, 2016

Dreaded DEATH Cross Formation Has Just Hit the Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Graham_Summers

The following is a sample of the RESEARCH THAT MAKES MONEY for subscribers of  Private Wealth Advisory…

Smart investors have noted that the S&P 500 just staged a very dangerous looking move.

That move was when S&P 500’s 50-week moving average broke below its 100-week moving average. You can see this in the green circle below.

Friday, May 20, 2016

NASDAQ 100, FTSE, and British Pound - When Rare Market Data Screams, Listen  / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Doug_Wakefield

Are US stocks going up or down next week? Is the euro or pound trending up or down? What trends do we see in corporate earnings, employment numbers, trade deficits, and GDP numbers? What technical indicators are we following and what do they tell us?

In the financial world there are plenty of pieces of information to follow. Financial information is sought 24/7.

Thursday, May 19, 2016

Stock Market Final Supports Are Broken / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX has declined again beneath its Head & Shoulders neckline and now beneath yesterday’s low at 2034.49 and the Cycle Bottom support at 2032.59. Yesterday’s call and Wave structure were on the money.

Thursday, May 19, 2016

Why Stock Market Price Spikes Are Actually Your Friend / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Chris_Vermeulen

I could go on in detail about why and what price spikes provide us short term trades with, and I will in a future article and video. Keeping things short and simple we will let the charts to the speaking for now because they paint a very clear picture of what they do and how quickly we should expect our profit targets to be reached.

The chart below shows the recent price spikes in the SPY. These spikes come and go, meaning some months we may only see a couple, and other months we see 10-20 of these incredible momentum trading opportunities.

Thursday, May 19, 2016

Further Stock Market Uncertainty As Indexes Gained On Friday, Will Uptrend Resume? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion speculative long positions are still favored (with stop-loss at 1,850, S&P 500 index).

Our intraday outlook is still bullish, and our short-term outlook remains neutral:

Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: bullish
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: neutral
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish

Thursday, May 19, 2016

Stocks Prepare to Crash as the Last Buyer Stops Buying / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash

By: Graham_Summers

Stocks are now on borrowed time.

Corporate buybacks have been the single largest driver of stock prices in the last quarter. Institutional investors have been net sellers for 15 weeks. And individual investors have been pulling capital out of stock funds in record amounts.

This leaves corporate buybacks as the sole driver of stocks. But now that is ending.

Thursday, May 19, 2016

Yellen’s Talk of Interest Rate Hike Causes Stock Market Plunge / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices had a really volatile and interesting day today due to the FOMC. The day started out with a very nice run up in a 3-wave, corrective-type move, reaching resistance midday just before the FOMC. When that occur, and indications of a probable or potential raise in rates in June, it took the market back form 4362 down to 4305, a big, 57-point drop. The S&P 500 dropped from 2060 to 2035, 25 points. They backed and filled in a right-handed, extended-V bottom to finish positive, and get the blue chips back down near flat.

Thursday, May 19, 2016

Fed Shocks The Stock Market... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

The fed minutes were announced today at 2 PM ET. The market was expecting the minutes to say that things aren't that good economically, and that the prospect was for continued low rates. SURPRISE!!!! The minutes said that Ms Yellen would hike if the data improved in Q2. While that's not very likely, it is interesting that she talked about raising rates in June. She's so far behind of the curve that maybe she's getting anxious about keeping rates too low. Maybe she's preparing the market for the inevitable. It has to happen some year. Maybe this year will be that year, although I wouldn't hold my breath. That said it does seem she wants to hike and maybe the market is simply picking up on that. That it doesn't matter if the economy doesn't recover.

Wednesday, May 18, 2016

Stock Market Trendline Broken on Fed Announcement / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX has now broken its Head & Shoulders neckline and has bounced from its 2-hour Cycle Bottom. A rally above today’s earlier high at 2060.61 implies that it may continue back to the 4.5-year trendline. That doesn’t appear to be the case, but I am just cautioning. On the other hand, a drop below 2034.49 may open the trap door for a panic decline to the Head & Shoulders target of 1967.85, at a minimum.

Wednesday, May 18, 2016

SPX Bounces off the Neckline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX bounced almost precisely at the Head & Shoulders neckline at 2040.00, after having complete another impulsive decline. It appears to have attempted a 50% retracement of that decline at 2055.00 thus far. The bounce may have relieved the oversold condition enough to attempt another decline, but the bear market doesn’t gain strength until 2040.00 is broken.

Wednesday, May 18, 2016

Statistically Significant Stock Market Death Cross? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Will skeptics and backers of Death Cross finally unite? The S&P500 is currently showing a pattern seen in June 2008 and March 2001, both cases in which the index lost more than 30%. The 50-week moving average is crossing below the 100-week moving average, a pattern whose importance has been highlighted by its rarity and consequence.